Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for ENRIQUE-21 in Mexico from 25 Jun 2021 09:00 UTC to 30 Jun 2021 21:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for ENRIQUE-21

in Mexico

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to select bulletin time

Meteorological source:

GDACS NOAA

Impact Single TC

GFS
HWRF
ECMWF

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone ENRIQUE-21 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	HWRF
Exposed countries	Mexico
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	158 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.3 m (27 Jun 22:00 UTC)
Vulnerability	Medium (Mexico)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
HWRF Current	158 km/h	0.3 m	295 mm	0.5
HWRF Overall	173 km/h	0.4 m	665 mm	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 27 Jun 2021 18:00 UTC

Category	Country	Population
Tropical Storm	Mexico	204,963

See TC classification SSHS

Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Pop in Cat. 1 or higher	TS	Cat. 1	Cat. 2	Cat. 3	Cat. 4	Cat. 5	Countries
1	25 Jun 2021 06:00	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	25 Jun 2021 12:00	83	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	25 Jun 2021 18:00	104	-		-	-	-	-	-	Mexico
4	26 Jun 2021 00:00	104	-		-	-	-	-	-	Mexico
5	26 Jun 2021 06:00	115	-		-	-	-	-	-	Mexico
6	26 Jun 2021 12:00	130	-		-	-	-	-	-	Mexico
7	26 Jun 2021 18:00	144	-		-	-	-	-	-	Mexico
8	27 Jun 2021 00:00	126	-		-	-	-	-	-	Mexico
9	27 Jun 2021 06:00	155	-		-	-	-	-	-	Mexico
10	27 Jun 2021 12:00	155	-		-	-	-	-	-	Mexico
11	27 Jun 2021 18:00	162	-		-	-	-	-	-	Mexico

Download:

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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Rainfall

665 mm

Up to 1.4 million can be affected by rain higher than 100mm (see SSHS)

Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 27 Jun 2021 18:00 UTC

Level	Country	Population
500-750 mm	Mexico	27,079
250-500 mm	Mexico	188,698
100-250 mm	Mexico	1,221,065
50-100 mm	Mexico	1,371,741

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Rainfall (mm)	Pop >100mm or higher	50-100	100-250	250-500	500-750	750-1000	>1000	Countries
1	25 Jun 2021 06:00	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	25 Jun 2021 12:00	289	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	25 Jun 2021 18:00	238	-		-	-	-	-	-	Mexico
4	26 Jun 2021 00:00	240	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
5	26 Jun 2021 06:00	256	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
6	26 Jun 2021 12:00	158	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
7	26 Jun 2021 18:00	224	-		-	-	-	-	-	Mexico
8	27 Jun 2021 00:00	253	-		-	-	-	-	-	Mexico
9	27 Jun 2021 06:00	244	-		-	-	-	-	-	Mexico
10	27 Jun 2021 12:00	265	-		-	-	-	-	-	Mexico
11	27 Jun 2021 18:00	691	1.4 million					-	-	Mexico

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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StormSurge

0.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.3m in La Fortuna, Mexico. This height is estimated for 27 Jun 2021 22:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 27 Jun 2021 18:00 UTC

