Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for ENRIQUE-21 in Mexico from 25 Jun 2021 09:00 UTC to 30 Jun 2021 21:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for ENRIQUE-21

in Mexico

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to select bulletin time

Meteorological source:

GDACS NOAA

Impact Single TC

GFS
HWRF
ECMWF

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone ENRIQUE-21 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	HWRF
Exposed countries	Mexico
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	104 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.3 m (26 Jun 07:15 UTC)
Vulnerability	Medium (Mexico)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
HWRF Current	104 km/h	0.3 m	238 mm	0.5
HWRF Overall	173 km/h	0.4 m	665 mm	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

173 km/h

Up to 90 thousand can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above

Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 25 Jun 2021 18:00 UTC

Category	Country	Population
Tropical Storm	Mexico	88,131

See TC classification SSHS

Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Pop in Cat. 1 or higher	TS	Cat. 1	Cat. 2	Cat. 3	Cat. 4	Cat. 5	Countries
1	25 Jun 2021 06:00	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	25 Jun 2021 12:00	83	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	25 Jun 2021 18:00	176	-		-	-	-	-	-	Mexico

Download:

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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Rainfall

Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 25 Jun 2021 18:00 UTC

Level	Country	Population
500-750 mm	Mexico	5,940
250-500 mm	Mexico	429,375
100-250 mm	Mexico	1,159,693
50-100 mm	Mexico	403,841

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Rainfall (mm)	Pop >100mm or higher	50-100	100-250	250-500	500-750	750-1000	>1000	Countries
1	25 Jun 2021 06:00	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	25 Jun 2021 12:00	289	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	25 Jun 2021 18:00	702	1.6 million					-	-	Mexico

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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StormSurge

0.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.3m in Point Comfort, United States. This height is estimated for 26 Jun 2021 07:15 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 25 Jun 2021 18:00 UTC

