Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for LINCOLN-24 in Australia from 15 Feb 2024 18:00 UTC to 24 Feb 2024 06:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for LINCOLN-24

in Australia

21 Feb 2024 00 UTC

click on

to select bulletin time

Meteorological source:

GDACS JTWC

Impact Single TC

GFS
HWRF
ECMWF

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone LINCOLN-24 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	HWRF
Exposed countries
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	58 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.3 m (21 Feb 04:00 UTC)
Vulnerability	Low (Australia)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
HWRF Current	58 km/h	0.3 m	163 mm	0.5
HWRF Overall	90 km/h	0.9 m	392 mm	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

90 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above

Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 21 Feb 2024 00:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS

Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Pop in Cat. 1 or higher	TS	Cat. 1	Cat. 2	Cat. 3	Cat. 4	Cat. 5
1	15 Feb 2024 18:00	61	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	16 Feb 2024 00:00	72	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	16 Feb 2024 06:00	65	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
4	16 Feb 2024 12:00	58	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
5	16 Feb 2024 18:00	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
6	17 Feb 2024 00:00	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
7	17 Feb 2024 06:00	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
8	17 Feb 2024 12:00	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
9	17 Feb 2024 18:00	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
10	18 Feb 2024 00:00	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
11	18 Feb 2024 06:00	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
12	18 Feb 2024 12:00	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
13	18 Feb 2024 18:00	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
14	19 Feb 2024 00:00	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
15	19 Feb 2024 06:00	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
16	19 Feb 2024 12:00	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
17	19 Feb 2024 18:00	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
18	20 Feb 2024 00:00	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
19	20 Feb 2024 06:00	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
20	20 Feb 2024 12:00	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
21	20 Feb 2024 18:00	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
22	21 Feb 2024 00:00	76	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Download:

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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Rainfall

Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 21 Feb 2024 00:00 UTC

Level	Country	Population
50-100 mm	Australia	523

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Rainfall (mm)	Pop >100mm or higher	50-100	100-250	250-500	500-750	750-1000	>1000	Countries
1	15 Feb 2024 18:00	119	-		-	-	-	-	-	Australia
2	16 Feb 2024 00:00	235	-		-	-	-	-	-	Australia
3	16 Feb 2024 06:00	205	-		-	-	-	-	-	Australia
4	16 Feb 2024 12:00	131	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
5	16 Feb 2024 18:00	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
6	17 Feb 2024 00:00	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
7	17 Feb 2024 06:00	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
8	17 Feb 2024 12:00	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
9	17 Feb 2024 18:00	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
10	18 Feb 2024 00:00	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
11	18 Feb 2024 06:00	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
12	18 Feb 2024 12:00	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
13	18 Feb 2024 18:00	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
14	19 Feb 2024 00:00	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
15	19 Feb 2024 06:00	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
16	19 Feb 2024 12:00	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
17	19 Feb 2024 18:00	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
18	20 Feb 2024 00:00	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
19	20 Feb 2024 06:00	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
20	20 Feb 2024 12:00	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
21	20 Feb 2024 18:00	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
22	21 Feb 2024 00:00	476	-		-	-	-	-	-	Australia

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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StormSurge

0.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.3m in East Lewis I, Australia. This height is estimated for 21 Feb 2024 04:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 21 Feb 2024 00:00 UTC

