Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for ENRIQUE-21
in Mexico

Impact

Tropical Cyclone ENRIQUE-21 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source HWRF
Exposed countries Mexico
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 130 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.3 m (27 Jun 05:45 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Mexico)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
HWRF Current 130 km/h 0.3 m 158 mm 0.5
HWRF Overall 173 km/h 0.4 m 665 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 26 Jun 2021 12:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormMexico28,453 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 25 Jun 2021 06:00 0 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 25 Jun 2021 12:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 25 Jun 2021 18:00 104 -
- - - - - Mexico
GREEN 4 26 Jun 2021 00:00 104 -
- - - - - Mexico
GREEN 5 26 Jun 2021 06:00 115 -
- - - - - Mexico
GREEN 6 26 Jun 2021 12:00 151 -
- - - - - Mexico
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h

Rainfall

665 mm

Up to 1.4 million can be affected by rain higher than 100mm (see SSHS)





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 26 Jun 2021 12:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
500-750 mmMexico3,237 
250-500 mmMexico157,172 
100-250 mmMexico1,206,521 
50-100 mmMexico957,457 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 25 Jun 2021 06:00 0 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 25 Jun 2021 12:00 289 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 25 Jun 2021 18:00 238 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 4 26 Jun 2021 00:00 240 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 26 Jun 2021 06:00 256 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 26 Jun 2021 12:00 834 1.4 million
- - Mexico




