Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for LINCOLN-24
in Australia

Impact

Tropical Cyclone LINCOLN-24 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source HWRF
Exposed countries Australia
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 68 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.7 m (24 Feb 07:30 UTC)
Vulnerability Low (Australia)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
HWRF Current 68 km/h 0.7 m 143 mm 0.5
HWRF Overall 90 km/h 0.9 m 392 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

90 km/h

Up to Few people can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 23 Feb 2024 18:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormAustralia24 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 15 Feb 2024 18:00 61 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 16 Feb 2024 00:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 16 Feb 2024 06:00 65 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 16 Feb 2024 12:00 58 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 16 Feb 2024 18:00 0 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 17 Feb 2024 00:00 0 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 17 Feb 2024 06:00 0 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 17 Feb 2024 12:00 0 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 17 Feb 2024 18:00 0 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 18 Feb 2024 00:00 0 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 18 Feb 2024 06:00 0 - - - - - - -
GREEN 12 18 Feb 2024 12:00 0 - - - - - - -
GREEN 13 18 Feb 2024 18:00 0 - - - - - - -
GREEN 14 19 Feb 2024 00:00 0 - - - - - - -
GREEN 15 19 Feb 2024 06:00 0 - - - - - - -
GREEN 16 19 Feb 2024 12:00 0 - - - - - - -
GREEN 17 19 Feb 2024 18:00 0 - - - - - - -
GREEN 18 20 Feb 2024 00:00 0 - - - - - - -
GREEN 19 20 Feb 2024 06:00 0 - - - - - - -
GREEN 20 20 Feb 2024 12:00 0 - - - - - - -
GREEN 21 20 Feb 2024 18:00 0 - - - - - - -
GREEN 22 21 Feb 2024 00:00 58 - - - - - - -
GREEN 23 21 Feb 2024 06:00 58 - - - - - - -
GREEN 24 21 Feb 2024 12:00 58 - - - - - - -
GREEN 25 21 Feb 2024 18:00 65 - - - - - - -
GREEN 26 22 Feb 2024 00:00 76 - - - - - - -
GREEN 27 22 Feb 2024 06:00 76 - - - - - - -
GREEN 28 22 Feb 2024 12:00 90 - - - - - - -
GREEN 29 22 Feb 2024 18:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 30 23 Feb 2024 00:00 90 - - - - - - -
GREEN 31 23 Feb 2024 06:00 76 - - - - - - -
GREEN 32 23 Feb 2024 12:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 33 23 Feb 2024 18:00 76 -
- - - - - Australia
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h




Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 23 Feb 2024 18:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmAustralia5,984 
50-100 mmAustralia48 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 15 Feb 2024 18:00 119 -
- - - - - Australia
Blue 2 16 Feb 2024 00:00 235 -
- - - - - Australia
Blue 3 16 Feb 2024 06:00 205 -
- - - - - Australia