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	21 Feb 2024 04:00	East Lewis I	Australia	0.3
	21 Feb 2024 04:00	Dampier	Australia	0.3
	21 Feb 2024 04:00	Karratha	Australia	0.3
	21 Feb 2024 04:30	Mardie	Australia	0.3
	21 Feb 2024 06:00	Hopetoun	Australia	0.2
	21 Feb 2024 06:00	Jerdacuttup	Australia	0.2
	21 Feb 2024 05:15	Port Hedland	Australia	0.2
	21 Feb 2024 05:15	Wedgefield	Australia	0.2
	21 Feb 2024 02:45	Glenroy	Australia	0.2
	21 Feb 2024 04:45	Wickham	Australia	0.2
	21 Feb 2024 04:45	Point Samson	Australia	0.2
	21 Feb 2024 04:45	Cossack	Australia	0.2
	21 Feb 2024 02:45	Onslow	Australia	0.2
	21 Feb 2024 04:45	Thundulda	Australia	0.2
	21 Feb 2024 05:45	Kollan I	Australia	0.2
	21 Feb 2024 05:15	Eyre	Australia	0.2
	21 Feb 2024 02:30	Dalyellup	Australia	0.2
	21 Feb 2024 02:30	Bunbury	Australia	0.2
	21 Feb 2024 02:30	Binningup	Australia	0.2
	21 Feb 2024 02:30	Picton	Australia	0.2
	21 Feb 2024 02:30	Eaton	Australia	0.2
	21 Feb 2024 02:30	Burragenup	Australia	0.2
	21 Feb 2024 02:30	Australind	Australia	0.2
	21 Feb 2024 06:00	Wyndham	Australia	0.2
	21 Feb 2024 06:00	Broome	Australia	0.2
	21 Feb 2024 06:00	Thangoo	Australia	0.2
	21 Feb 2024 06:00	Menango	Indonesia	0.2
	21 Feb 2024 06:00	Tandjungkarang	Indonesia	0.2
	21 Feb 2024 06:00	Telukbetung	Indonesia	0.2
	21 Feb 2024 06:00	Tarahan	Indonesia	0.2
	21 Feb 2024 02:15	Oakdale	Australia	0.2
	21 Feb 2024 03:15	Esperance	Australia	0.2
	21 Feb 2024 03:15	Doombup	Australia	0.2
	21 Feb 2024 05:00	Ah Chong I	Australia	0.2
	21 Feb 2024 02:15	Myalup	Australia	0.2
	21 Feb 2024 06:00	Eucla Motel	Australia	0.2
	21 Feb 2024 02:15	Falcon	Australia	0.2
	21 Feb 2024 02:15	Mandurah	Australia	0.2
	21 Feb 2024 02:15	Peelhurst	Australia	0.2
	21 Feb 2024 02:15	Singleton	Australia	0.2
	21 Feb 2024 02:15	Karnup	Australia	0.2
	21 Feb 2024 05:15	Pardoo	Australia	0.2
	21 Feb 2024 05:00	Condon	Australia	0.2
	21 Feb 2024 02:15	Minarup	Australia	0.1
	21 Feb 2024 02:00	Torbay	Australia	0.1
	21 Feb 2024 02:00	Elleker	Australia	0.1
	21 Feb 2024 02:00	Albany	Australia	0.1
	21 Feb 2024 02:00	Emu Point	Australia	0.1
	21 Feb 2024 02:30	Ludlow	Australia	0.1
	21 Feb 2024 02:00	Parryville	Australia	0.1
	21 Feb 2024 02:00	Denmark	Australia	0.1
	21 Feb 2024 06:00	Kekatang	Indonesia	0.1
	21 Feb 2024 02:00	Youngs	Australia	0.1
	21 Feb 2024 01:45	Warroora	Australia	0.1
	21 Feb 2024 02:00	Kronkup	Australia	0.1
	21 Feb 2024 02:00	Bornholm	Australia	0.1
	21 Feb 2024 06:00	Waterbank	Australia	0.1
	21 Feb 2024 04:45	Tjikawung	Indonesia	0.1
	21 Feb 2024 04:45	Sumur	Indonesia	0.1
	21 Feb 2024 02:15	Safety Bay	Australia	0.1
	21 Feb 2024 02:15	Rockingham	Australia	0.1