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.3m in Point Comfort, United States. This height is estimated for 27 Jun 2021 05:45 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 26 Jun 2021 12:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
27 Jun 2021 05:45 Point Comfort United States  0.3
27 Jun 2021 05:45 Magnolia Beach United States  0.3
27 Jun 2021 05:45 Olivia United States  0.3
27 Jun 2021 05:45 Weedhaven United States  0.3
27 Jun 2021 05:45 Port Alto United States  0.3
27 Jun 2021 05:45 Carancahua United States  0.3
27 Jun 2021 05:45 El Campo Club Community United States  0.3
27 Jun 2021 05:45 Camp Hulen United States  0.3
26 Jun 2021 22:15 Puerto Charley Mexico  0.2
27 Jun 2021 09:15 Agua de las Flores Mexico  0.2
26 Jun 2021 18:15 San Blas Mexico  0.2
26 Jun 2021 18:15 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.2
27 Jun 2021 05:15 Port Lavaca United States  0.2
27 Jun 2021 05:15 Alamo Beach United States  0.2
27 Jun 2021 05:15 Indianola United States  0.2
28 Jun 2021 03:45 Tecomate Mexico  0.2
28 Jun 2021 03:45 Cabo Tepoca Mexico  0.2
27 Jun 2021 05:45 Matagorda United States  0.2
27 Jun 2021 05:45 Chinquapin United States  0.2
27 Jun 2021 09:15 Bahia Kino Mexico  0.2
27 Jun 2021 06:45 Puerto Venustiano Carranza Mexico  0.2
28 Jun 2021 04:15 San Rafael Mexico  0.2
27 Jun 2021 02:30 Guaymas Mexico  0.2
27 Jun 2021 02:30 Empalme Mexico  0.2
27 Jun 2021 01:30 Cuantla Mexico  0.2
27 Jun 2021 01:30 Cuamecate Mexico  0.2
27 Jun 2021 01:30 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.2
27 Jun 2021 01:45 Novillero Mexico  0.2
27 Jun 2021 11:30 Rockport United States  0.2
27 Jun 2021 11:30 Shell Ridge United States  0.2
27 Jun 2021 11:30 Copano Village United States  0.2
27 Jun 2021 11:30 Fulton United States  0.2
27 Jun 2021 11:30 Holiday Beach United States  0.2
27 Jun 2021 11:30 Lamar United States  0.2
27 Jun 2021 03:00 La Fortuna Mexico  0.2
27 Jun 2021 03:00 El Cardoncito Mexico  0.2
26 Jun 2021 18:00 Los Frailes Mexico  0.2
28 Jun 2021 04:00 El Barril Mexico  0.2
26 Jun 2021 13:30 La Manzanilla Mexico  0.2
26 Jun 2021 13:30 Barra de Navidad Mexico  0.2
27 Jun 2021 05:30 Port O'Connor United States  0.2
27 Jun 2021 00:00 Quinones Mexico  0.2
27 Jun 2021 01:45 Atanacio Mexico  0.2
27 Jun 2021 01:45 El Paredoncito Mexico  0.2
28 Jun 2021 00:15 Desembarcadero de Miller Mexico  0.2
27 Jun 2021 00:30 Bahia de Tortugas Mexico  0.2
27 Jun 2021 01:45 El Real Mexico  0.2
27 Jun 2021 01:45 Chupadero Mexico  0.2
27 Jun 2021 01:45 Apisa Mexico  0.2
27 Jun 2021 01:45 Cayaca Mexico  0.2
27 Jun 2021 08:15 Aguaje Mexico  0.2
27 Jun 2021 19:00 San Juan de la Costa Mexico  0.2
27 Jun 2021 02:00 Tastiota Mexico  0.2
27 Jun 2021 10:45 Las Bocas Mexico  0.2
27 Jun 2021 02:30 Guasimas Mexico  0.2
27 Jun 2021 02:15 Altata Mexico  0.2
27 Jun 2021 09:15 San Francisco Mexico  0.2
27 Jun 2021 09:15 Monteon Mexico  0.2
27 Jun 2021 09:15 La Lima Mexico  0.2
27 Jun 2021 06:30 Maudlowe United States  0.2
27 Jun 2021 06:30 Tivoli United States  0.2
27 Jun 2021 06:30 Spanish Village United States  0.2
27 Jun 2021 06:30 Austwell United States  0.2
27 Jun 2021 06:30 North Seadrift United States  0.2
27 Jun 2021 06:30 Long Mott United States  0.2
27 Jun 2021 06:30 Seadrift United States  0.2
28 Jun 2021 02:15 Nadeau United States  0.2
28 Jun 2021 02:15 Texas City Junction United States  0.2
