Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for LINCOLN-24 in Australia from 15 Feb 2024 18:00 UTC to 24 Feb 2024 06:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for LINCOLN-24

in Australia

18 Feb 2024 12 UTC

click on

to select bulletin time

Meteorological source:

GDACS JTWC

Impact Single TC

GFS
HWRF
ECMWF

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone LINCOLN-24 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	HWRF
Exposed countries	Australia
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	0 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.4 m (26 Feb 06:00 UTC)
Vulnerability	Low (Australia)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
HWRF Current	0 km/h	n.a.	0 mm	0.5
HWRF Overall	90 km/h	0.9 m	392 mm	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

90 km/h

Up to Few people can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above

Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 18 Feb 2024 12:00 UTC

Category	Country	Population
Tropical Storm	Australia	689

See TC classification SSHS

Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Pop in Cat. 1 or higher	TS	Cat. 1	Cat. 2	Cat. 3	Cat. 4	Cat. 5
1	15 Feb 2024 18:00	61	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	16 Feb 2024 00:00	72	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	16 Feb 2024 06:00	65	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
4	16 Feb 2024 12:00	58	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
5	16 Feb 2024 18:00	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
6	17 Feb 2024 00:00	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
7	17 Feb 2024 06:00	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
8	17 Feb 2024 12:00	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
9	17 Feb 2024 18:00	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
10	18 Feb 2024 00:00	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
11	18 Feb 2024 06:00	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
12	18 Feb 2024 12:00	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Download:

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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Rainfall

Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 18 Feb 2024 12:00 UTC

Level	Country	Population
50-100 mm	Australia	6,104

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Rainfall (mm)	Pop >100mm or higher	50-100	100-250	250-500	500-750	750-1000	>1000	Countries
1	15 Feb 2024 18:00	119	-		-	-	-	-	-	Australia
2	16 Feb 2024 00:00	235	-		-	-	-	-	-	Australia
3	16 Feb 2024 06:00	205	-		-	-	-	-	-	Australia
4	16 Feb 2024 12:00	131	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
5	16 Feb 2024 18:00	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
6	17 Feb 2024 00:00	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
7	17 Feb 2024 06:00	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
8	17 Feb 2024 12:00	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
9	17 Feb 2024 18:00	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
10	18 Feb 2024 00:00	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
11	18 Feb 2024 06:00	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
12	18 Feb 2024 12:00	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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StormSurge

0.4 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.4m in Numbulwar, Australia. This height is estimated for 26 Feb 2024 06:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 18 Feb 2024 12:00 UTC

