Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for ENRIQUE-21 in Mexico from 25 Jun 2021 09:00 UTC to 30 Jun 2021 21:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for ENRIQUE-21

in Mexico

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Meteorological source:

GDACS NOAA

Impact Single TC

GFS
HWRF
ECMWF

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone ENRIQUE-21 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	HWRF
Exposed countries	Mexico
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	144 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.3 m (28 Jun 14:30 UTC)
Vulnerability	Medium (Mexico)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
HWRF Current	144 km/h	0.3 m	146 mm	0.5
HWRF Overall	173 km/h	0.4 m	665 mm	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 28 Jun 2021 12:00 UTC

Category	Country	Population
Tropical Storm	Mexico	2,793

See TC classification SSHS

Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Pop in Cat. 1 or higher	TS	Cat. 1	Cat. 2	Cat. 3	Cat. 4	Cat. 5	Countries
1	25 Jun 2021 06:00	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	25 Jun 2021 12:00	83	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	25 Jun 2021 18:00	104	-		-	-	-	-	-	Mexico
4	26 Jun 2021 00:00	104	-		-	-	-	-	-	Mexico
5	26 Jun 2021 06:00	115	-		-	-	-	-	-	Mexico
6	26 Jun 2021 12:00	130	-		-	-	-	-	-	Mexico
7	26 Jun 2021 18:00	144	-		-	-	-	-	-	Mexico
8	27 Jun 2021 00:00	126	-		-	-	-	-	-	Mexico
9	27 Jun 2021 06:00	155	-		-	-	-	-	-	Mexico
10	27 Jun 2021 12:00	155	-		-	-	-	-	-	Mexico
11	27 Jun 2021 18:00	158	-		-	-	-	-	-	Mexico
12	28 Jun 2021 00:00	173	-		-	-	-	-	-	Mexico
13	28 Jun 2021 06:00	140	-		-	-	-	-	-	Mexico
14	28 Jun 2021 12:00	144	-		-	-	-	-	-	Mexico

Download:

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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Rainfall

665 mm

Up to 500 thousand can be affected by rain higher than 100mm (see SSHS)

Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 28 Jun 2021 12:00 UTC

Level	Country	Population
250-500 mm	Mexico	115,705
100-250 mm	Mexico	387,499
50-100 mm	Mexico	624,117

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Rainfall (mm)	Pop >100mm or higher	50-100	100-250	250-500	500-750	750-1000	>1000	Countries
1	25 Jun 2021 06:00	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	25 Jun 2021 12:00	289	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	25 Jun 2021 18:00	238	-		-	-	-	-	-	Mexico
4	26 Jun 2021 00:00	240	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
5	26 Jun 2021 06:00	256	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
6	26 Jun 2021 12:00	158	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
7	26 Jun 2021 18:00	224	-		-	-	-	-	-	Mexico
8	27 Jun 2021 00:00	253	-		-	-	-	-	-	Mexico
9	27 Jun 2021 06:00	244	-		-	-	-	-	-	Mexico
10	27 Jun 2021 12:00	265	-		-	-	-	-	-	Mexico
11	27 Jun 2021 18:00	295	50 thousand			-	-	-	-	Mexico
12	28 Jun 2021 00:00	283	30 thousand			-	-	-	-	Mexico
13	28 Jun 2021 06:00	161	10 thousand			-	-	-	-	Mexico
14	28 Jun 2021 12:00	432	500 thousand				-	-	-	Mexico

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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StormSurge

0.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.3m in San Francisco, Mexico. This height is estimated for 28 Jun 2021 14:30 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 28 Jun 2021 12:00 UTC