28 Jun 2021 02:15 Bayou Vista United States  0.2
28 Jun 2021 02:15 Texas City United States  0.2
28 Jun 2021 02:15 Anderson Ways United States  0.2
28 Jun 2021 02:15 Virginia Point United States  0.2
28 Jun 2021 02:15 Galveston United States  0.2
28 Jun 2021 02:15 Port Bolivar United States  0.2
28 Jun 2021 02:15 Fort Travis United States  0.2
26 Jun 2021 13:00 Las Trojitas Mexico  0.2
27 Jun 2021 01:30 San Jose Mexico  0.2
28 Jun 2021 04:30 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.2
27 Jun 2021 01:15 Agua del Coyote Mexico  0.2
27 Jun 2021 00:45 El Castillo Mexico  0.2
26 Jun 2021 12:30 San Telmo Mexico  0.2
27 Jun 2021 01:30 Borabampo Mexico  0.2
27 Jun 2021 19:00 Datilito Mexico  0.2
27 Jun 2021 19:00 Los Tesos Mexico  0.2
27 Jun 2021 19:15 San Bruno Mexico  0.2
27 Jun 2021 19:15 Mulege Mexico  0.2
27 Jun 2021 19:15 La Paz Mexico  0.2
27 Jun 2021 19:15 Rosario Mexico  0.2
27 Jun 2021 05:45 Palacios United States  0.2
26 Jun 2021 12:30 El Ciruelo Mexico  0.1
26 Jun 2021 12:30 Cuyutlan Mexico  0.1
26 Jun 2021 12:45 Santiago Mexico  0.1
26 Jun 2021 12:45 Manzanillo Mexico  0.1
27 Jun 2021 05:45 Collegeport United States  0.1
27 Jun 2021 05:45 Simpsonville United States  0.1
27 Jun 2021 05:45 Citrus Grove United States  0.1
27 Jun 2021 21:15 La Boca Mexico  0.1
27 Jun 2021 01:15 Florida Mexico  0.1
27 Jun 2021 01:15 Mazatlan Mexico  0.1
26 Jun 2021 23:00 El Nuevo Mexico  0.1
27 Jun 2021 10:30 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.1
27 Jun 2021 07:00 Las Arenitas Mexico  0.1
27 Jun 2021 19:45 San Juanico Mexico  0.1
27 Jun 2021 19:45 Loreto Mexico  0.1
27 Jun 2021 19:45 Ligui Mexico  0.1
27 Jun 2021 19:45 Tripui Mexico  0.1
27 Jun 2021 02:30 El Aquajito Mexico  0.1
27 Jun 2021 19:00 Los Dolores Mexico  0.1
27 Jun 2021 06:00 Puerto Cortes Mexico  0.1
27 Jun 2021 06:00 El Guatamota Mexico  0.1
27 Jun 2021 18:45 Los Burros Mexico  0.1
27 Jun 2021 19:45 La Ventana Mexico  0.1
27 Jun 2021 19:45 Ensenada de los Muertos Mexico  0.1
27 Jun 2021 03:00 Camahuiroa Mexico  0.1
27 Jun 2021 10:30 La Ribera Mexico  0.1
27 Jun 2021 10:30 Punta Colorada Mexico  0.1
27 Jun 2021 10:30 Punta Arena Mexico  0.1
28 Jun 2021 20:00 Chola Mexico  0.1
27 Jun 2021 18:45 San Carlos Mexico  0.1
27 Jun 2021 20:00 Cachoana Mexico  0.1
28 Jun 2021 04:45 Perihuete Mexico  0.1
28 Jun 2021 04:45 Dimas Mexico  0.1
27 Jun 2021 19:45 San Cosme Mexico  0.1
27 Jun 2021 19:45 Santa Marta Mexico  0.1
28 Jun 2021 04:00 Topolobampo Mexico  0.1
26 Jun 2021 22:00 La Palmita Mexico  0.1
26 Jun 2021 22:00 Caimanero Mexico  0.1
26 Jun 2021 22:00 Jarilla Mexico  0.1
27 Jun 2021 19:15 San Bruno Mexico  0.1
27 Jun 2021 02:00 Toro Mocho Mexico  0.1
27 Jun 2021 11:15 Tambobiche Mexico  0.1
27 Jun 2021 10:30 Liliba Mexico  0.1
29 Jun 2021 00:00 Ipala Mexico  0.1
27 Jun 2021 05:45 Arista Mexico  0.1
28 Jun 2021 05:45 Punta Mita Mexico  0.1
28 Jun 2021 05:45 Cruz de Juanacaxtle Mexico  0.1
27 Jun 2021 10:30 San Ignacio Mexico  0.1
27 Jun 2021 19:30 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.1
26 Jun 2021 19:15 Buenaventura Mexico  0.1
28 Jun 2021 06:30 Cedros Mexico  0.1
29 Jun 2021 00:15 Aquiles Serdan Mexico  0.1
27 Jun 2021 01:15 Marmol Mexico  0.1
28 Jun 2021 06:30 Isla Natividad Mexico  0.1
26 Jun 2021 22:15 La Puerta Mexico  0.1
26 Jun 2021 22:15 Isla de Palmito del Verde Mexico  0.1
