Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for ENRIQUE-21 in Mexico from 25 Jun 2021 09:00 UTC to 30 Jun 2021 21:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for ENRIQUE-21

in Mexico

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to select bulletin time

Meteorological source:

GDACS NOAA

Impact Single TC

GFS
HWRF
ECMWF

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone ENRIQUE-21 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	HWRF
Exposed countries	Mexico
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	155 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.3 m (27 Jun 22:00 UTC)
Vulnerability	Medium (Mexico)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
HWRF Current	155 km/h	0.3 m	265 mm	0.5
HWRF Overall	173 km/h	0.4 m	665 mm	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 27 Jun 2021 12:00 UTC

Category	Country	Population
Tropical Storm	Mexico	127,411

See TC classification SSHS

Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Pop in Cat. 1 or higher	TS	Cat. 1	Cat. 2	Cat. 3	Cat. 4	Cat. 5	Countries
1	25 Jun 2021 06:00	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	25 Jun 2021 12:00	83	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	25 Jun 2021 18:00	104	-		-	-	-	-	-	Mexico
4	26 Jun 2021 00:00	104	-		-	-	-	-	-	Mexico
5	26 Jun 2021 06:00	115	-		-	-	-	-	-	Mexico
6	26 Jun 2021 12:00	130	-		-	-	-	-	-	Mexico
7	26 Jun 2021 18:00	144	-		-	-	-	-	-	Mexico
8	27 Jun 2021 00:00	126	-		-	-	-	-	-	Mexico
9	27 Jun 2021 06:00	155	-		-	-	-	-	-	Mexico
10	27 Jun 2021 12:00	158	-		-	-	-	-	-	Mexico

Download:

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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Rainfall

665 mm

Up to 1.5 million can be affected by rain higher than 100mm (see SSHS)

Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 27 Jun 2021 12:00 UTC

Level	Country	Population
500-750 mm	Mexico	67,519
250-500 mm	Mexico	267,008
100-250 mm	Mexico	1,164,775
50-100 mm	Mexico	1,638,993

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Rainfall (mm)	Pop >100mm or higher	50-100	100-250	250-500	500-750	750-1000	>1000	Countries
1	25 Jun 2021 06:00	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	25 Jun 2021 12:00	289	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	25 Jun 2021 18:00	238	-		-	-	-	-	-	Mexico
4	26 Jun 2021 00:00	240	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
5	26 Jun 2021 06:00	256	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
6	26 Jun 2021 12:00	158	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
7	26 Jun 2021 18:00	224	-		-	-	-	-	-	Mexico
8	27 Jun 2021 00:00	253	-		-	-	-	-	-	Mexico
9	27 Jun 2021 06:00	244	-		-	-	-	-	-	Mexico
10	27 Jun 2021 12:00	808	1.5 million					-	-	Mexico

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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StormSurge

0.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.3m in La Fortuna, Mexico. This height is estimated for 27 Jun 2021 22:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 27 Jun 2021 12:00 UTC