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	26 Jun 2021 07:15	Point Comfort	United States	0.3
	26 Jun 2021 07:15	Magnolia Beach	United States	0.3
	26 Jun 2021 07:15	Olivia	United States	0.3
	26 Jun 2021 07:15	Weedhaven	United States	0.3
	26 Jun 2021 07:15	Port Alto	United States	0.3
	26 Jun 2021 07:15	Carancahua	United States	0.3
	26 Jun 2021 07:15	El Campo Club Community	United States	0.3
	26 Jun 2021 07:15	Camp Hulen	United States	0.3
	26 Jun 2021 08:00	Matagorda	United States	0.2
	26 Jun 2021 08:00	Chinquapin	United States	0.2
	26 Jun 2021 08:00	Maudlowe	United States	0.2
	26 Jun 2021 08:00	Tivoli	United States	0.2
	26 Jun 2021 08:00	Spanish Village	United States	0.2
	26 Jun 2021 08:00	Austwell	United States	0.2
	26 Jun 2021 08:00	North Seadrift	United States	0.2
	26 Jun 2021 08:00	Long Mott	United States	0.2
	26 Jun 2021 08:00	Seadrift	United States	0.2
	28 Jun 2021 13:15	Nadeau	United States	0.2
	28 Jun 2021 13:15	Texas City Junction	United States	0.2
	28 Jun 2021 13:15	Bayou Vista	United States	0.2
	28 Jun 2021 13:15	Texas City	United States	0.2
	28 Jun 2021 13:15	Anderson Ways	United States	0.2
	28 Jun 2021 13:15	Virginia Point	United States	0.2
	28 Jun 2021 13:15	Galveston	United States	0.2
	28 Jun 2021 13:15	Port Bolivar	United States	0.2
	28 Jun 2021 13:15	Fort Travis	United States	0.2
	26 Jun 2021 04:45	Port Lavaca	United States	0.2
	26 Jun 2021 04:45	Alamo Beach	United States	0.2
	26 Jun 2021 04:45	Indianola	United States	0.2
	27 Jun 2021 09:15	Tecomate	Mexico	0.2
	27 Jun 2021 09:15	Cabo Tepoca	Mexico	0.2
	25 Jun 2021 23:45	Puerto Venustiano Carranza	Mexico	0.2
	27 Jun 2021 09:30	Agua de las Flores	Mexico	0.2
	27 Jun 2021 09:15	Bahia Kino	Mexico	0.2
	25 Jun 2021 20:15	Aguaje	Mexico	0.2
	27 Jun 2021 08:45	Rockport	United States	0.2
	27 Jun 2021 08:45	Shell Ridge	United States	0.2
	27 Jun 2021 08:45	Copano Village	United States	0.2
	27 Jun 2021 08:45	Fulton	United States	0.2
	27 Jun 2021 08:45	Holiday Beach	United States	0.2
	27 Jun 2021 08:45	Lamar	United States	0.2
	25 Jun 2021 23:30	Desembarcadero de Miller	Mexico	0.2
	26 Jun 2021 06:15	Palacios	United States	0.2
	26 Jun 2021 06:15	Collegeport	United States	0.2
	26 Jun 2021 06:15	Simpsonville	United States	0.2
	26 Jun 2021 06:15	Citrus Grove	United States	0.2
	25 Jun 2021 19:00	San Blas	Mexico	0.2
	25 Jun 2021 19:00	Santa Cruz	Mexico	0.2
	27 Jun 2021 09:00	San Rafael	Mexico	0.2
	26 Jun 2021 07:00	Port O'Connor	United States	0.1
	27 Jun 2021 02:30	Guaymas	Mexico	0.1
	27 Jun 2021 02:30	Empalme	Mexico	0.1
	26 Jun 2021 10:15	Puerto Charley	Mexico	0.1
	28 Jun 2021 14:30	Bahia de Tortugas	Mexico	0.1
	25 Jun 2021 23:00	Arista	Mexico	0.1
	27 Jun 2021 09:45	El Barril	Mexico	0.1
	26 Jun 2021 22:00	Novillero	Mexico	0.1
	26 Jun 2021 22:00	Cuantla	Mexico	0.1
	26 Jun 2021 22:00	Cuamecate	Mexico	0.1
	28 Jun 2021 03:30	Tastiota	Mexico	0.1
	26 Jun 2021 02:15	El Mezquite	Mexico	0.1
	26 Jun 2021 02:15	Chaparral	Mexico	0.1
	26 Jun 2021 03:00	Corpus Christi	United States	0.1
	26 Jun 2021 03:00	North Beach	United States	0.1
	26 Jun 2021 03:00	Gardendale	United States	0.1
	26 Jun 2021 03:00	Doyle	United States	0.1
	26 Jun 2021 03:00	Orange Grove	United States	0.1
	26 Jun 2021 03:00	Peary Place	United States	0.1
	26 Jun 2021 03:00	Portland	United States	0.1
	26 Jun 2021 03:00	Gregory	United States	0.1
	26 Jun 2021 03:00	Flour Bluff	United States	0.1
	26 Jun 2021 03:00	Caruthers Cove Colonia	United States	0.1
	26 Jun 2021 03:00	Ingleside	United States	0.1
	26 Jun 2021 03:00	Kenney Lane West Colonia	United States	0.1