Blue 4 16 Feb 2024 12:00 131 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 16 Feb 2024 18:00 0 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 17 Feb 2024 00:00 0 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 17 Feb 2024 06:00 0 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 17 Feb 2024 12:00 0 - - - - - - -
Blue 9 17 Feb 2024 18:00 0 - - - - - - -
Blue 10 18 Feb 2024 00:00 0 - - - - - - -
Blue 11 18 Feb 2024 06:00 0 - - - - - - -
Blue 12 18 Feb 2024 12:00 0 - - - - - - -
Blue 13 18 Feb 2024 18:00 0 - - - - - - -
Blue 14 19 Feb 2024 00:00 0 - - - - - - -
Blue 15 19 Feb 2024 06:00 0 - - - - - - -
Blue 16 19 Feb 2024 12:00 0 - - - - - - -
Blue 17 19 Feb 2024 18:00 0 - - - - - - -
Blue 18 20 Feb 2024 00:00 0 - - - - - - -
Blue 19 20 Feb 2024 06:00 0 - - - - - - -
Blue 20 20 Feb 2024 12:00 0 - - - - - - -
Blue 21 20 Feb 2024 18:00 0 - - - - - - -
Blue 22 21 Feb 2024 00:00 163 - - - - - - -
Blue 23 21 Feb 2024 06:00 136 - - - - - - -
Blue 24 21 Feb 2024 12:00 83 - - - - - - -
Blue 25 21 Feb 2024 18:00 191 - - - - - - -
Blue 26 22 Feb 2024 00:00 247 - - - - - - -
Blue 27 22 Feb 2024 06:00 111 - - - - - - -
Blue 28 22 Feb 2024 12:00 77 - - - - - - -
Blue 29 22 Feb 2024 18:00 225 - - - - - - -
Blue 30 23 Feb 2024 00:00 203 - - - - - - -
Blue 31 23 Feb 2024 06:00 108 - - - - - - -
Blue 32 23 Feb 2024 12:00 71 - - - - - - -
Blue 33 23 Feb 2024 18:00 337 6 thousand
- - - - Australia




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.7 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.7m in Learmonth, Australia. This height is estimated for 24 Feb 2024 07:30 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 23 Feb 2024 18:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
24 Feb 2024 07:30 Learmonth Australia  0.7
24 Feb 2024 06:30 Exmouth Australia  0.5
24 Feb 2024 06:15 Onslow Australia  0.4
24 Feb 2024 03:30 Mardie Australia  0.4
24 Feb 2024 06:15 Glenroy Australia  0.4
24 Feb 2024 07:00 Soeam Indonesia  0.3
24 Feb 2024 06:30 Heits Indonesia  0.3
23 Feb 2024 18:00 East Lewis I Australia  0.3
23 Feb 2024 18:00 Dampier Australia  0.3
23 Feb 2024 18:00 Karratha Australia  0.3
23 Feb 2024 18:45 Wickham Australia  0.3
23 Feb 2024 18:45 Point Samson Australia  0.3
23 Feb 2024 18:45 Cossack Australia  0.3
25 Feb 2024 12:00 Port Augusta West Australia  0.3
25 Feb 2024 12:00 Port Augusta Australia  0.3
25 Feb 2024 12:00 Stirling North Australia  0.3
25 Feb 2024 12:30 Running Creek Australia  0.2
23 Feb 2024 18:15 Ah Chong I Australia  0.2
25 Feb 2024 10:00 Asaramio Papua New Guinea  0.2
25 Feb 2024 10:00 Tapapi Papua New Guinea  0.2
25 Feb 2024 10:00 Amagoa Papua New Guinea  0.2
25 Feb 2024 10:00 Sisiama No 1 Papua New Guinea  0.2
25 Feb 2024 10:00 Tugara Papua New Guinea  0.2
25 Feb 2024 10:00 Bamio Papua New Guinea  0.2
25 Feb 2024 10:00 Orapoi Papua New Guinea  0.2
25 Feb 2024 10:00 Buniki Papua New Guinea  0.2
25 Feb 2024 10:00 Bina No 1 Papua New Guinea  0.2
25 Feb 2024 10:00 Airua Papua New Guinea  0.2
25 Feb 2024 10:00 Bunigi Papua New Guinea  0.2
24 Feb 2024 06:30 Taroea Anim Indonesia  0.2
26 Feb 2024 03:00 Numbulwar Australia  0.2
26 Feb 2024 11:15 Aloszville Australia  0.2
