Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for LINCOLN-24 in Australia from 15 Feb 2024 18:00 UTC to 24 Feb 2024 06:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for LINCOLN-24

in Australia

16 Feb 2024 00 UTC

click on

to select bulletin time

Meteorological source:

GDACS JTWC

Impact Single TC

GFS
HWRF
ECMWF

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone LINCOLN-24 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	HWRF
Exposed countries
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	72 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.8 m (16 Feb 06:00 UTC)
Vulnerability	Low (Australia)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
HWRF Current	72 km/h	0.8 m	235 mm	0.5
HWRF Overall	90 km/h	0.9 m	392 mm	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

90 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above

Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 16 Feb 2024 00:00 UTC

Category	Country	Population
Tropical Storm	Australia	00	+

See TC classification SSHS

Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

Alert	N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Pop in Cat. 1 or higher	TS	Cat. 1	Cat. 2	Cat. 3	Cat. 4	Cat. 5	Countries
	1	15 Feb 2024 18:00	61	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
	2	16 Feb 2024 00:00	72	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Download:

Impact estimation for the next 72h

TOP

Rainfall

Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 16 Feb 2024 00:00 UTC

Level	Country	Population
100-250 mm	Australia	1,915
50-100 mm	Australia	4,897

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

Alert	N°	Date (UTC)	Max Rainfall (mm)	Pop >100mm or higher	50-100	100-250	250-500	500-750	750-1000	>1000	Countries
	1	15 Feb 2024 18:00	119	-		-	-	-	-	-	Australia
	2	16 Feb 2024 00:00	265	2 thousand			-	-	-	-	Australia

Impact estimation for the next 72h

TOP

StormSurge

0.8 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.8m in Karumba, Australia. This height is estimated for 16 Feb 2024 06:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 16 Feb 2024 00:00 UTC