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	28 Jun 2021 14:30	San Francisco	Mexico	0.3
	28 Jun 2021 14:30	Monteon	Mexico	0.3
	28 Jun 2021 14:30	La Lima	Mexico	0.3
	28 Jun 2021 18:00	San Blas	Mexico	0.3
	28 Jun 2021 18:00	Santa Cruz	Mexico	0.3
	28 Jun 2021 12:30	Corrales	Mexico	0.3
	28 Jun 2021 12:30	Aquiles Serdan	Mexico	0.3
	28 Jun 2021 12:30	Ipala	Mexico	0.3
	29 Jun 2021 00:45	Puerto Cortes	Mexico	0.3
	29 Jun 2021 00:45	El Guatamota	Mexico	0.3
	29 Jun 2021 01:15	Desembarcadero de Miller	Mexico	0.3
	29 Jun 2021 07:00	Puerto Venustiano Carranza	Mexico	0.3
	28 Jun 2021 13:30	Altata	Mexico	0.2
	28 Jun 2021 13:30	El Castillo	Mexico	0.2
	28 Jun 2021 13:15	Las Arenitas	Mexico	0.2
	30 Jun 2021 04:00	Bahia Kino	Mexico	0.2
	28 Jun 2021 17:30	Puerto Magdalena	Mexico	0.2
	28 Jun 2021 12:45	Punta Mita	Mexico	0.2
	28 Jun 2021 12:45	Cruz de Juanacaxtle	Mexico	0.2
	30 Jun 2021 03:45	Cabo Tepoca	Mexico	0.2
	28 Jun 2021 17:00	El Nuevo	Mexico	0.2
	28 Jun 2021 17:00	Toro Mocho	Mexico	0.2
	30 Jun 2021 04:15	Agua de las Flores	Mexico	0.2
	28 Jun 2021 12:45	La Boca	Mexico	0.2
	29 Jun 2021 00:00	Tecomate	Mexico	0.2
	28 Jun 2021 14:00	La Fortuna	Mexico	0.2
	28 Jun 2021 14:00	El Cardoncito	Mexico	0.2
	28 Jun 2021 14:00	Los Frailes	Mexico	0.2
	28 Jun 2021 12:45	Novillero	Mexico	0.2
	28 Jun 2021 20:00	Cuamecate	Mexico	0.2
	28 Jun 2021 20:00	Santa Cruz	Mexico	0.2
	28 Jun 2021 17:45	La Palmita	Mexico	0.2
	28 Jun 2021 17:45	Caimanero	Mexico	0.2
	28 Jun 2021 17:45	Jarilla	Mexico	0.2
	29 Jun 2021 02:30	Aguaje	Mexico	0.2
	28 Jun 2021 22:30	Cuantla	Mexico	0.2
	28 Jun 2021 13:15	Marmol	Mexico	0.2
	28 Jun 2021 13:15	Florida	Mexico	0.2
	28 Jun 2021 13:15	Mazatlan	Mexico	0.2
	28 Jun 2021 18:45	Huajapan	Mexico	0.2
	28 Jun 2021 18:45	El Roble	Mexico	0.2
	28 Jun 2021 13:45	San Jose	Mexico	0.2
	28 Jun 2021 13:45	Atanacio	Mexico	0.2
	28 Jun 2021 13:45	El Paredoncito	Mexico	0.2
	28 Jun 2021 21:45	Arista	Mexico	0.2
	28 Jun 2021 13:15	Guaymas	Mexico	0.2
	28 Jun 2021 13:15	Empalme	Mexico	0.2
	30 Jun 2021 04:00	San Rafael	Mexico	0.2
	28 Jun 2021 14:00	Topolobampo	Mexico	0.2
	28 Jun 2021 21:00	Puerto Charley	Mexico	0.2
	28 Jun 2021 14:15	Boca del Rio	Mexico	0.2
	28 Jun 2021 13:45	Las Bocas	Mexico	0.2
	28 Jun 2021 13:45	Camahuiroa	Mexico	0.2
	29 Jun 2021 00:45	Las Tinajas	Mexico	0.2
	29 Jun 2021 00:45	Santo Domingo	Mexico	0.2
	29 Jun 2021 07:30	Quinones	Mexico	0.2
	29 Jun 2021 01:45	Cedros	Mexico	0.2
	29 Jun 2021 10:45	Perihuete	Mexico	0.2
	29 Jun 2021 10:45	Dimas	Mexico	0.2
	28 Jun 2021 17:30	La Puerta	Mexico	0.2
	28 Jun 2021 14:30	Loreto	Mexico	0.2
	28 Jun 2021 14:30	Ligui	Mexico	0.2
	28 Jun 2021 14:30	Tripui	Mexico	0.2
	28 Jun 2021 17:00	Datilito	Mexico	0.2
	28 Jun 2021 13:45	Borabampo	Mexico	0.2
	28 Jun 2021 15:00	San Juanico	Mexico	0.2
	28 Jun 2021 12:00	Nadeau	United States	0.2
	28 Jun 2021 12:00	Texas City Junction	United States	0.2
