Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for LINCOLN-24 in Australia from 15 Feb 2024 18:00 UTC to 24 Feb 2024 06:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for LINCOLN-24

in Australia

21 Feb 2024 18 UTC

click on

to select bulletin time

Meteorological source:

GDACS JTWC

Impact Single TC

GFS
HWRF
ECMWF

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone LINCOLN-24 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	HWRF
Exposed countries
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	65 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.4 m (22 Feb 00:00 UTC)
Vulnerability	Low (Australia)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
HWRF Current	65 km/h	0.4 m	191 mm	0.5
HWRF Overall	90 km/h	0.9 m	392 mm	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

90 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above

Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 21 Feb 2024 18:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS

Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Pop in Cat. 1 or higher	TS	Cat. 1	Cat. 2	Cat. 3	Cat. 4	Cat. 5
1	15 Feb 2024 18:00	61	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	16 Feb 2024 00:00	72	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	16 Feb 2024 06:00	65	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
4	16 Feb 2024 12:00	58	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
5	16 Feb 2024 18:00	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
6	17 Feb 2024 00:00	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
7	17 Feb 2024 06:00	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
8	17 Feb 2024 12:00	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
9	17 Feb 2024 18:00	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
10	18 Feb 2024 00:00	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
11	18 Feb 2024 06:00	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
12	18 Feb 2024 12:00	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
13	18 Feb 2024 18:00	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
14	19 Feb 2024 00:00	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
15	19 Feb 2024 06:00	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
16	19 Feb 2024 12:00	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
17	19 Feb 2024 18:00	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
18	20 Feb 2024 00:00	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
19	20 Feb 2024 06:00	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
20	20 Feb 2024 12:00	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
21	20 Feb 2024 18:00	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
22	21 Feb 2024 00:00	58	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
23	21 Feb 2024 06:00	58	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
24	21 Feb 2024 12:00	58	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
25	21 Feb 2024 18:00	90	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Download:

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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Rainfall

Rain exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (greater than 50mm) based on the bulletin of 21 Feb 2024 18:00 UTC

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Rainfall (mm)	Pop >100mm or higher	50-100	100-250	250-500	500-750	750-1000	>1000	Countries
1	15 Feb 2024 18:00	119	-		-	-	-	-	-	Australia
2	16 Feb 2024 00:00	235	-		-	-	-	-	-	Australia
3	16 Feb 2024 06:00	205	-		-	-	-	-	-	Australia
4	16 Feb 2024 12:00	131	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
5	16 Feb 2024 18:00	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
6	17 Feb 2024 00:00	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
7	17 Feb 2024 06:00	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
8	17 Feb 2024 12:00	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
9	17 Feb 2024 18:00	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
10	18 Feb 2024 00:00	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
11	18 Feb 2024 06:00	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
12	18 Feb 2024 12:00	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
13	18 Feb 2024 18:00	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
14	19 Feb 2024 00:00	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
15	19 Feb 2024 06:00	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
16	19 Feb 2024 12:00	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
17	19 Feb 2024 18:00	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
18	20 Feb 2024 00:00	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
19	20 Feb 2024 06:00	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
20	20 Feb 2024 12:00	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
21	20 Feb 2024 18:00	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
22	21 Feb 2024 00:00	163	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
23	21 Feb 2024 06:00	136	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
24	21 Feb 2024 12:00	83	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
25	21 Feb 2024 18:00	461	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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StormSurge

0.4 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.4m in Derby, Australia. This height is estimated for 22 Feb 2024 00:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 21 Feb 2024 18:00 UTC