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	27 Jun 2021 22:00	La Fortuna	Mexico	0.3
	27 Jun 2021 22:00	El Cardoncito	Mexico	0.3
	27 Jun 2021 22:00	Los Frailes	Mexico	0.3
	28 Jun 2021 03:30	Tecomate	Mexico	0.3
	28 Jun 2021 03:30	Cabo Tepoca	Mexico	0.3
	27 Jun 2021 22:15	Puerto Charley	Mexico	0.3
	28 Jun 2021 03:30	Bahia Kino	Mexico	0.3
	27 Jun 2021 20:00	Chola	Mexico	0.3
	28 Jun 2021 19:00	Nadeau	United States	0.3
	28 Jun 2021 19:00	Texas City Junction	United States	0.3
	28 Jun 2021 19:00	Bayou Vista	United States	0.3
	28 Jun 2021 19:00	Texas City	United States	0.3
	28 Jun 2021 19:00	Anderson Ways	United States	0.3
	28 Jun 2021 19:00	Virginia Point	United States	0.3
	28 Jun 2021 19:00	Galveston	United States	0.3
	28 Jun 2021 19:00	Port Bolivar	United States	0.3
	28 Jun 2021 19:00	Fort Travis	United States	0.3
	28 Jun 2021 03:45	Agua de las Flores	Mexico	0.3
	28 Jun 2021 05:15	Puerto Venustiano Carranza	Mexico	0.3
	28 Jun 2021 03:45	San Rafael	Mexico	0.3
	27 Jun 2021 18:45	Bahia de Tortugas	Mexico	0.2
	27 Jun 2021 19:15	La Manzanilla	Mexico	0.2
	27 Jun 2021 19:15	Barra de Navidad	Mexico	0.2
	28 Jun 2021 00:00	Ipala	Mexico	0.2
	28 Jun 2021 04:30	San Blas	Mexico	0.2
	28 Jun 2021 04:30	Santa Cruz	Mexico	0.2
	27 Jun 2021 20:00	Cuantla	Mexico	0.2
	27 Jun 2021 20:00	Cuamecate	Mexico	0.2
	27 Jun 2021 20:00	Santa Cruz	Mexico	0.2
	27 Jun 2021 20:30	Chamela	Mexico	0.2
	27 Jun 2021 18:15	Cuitzmala	Mexico	0.2
	27 Jun 2021 18:00	Cachoana	Mexico	0.2
	28 Jun 2021 02:30	San Francisco	Mexico	0.2
	28 Jun 2021 02:30	Monteon	Mexico	0.2
	28 Jun 2021 02:30	La Lima	Mexico	0.2
	27 Jun 2021 18:45	Los Burros	Mexico	0.2
	28 Jun 2021 04:00	El Barril	Mexico	0.2
	27 Jun 2021 20:00	La Palmita	Mexico	0.2
	27 Jun 2021 20:00	Caimanero	Mexico	0.2
	27 Jun 2021 20:00	Jarilla	Mexico	0.2
	28 Jun 2021 00:00	Aquiles Serdan	Mexico	0.2
	28 Jun 2021 04:15	Novillero	Mexico	0.2
	28 Jun 2021 18:45	El Nuevo	Mexico	0.2
	28 Jun 2021 06:00	Altata	Mexico	0.2
	27 Jun 2021 19:30	Toro Mocho	Mexico	0.2
	28 Jun 2021 02:45	Guaymas	Mexico	0.2
	28 Jun 2021 02:45	Empalme	Mexico	0.2
	28 Jun 2021 01:00	El Castillo	Mexico	0.2
	28 Jun 2021 01:00	Las Arenitas	Mexico	0.2
	28 Jun 2021 00:00	Corrales	Mexico	0.2
	28 Jun 2021 12:45	Cedros	Mexico	0.2
	28 Jun 2021 18:15	Puerto Cortes	Mexico	0.2
	28 Jun 2021 18:15	El Guatamota	Mexico	0.2
	27 Jun 2021 18:15	Los Tesos	Mexico	0.2
	27 Jun 2021 22:30	Arista	Mexico	0.2
	27 Jun 2021 22:00	Perihuete	Mexico	0.2
	27 Jun 2021 22:00	Dimas	Mexico	0.2
	27 Jun 2021 20:45	La Boca	Mexico	0.2
	28 Jun 2021 01:45	Atanacio	Mexico	0.2
	28 Jun 2021 01:45	El Paredoncito	Mexico	0.2
	28 Jun 2021 02:00	Aguaje	Mexico	0.2
	28 Jun 2021 12:45	Punta Mita	Mexico	0.2
	28 Jun 2021 12:45	Cruz de Juanacaxtle	Mexico	0.2
	28 Jun 2021 02:15	San Jose	Mexico	0.2
	28 Jun 2021 03:15	Tastiota	Mexico	0.2
	28 Jun 2021 02:30	Guasimas	Mexico	0.2
	28 Jun 2021 01:45	Las Bocas	Mexico	0.2
	28 Jun 2021 02:45	El Aquajito	Mexico	0.2
	27 Jun 2021 18:15	Santa Marta	Mexico	0.2
	27 Jun 2021 18:15	Santa Cruz	Mexico	0.2
	27 Jun 2021 18:15	La Ventana	Mexico	0.2
	27 Jun 2021 18:15	Ensenada de los Muertos	Mexico	0.2