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	16 Feb 2024 06:00	Karumba	Australia	0.8
	16 Feb 2024 06:00	Kowanyama	Australia	0.4
	16 Feb 2024 06:00	Kulinchin	Australia	0.3
	16 Feb 2024 02:45	Soeam	Indonesia	0.3
	16 Feb 2024 02:30	Heits	Indonesia	0.3
	16 Feb 2024 06:00	Kladar	Indonesia	0.3
	16 Feb 2024 06:00	Sabon	Indonesia	0.3
	16 Feb 2024 06:00	Tor	Indonesia	0.3
	16 Feb 2024 06:00	Weipa	Australia	0.3
	16 Feb 2024 06:00	Weipa South	Australia	0.3
	16 Feb 2024 04:30	Dolatanden	Indonesia	0.3
	16 Feb 2024 06:00	Mapoon	Australia	0.3
	16 Feb 2024 02:00	Taroea Anim	Indonesia	0.2
	16 Feb 2024 06:00	Per	Indonesia	0.2
	16 Feb 2024 06:00	Amborip	Indonesia	0.2
	16 Feb 2024 06:00	Biwarlaut	Indonesia	0.2
	16 Feb 2024 06:00	Jow	Indonesia	0.2
	16 Feb 2024 06:00	Jofar	Indonesia	0.2
	16 Feb 2024 06:00	Agats	Indonesia	0.2
	16 Feb 2024 02:15	Falcon	Australia	0.2
	16 Feb 2024 02:15	Mandurah	Australia	0.2
	16 Feb 2024 02:15	Peelhurst	Australia	0.2
	16 Feb 2024 02:15	Singleton	Australia	0.2
	16 Feb 2024 02:15	Karnup	Australia	0.2
	16 Feb 2024 06:00	Otsjanep	Indonesia	0.2
	16 Feb 2024 06:00	Birab	Indonesia	0.2
	16 Feb 2024 04:15	Vasse	Australia	0.2
	16 Feb 2024 04:15	Broadwater	Australia	0.2
	16 Feb 2024 04:15	Busselton	Australia	0.2
	16 Feb 2024 04:15	Wonnerup	Australia	0.2
	16 Feb 2024 04:15	Ludlow	Australia	0.2
	16 Feb 2024 02:00	Safety Bay	Australia	0.2
	16 Feb 2024 02:00	Rockingham	Australia	0.2
	16 Feb 2024 02:00	Fremantle	Australia	0.2
	16 Feb 2024 02:00	Warnbro	Australia	0.2
	16 Feb 2024 02:00	North Fremantle	Australia	0.2
	16 Feb 2024 02:00	East Fremantle	Australia	0.2
	16 Feb 2024 02:00	Coogee	Australia	0.2
	16 Feb 2024 02:00	Spearwood	Australia	0.2
	16 Feb 2024 02:00	Bicton	Australia	0.2
	16 Feb 2024 02:00	Wattleup	Australia	0.2
	16 Feb 2024 05:45	Amamapare	Indonesia	0.2
	16 Feb 2024 06:00	Hammond I	Australia	0.2
	16 Feb 2024 06:00	Port Kennedy	Australia	0.2
	16 Feb 2024 04:00	Menango	Indonesia	0.2
	16 Feb 2024 04:00	Tandjungkarang	Indonesia	0.2
	16 Feb 2024 04:00	Telukbetung	Indonesia	0.2
	16 Feb 2024 04:00	Tarahan	Indonesia	0.2
	16 Feb 2024 05:45	Ndapurutiri	Indonesia	0.2
	16 Feb 2024 01:15	North Beach	Australia	0.2
	16 Feb 2024 01:15	Scarborough	Australia	0.2
	16 Feb 2024 01:15	Mosman Park	Australia	0.2
	16 Feb 2024 01:15	Cottesloe	Australia	0.2
	16 Feb 2024 01:15	Peppermint Grove	Australia	0.2
	16 Feb 2024 01:15	Swanbourne	Australia	0.2
	16 Feb 2024 01:15	Claremont	Australia	0.2
	16 Feb 2024 01:15	Mullalloo Beach	Australia	0.2
	16 Feb 2024 05:45	Timuka	Indonesia	0.2
	16 Feb 2024 06:00	Tjikawung	Indonesia	0.2
	16 Feb 2024 06:00	Sumur	Indonesia	0.2
	16 Feb 2024 06:00	Cowel Creek	Australia	0.2
	16 Feb 2024 06:00	Wyndham	Australia	0.2
	16 Feb 2024 01:00	Quinns Rock	Australia	0.2
	16 Feb 2024 01:00	Yanchep	Australia	0.2
	16 Feb 2024 02:15	The Palms	Australia	0.2
	16 Feb 2024 02:15	Larrakeyah	Australia	0.2
	16 Feb 2024 02:15	Fannie Bay	Australia	0.2
	16 Feb 2024 02:15	Parap	Australia	0.2
	16 Feb 2024 02:15	Darwin	Australia	0.2
	16 Feb 2024 02:15	Nightcliff	Australia	0.2
	16 Feb 2024 02:15	Ludmilla	Australia	0.2
	16 Feb 2024 02:15	Bagot	Australia	0.2
	16 Feb 2024 02:15	Leanyer	Australia	0.2
	16 Feb 2024 02:15	Knuckeys Lagoon	Australia	0.2
	16 Feb 2024 02:15	Berrimah	Australia	0.2
	16 Feb 2024 05:45	Keawkwa	Indonesia	0.2
	16 Feb 2024 06:00	Sarire	Indonesia	0.2
	16 Feb 2024 06:00	Tamarike	Indonesia	0.2
	16 Feb 2024 05:45	Mimako	Indonesia	0.2
	16 Feb 2024 04:30	Dalyellup	Australia	0.2
	16 Feb 2024 06:00	Badu	Australia	0.2
	16 Feb 2024 04:30	Bunbury	Australia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 04:30	Picton	Australia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 04:30	Eaton	Australia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 04:30	Australind	Australia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 05:30	Ipirawea	Indonesia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 00:15	Esperance	Australia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 00:15	Doombup	Australia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 01:00	Two Rocks	Australia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 06:00	Kondomiraf	Indonesia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 06:00	Matara	Indonesia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 06:00	Urum	Indonesia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 06:00	Merauke	Indonesia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 06:00	Daub	Indonesia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 05:45	Carnarvon	Australia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 06:00	Tamerau	Indonesia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 04:00	Geraldton	Australia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 04:00	Drummond Cove	Australia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 04:00	Popes Landing	Australia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 04:00	Waggrakine	Australia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 04:45	East Lewis I	Australia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 04:45	Dampier	Australia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 04:45	Karratha	Australia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 06:00	Barattar	Indonesia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 06:00	Anansai	Indonesia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 06:00	Wendu	Indonesia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 00:45	Binningup	Australia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 00:45	Myalup	Australia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 00:45	Burragenup	Australia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 05:45	Amar	Indonesia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 04:00	Kekatang	Indonesia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 02:30	Lancelin	Australia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 02:30	Seabird	Australia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 00:00	Broome	Australia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 00:00	Thangoo	Australia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 06:00	Onggalie	Indonesia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 05:45	Denison	Australia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 05:45	Port Denison	Australia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 02:45	Green Head	Australia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 02:45	Leeman	Australia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 02:45	Coolimba	Australia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 06:00	Kumbe	Indonesia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 04:30	Derby	Australia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 06:00	Uta	Indonesia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 06:00	Aerdjeruk	Indonesia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 06:00	Babakancibeber	Indonesia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 06:00	Alyangula	Australia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 06:00	Dumande	Indonesia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 04:15	Derby	Australia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 05:45	Wakia	Indonesia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 06:00	Umuk	Indonesia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 03:45	Maringgai	Indonesia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 03:45	Kiluan	Indonesia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 00:45	Guilderton	Australia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 06:00	Kotad	Indonesia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 06:00	Seisia	Australia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 06:00	Bamaga	Australia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 05:45	Kipia Maparpa	Indonesia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 03:45	Horrocks	Australia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 01:30	Cape Cuvier	Australia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 04:15	Dunsborough	Australia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 04:15	Quindalup	Australia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 05:45	Paraoka	Indonesia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 06:00	Tjiteureup	Indonesia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 04:45	Glenroy	Australia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 03:45	Warroora	Australia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 00:15	Gregory	Australia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 00:15	Lynton	Australia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 06:00	Komoran	Indonesia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 01:00	Chilachap	Indonesia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 01:00	Adipala	Indonesia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 04:15	Gnaraloo	Australia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 06:00	Moegaigare	Indonesia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 06:00	Alakoe	Indonesia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 06:00	Alatepi	Indonesia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 06:00	Jara	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 01:30	Quobba	Australia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 06:00	Wan	Indonesia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 06:00	Konerau	Indonesia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 06:00	Selemit	Indonesia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 06:00	Okaba	Indonesia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 06:00	Bula	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 06:00	Pasirputih	Indonesia	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.