	28 Jun 2021 12:00	Bayou Vista	United States	0.2
	28 Jun 2021 12:00	Texas City	United States	0.2
	28 Jun 2021 12:00	Anderson Ways	United States	0.2
	28 Jun 2021 12:00	Virginia Point	United States	0.2
	28 Jun 2021 12:00	Galveston	United States	0.2
	28 Jun 2021 12:00	Port Bolivar	United States	0.2
	28 Jun 2021 12:00	Fort Travis	United States	0.2
	28 Jun 2021 13:45	Rosario	Mexico	0.2
	29 Jun 2021 00:45	Queretaro	Mexico	0.2
	29 Jun 2021 00:15	Agua del Coyote	Mexico	0.2
	28 Jun 2021 17:30	San Juan de la Costa	Mexico	0.2
	28 Jun 2021 12:45	Pizota	Mexico	0.2
	28 Jun 2021 12:45	Puerto Vallarta	Mexico	0.2
	28 Jun 2021 14:00	Cachoana	Mexico	0.2
	28 Jun 2021 12:15	Santiago	Mexico	0.2
	28 Jun 2021 12:15	Manzanillo	Mexico	0.2
	29 Jun 2021 00:15	Buenaventura	Mexico	0.2
	28 Jun 2021 14:30	La Playa Colorada	Mexico	0.2
	29 Jun 2021 06:15	Isla Natividad	Mexico	0.2
	28 Jun 2021 14:30	Los Burros	Mexico	0.2
	30 Jun 2021 04:00	El Barril	Mexico	0.2
	28 Jun 2021 14:30	Santa Marta	Mexico	0.2
	28 Jun 2021 14:30	Tambobiche	Mexico	0.2
	28 Jun 2021 14:00	Las Palmas	Mexico	0.2
	28 Jun 2021 14:00	La Ribera	Mexico	0.2
	28 Jun 2021 14:00	Punta Colorada	Mexico	0.2
	28 Jun 2021 14:00	Punta Arena	Mexico	0.2
	28 Jun 2021 17:00	Isla de Palmito del Verde	Mexico	0.2
	29 Jun 2021 07:00	Bahia de Tortugas	Mexico	0.2
	28 Jun 2021 23:45	Adolfo Lopez Mateos	Mexico	0.2
	28 Jun 2021 13:15	Barron	Mexico	0.2
	28 Jun 2021 13:30	El Aquajito	Mexico	0.2
	28 Jun 2021 12:00	La Manzanilla	Mexico	0.2
	28 Jun 2021 12:00	Barra de Navidad	Mexico	0.2
	28 Jun 2021 17:15	San Carlos	Mexico	0.2
	28 Jun 2021 17:15	Madero Amarillo	Mexico	0.2
	28 Jun 2021 13:15	San Bruno	Mexico	0.2
	29 Jun 2021 00:15	Boca del Melgoita	Mexico	0.2
	28 Jun 2021 22:00	Los Tesos	Mexico	0.2
	28 Jun 2021 13:00	Tastiota	Mexico	0.2
	28 Jun 2021 14:30	La Florida	Mexico	0.2
	28 Jun 2021 20:30	Cachimba	Mexico	0.2
	28 Jun 2021 14:00	San Cosme	Mexico	0.2
	28 Jun 2021 13:30	La Paz	Mexico	0.2
	29 Jun 2021 03:45	Salina Cruz	Mexico	0.2
	29 Jun 2021 03:45	Lagarto	Mexico	0.2
	28 Jun 2021 14:00	La Ventana	Mexico	0.2
	28 Jun 2021 14:00	Ensenada de los Muertos	Mexico	0.2
	28 Jun 2021 22:45	Los Inocentes	Mexico	0.2
	29 Jun 2021 00:00	La Trinadad	Mexico	0.2
	28 Jun 2021 13:30	Guasimas	Mexico	0.2
	28 Jun 2021 13:30	San Juanico	Mexico	0.2
	28 Jun 2021 13:45	Liliba	Mexico	0.1
	28 Jun 2021 13:30	San Carlos	Mexico	0.1
	29 Jun 2021 05:30	Matagorda	United States	0.1
	29 Jun 2021 05:30	Chinquapin	United States	0.1
	28 Jun 2021 13:30	San Bruno	Mexico	0.1
	28 Jun 2021 13:45	Mulege	Mexico	0.1
	28 Jun 2021 12:00	El Real	Mexico	0.1
	28 Jun 2021 12:00	Chupadero	Mexico	0.1
	28 Jun 2021 12:00	Apisa	Mexico	0.1
	28 Jun 2021 12:00	Cayaca	Mexico	0.1
	29 Jun 2021 11:30	Garrapateras	Mexico	0.1
	29 Jun 2021 11:30	Majada Villalobos	Mexico	0.1
	28 Jun 2021 14:00	Santa Cruz	Mexico	0.1
	28 Jun 2021 14:15	Chola	Mexico	0.1
	28 Jun 2021 14:15	Chamela	Mexico	0.1