	26 Jun 2021 03:00	Port Ingleside	United States	0.1
	26 Jun 2021 03:00	Indian Trails Lane Colonia	United States	0.1
	26 Jun 2021 03:00	Country Acres Colonia	United States	0.1
	28 Jun 2021 05:30	San Francisco	Mexico	0.1
	28 Jun 2021 05:30	Monteon	Mexico	0.1
	28 Jun 2021 05:30	La Lima	Mexico	0.1
	25 Jun 2021 20:15	San Juanico	Mexico	0.1
	25 Jun 2021 20:15	Boca del Melgoita	Mexico	0.1
	25 Jun 2021 20:15	Buenaventura	Mexico	0.1
	28 Jun 2021 06:00	Mims	United States	0.1
	28 Jun 2021 06:00	Hoskins	United States	0.1
	28 Jun 2021 06:00	Peterson Landing	United States	0.1
	28 Jun 2021 06:00	Port Morris	United States	0.1
	28 Jun 2021 06:00	Red Fish Cove	United States	0.1
	28 Jun 2021 06:00	Bay Harbor	United States	0.1
	28 Jun 2021 06:00	Sea Isle	United States	0.1
	28 Jun 2021 06:00	Hitchcock	United States	0.1
	28 Jun 2021 06:00	Jamaica Beach	United States	0.1
	27 Jun 2021 03:00	Camahuiroa	Mexico	0.1
	25 Jun 2021 23:45	Huajapan	Mexico	0.1
	25 Jun 2021 23:45	El Roble	Mexico	0.1
	25 Jun 2021 23:45	Cachimba	Mexico	0.1
	26 Jun 2021 22:00	Los Tesos	Mexico	0.1
	26 Jun 2021 22:00	El Cardoncito	Mexico	0.1
	26 Jun 2021 22:00	Los Frailes	Mexico	0.1
	28 Jun 2021 02:30	Guasimas	Mexico	0.1
	27 Jun 2021 03:00	Las Bocas	Mexico	0.1
	27 Jun 2021 16:30	El Nuevo	Mexico	0.1
	27 Jun 2021 16:30	Toro Mocho	Mexico	0.1
	28 Jun 2021 02:30	Santa Rosalia	Mexico	0.1
	27 Jun 2021 18:45	Los Burros	Mexico	0.1
	27 Jun 2021 16:30	Santa Cruz	Mexico	0.1
	25 Jun 2021 18:15	La Playa	Mexico	0.1
	25 Jun 2021 20:15	Agua del Coyote	Mexico	0.1
	28 Jun 2021 02:30	San Jose	Mexico	0.1
	28 Jun 2021 02:30	Atanacio	Mexico	0.1
	28 Jun 2021 02:30	El Paredoncito	Mexico	0.1
	26 Jun 2021 04:15	Bayside	United States	0.1
	26 Jun 2021 04:15	Country Estates Colonia	United States	0.1
	26 Jun 2021 04:15	Aransas Pass	United States	0.1
	26 Jun 2021 04:15	Estes	United States	0.1
	26 Jun 2021 04:15	Mustang Beach	United States	0.1
	26 Jun 2021 04:15	Port Aransas	United States	0.1
	28 Jun 2021 03:30	San Bruno	Mexico	0.1
	28 Jun 2021 03:30	Mulege	Mexico	0.1
	28 Jun 2021 06:45	Punta Mita	Mexico	0.1
	25 Jun 2021 18:30	Puerto Cortes	Mexico	0.1
	25 Jun 2021 18:30	El Guatamota	Mexico	0.1
	28 Jun 2021 03:15	Borabampo	Mexico	0.1
	28 Jun 2021 06:00	Corrales	Mexico	0.1
	28 Jun 2021 06:00	Aquiles Serdan	Mexico	0.1
	28 Jun 2021 03:00	San Carlos	Mexico	0.1
	27 Jun 2021 17:15	El Castillo	Mexico	0.1
	27 Jun 2021 17:15	Las Arenitas	Mexico	0.1
	28 Jun 2021 06:30	Ipala	Mexico	0.1
	28 Jun 2021 14:30	Cedros	Mexico	0.1
	27 Jun 2021 19:00	San Juan de la Costa	Mexico	0.1
	28 Jun 2021 01:00	Chola	Mexico	0.1
	27 Jun 2021 02:00	La Palmita	Mexico	0.1
	27 Jun 2021 02:00	Caimanero	Mexico	0.1
	27 Jun 2021 02:00	Jarilla	Mexico	0.1
	28 Jun 2021 03:15	San Juanico	Mexico	0.1
	25 Jun 2021 20:15	Las Tinajas	Mexico	0.1
	27 Jun 2021 21:00	La Manzanilla	Mexico	0.1
	27 Jun 2021 21:00	Barra de Navidad	Mexico	0.1
	26 Jun 2021 08:00	Datilito	Mexico	0.1
	26 Jun 2021 08:00	La Paz	Mexico	0.1
	26 Jun 2021 08:00	Rosario	Mexico	0.1
	25 Jun 2021 19:00	La Puerta	Mexico	0.1
	25 Jun 2021 19:00	Isla de Palmito del Verde	Mexico	0.1
	25 Jun 2021 19:45	La Florida	Mexico	0.1
	28 Jun 2021 03:30	Los Dolores	Mexico	0.1
	28 Jun 2021 05:45	Cruz de Juanacaxtle	Mexico	0.1
	27 Jun 2021 02:00	Altata	Mexico	0.1
	27 Jun 2021 07:15	Boca del Rio	Mexico	0.1
	28 Jun 2021 02:45	San Ignacio	Mexico	0.1
	28 Jun 2021 02:45	Santa Rosalia	Mexico	0.1
	28 Jun 2021 03:30	Loreto	Mexico	0.1
	28 Jun 2021 03:30	Ligui	Mexico	0.1
	28 Jun 2021 03:30	Tripui	Mexico	0.1
	28 Jun 2021 02:30	Liliba	Mexico	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.