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	26 Feb 2024 06:00	Numbulwar	Australia	0.4
	26 Feb 2024 05:30	Alyangula	Australia	0.4
	26 Feb 2024 01:00	Bing Bong	Australia	0.4
	25 Feb 2024 06:45	Soeam	Indonesia	0.4
	25 Feb 2024 06:45	Heits	Indonesia	0.3
	26 Feb 2024 09:00	Boigu	Australia	0.3
	26 Feb 2024 09:00	Bugi	Papua New Guinea	0.3
	26 Feb 2024 09:00	Tais	Papua New Guinea	0.3
	25 Feb 2024 22:15	Running Creek	Australia	0.3
	26 Feb 2024 09:15	Dauan	Australia	0.3
	26 Feb 2024 08:45	Mari	Papua New Guinea	0.3
	26 Feb 2024 09:30	Sidabadu	Papua New Guinea	0.3
	26 Feb 2024 09:15	Saibai	Australia	0.3
	26 Feb 2024 08:30	Hamlet of Togo	Papua New Guinea	0.3
	26 Feb 2024 08:30	Mabaduan	Papua New Guinea	0.3
	26 Feb 2024 03:30	Cowel Creek	Australia	0.3
	26 Feb 2024 03:30	Seisia	Australia	0.3
	26 Feb 2024 03:30	Bamaga	Australia	0.3
	26 Feb 2024 03:30	Cape York	Australia	0.3
	25 Feb 2024 21:15	Asaramio	Papua New Guinea	0.3
	25 Feb 2024 21:15	Tapapi	Papua New Guinea	0.3
	25 Feb 2024 21:15	Amagoa	Papua New Guinea	0.3
	25 Feb 2024 21:15	Sisiama No 1	Papua New Guinea	0.3
	25 Feb 2024 21:15	Tugara	Papua New Guinea	0.3
	25 Feb 2024 21:15	Bamio	Papua New Guinea	0.3
	25 Feb 2024 21:15	Orapoi	Papua New Guinea	0.3
	25 Feb 2024 21:15	Buniki	Papua New Guinea	0.3
	25 Feb 2024 21:15	Bina No 1	Papua New Guinea	0.3
	25 Feb 2024 21:15	Airua	Papua New Guinea	0.3
	25 Feb 2024 21:15	Bunigi	Papua New Guinea	0.3
	26 Feb 2024 04:00	Ok Village	Australia	0.3
	26 Feb 2024 14:30	Aloszville	Australia	0.3
	26 Feb 2024 05:00	Hammond I	Australia	0.3
	26 Feb 2024 05:00	Port Kennedy	Australia	0.3
	25 Feb 2024 23:15	Aibinio	Papua New Guinea	0.3
	25 Feb 2024 23:15	Gesco	Papua New Guinea	0.3
	25 Feb 2024 23:15	Dameramuda	Papua New Guinea	0.3
	25 Feb 2024 23:15	Umuda I	Papua New Guinea	0.3
	26 Feb 2024 08:15	Jara	Papua New Guinea	0.3
	25 Feb 2024 11:30	Badu	Australia	0.3
	26 Feb 2024 08:30	Waidoro	Papua New Guinea	0.3
	25 Feb 2024 23:30	Segero	Papua New Guinea	0.3
	25 Feb 2024 23:30	Dibiri	Papua New Guinea	0.3
	25 Feb 2024 23:30	Oropai	Papua New Guinea	0.3
	25 Feb 2024 23:30	Tirere	Papua New Guinea	0.3
	25 Feb 2024 23:30	Maipani	Papua New Guinea	0.3
	25 Feb 2024 10:30	Sarire	Indonesia	0.3
	25 Feb 2024 10:30	Tamarike	Indonesia	0.3
	26 Feb 2024 08:45	Kadawa	Papua New Guinea	0.3
	26 Feb 2024 06:45	Bula	Papua New Guinea	0.3
	25 Feb 2024 10:15	Tamerau	Indonesia	0.3
	26 Feb 2024 09:00	Ture Ture	Papua New Guinea	0.3
	26 Feb 2024 09:00	Boze	Papua New Guinea	0.3
	26 Feb 2024 08:45	Ume	Papua New Guinea	0.3
	26 Feb 2024 15:00	Misiki	Papua New Guinea	0.3
	26 Feb 2024 15:00	Giwaretore	Papua New Guinea	0.3
	26 Feb 2024 15:00	Gibu	Papua New Guinea	0.3
