Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for ENRIQUE-21
in Mexico

Event summary

Tropical Cyclone ENRIQUE-21 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed, exposed population and vulnerability.

GDACS ID TC 1000793
From - To 25 Jun - 30 Jun
Exposed countries Mexico
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 148 km/h Category 1
Maximum storm surge 0.1 m (26 Jun 01:00 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Mexico)


For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GDACS NOAA 37 km/h n.a. n.a. 0.5
Single TC: maximum expected impact (wind, storm surge, rainfall)
HWRF 173 km/h 0.4 m 665 mm 0.5
GFS 148 km/h 0.3 m 750 mm 0.5
ECMWF 61 km/h 0.3 m 729 mm 0.5
Maximum expected impact (wind, storm surge and rainfall) using different data sources.
Virtual OSOCC
Meteo assessment
Satellite products
Analytical products
Mexico - Tropical cyclone ENRIQUE, update (ECHO 29 Jun 2021)Tue, 29 Jun 2021 15:36

  • Tropical storm ENRIQUE is weakening, as it moves further north in the East Pacific, along the western coast of Mexico. On 29 June at 3.00 UTC, its centre was located approximately 100 km west of the Islas Marias Archipelago and about 200 km west off the coast of Nayarit State, with maximum sustained winds of 93 km/h.
  • Heavy rain has been reported across western Mexico, causing floods and landslides. According to media, at least two people have died in Guerrero State, where about 207 houses and several road sections have been damaged.
  • ENRIQUE is forecast to further weaken, as it moves northwards over the Pacific. It is expected to make landfall over the southern tip of Baja California Peninsula in the morning of 30 June, with maximum sustained winds up to 65 km/h.
  • A Tropical storm watch has been issued for the southern coast of Baja California Peninsula. On 29-30 June, heavy to very heavy rain with strong winds and high waves are forecast on coastal areas for the States of Baja California Sur, Sinaloa, Nayarit, Jalisco, Colima, Michoacán and Guerrero.
Mexico - Tropical Cyclone ENRIQUE, update (ECHO 30 Jun 2021)Wed, 30 Jun 2021 16:28

  • Tropical Storm ENRIQUE has reached the Gulf of California and on 30 June at 3.00 UTC, its centre was located approximately 45 km north-east of the south-eastern coast of Baja California Sur State (Mexico).
  • ENRIQUE is forecast to weaken, as it moves northwards in the Gulf of California. It is expected to make landfall in the morning of 1 July, in an area between Isla Santa Cruz, Isla San Jose and Los Dolores Town (central-eastern coast of Baja California Sur), with maximum sustained winds up to 45 km/h.
  • On 30 June-1 July, heavy rain, strong winds and high waves are forecast for Baja California Sur, Durango and Sinaloa States, while moderate to heavy rain with thunderstorms, caused by the passage of ENRIQUE, will continue to affect the States of the western coast of Mexico, including Nayarit, Jalisco and Michoacán.
Detailed event map. European Union, 2022. Map produced by EC-JRC.
The boundaries and the names shown on this map do not imply official endorsement or acceptance by the European Union.

Updates on volcanic activity (Smithsonian)

Latest media headlines

Articles: 206 | About casualties: 1 | Last hour: 0

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Tropical Storm Enrique misses Baja resorts, then dissipatesThu, 01 Jul 2021 00:42:00 +0200.

CABO SAN LUCAS, Mexico What had been the first hurricane of the eastern Pacific season dissipated as it moved ashore Wednesday after brushing past the tip of Mexico’s Baja California Peninsula and missing a direct hit on the beach resorts t
Tropical Storm Enrique misses direct hit on Baja resortsWed, 30 Jun 2021 15:38:00 +0200.

CABO SAN LUCAS, Mexico (AP) — Tropical Storm Enrique is swirling to the east of the tip of Mexico’s Baja California Peninsula, missing a direct hit on the beach resorts there and predicted to weaken into a tropical depression Wednesday. The

Estimated casualties (PAGER)

USGS estimates the number of casualties for each earthquake for the Prompt Assessment of Global Earthquakes for Response (PAGER) product.
The graph shows the current fatalities estimate.

Exposed population

Data, images, links, services and documents

For this events, GDACS has links to information from the following sources: EC-JRC (36), (2), DesInventar (1), WMO (1), INFORM (2),