	28 Jun 2021 12:00	San Francisco del Mar	Mexico	0.1
	28 Jun 2021 12:00	La Majada	Mexico	0.1
	29 Jun 2021 02:15	Cunano	Mexico	0.1
	28 Jun 2021 14:30	Santa Rosalia	Mexico	0.1
	28 Jun 2021 23:45	El Tomale	Mexico	0.1
	28 Jun 2021 23:45	Agua Fresca	Mexico	0.1
	28 Jun 2021 13:30	Los Dolores	Mexico	0.1
	28 Jun 2021 14:00	San Ignacio	Mexico	0.1
	28 Jun 2021 16:00	Rancho Datilari	Mexico	0.1
	28 Jun 2021 12:15	Rockport	United States	0.1
	28 Jun 2021 12:15	Shell Ridge	United States	0.1
	28 Jun 2021 12:15	Copano Village	United States	0.1
	28 Jun 2021 12:15	Fulton	United States	0.1
	28 Jun 2021 12:15	Holiday Beach	United States	0.1
	28 Jun 2021 12:15	Lamar	United States	0.1
	29 Jun 2021 05:15	Point Comfort	United States	0.1
	29 Jun 2021 05:15	Magnolia Beach	United States	0.1
	29 Jun 2021 05:15	Olivia	United States	0.1
	29 Jun 2021 05:15	Weedhaven	United States	0.1
	29 Jun 2021 05:15	Port Alto	United States	0.1
	29 Jun 2021 05:15	Carancahua	United States	0.1
	29 Jun 2021 05:15	El Campo Club Community	United States	0.1
	29 Jun 2021 05:15	Camp Hulen	United States	0.1
	28 Jun 2021 13:30	Santa Rosalia	Mexico	0.1
	29 Jun 2021 06:45	Santa Maria Xandani	Mexico	0.1
	29 Jun 2021 06:45	Costa Rica	Mexico	0.1
	29 Jun 2021 06:45	Pesqueria	Mexico	0.1
	29 Jun 2021 06:45	San Dionisio del Mar	Mexico	0.1
	28 Jun 2021 12:30	Calvario	Mexico	0.1
	28 Jun 2021 12:30	Coyuquillas	Mexico	0.1
	29 Jun 2021 00:15	Rancho Conejo	Mexico	0.1
	29 Jun 2021 05:15	Port Lavaca	United States	0.1
	29 Jun 2021 05:15	Alamo Beach	United States	0.1
	29 Jun 2021 05:15	Indianola	United States	0.1
	28 Jun 2021 13:45	Estero la Bocana	Mexico	0.1
	28 Jun 2021 15:00	Playa Oceano Pacifico	Mexico	0.1
	28 Jun 2021 12:15	Cuitzmala	Mexico	0.1
	28 Jun 2021 17:30	San Jose del Cabo	Mexico	0.1
	28 Jun 2021 13:30	Bahia Asuncion	Mexico	0.1
	28 Jun 2021 15:15	Todos Santos	Mexico	0.1
	28 Jun 2021 19:00	El Tule	Mexico	0.1
	28 Jun 2021 12:15	Estrecho	Mexico	0.1
	30 Jun 2021 03:15	El Mezquite	Mexico	0.1
	30 Jun 2021 03:15	Chaparral	Mexico	0.1
	29 Jun 2021 06:15	Mims	United States	0.1
	29 Jun 2021 06:15	Hoskins	United States	0.1
	29 Jun 2021 06:15	Peterson Landing	United States	0.1
	29 Jun 2021 06:15	Port Morris	United States	0.1
	29 Jun 2021 06:15	Red Fish Cove	United States	0.1
	29 Jun 2021 06:15	Bay Harbor	United States	0.1
	29 Jun 2021 06:15	Sea Isle	United States	0.1
	29 Jun 2021 06:15	Hitchcock	United States	0.1
	29 Jun 2021 06:15	Jamaica Beach	United States	0.1
	29 Jun 2021 01:45	La Playa	Mexico	0.1
	29 Jun 2021 23:45	Tierra Colorada	Mexico	0.1
	28 Jun 2021 17:00	El Ciruelo	Mexico	0.1
	28 Jun 2021 17:00	Cuyutlan	Mexico	0.1
	29 Jun 2021 05:45	Port O'Connor	United States	0.1
	29 Jun 2021 12:30	Las Pinas	Mexico	0.1
	29 Jun 2021 12:30	Playa Azul	Mexico	0.1
	29 Jun 2021 12:30	Melchor Ocampo	Mexico	0.1
	29 Jun 2021 05:15	Ayutla	Mexico	0.1
	28 Jun 2021 13:45	El Pescadero	Mexico	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.