25 Feb 2024 08:15 Aibinio Papua New Guinea  0.2
25 Feb 2024 08:15 Gesco Papua New Guinea  0.2
25 Feb 2024 08:15 Dameramuda Papua New Guinea  0.2
25 Feb 2024 08:15 Umuda I Papua New Guinea  0.2
25 Feb 2024 13:15 Ok Village Australia  0.2
25 Feb 2024 08:45 Segero Papua New Guinea  0.2
25 Feb 2024 08:45 Dibiri Papua New Guinea  0.2
25 Feb 2024 08:45 Oropai Papua New Guinea  0.2
25 Feb 2024 08:45 Tirere Papua New Guinea  0.2
25 Feb 2024 08:45 Maipani Papua New Guinea  0.2
25 Feb 2024 06:45 Misiki Papua New Guinea  0.2
25 Feb 2024 06:45 Giwaretore Papua New Guinea  0.2
25 Feb 2024 06:45 Gibu Papua New Guinea  0.2
25 Feb 2024 06:45 Ibou Papua New Guinea  0.2
25 Feb 2024 06:45 Morigio I Papua New Guinea  0.2
25 Feb 2024 06:45 Mapoi'a Papua New Guinea  0.2
24 Feb 2024 04:45 Dolatanden Indonesia  0.2
26 Feb 2024 03:15 Alyangula Australia  0.2
25 Feb 2024 06:45 Ekeirau Papua New Guinea  0.2
23 Feb 2024 18:00 Port Hedland Australia  0.2
23 Feb 2024 18:00 Wedgefield Australia  0.2
25 Feb 2024 13:00 Cape York Australia  0.2
25 Feb 2024 07:00 Namaituri Papua New Guinea  0.2
25 Feb 2024 07:00 Pai-a Papua New Guinea  0.2
25 Feb 2024 07:00 Goari Papua New Guinea  0.2
25 Feb 2024 07:00 Dopima Papua New Guinea  0.2
25 Feb 2024 06:30 Tamarike Indonesia  0.2
25 Feb 2024 06:30 Tamerau Indonesia  0.2
25 Feb 2024 06:45 Ubua Papua New Guinea  0.2
25 Feb 2024 16:30 Katatai Papua New Guinea  0.2
25 Feb 2024 16:30 Sui Papua New Guinea  0.2
25 Feb 2024 16:30 Parama Papua New Guinea  0.2
25 Feb 2024 06:15 Barattar Indonesia  0.2
25 Feb 2024 17:15 Agobara Papua New Guinea  0.2
25 Feb 2024 17:15 Samari Papua New Guinea  0.2
25 Feb 2024 17:15 Oromosapuo Papua New Guinea  0.2
25 Feb 2024 06:30 Babai Papua New Guinea  0.2
25 Feb 2024 06:45 Sarire Indonesia  0.2
25 Feb 2024 18:00 Apiope Papua New Guinea  0.2
25 Feb 2024 18:00 Marea Papua New Guinea  0.2
25 Feb 2024 18:00 Iuku Papua New Guinea  0.2
25 Feb 2024 18:00 Herekera Papua New Guinea  0.2
25 Feb 2024 17:30 Akoma Papua New Guinea  0.2
25 Feb 2024 16:45 Mibu Papua New Guinea  0.2
25 Feb 2024 18:00 Ravi-kevau Papua New Guinea  0.2
25 Feb 2024 06:30 Moinamu Papua New Guinea  0.2
25 Feb 2024 08:00 Ipisia Papua New Guinea  0.2
26 Feb 2024 17:30 Kapai Papua New Guinea  0.2
25 Feb 2024 17:15 Mariki Papua New Guinea  0.2
25 Feb 2024 17:15 Kinipo Papua New Guinea  0.2
25 Feb 2024 13:30 Port Kennedy Australia  0.2
25 Feb 2024 17:00 Mira Papua New Guinea  0.2
26 Feb 2024 05:00 Mairipepea Papua New Guinea  0.2
26 Feb 2024 05:00 Moravamu Papua New Guinea  0.2
26 Feb 2024 05:00 Kamaua Papua New Guinea  0.2
26 Feb 2024 05:00 Koravaki Papua New Guinea  0.2
26 Feb 2024 05:00 Ara'ava Papua New Guinea  0.2
25 Feb 2024 17:30 Avioua Papua New Guinea  0.2
25 Feb 2024 12:00 Badu Australia  0.2
26 Feb 2024 09:45 Mirua Papua New Guinea  0.2
25 Feb 2024 07:45 Veraibari Papua New Guinea  0.2
25 Feb 2024 07:45 Mirimairau Papua New Guinea  0.2
25 Feb 2024 16:15 Iasa Papua New Guinea  0.2
25 Feb 2024 17:00 Uramu I Papua New Guinea  0.2
25 Feb 2024 06:45 Kondomiraf Indonesia  0.2
26 Feb 2024 05:15 Daware Papua New Guinea  0.2