	27 Jun 2021 18:30	Topolobampo	Mexico	0.2
	27 Jun 2021 18:45	Borabampo	Mexico	0.2
	27 Jun 2021 18:30	Desembarcadero de Miller	Mexico	0.2
	27 Jun 2021 22:00	Huajapan	Mexico	0.2
	27 Jun 2021 22:00	El Roble	Mexico	0.2
	27 Jun 2021 18:45	Tambobiche	Mexico	0.2
	27 Jun 2021 23:30	Cunano	Mexico	0.2
	27 Jun 2021 23:30	Los Inocentes	Mexico	0.2
	28 Jun 2021 02:15	Camahuiroa	Mexico	0.2
	28 Jun 2021 00:30	La Ribera	Mexico	0.2
	28 Jun 2021 00:30	Punta Colorada	Mexico	0.2
	28 Jun 2021 00:30	Punta Arena	Mexico	0.2
	27 Jun 2021 23:30	Estero la Bocana	Mexico	0.2
	28 Jun 2021 09:30	Boca del Rio	Mexico	0.2
	28 Jun 2021 09:30	La Playa Colorada	Mexico	0.2
	27 Jun 2021 19:00	Datilito	Mexico	0.2
	27 Jun 2021 19:00	La Paz	Mexico	0.2
	27 Jun 2021 19:00	Rosario	Mexico	0.2
	27 Jun 2021 18:00	Agua del Coyote	Mexico	0.2
	27 Jun 2021 20:15	Florida	Mexico	0.2
	27 Jun 2021 20:15	Mazatlan	Mexico	0.2
	27 Jun 2021 19:30	La Florida	Mexico	0.2
	28 Jun 2021 02:30	San Carlos	Mexico	0.2
	28 Jun 2021 02:30	Santa Rosalia	Mexico	0.2
	28 Jun 2021 11:00	Quinones	Mexico	0.2
	28 Jun 2021 06:00	Isla Natividad	Mexico	0.2
	27 Jun 2021 18:00	Rockport	United States	0.2
	27 Jun 2021 18:00	Shell Ridge	United States	0.2
	27 Jun 2021 18:00	Copano Village	United States	0.2
	27 Jun 2021 18:00	Fulton	United States	0.2
	27 Jun 2021 18:00	Holiday Beach	United States	0.2
	27 Jun 2021 18:00	Lamar	United States	0.2
	28 Jun 2021 17:30	Puerto Magdalena	Mexico	0.2
	28 Jun 2021 00:00	Adolfo Lopez Mateos	Mexico	0.2
	28 Jun 2021 00:00	Queretaro	Mexico	0.2
	28 Jun 2021 01:30	Buenaventura	Mexico	0.2
	28 Jun 2021 02:30	San Bruno	Mexico	0.2
	28 Jun 2021 02:30	Loreto	Mexico	0.2
	27 Jun 2021 23:45	Rancho Conejo	Mexico	0.2
	27 Jun 2021 23:45	El Tomale	Mexico	0.2
	27 Jun 2021 23:45	Agua Fresca	Mexico	0.2
	27 Jun 2021 18:00	Las Tinajas	Mexico	0.2
	27 Jun 2021 18:30	Tripui	Mexico	0.2
	27 Jun 2021 18:30	San Cosme	Mexico	0.2
	28 Jun 2021 02:00	Las Palmas	Mexico	0.2
	27 Jun 2021 19:00	San Juan de la Costa	Mexico	0.2
	27 Jun 2021 19:45	La Puerta	Mexico	0.2
	27 Jun 2021 19:45	Isla de Palmito del Verde	Mexico	0.2
	27 Jun 2021 19:15	Marmol	Mexico	0.2
	28 Jun 2021 05:30	Madero Amarillo	Mexico	0.2
	27 Jun 2021 18:30	Puerto Vallarta	Mexico	0.2
	27 Jun 2021 22:00	Barron	Mexico	0.2
	28 Jun 2021 01:45	San Juanico	Mexico	0.2
	28 Jun 2021 02:45	San Bruno	Mexico	0.2
	27 Jun 2021 18:45	Santo Domingo	Mexico	0.2
	29 Jun 2021 09:45	Cachimba	Mexico	0.2
	27 Jun 2021 18:45	Ligui	Mexico	0.2
	28 Jun 2021 10:30	Garrapateras	Mexico	0.2
	28 Jun 2021 10:30	Majada Villalobos	Mexico	0.2
	28 Jun 2021 10:30	Salina Cruz	Mexico	0.2
	28 Jun 2021 02:00	Santa Rosalia	Mexico	0.2
	29 Jun 2021 06:30	Matagorda	United States	0.1
	29 Jun 2021 06:30	Chinquapin	United States	0.1
	27 Jun 2021 18:30	San Juanico	Mexico	0.1
	29 Jun 2021 06:45	Point Comfort	United States	0.1
	29 Jun 2021 06:45	Magnolia Beach	United States	0.1
	29 Jun 2021 06:45	Olivia	United States	0.1
	29 Jun 2021 06:45	Weedhaven	United States	0.1
	29 Jun 2021 06:45	Port Alto	United States	0.1
	29 Jun 2021 06:45	Carancahua	United States	0.1
	29 Jun 2021 06:45	El Campo Club Community	United States	0.1