	26 Feb 2024 15:00	Ibou	Papua New Guinea	0.3
	26 Feb 2024 15:00	Morigio I	Papua New Guinea	0.3
	26 Feb 2024 15:00	Mapoi'a	Papua New Guinea	0.3
	26 Feb 2024 13:00	Ipisia	Papua New Guinea	0.3
	26 Feb 2024 11:45	Auti	Papua New Guinea	0.3
	26 Feb 2024 11:45	Daware	Papua New Guinea	0.3
	26 Feb 2024 11:45	Mibu	Papua New Guinea	0.3
	26 Feb 2024 11:45	Iasa	Papua New Guinea	0.3
	26 Feb 2024 11:00	Daru	Papua New Guinea	0.3
	26 Feb 2024 11:00	Dorogari	Papua New Guinea	0.3
	26 Feb 2024 11:00	Katatai	Papua New Guinea	0.3
	26 Feb 2024 11:00	Parama	Papua New Guinea	0.3
	26 Feb 2024 12:45	Agobara	Papua New Guinea	0.3
	26 Feb 2024 12:45	Samari	Papua New Guinea	0.3
	26 Feb 2024 12:45	Oromosapuo	Papua New Guinea	0.3
	26 Feb 2024 13:15	Sui	Papua New Guinea	0.3
	25 Feb 2024 10:15	Matara	Indonesia	0.3
	25 Feb 2024 10:15	Urum	Indonesia	0.3
	25 Feb 2024 10:15	Merauke	Indonesia	0.3
	25 Feb 2024 10:15	Daub	Indonesia	0.3
	26 Feb 2024 15:00	Ekeirau	Papua New Guinea	0.3
	25 Feb 2024 10:30	Barattar	Indonesia	0.3
	25 Feb 2024 10:15	Anansai	Indonesia	0.3
	25 Feb 2024 10:15	Wendu	Indonesia	0.3
	26 Feb 2024 14:45	Namaituri	Papua New Guinea	0.3
	26 Feb 2024 13:00	Apiope	Papua New Guinea	0.3
	25 Feb 2024 22:45	Caburinga Village	Australia	0.3
	26 Feb 2024 04:00	Mapoon	Australia	0.3
	26 Feb 2024 14:45	Pai-a	Papua New Guinea	0.3
	26 Feb 2024 14:45	Goari	Papua New Guinea	0.3
	26 Feb 2024 18:30	Mirua	Papua New Guinea	0.3
	26 Feb 2024 14:30	Dopima	Papua New Guinea	0.3
	26 Feb 2024 14:45	Ubua	Papua New Guinea	0.3
	26 Feb 2024 08:15	Akoma	Papua New Guinea	0.3
	26 Feb 2024 08:15	Kapai	Papua New Guinea	0.3
	26 Feb 2024 13:00	Marea	Papua New Guinea	0.3
	26 Feb 2024 13:00	Iuku	Papua New Guinea	0.3
	26 Feb 2024 13:00	Herekera	Papua New Guinea	0.3
	26 Feb 2024 15:00	Babai	Papua New Guinea	0.3
	26 Feb 2024 07:45	Mira	Papua New Guinea	0.3
	26 Feb 2024 07:45	Mariki	Papua New Guinea	0.3
	26 Feb 2024 07:45	Kinipo	Papua New Guinea	0.3
	26 Feb 2024 07:45	Ravi-kevau	Papua New Guinea	0.3
	25 Feb 2024 10:30	Kumbe	Indonesia	0.3
	26 Feb 2024 14:15	Avioua	Papua New Guinea	0.3
	26 Feb 2024 09:45	Veraibari	Papua New Guinea	0.3
	26 Feb 2024 09:45	Mirimairau	Papua New Guinea	0.3
	26 Feb 2024 09:45	Uramu I	Papua New Guinea	0.3
	26 Feb 2024 09:45	Kaivu	Papua New Guinea	0.3
	26 Feb 2024 09:45	Mairipepea	Papua New Guinea	0.3
	26 Feb 2024 09:45	Moravamu	Papua New Guinea	0.3
	26 Feb 2024 09:45	Kamaua	Papua New Guinea	0.3
	26 Feb 2024 14:15	Kuria	Papua New Guinea	0.3
	26 Feb 2024 15:15	Moinamu	Papua New Guinea	0.3
	26 Feb 2024 09:30	Koravaki	Papua New Guinea	0.3
	25 Feb 2024 11:15	Kondomiraf	Indonesia	0.3
	26 Feb 2024 08:30	Ara'ava	Papua New Guinea	0.3
	25 Feb 2024 10:00	Dumande	Indonesia	0.3