26 Feb 2024 04:00 Kaivu Papua New Guinea  0.2
25 Feb 2024 07:00 Matara Indonesia  0.2
25 Feb 2024 07:00 Urum Indonesia  0.2
25 Feb 2024 07:00 Merauke Indonesia  0.2
25 Feb 2024 07:00 Daub Indonesia  0.2
25 Feb 2024 08:45 Daru Papua New Guinea  0.2
26 Feb 2024 09:30 Auti Papua New Guinea  0.2
25 Feb 2024 06:30 Dorogari Papua New Guinea  0.2
26 Feb 2024 10:30 Dauan Australia  0.2
26 Feb 2024 10:30 Sidabadu Papua New Guinea  0.2
25 Feb 2024 12:15 Cowel Creek Australia  0.2
25 Feb 2024 12:15 Seisia Australia  0.2
25 Feb 2024 12:15 Bamaga Australia  0.2
26 Feb 2024 10:30 Ture Ture Papua New Guinea  0.2
26 Feb 2024 10:30 Boze Papua New Guinea  0.2
26 Feb 2024 10:30 Ume Papua New Guinea  0.2
25 Feb 2024 12:30 Port Bonython Australia  0.2
25 Feb 2024 12:30 Hammond I Australia  0.2
26 Feb 2024 10:30 Saibai Australia  0.2
26 Feb 2024 10:30 Hamlet of Togo Papua New Guinea  0.2
26 Feb 2024 10:30 Mabaduan Papua New Guinea  0.2
25 Feb 2024 07:45 Jara Papua New Guinea  0.2
25 Feb 2024 07:45 Mari Papua New Guinea  0.2
24 Feb 2024 05:15 Kladar Indonesia  0.2
24 Feb 2024 05:15 Sabon Indonesia  0.2
24 Feb 2024 05:15 Tor Indonesia  0.2
26 Feb 2024 09:00 Waidoro Papua New Guinea  0.2
26 Feb 2024 09:00 Kadawa Papua New Guinea  0.2
24 Feb 2024 20:00 Bing Bong Australia  0.2
25 Feb 2024 07:15 Bula Papua New Guinea  0.2
26 Feb 2024 10:45 Boigu Australia  0.2
26 Feb 2024 10:45 Bugi Papua New Guinea  0.2
24 Feb 2024 11:15 Per Indonesia  0.2
24 Feb 2024 11:15 Amborip Indonesia  0.2
24 Feb 2024 11:15 Biwarlaut Indonesia  0.2
24 Feb 2024 11:15 Jow Indonesia  0.2
25 Feb 2024 01:15 Anansai Indonesia  0.2
25 Feb 2024 01:15 Wendu Indonesia  0.2
26 Feb 2024 11:30 Kuria Papua New Guinea  0.2
25 Feb 2024 01:15 Kumbe Indonesia  0.2
24 Feb 2024 18:15 Karumba Australia  0.2
26 Feb 2024 11:15 Tais Papua New Guinea  0.2
25 Feb 2024 12:15 Port Germein Australia  0.2
25 Feb 2024 12:15 Telowie Australia  0.2
25 Feb 2024 01:30 Dumande Indonesia  0.2
25 Feb 2024 01:30 Onggalie Indonesia  0.2
24 Feb 2024 06:45 Birab Indonesia  0.2
25 Feb 2024 01:30 Kotad Indonesia  0.2
24 Feb 2024 11:15 Otsjanep Indonesia  0.2
25 Feb 2024 05:15 Caburinga Village Australia  0.2
24 Feb 2024 10:30 Jofar Indonesia  0.2
24 Feb 2024 10:30 Agats Indonesia  0.2
25 Feb 2024 08:45 Moegaigare Indonesia  0.2
25 Feb 2024 08:45 Alakoe Indonesia  0.2
25 Feb 2024 08:45 Alatepi Indonesia  0.2
25 Feb 2024 03:45 Mapoon Australia  0.2
25 Feb 2024 05:30 Gove Australia  0.2
25 Feb 2024 05:30 Yirrkala Mission Australia  0.2
25 Feb 2024 05:30 Yirrkala Australia  0.2
25 Feb 2024 13:00 Port Pirie Australia  0.2
25 Feb 2024 13:00 Solomontown Australia  0.2
25 Feb 2024 08:30 Okaba Indonesia  0.2
25 Feb 2024 17:45 Kowanyama Australia  0.2
25 Feb 2024 08:45 Kobiem Indonesia  0.2
25 Feb 2024 05:45 Nhulunbuy Australia  0.2
25 Feb 2024 18:15 Kulinchin Australia  0.2
25 Feb 2024 07:30 Weipa Australia  0.2
25 Feb 2024 07:30 Weipa South Australia  0.2
25 Feb 2024 07:15 Papisote Indonesia  0.2
25 Feb 2024 07:15 Welab Indonesia  0.2
25 Feb 2024 12:45 Port Davis Australia  0.2
25 Feb 2024 07:15 Dokib Indonesia  0.2