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	22 Feb 2024 00:00	Derby	Australia	0.4
	22 Feb 2024 00:00	Derby	Australia	0.3
	21 Feb 2024 20:30	Kollan I	Australia	0.3
	21 Feb 2024 18:00	Port Davis	Australia	0.2
	21 Feb 2024 18:00	Port Germein	Australia	0.2
	21 Feb 2024 18:00	Port Pirie	Australia	0.2
	21 Feb 2024 18:00	Solomontown	Australia	0.2
	21 Feb 2024 18:00	Telowie	Australia	0.2
	21 Feb 2024 19:00	Esperance	Australia	0.2
	21 Feb 2024 19:00	Doombup	Australia	0.2
	21 Feb 2024 22:00	Eucla Motel	Australia	0.2
	21 Feb 2024 18:00	Wisanger	Australia	0.2
	21 Feb 2024 18:00	Emu Bay	Australia	0.2
	21 Feb 2024 21:30	Price	Australia	0.2
	21 Feb 2024 21:30	Port Clinton	Australia	0.2
	21 Feb 2024 21:30	Port Wakefield	Australia	0.2
	21 Feb 2024 21:30	Wakefield	Australia	0.2
	21 Feb 2024 21:30	Inkerman	Australia	0.2
	22 Feb 2024 00:00	Haslam	Australia	0.2
	21 Feb 2024 18:00	North Cape	Australia	0.2
	22 Feb 2024 00:00	Streaky Bay	Australia	0.2
	21 Feb 2024 21:30	Ardrossan	Australia	0.2
	21 Feb 2024 18:00	Stenhouse Bay	Australia	0.2
	21 Feb 2024 18:00	Marion Bay	Australia	0.2
	21 Feb 2024 21:30	Parham	Australia	0.2
	21 Feb 2024 22:00	Pender	Australia	0.2
	21 Feb 2024 18:00	Kingscote	Australia	0.2
	21 Feb 2024 18:00	Inneston	Australia	0.2
	21 Feb 2024 23:00	Menango	Indonesia	0.2
	21 Feb 2024 23:00	Tandjungkarang	Indonesia	0.2
	21 Feb 2024 23:00	Telukbetung	Indonesia	0.2
	21 Feb 2024 23:00	Tarahan	Indonesia	0.2
	21 Feb 2024 20:30	Pardoo	Australia	0.2
	21 Feb 2024 18:00	Port Moorowie	Australia	0.2
	21 Feb 2024 19:00	North Shields	Australia	0.2
	21 Feb 2024 19:00	Poonindie	Australia	0.2
	21 Feb 2024 19:00	Louth Bay	Australia	0.2
	21 Feb 2024 19:00	Tumby	Australia	0.2
	21 Feb 2024 19:00	Tumby Bay	Australia	0.2
	21 Feb 2024 19:45	Condon	Australia	0.2
	21 Feb 2024 21:30	Karratha	Australia	0.2
	21 Feb 2024 18:00	Port Bonython	Australia	0.2
	21 Feb 2024 23:45	Denial Bay	Australia	0.2
	21 Feb 2024 23:45	Thevenard	Australia	0.2
	21 Feb 2024 23:45	Ceduna	Australia	0.2
	21 Feb 2024 23:45	Laura Bay	Australia	0.2
	21 Feb 2024 18:00	Warooka	Australia	0.1
	21 Feb 2024 21:30	Port Prime	Australia	0.1
	21 Feb 2024 23:15	Tamerau	Indonesia	0.1
	21 Feb 2024 23:15	Barattar	Indonesia	0.1
	21 Feb 2024 23:30	Kondomiraf	Indonesia	0.1
	21 Feb 2024 23:45	Wangary	Australia	0.1
	21 Feb 2024 22:00	The Palms	Australia	0.1
	21 Feb 2024 22:00	Larrakeyah	Australia	0.1
	21 Feb 2024 22:00	Fannie Bay	Australia	0.1
	21 Feb 2024 22:00	Parap	Australia	0.1
	21 Feb 2024 22:00	Darwin	Australia	0.1
	21 Feb 2024 22:00	Nightcliff	Australia	0.1
	21 Feb 2024 22:00	Ludmilla	Australia	0.1
	21 Feb 2024 22:00	Bagot	Australia	0.1
	21 Feb 2024 22:00	Leanyer	Australia	0.1
	21 Feb 2024 22:00	Knuckeys Lagoon	Australia	0.1
	21 Feb 2024 22:00	Berrimah	Australia	0.1
	21 Feb 2024 23:15	Tamarike	Indonesia	0.1
	21 Feb 2024 23:30	Sarire	Indonesia	0.1