	25 Feb 2024 10:00	Onggalie	Indonesia	0.3
	25 Feb 2024 10:15	Kotad	Indonesia	0.3
	25 Feb 2024 07:00	Kladar	Indonesia	0.2
	25 Feb 2024 07:00	Sabon	Indonesia	0.2
	25 Feb 2024 07:00	Tor	Indonesia	0.2
	25 Feb 2024 21:45	Kowanyama	Australia	0.2
	25 Feb 2024 06:30	Dolatanden	Indonesia	0.2
	25 Feb 2024 06:30	Taroea Anim	Indonesia	0.2
	25 Feb 2024 22:45	Karumba	Australia	0.2
	25 Feb 2024 21:45	Gove	Australia	0.2
	25 Feb 2024 21:45	Yirrkala Mission	Australia	0.2
	25 Feb 2024 21:45	Yirrkala	Australia	0.2
	25 Feb 2024 10:15	Moegaigare	Indonesia	0.2
	25 Feb 2024 10:15	Alakoe	Indonesia	0.2
	25 Feb 2024 10:15	Alatepi	Indonesia	0.2
	25 Feb 2024 21:00	Kulinchin	Australia	0.2
	25 Feb 2024 17:45	Weipa	Australia	0.2
	25 Feb 2024 17:45	Weipa South	Australia	0.2
	25 Feb 2024 11:45	Port Augusta West	Australia	0.2
	25 Feb 2024 11:45	Port Augusta	Australia	0.2
	25 Feb 2024 11:45	Stirling North	Australia	0.2
	25 Feb 2024 09:45	Okaba	Indonesia	0.2
	25 Feb 2024 10:15	Kobiem	Indonesia	0.2
	25 Feb 2024 17:30	Nhulunbuy	Australia	0.2
	25 Feb 2024 10:15	Welab	Indonesia	0.2
	25 Feb 2024 10:30	Papisote	Indonesia	0.2
	25 Feb 2024 10:30	Dokib	Indonesia	0.2
	25 Feb 2024 10:45	Wamal	Indonesia	0.2
	25 Feb 2024 10:45	Gelib	Indonesia	0.2
	25 Feb 2024 10:45	Dodalim	Indonesia	0.2
	25 Feb 2024 10:45	Yulbabuti	Indonesia	0.2
	27 Feb 2024 12:00	Denial Bay	Australia	0.2
	27 Feb 2024 12:00	Thevenard	Australia	0.2
	27 Feb 2024 12:00	Ceduna	Australia	0.2
	25 Feb 2024 10:15	Kandala Jawal	Indonesia	0.2
	25 Feb 2024 08:00	Biwarlaut	Indonesia	0.2
	25 Feb 2024 08:00	Jow	Indonesia	0.2
	25 Feb 2024 08:00	Otsjanep	Indonesia	0.2
	25 Feb 2024 07:30	Birab	Indonesia	0.2
	25 Feb 2024 09:30	Komoran	Indonesia	0.2
	25 Feb 2024 09:30	Per	Indonesia	0.2
	25 Feb 2024 09:30	Amborip	Indonesia	0.2
	27 Feb 2024 12:00	Haslam	Australia	0.2
	24 Feb 2024 12:00	Onslow	Australia	0.2
	27 Feb 2024 12:00	Laura Bay	Australia	0.2
	27 Feb 2024 12:00	Smoky Bay	Australia	0.2
	25 Feb 2024 09:00	Agats	Indonesia	0.2
	27 Feb 2024 12:00	Streaky Bay	Australia	0.2
	25 Feb 2024 08:45	Pasirputih	Indonesia	0.2
	25 Feb 2024 08:30	Jofar	Indonesia	0.2
	25 Feb 2024 08:30	Selemit	Indonesia	0.2
	25 Feb 2024 12:30	Port Bonython	Australia	0.2
	24 Feb 2024 12:00	Learmonth	Australia	0.2
	25 Feb 2024 11:15	Wan	Indonesia	0.2
	25 Feb 2024 11:15	Konerau	Indonesia	0.2
	27 Feb 2024 12:00	Fowlers Bay	Australia	0.2
	25 Feb 2024 12:45	Port Germein	Australia	0.2
	25 Feb 2024 12:45	Telowie	Australia	0.2
	24 Feb 2024 14:45	Glenroy	Australia	0.2
	25 Feb 2024 13:30	Port Pirie	Australia	0.2
	25 Feb 2024 13:30	Solomontown	Australia	0.2
	25 Feb 2024 14:45	Whyalla	Australia	0.2
	24 Feb 2024 17:15	Warroora	Australia	0.2