25 Feb 2024 01:00 Wamal Indonesia  0.2
25 Feb 2024 01:00 Gelib Indonesia  0.2
25 Feb 2024 01:00 Dodalim Indonesia  0.2
25 Feb 2024 01:00 Yulbabuti Indonesia  0.2
25 Feb 2024 10:45 Komoran Indonesia  0.2
25 Feb 2024 15:00 Whyalla Australia  0.2
25 Feb 2024 11:30 Kandala Jawal Indonesia  0.2
25 Feb 2024 10:45 Pasirputih Indonesia  0.2
25 Feb 2024 10:30 Selemit Indonesia  0.2
25 Feb 2024 10:30 Wan Indonesia  0.2
25 Feb 2024 10:30 Konerau Indonesia  0.2
26 Feb 2024 16:45 Wyndham Australia  0.1
24 Feb 2024 17:15 Warroora Australia  0.1
24 Feb 2024 15:15 The Palms Australia  0.1
24 Feb 2024 15:15 Larrakeyah Australia  0.1
24 Feb 2024 15:15 Fannie Bay Australia  0.1
24 Feb 2024 15:15 Parap Australia  0.1
24 Feb 2024 15:15 Darwin Australia  0.1
24 Feb 2024 15:15 Nightcliff Australia  0.1
24 Feb 2024 15:15 Ludmilla Australia  0.1
24 Feb 2024 15:15 Bagot Australia  0.1
24 Feb 2024 15:15 Leanyer Australia  0.1
24 Feb 2024 15:15 Knuckeys Lagoon Australia  0.1
24 Feb 2024 15:15 Berrimah Australia  0.1
26 Feb 2024 12:00 Salebe Indonesia  0.1
26 Feb 2024 12:00 Modan Indonesia  0.1
24 Feb 2024 11:00 Amamapare Indonesia  0.1
25 Feb 2024 06:30 Carnarvon Australia  0.1
26 Feb 2024 15:15 Pagatan Indonesia  0.1
26 Feb 2024 15:15 Semisir Indonesia  0.1
26 Feb 2024 15:15 Salinau Indonesia  0.1
26 Feb 2024 15:15 Semaras Indonesia  0.1
23 Feb 2024 22:30 Ndapurutiri Indonesia  0.1
24 Feb 2024 06:00 Bundera Bundera Australia  0.1
24 Feb 2024 11:45 Broome Australia  0.1
24 Feb 2024 11:45 Thangoo Australia  0.1
25 Feb 2024 20:45 Soengaiamang Indonesia  0.1
23 Feb 2024 18:30 Pardoo Australia  0.1
23 Feb 2024 22:30 Timuka Indonesia  0.1
25 Feb 2024 23:00 Setiroek Indonesia  0.1
24 Feb 2024 13:15 Cardabia Australia  0.1
23 Feb 2024 22:45 Keawkwa Indonesia  0.1
26 Feb 2024 15:30 Okaoka Indonesia  0.1
26 Feb 2024 18:00 Kualalupak Indonesia  0.1
26 Feb 2024 18:00 Aluhaluh Indonesia  0.1
26 Feb 2024 18:00 Tambakkarangan Indonesia  0.1
26 Feb 2024 18:00 Bawahalajung Indonesia  0.1
24 Feb 2024 12:00 Ningaloo Australia  0.1
25 Feb 2024 22:45 Pagatan Indonesia  0.1
23 Feb 2024 22:30 Mimako Indonesia  0.1
26 Feb 2024 15:30 Tapianbalai Indonesia  0.1
25 Feb 2024 15:15 Port Broughton Australia  0.1
26 Feb 2024 18:00 Bapuju Indonesia  0.1
26 Feb 2024 18:00 Bahaur Indonesia  0.1
23 Feb 2024 22:30 Ipirawea Indonesia  0.1
26 Feb 2024 15:45 Boenati Indonesia  0.1
24 Feb 2024 01:30 Menango Indonesia  0.1
24 Feb 2024 01:30 Tandjungkarang Indonesia  0.1
24 Feb 2024 01:30 Telukbetung Indonesia  0.1
24 Feb 2024 01:30 Tarahan Indonesia  0.1
26 Feb 2024 13:45 Toegrama Indonesia  0.1
26 Feb 2024 18:00 Tabanio Indonesia  0.1
25 Feb 2024 21:00 Sabui Indonesia  0.1
26 Feb 2024 13:15 Sanindara Indonesia  0.1
23 Feb 2024 18:30 Condon Australia  0.1
26 Feb 2024 12:45 Minjilang Australia  0.1
23 Feb 2024 22:15 Amar Indonesia  0.1
26 Feb 2024 18:00 Pagetan Indonesia  0.1
26 Feb 2024 13:15 Agatebi Indonesia  0.1
26 Feb 2024 13:00 Sakaoeni Indonesia  0.1
26 Feb 2024 13:00 Sajengga Indonesia  0.1
24 Feb 2024 05:30 Kekatang Indonesia  0.1
23 Feb 2024 22:30 Uta Indonesia  0.1