	21 Feb 2024 21:15	East Lewis I	Australia	0.1
	21 Feb 2024 21:15	Dampier	Australia	0.1
	21 Feb 2024 18:30	Venus Bay	Australia	0.1
	21 Feb 2024 18:30	Port Kenny	Australia	0.1
	22 Feb 2024 00:00	Badu	Australia	0.1
	21 Feb 2024 20:30	Soeam	Indonesia	0.1
	21 Feb 2024 23:30	Matara	Indonesia	0.1
	21 Feb 2024 23:30	Urum	Indonesia	0.1
	21 Feb 2024 23:30	Merauke	Indonesia	0.1
	21 Feb 2024 23:30	Daub	Indonesia	0.1
	21 Feb 2024 18:00	Smoky Bay	Australia	0.1
	21 Feb 2024 23:15	Anansai	Indonesia	0.1
	21 Feb 2024 23:15	Wendu	Indonesia	0.1
	21 Feb 2024 19:30	Rapid Bay	Australia	0.1
	21 Feb 2024 19:30	Second Valley	Australia	0.1
	21 Feb 2024 19:30	Normanville	Australia	0.1
	21 Feb 2024 19:30	Carrickalinga	Australia	0.1
	21 Feb 2024 19:30	Yankalilla	Australia	0.1
	21 Feb 2024 19:30	Silver Sands	Australia	0.1
	21 Feb 2024 18:00	Wyndham	Australia	0.1
	21 Feb 2024 23:45	Kumbe	Indonesia	0.1
	21 Feb 2024 23:30	Kotad	Indonesia	0.1
	21 Feb 2024 23:30	Dumande	Indonesia	0.1
	21 Feb 2024 23:30	Onggalie	Indonesia	0.1
	21 Feb 2024 19:30	Port Willunga	Australia	0.1
	22 Feb 2024 00:00	Bula	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	22 Feb 2024 00:00	Jara	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	21 Feb 2024 21:30	Wickham	Australia	0.1
	21 Feb 2024 21:30	Point Samson	Australia	0.1
	21 Feb 2024 21:30	Cossack	Australia	0.1
	22 Feb 2024 00:00	Moegaigare	Indonesia	0.1
	22 Feb 2024 00:00	Alakoe	Indonesia	0.1
	22 Feb 2024 00:00	Alatepi	Indonesia	0.1
	21 Feb 2024 18:15	Coobowie	Australia	0.1
	21 Feb 2024 19:30	Grassy Flat	Australia	0.1
	21 Feb 2024 19:30	Penneshaw	Australia	0.1
	21 Feb 2024 22:45	Kekatang	Indonesia	0.1
	21 Feb 2024 18:45	Tulka	Australia	0.1
	21 Feb 2024 18:45	Port Lincoln	Australia	0.1
	21 Feb 2024 18:00	Elliston	Australia	0.1
	21 Feb 2024 23:30	Fowlers Bay	Australia	0.1
	21 Feb 2024 19:15	Salt Lake	Australia	0.1
	21 Feb 2024 19:15	Muston	Australia	0.1
	21 Feb 2024 19:15	American River	Australia	0.1
	21 Feb 2024 20:45	Heits	Indonesia	0.1
	21 Feb 2024 19:15	Port Hedland	Australia	0.1
	21 Feb 2024 19:15	Wedgefield	Australia	0.1
	21 Feb 2024 18:15	Edithburgh	Australia	0.1
	21 Feb 2024 23:45	Okaba	Indonesia	0.1
	22 Feb 2024 00:00	Hammond I	Australia	0.1
	21 Feb 2024 19:30	Port Noarlunga	Australia	0.1
	21 Feb 2024 19:30	Moana	Australia	0.1
	21 Feb 2024 19:30	Seaford	Australia	0.1
	21 Feb 2024 19:30	Aldinga	Australia	0.1
	21 Feb 2024 19:30	Sellicks Hill	Australia	0.1
	21 Feb 2024 19:30	Noarlunga	Australia	0.1
	21 Feb 2024 19:30	Port Broughton	Australia	0.1
	21 Feb 2024 21:30	Pine Point	Australia	0.1
	21 Feb 2024 23:45	Kobiem	Indonesia	0.1
	22 Feb 2024 00:00	Port Kennedy	Australia	0.1
	22 Feb 2024 00:00	Mari	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	21 Feb 2024 18:15	Wallaroo	Australia	0.1
	21 Feb 2024 18:15	Tickera	Australia	0.1