	25 Feb 2024 13:45	Port Davis	Australia	0.2
	24 Feb 2024 12:00	Exmouth	Australia	0.1
	25 Feb 2024 11:00	Amamapare	Indonesia	0.1
	24 Feb 2024 12:00	Ndapurutiri	Indonesia	0.1
	27 Feb 2024 12:00	Toorna Park	Australia	0.1
	24 Feb 2024 15:00	Cardabia	Australia	0.1
	24 Feb 2024 16:45	Gnaraloo	Australia	0.1
	27 Feb 2024 10:30	Tulka	Australia	0.1
	27 Feb 2024 10:30	Port Lincoln	Australia	0.1
	27 Feb 2024 10:30	North Shields	Australia	0.1
	24 Feb 2024 12:00	Timuka	Indonesia	0.1
	27 Feb 2024 09:00	Eucla Motel	Australia	0.1
	24 Feb 2024 16:15	Kualalupak	Indonesia	0.1
	25 Feb 2024 10:30	Keawkwa	Indonesia	0.1
	25 Feb 2024 10:15	Mimako	Indonesia	0.1
	24 Feb 2024 16:30	Bapuju	Indonesia	0.1
	24 Feb 2024 16:30	Bahaur	Indonesia	0.1
	27 Feb 2024 10:45	Poonindie	Australia	0.1
	24 Feb 2024 15:15	The Palms	Australia	0.1
	24 Feb 2024 15:15	Larrakeyah	Australia	0.1
	24 Feb 2024 15:15	Fannie Bay	Australia	0.1
	24 Feb 2024 15:15	Parap	Australia	0.1
	24 Feb 2024 15:15	Darwin	Australia	0.1
	24 Feb 2024 15:15	Nightcliff	Australia	0.1
	24 Feb 2024 15:15	Ludmilla	Australia	0.1
	24 Feb 2024 15:15	Bagot	Australia	0.1
	24 Feb 2024 15:15	Leanyer	Australia	0.1
	24 Feb 2024 15:15	Knuckeys Lagoon	Australia	0.1
	24 Feb 2024 15:15	Berrimah	Australia	0.1
	27 Feb 2024 12:00	Sceale Bay	Australia	0.1
	24 Feb 2024 15:15	Ningaloo	Australia	0.1
	25 Feb 2024 10:15	Ipirawea	Indonesia	0.1
	24 Feb 2024 13:00	Ah Chong I	Australia	0.1
	27 Feb 2024 10:45	Louth Bay	Australia	0.1
	24 Feb 2024 19:15	Broome	Australia	0.1
	24 Feb 2024 19:15	Thangoo	Australia	0.1
	26 Feb 2024 09:30	Salebe	Indonesia	0.1
	26 Feb 2024 09:30	Modan	Indonesia	0.1
	26 Feb 2024 16:45	Wyndham	Australia	0.1
	24 Feb 2024 16:00	Aluhaluh	Indonesia	0.1
	24 Feb 2024 16:00	Tambakkarangan	Indonesia	0.1
	24 Feb 2024 16:00	Bawahalajung	Indonesia	0.1
	24 Feb 2024 12:00	Amar	Indonesia	0.1
	24 Feb 2024 12:00	Mardie	Australia	0.1
	25 Feb 2024 12:00	Longar	Indonesia	0.1
	25 Feb 2024 12:00	Baimoeh	Indonesia	0.1
	25 Feb 2024 12:00	Gomo Gomo	Indonesia	0.1
	27 Feb 2024 11:15	Wangary	Australia	0.1
	26 Feb 2024 17:00	Minjilang	Australia	0.1
	26 Feb 2024 19:15	Setiroek	Indonesia	0.1
	24 Feb 2024 12:00	Port Hedland	Australia	0.1
	24 Feb 2024 12:00	Wedgefield	Australia	0.1
	25 Feb 2024 10:30	Uta	Indonesia	0.1
	27 Feb 2024 10:45	Venus Bay	Australia	0.1
	27 Feb 2024 10:45	Port Kenny	Australia	0.1
	27 Feb 2024 10:45	Tumby	Australia	0.1
	27 Feb 2024 10:45	Tumby Bay	Australia	0.1
	25 Feb 2024 14:30	Port Broughton	Australia	0.1
	26 Feb 2024 11:00	Sanindara	Indonesia	0.1
	25 Feb 2024 11:00	Rabal	Indonesia	0.1
	24 Feb 2024 16:15	Tabanio	Indonesia	0.1
	25 Feb 2024 10:30	Wakia	Indonesia	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.