	29 Jun 2021 06:45	Camp Hulen	United States	0.1
	28 Jun 2021 00:30	Lagarto	Mexico	0.1
	28 Jun 2021 02:15	Liliba	Mexico	0.1
	28 Jun 2021 03:15	Mulege	Mexico	0.1
	28 Jun 2021 03:15	Los Dolores	Mexico	0.1
	28 Jun 2021 00:45	Playa Oceano Pacifico	Mexico	0.1
	28 Jun 2021 05:30	Port Lavaca	United States	0.1
	28 Jun 2021 05:30	Alamo Beach	United States	0.1
	28 Jun 2021 05:30	Indianola	United States	0.1
	27 Jun 2021 22:00	San Francisco del Mar	Mexico	0.1
	27 Jun 2021 22:00	La Majada	Mexico	0.1
	28 Jun 2021 00:45	San Carlos	Mexico	0.1
	28 Jun 2021 01:15	Boca del Melgoita	Mexico	0.1
	30 Jun 2021 14:15	La Trinadad	Mexico	0.1
	28 Jun 2021 03:00	San Ignacio	Mexico	0.1
	28 Jun 2021 01:45	Rancho Datilari	Mexico	0.1
	28 Jun 2021 06:30	Costa Rica	Mexico	0.1
	27 Jun 2021 20:15	Estrecho	Mexico	0.1
	28 Jun 2021 00:45	San Jose del Cabo	Mexico	0.1
	27 Jun 2021 18:30	Santiago	Mexico	0.1
	27 Jun 2021 18:30	Manzanillo	Mexico	0.1
	28 Jun 2021 17:30	Mims	United States	0.1
	28 Jun 2021 17:30	Hoskins	United States	0.1
	28 Jun 2021 17:30	Peterson Landing	United States	0.1
	28 Jun 2021 17:30	Port Morris	United States	0.1
	28 Jun 2021 17:30	Red Fish Cove	United States	0.1
	28 Jun 2021 17:30	Bay Harbor	United States	0.1
	28 Jun 2021 17:30	Sea Isle	United States	0.1
	28 Jun 2021 17:30	Hitchcock	United States	0.1
	28 Jun 2021 17:30	Jamaica Beach	United States	0.1
	27 Jun 2021 19:15	Pesqueria	Mexico	0.1
	27 Jun 2021 20:00	El Ciruelo	Mexico	0.1
	27 Jun 2021 20:00	Cuyutlan	Mexico	0.1
	27 Jun 2021 18:30	El Real	Mexico	0.1
	27 Jun 2021 18:30	Chupadero	Mexico	0.1
	27 Jun 2021 18:30	Apisa	Mexico	0.1
	27 Jun 2021 18:30	Cayaca	Mexico	0.1
	28 Jun 2021 04:45	Gregory	United States	0.1
	28 Jun 2021 04:45	Caruthers Cove Colonia	United States	0.1
	28 Jun 2021 04:45	Ingleside	United States	0.1
	28 Jun 2021 04:45	Kenney Lane West Colonia	United States	0.1
	28 Jun 2021 04:45	Port Ingleside	United States	0.1
	28 Jun 2021 04:45	Indian Trails Lane Colonia	United States	0.1
	28 Jun 2021 04:45	Country Acres Colonia	United States	0.1
	28 Jun 2021 04:45	Country Estates Colonia	United States	0.1
	28 Jun 2021 04:45	Aransas Pass	United States	0.1
	28 Jun 2021 04:45	Estes	United States	0.1
	28 Jun 2021 04:45	Mustang Beach	United States	0.1
	28 Jun 2021 04:45	Port Aransas	United States	0.1
	28 Jun 2021 01:30	Bahia Asuncion	Mexico	0.1
	27 Jun 2021 20:00	Todos Santos	Mexico	0.1
	27 Jun 2021 21:00	Pizota	Mexico	0.1
	29 Jun 2021 05:45	Maudlowe	United States	0.1
	29 Jun 2021 05:45	Tivoli	United States	0.1
	29 Jun 2021 05:45	Spanish Village	United States	0.1
	29 Jun 2021 05:45	Austwell	United States	0.1
	29 Jun 2021 05:45	Seadrift	United States	0.1
	29 Jun 2021 06:30	North Seadrift	United States	0.1
	29 Jun 2021 06:30	Long Mott	United States	0.1
	28 Jun 2021 05:45	Port O'Connor	United States	0.1
	27 Jun 2021 22:45	San Telmo	Mexico	0.1
	27 Jun 2021 20:00	El Pescadero	Mexico	0.1
	27 Jun 2021 23:30	El Tule	Mexico	0.1
	28 Jun 2021 05:15	Bayside	United States	0.1
	29 Jun 2021 08:45	Tierra Colorada	Mexico	0.1
	28 Jun 2021 06:30	San Lucas	Mexico	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.