	21 Feb 2024 19:15	Thundulda	Australia	0.1
	21 Feb 2024 19:30	Marino	Australia	0.1
	21 Feb 2024 19:30	Halletts Cove	Australia	0.1
	21 Feb 2024 19:30	Kingston Park	Australia	0.1
	21 Feb 2024 19:30	Brighton	Australia	0.1
	21 Feb 2024 19:30	Seacliff	Australia	0.1
	21 Feb 2024 19:30	Seaview	Australia	0.1
	21 Feb 2024 19:30	Sturt	Australia	0.1
	21 Feb 2024 19:30	Darlington	Australia	0.1
	21 Feb 2024 23:15	Welab	Indonesia	0.1
	21 Feb 2024 18:00	Salt Creek	Australia	0.1
	21 Feb 2024 21:30	Ah Chong I	Australia	0.1
	21 Feb 2024 18:45	Sceale Bay	Australia	0.1
	21 Feb 2024 18:45	Toorna Park	Australia	0.1
	21 Feb 2024 23:30	Papisote	Indonesia	0.1
	21 Feb 2024 23:15	Kiluan	Indonesia	0.1
	21 Feb 2024 22:15	Point Soultar	Australia	0.1
	21 Feb 2024 22:15	Point Turton	Australia	0.1
	21 Feb 2024 22:15	Port Minlacowie	Australia	0.1
	21 Feb 2024 22:15	Brentwood	Australia	0.1
	21 Feb 2024 18:15	Bahomia	Indonesia	0.1
	21 Feb 2024 18:15	Maiwawa	Indonesia	0.1
	21 Feb 2024 18:15	Djokdjoh	Indonesia	0.1
	21 Feb 2024 18:15	Namasan	Indonesia	0.1
	21 Feb 2024 18:15	Utarom	Indonesia	0.1
	21 Feb 2024 18:15	Kaimana	Indonesia	0.1
	21 Feb 2024 18:15	Moearona	Indonesia	0.1
	21 Feb 2024 18:00	Woods Well	Australia	0.1
	21 Feb 2024 19:30	Eyre	Australia	0.1
	21 Feb 2024 19:30	Glenelg	Australia	0.1
	21 Feb 2024 19:30	Somerton	Australia	0.1
	21 Feb 2024 19:30	Oaklands	Australia	0.1
	21 Feb 2024 21:15	Port Julia	Australia	0.1
	21 Feb 2024 22:45	Kandala Jawal	Indonesia	0.1
	21 Feb 2024 22:45	Wamal	Indonesia	0.1
	21 Feb 2024 22:45	Gelib	Indonesia	0.1
	21 Feb 2024 22:45	Dokib	Indonesia	0.1
	21 Feb 2024 22:45	Dodalim	Indonesia	0.1
	21 Feb 2024 22:45	Yulbabuti	Indonesia	0.1
	21 Feb 2024 20:15	Taroea Anim	Indonesia	0.1
	22 Feb 2024 00:00	Cowel Creek	Australia	0.1
	21 Feb 2024 19:15	Wool Bay	Australia	0.1
	21 Feb 2024 19:15	Stansbury	Australia	0.1
	21 Feb 2024 20:00	Per	Indonesia	0.1
	21 Feb 2024 20:00	Amborip	Indonesia	0.1
	21 Feb 2024 20:00	Biwarlaut	Indonesia	0.1
	21 Feb 2024 20:00	Jow	Indonesia	0.1
	21 Feb 2024 21:15	Brassan	Indonesia	0.1
	21 Feb 2024 21:15	Muntjar	Indonesia	0.1
	21 Feb 2024 21:15	Blimbing	Indonesia	0.1
	21 Feb 2024 21:15	Dadapan	Indonesia	0.1
	21 Feb 2024 21:15	Banjuwangi	Indonesia	0.1
	21 Feb 2024 21:15	Penginoeman	Indonesia	0.1
	21 Feb 2024 21:15	Belimbingsari	Indonesia	0.1
	21 Feb 2024 20:00	Otsjanep	Indonesia	0.1
	21 Feb 2024 18:00	Magrath Flat	Australia	0.1
	21 Feb 2024 22:30	Mardie	Australia	0.1
	22 Feb 2024 00:00	Running Creek	Australia	0.1
	21 Feb 2024 22:30	Corny Point	Australia	0.1
	22 Feb 2024 00:00	Mapoon	Australia	0.1
	21 Feb 2024 22:00	Port Hughes	Australia	0.1
	21 Feb 2024 22:00	Warburto	Australia	0.1
	21 Feb 2024 22:00	Port Moonta	Australia	0.1
	21 Feb 2024 22:00	Moonta Bay	Australia	0.1
	21 Feb 2024 22:00	Moonta	Australia	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.