	21 Feb 2024 02:15	Warnbro	Australia	0.1
	21 Feb 2024 04:15	Lancelin	Australia	0.1
	21 Feb 2024 04:15	Seabird	Australia	0.1
	21 Feb 2024 02:30	Busselton	Australia	0.1
	21 Feb 2024 02:30	Wonnerup	Australia	0.1
	21 Feb 2024 06:00	Vasse	Australia	0.1
	21 Feb 2024 06:00	Broadwater	Australia	0.1
	21 Feb 2024 02:00	Fremantle	Australia	0.1
	21 Feb 2024 02:00	North Fremantle	Australia	0.1
	21 Feb 2024 02:00	Scarborough	Australia	0.1
	21 Feb 2024 02:00	Mosman Park	Australia	0.1
	21 Feb 2024 02:00	Cottesloe	Australia	0.1
	21 Feb 2024 02:00	East Fremantle	Australia	0.1
	21 Feb 2024 02:00	Coogee	Australia	0.1
	21 Feb 2024 02:00	Peppermint Grove	Australia	0.1
	21 Feb 2024 02:00	Swanbourne	Australia	0.1
	21 Feb 2024 02:00	Claremont	Australia	0.1
	21 Feb 2024 02:00	Spearwood	Australia	0.1
	21 Feb 2024 02:00	Bicton	Australia	0.1
	21 Feb 2024 02:00	Wattleup	Australia	0.1
	21 Feb 2024 04:30	Guilderton	Australia	0.1
	21 Feb 2024 04:30	Two Rocks	Australia	0.1
	21 Feb 2024 05:15	Wangary	Australia	0.1
	21 Feb 2024 03:00	Brassan	Indonesia	0.1
	21 Feb 2024 03:00	Muntjar	Indonesia	0.1
	21 Feb 2024 03:00	Blimbing	Indonesia	0.1
	21 Feb 2024 03:00	Dadapan	Indonesia	0.1
	21 Feb 2024 03:00	Banjuwangi	Indonesia	0.1
	21 Feb 2024 03:00	Penginoeman	Indonesia	0.1
	21 Feb 2024 03:00	Belimbingsari	Indonesia	0.1
	21 Feb 2024 05:30	Learmonth	Australia	0.1
	21 Feb 2024 05:45	Kennedys Cottage	Australia	0.1
	21 Feb 2024 04:30	Yanchep	Australia	0.1
	21 Feb 2024 04:30	Quinns Rock	Australia	0.1
	21 Feb 2024 04:45	Mullalloo Beach	Australia	0.1
	21 Feb 2024 04:45	North Beach	Australia	0.1
	21 Feb 2024 04:45	Aerdjeruk	Indonesia	0.1
	21 Feb 2024 04:45	Babakancibeber	Indonesia	0.1
	21 Feb 2024 05:45	Elliston	Australia	0.1
	21 Feb 2024 01:45	Cardabia	Australia	0.1
	21 Feb 2024 04:45	Pender	Australia	0.1
	21 Feb 2024 04:45	Milyeannup	Australia	0.1
	21 Feb 2024 05:00	Tjiteureup	Indonesia	0.1
	21 Feb 2024 05:00	Labuhan	Indonesia	0.1
	21 Feb 2024 05:00	Kaduperasi	Indonesia	0.1
	21 Feb 2024 06:00	Tulka	Australia	0.1
	21 Feb 2024 06:00	Port Lincoln	Australia	0.1
	21 Feb 2024 06:00	North Shields	Australia	0.1
	21 Feb 2024 06:00	Poonindie	Australia	0.1
	21 Feb 2024 06:00	Louth Bay	Australia	0.1
	21 Feb 2024 05:45	Venus Bay	Australia	0.1
	21 Feb 2024 05:45	Port Kenny	Australia	0.1
	21 Feb 2024 02:15	Denison	Australia	0.1
	21 Feb 2024 02:15	Port Denison	Australia	0.1
	21 Feb 2024 02:15	Dongara	Australia	0.1
	21 Feb 2024 01:30	Augusta	Australia	0.1
	21 Feb 2024 02:30	Gregory	Australia	0.1
	21 Feb 2024 02:30	Lynton	Australia	0.1
	21 Feb 2024 02:30	Horrocks	Australia	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.