Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for ENRIQUE-21
in Mexico

Impact

Tropical Cyclone ENRIQUE-21 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GDACS
Exposed countries Mexico
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 148 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.1 m (26 Jun 01:00 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Mexico)
Landfall between
30 Jun 2021 15:00 - 30 Jun 2021 21:00

in Mexico

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
Current 37 km/h 0.1 m n.a. 0.5
Overall 148 km/h 0.1 m n.a. 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

Wind

37 km/h Current Max.

Up to 920000 people in Tropical Storm strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
Tropical Storm or higher
Population in
Cat 1. or higher
Countries
Green 1 25 Jun 2021 09:00 139 20 thousand No people Mexico
Green 2 25 Jun 2021 15:00 157 440 thousand No people Mexico
Green 3 25 Jun 2021 21:00 157 80 thousand No people Mexico
Green 4 26 Jun 2021 03:00 176 290 thousand No people Mexico
Green 5 26 Jun 2021 09:00 176 450 thousand No people Mexico
Green 6 26 Jun 2021 15:00 176 650 thousand No people Mexico
Green 7 26 Jun 2021 21:00 148 570 thousand No people Mexico
Green 8 27 Jun 2021 03:00 148 360 thousand No people Mexico
Green 9 27 Jun 2021 09:00 157 400 thousand No people Mexico
Green 10 27 Jun 2021 15:00 157 870 thousand No people Mexico
Green 11 27 Jun 2021 21:00 148 1.5 million No people Mexico
Green 12 28 Jun 2021 03:00 148 1.5 million No people Mexico
Green 13 28 Jun 2021 09:00 148 1.5 million No people Mexico
Green 14 28 Jun 2021 15:00 139 1.5 million No people Mexico
Green 15 28 Jun 2021 21:00 111 1.3 million No people Mexico
Green 16 29 Jun 2021 03:00 93 1.5 million No people Mexico
Green 17 29 Jun 2021 09:00 83 1.5 million No people Mexico
Green 18 29 Jun 2021 15:00 65 910 thousand No people Mexico
Green 19 29 Jun 2021 21:00 65 900 thousand No people Mexico
Green 20 30 Jun 2021 03:00 65 910 thousand No people Mexico
Green 21 30 Jun 2021 09:00 65 940 thousand No people Mexico
Green 22 30 Jun 2021 15:00 56 920 thousand No people Mexico
Green 23 30 Jun 2021 21:00 37 920 thousand No people Mexico

Bulletin Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Category
(SSHS)
Max winds
(km/h)
Population in
Cat.1 or higher
Population in
Tropical Storm
or higher
Location (lat, lon) Countries
GREEN
1 25 Jun 2021 09:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 15, -101.7
GREEN
2 25 Jun 2021 15:00 Tropical storm 74 no people no people 15.6, -102.5
GREEN
3 25 Jun 2021 21:00 Tropical storm 83 no people no people 15.9, -103.3
GREEN
4 26 Jun 2021 03:00 Tropical storm 102 no people no people 16.3, -104.1
GREEN
5 26 Jun 2021 09:00 Category 1 120 no people <1000 people 16.7, -104.7
GREEN
6 26 Jun 2021 15:00 Category 1 139 no people 460000 people 17.1, -105.3
GREEN
7 26 Jun 2021 21:00 Category 1 139 no people 260000 people 17.3, -105.9
GREEN
8 27 Jun 2021 03:00 Category 1 139 no people 28000 people 17.3, -105.9
GREEN
9 27 Jun 2021 09:00 Category 1 148 no people 89000 people 17.6, -106
GREEN
10 27 Jun 2021 15:00 Category 1 148 no people 300000 people 18.2, -105.9
GREEN
11 27 Jun 2021 21:00 Category 1 148 no people 850000 people 19, -105.7
GREEN
12 28 Jun 2021 03:00 Category 1 148 no people 650000 people 19.6, -106
GREEN
13 28 Jun 2021 09:00 Category 1 148 no people 540000 people 20, -106.3
GREEN
14 28 Jun 2021 15:00 Category 1 139 no people 41000 people 20.4, -106.7
GREEN
15 28 Jun 2021 21:00 Tropical storm 111 no people 6400 people 20.7, -107.3
GREEN
16 29 Jun 2021 03:00 Tropical storm 93 no people 6300 people 21.1, -107.4
GREEN
17 29 Jun 2021 09:00 Tropical storm 83 no people 4500 people 21.6, -107.6
GREEN
18 29 Jun 2021 15:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 22.5, -107.6
GREEN
19 29 Jun 2021 21:00 Tropical storm 65 no people <1000 people 23.2, -108.3
GREEN
20 30 Jun 2021 03:00 Tropical storm 65 no people 9900 people 23.8, -109.1
GREEN
21 30 Jun 2021 09:00 Tropical storm 65 no people 21000 people 24.2, -109.6 Mexico
GREEN
22 30 Jun 2021 15:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 24.6, -110
GREEN
23 30 Jun 2021 21:00 Tropical depression 37 no people no people 24.5, -110.3 Mexico
Actual track of the current bulletin
The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.
Download:



Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Countries

Country
Mexico

Provinces

Region Province Country
Baja California Sur Mexico
Nayarit Mexico
Jalisco Mexico
Colima Mexico

Populated places

Name Region Province Country City class Population
Punta Mita Nayarit Mexico City -
Puerto Vallarta Jalisco Mexico City 190000 people
Talpa de Allende Jalisco Mexico City -
Autlán Jalisco Mexico City 40000 people
Manzanillo Colima Mexico City 110000 people

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

Airports

Name IATA Code Elevation (m) Usage Runway type IFR Runway Length (ft)
Punta Pescadero 7 0
Punta Colorada PCO unknown 0
Isla Maria Madre 5 0
El Llano 12 0
Lic Gustavo Diaz Ordaz International PVR 6 Civ. Paved Yes 10100
La Gloria 34 0
Autlan 884 0
Playa de Oro International ZLO 8 Civ. Paved Yes 7200

Ports

Name LOCODE Country
Buenavista Mexico
Puerto Vallarta MXPVR Mexico
Ipala Mexico
El Tabaco Mexico
Chamela Mexico
Manzanillo MXZLO Mexico

Dams

Reservoir Dam Name River Year
Corrinchis Mascota 1977
Cajon de Peda Tomatlan 1976

Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

...

StormSurge

0.1 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.1m in Lagarto, Mexico. This height is estimated for 26 Jun 2021 01:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Locations affected by Storm surge (49 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 19 of 29 Jun 2021 21:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
26 Jun 2021 01:00 Lagarto Mexico  0.1
26 Jun 2021 01:00 Santa Maria Xandani Mexico  0.1
26 Jun 2021 01:00 Costa Rica Mexico  0.1
26 Jun 2021 01:00 Union Hidalgo Mexico  0.1
26 Jun 2021 01:00 Chicapa Mexico  0.1
26 Jun 2021 01:00 San Dionisio del Mar Mexico  0.1
26 Jun 2021 01:00 San Francisco del Mar Mexico  0.1
29 Jun 2021 11:00 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.1
27 Jun 2021 21:00 Cuitzmala Mexico  0.1
29 Jun 2021 15:00 Cuantla Mexico  0.1
28 Jun 2021 09:00 Ipala Mexico  0.1
27 Jun 2021 23:00 Chamela Mexico  0.1
28 Jun 2021 02:00 Chola Mexico  0.1
28 Jun 2021 09:00 Corrales Mexico  0.1
28 Jun 2021 09:00 Aquiles Serdan Mexico  0.1
29 Jun 2021 16:00 La Palmita Mexico  0.1
29 Jun 2021 14:00 Cuamecate Mexico  0.1
29 Jun 2021 11:00 El Nuevo Mexico  0.1
26 Jun 2021 01:00 Cachimba Mexico  0.1
29 Jun 2021 16:00 Caimanero Mexico  0.1
29 Jun 2021 16:00 Jarilla Mexico  0.1
29 Jun 2021 16:00 La Puerta Mexico  0.1
29 Jun 2021 10:00 San Blas Mexico  0.1
29 Jun 2021 15:00 Florida Mexico  0.1
25 Jun 2021 23:00 Las Pinas Mexico  0.1
25 Jun 2021 23:00 Playa Azul Mexico  0.1
25 Jun 2021 23:00 Melchor Ocampo Mexico  0.1
25 Jun 2021 23:00 Joluta Mexico  0.1
25 Jun 2021 23:00 Lagunillas Mexico  0.1
25 Jun 2021 23:00 Barrio Nuevo Mexico  0.1
25 Jun 2021 23:00 Zihuatanejo Mexico  0.1
25 Jun 2021 23:00 Maruata Mexico  0.1
25 Jun 2021 23:00 Las Trojitas Mexico  0.1
25 Jun 2021 23:00 Calla de Campos Mexico  0.1
25 Jun 2021 23:00 Chula Mexico  0.1
27 Jun 2021 21:00 La Manzanilla Mexico  0.1
27 Jun 2021 21:00 Barra de Navidad Mexico  0.1
27 Jun 2021 21:00 Estrecho Mexico  0.1
26 Jun 2021 00:00 Pesqueria Mexico  0.1
29 Jun 2021 15:00 Novillero Mexico  0.1
28 Jun 2021 09:00 Pizota Mexico  0.1
29 Jun 2021 15:00 Isla de Palmito del Verde Mexico  0.1
29 Jun 2021 16:00 Mazatlan Mexico  0.1
29 Jun 2021 16:00 Barron Mexico  0.1
29 Jun 2021 16:00 Toro Mocho Mexico  0.1
30 Jun 2021 15:00 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.1
26 Jun 2021 00:00 Tierra Colorada Mexico  0.1
26 Jun 2021 01:00 Huajapan Mexico  0.1
26 Jun 2021 01:00 El Roble Mexico  0.1