26 Jun 2021 18:00 Huajapan Mexico  0.1
26 Jun 2021 18:00 El Roble Mexico  0.1
27 Jun 2021 00:00 El Tomale Mexico  0.1
27 Jun 2021 00:00 Agua Fresca Mexico  0.1
27 Jun 2021 00:00 Cunano Mexico  0.1
27 Jun 2021 03:00 La Playa Colorada Mexico  0.1
27 Jun 2021 13:15 La Florida Mexico  0.1
27 Jun 2021 01:30 Barron Mexico  0.1
26 Jun 2021 21:45 Puerto Vallarta Mexico  0.1
27 Jun 2021 06:45 Corpus Christi United States  0.1
27 Jun 2021 06:45 North Beach United States  0.1
27 Jun 2021 06:45 Gardendale United States  0.1
27 Jun 2021 06:45 Doyle United States  0.1
27 Jun 2021 06:45 Orange Grove United States  0.1
27 Jun 2021 06:45 Peary Place United States  0.1
27 Jun 2021 06:45 Portland United States  0.1
27 Jun 2021 06:45 Gregory United States  0.1
27 Jun 2021 06:45 Flour Bluff United States  0.1
27 Jun 2021 06:45 Caruthers Cove Colonia United States  0.1
27 Jun 2021 06:45 Ingleside United States  0.1
27 Jun 2021 06:45 Kenney Lane West Colonia United States  0.1
27 Jun 2021 06:45 Port Ingleside United States  0.1
27 Jun 2021 06:45 Indian Trails Lane Colonia United States  0.1
27 Jun 2021 06:45 Country Acres Colonia United States  0.1
26 Jun 2021 19:00 San Juanico Mexico  0.1
26 Jun 2021 19:00 Boca del Melgoita Mexico  0.1
27 Jun 2021 00:15 La Playa Mexico  0.1
27 Jun 2021 03:00 Boca del Rio Mexico  0.1
27 Jun 2021 01:15 Las Tinajas Mexico  0.1
26 Jun 2021 12:30 Maruata Mexico  0.1
27 Jun 2021 15:15 Chamela Mexico  0.1
26 Jun 2021 21:30 Cachimba Mexico  0.1
28 Jun 2021 04:30 Country Estates Colonia United States  0.1
28 Jun 2021 04:30 Aransas Pass United States  0.1
28 Jun 2021 04:30 Estes United States  0.1
28 Jun 2021 04:30 Mustang Beach United States  0.1
28 Jun 2021 04:30 Port Aransas United States  0.1
28 Jun 2021 23:15 Corrales Mexico  0.1
26 Jun 2021 12:30 Bucerias Mexico  0.1
26 Jun 2021 18:30 Estero la Bocana Mexico  0.1
27 Jun 2021 02:45 Las Palmas Mexico  0.1
26 Jun 2021 23:30 Playa Oceano Pacifico Mexico  0.1
27 Jun 2021 14:00 Cuitzmala Mexico  0.1
27 Jun 2021 16:00 Estrecho Mexico  0.1
29 Jun 2021 01:15 Adolfo Lopez Mateos Mexico  0.1
27 Jun 2021 05:45 Rancho Datilari Mexico  0.1
27 Jun 2021 05:45 Rancho Conejo Mexico  0.1
27 Jun 2021 12:30 Salina Cruz Mexico  0.1
27 Jun 2021 12:30 Lagarto Mexico  0.1
27 Jun 2021 00:30 Madero Amarillo Mexico  0.1
27 Jun 2021 00:15 San Carlos Mexico  0.1
27 Jun 2021 00:45 Queretaro Mexico  0.1
27 Jun 2021 01:45 Santo Domingo Mexico  0.1
27 Jun 2021 06:15 Puerto Magdalena Mexico  0.1
27 Jun 2021 05:15 Bayside United States  0.1
28 Jun 2021 01:00 Los Inocentes Mexico  0.1
26 Jun 2021 21:30 San Francisco del Mar Mexico  0.1
26 Jun 2021 21:30 La Majada Mexico  0.1
28 Jun 2021 18:00 Hitchcock United States  0.1
28 Jun 2021 18:00 Jamaica Beach United States  0.1
27 Jun 2021 17:45 La Trinadad Mexico  0.1
28 Jun 2021 10:30 Garrapateras Mexico  0.1
28 Jun 2021 10:30 Majada Villalobos Mexico  0.1
28 Jun 2021 17:45 Mims United States  0.1
28 Jun 2021 17:45 Hoskins United States  0.1
28 Jun 2021 17:45 Peterson Landing United States  0.1
28 Jun 2021 17:45 Port Morris United States  0.1
28 Jun 2021 17:45 Red Fish Cove United States  0.1
28 Jun 2021 17:45 Bay Harbor United States  0.1
28 Jun 2021 17:45 Sea Isle United States  0.1
26 Jun 2021 13:00 Calla de Campos Mexico  0.1
26 Jun 2021 19:45 Las Pinas Mexico  0.1
26 Jun 2021 19:45 Playa Azul Mexico  0.1