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	27 Jun 2021 22:00	La Fortuna	Mexico	0.3
	27 Jun 2021 22:00	El Cardoncito	Mexico	0.3
	27 Jun 2021 22:00	Los Frailes	Mexico	0.3
	27 Jun 2021 17:30	Bahia de Tortugas	Mexico	0.3
	28 Jun 2021 03:45	Cabo Tepoca	Mexico	0.2
	28 Jun 2021 03:30	Tecomate	Mexico	0.2
	29 Jun 2021 01:30	Puerto Venustiano Carranza	Mexico	0.2
	28 Jun 2021 03:45	San Rafael	Mexico	0.2
	27 Jun 2021 22:15	Puerto Charley	Mexico	0.2
	28 Jun 2021 04:00	Bahia Kino	Mexico	0.2
	27 Jun 2021 15:15	El Real	Mexico	0.2
	27 Jun 2021 15:15	Chupadero	Mexico	0.2
	27 Jun 2021 15:15	Apisa	Mexico	0.2
	27 Jun 2021 15:15	Cayaca	Mexico	0.2
	27 Jun 2021 16:00	Cuantla	Mexico	0.2
	27 Jun 2021 16:00	Cuamecate	Mexico	0.2
	27 Jun 2021 16:00	Santa Cruz	Mexico	0.2
	27 Jun 2021 21:00	Chola	Mexico	0.2
	27 Jun 2021 18:00	Cachoana	Mexico	0.2
	27 Jun 2021 15:30	Los Tesos	Mexico	0.2
	27 Jun 2021 18:45	Los Burros	Mexico	0.2
	27 Jun 2021 12:15	San Blas	Mexico	0.2
	27 Jun 2021 12:15	Santa Cruz	Mexico	0.2
	28 Jun 2021 04:45	San Francisco	Mexico	0.2
	28 Jun 2021 04:45	Monteon	Mexico	0.2
	28 Jun 2021 04:45	La Lima	Mexico	0.2
	27 Jun 2021 12:45	Barra de Navidad	Mexico	0.2
	27 Jun 2021 12:45	Estrecho	Mexico	0.2
	27 Jun 2021 13:30	El Nuevo	Mexico	0.2
	28 Jun 2021 04:00	Agua de las Flores	Mexico	0.2
	29 Jun 2021 02:30	Aguaje	Mexico	0.2
	27 Jun 2021 14:00	La Manzanilla	Mexico	0.2
	28 Jun 2021 07:30	Desembarcadero de Miller	Mexico	0.2
	28 Jun 2021 17:00	Toro Mocho	Mexico	0.2
	27 Jun 2021 20:00	La Palmita	Mexico	0.2
	27 Jun 2021 20:00	Caimanero	Mexico	0.2
	27 Jun 2021 20:00	Jarilla	Mexico	0.2
	28 Jun 2021 12:45	Punta Mita	Mexico	0.2
	28 Jun 2021 12:45	Cruz de Juanacaxtle	Mexico	0.2
	28 Jun 2021 18:15	Puerto Cortes	Mexico	0.2
	28 Jun 2021 18:15	El Guatamota	Mexico	0.2
	27 Jun 2021 22:00	Perihuete	Mexico	0.2
	27 Jun 2021 22:00	Dimas	Mexico	0.2
	28 Jun 2021 19:30	Nadeau	United States	0.2
	28 Jun 2021 19:30	Texas City Junction	United States	0.2
	28 Jun 2021 19:30	Bayou Vista	United States	0.2
	28 Jun 2021 19:30	Texas City	United States	0.2
	28 Jun 2021 19:30	Anderson Ways	United States	0.2
	28 Jun 2021 19:30	Virginia Point	United States	0.2
	28 Jun 2021 19:30	Galveston	United States	0.2
	28 Jun 2021 19:30	Port Bolivar	United States	0.2
	28 Jun 2021 19:30	Fort Travis	United States	0.2
	27 Jun 2021 18:30	Topolobampo	Mexico	0.2
	27 Jun 2021 12:00	Rockport	United States	0.2
	27 Jun 2021 12:00	Shell Ridge	United States	0.2
	27 Jun 2021 12:00	Copano Village	United States	0.2
	27 Jun 2021 12:00	Fulton	United States	0.2
	27 Jun 2021 12:00	Holiday Beach	United States	0.2
	27 Jun 2021 12:00	Lamar	United States	0.2
	28 Jun 2021 03:00	Guaymas	Mexico	0.2
	28 Jun 2021 03:00	Empalme	Mexico	0.2
	28 Jun 2021 10:30	Novillero	Mexico	0.2
	27 Jun 2021 13:00	Arista	Mexico	0.2
	27 Jun 2021 13:15	Cuitzmala	Mexico	0.2
	27 Jun 2021 19:00	Ipala	Mexico	0.2
	27 Jun 2021 18:15	Santa Cruz	Mexico	0.2
	27 Jun 2021 18:15	La Ventana	Mexico	0.2
	27 Jun 2021 18:15	Ensenada de los Muertos	Mexico	0.2
	27 Jun 2021 12:00	Rancho Datilari	Mexico	0.2
	28 Jun 2021 04:00	El Barril	Mexico	0.2
	27 Jun 2021 18:45	Santa Marta	Mexico	0.2
	27 Jun 2021 18:45	Tambobiche	Mexico	0.2
	27 Jun 2021 19:15	El Castillo	Mexico	0.2
	27 Jun 2021 19:15	Las Arenitas	Mexico	0.2
	28 Jun 2021 02:45	El Aquajito	Mexico	0.2
	28 Jun 2021 03:30	La Boca	Mexico	0.2
	27 Jun 2021 12:15	Santiago	Mexico	0.2
	27 Jun 2021 12:15	Manzanillo	Mexico	0.2
	27 Jun 2021 17:45	Altata	Mexico	0.2
	27 Jun 2021 18:45	Atanacio	Mexico	0.2
	27 Jun 2021 18:45	El Paredoncito	Mexico	0.2
	27 Jun 2021 18:45	Borabampo	Mexico	0.2
	27 Jun 2021 12:00	Agua del Coyote	Mexico	0.2
	28 Jun 2021 03:30	Tastiota	Mexico	0.2
	27 Jun 2021 12:30	San Juanico	Mexico	0.2
	27 Jun 2021 14:15	Santa Maria Xandani	Mexico	0.2
	27 Jun 2021 14:15	Costa Rica	Mexico	0.2
	27 Jun 2021 14:15	Pesqueria	Mexico	0.2
	27 Jun 2021 14:15	San Dionisio del Mar	Mexico	0.2
	28 Jun 2021 07:15	Cedros	Mexico	0.2
	27 Jun 2021 23:30	Estero la Bocana	Mexico	0.2
	28 Jun 2021 00:00	Corrales	Mexico	0.2
	28 Jun 2021 00:00	Aquiles Serdan	Mexico	0.2
	27 Jun 2021 19:00	Chamela	Mexico	0.2
	27 Jun 2021 17:45	Rosario	Mexico	0.2
	27 Jun 2021 19:30	La Florida	Mexico	0.2
	27 Jun 2021 12:45	Puerto Magdalena	Mexico	0.2
	27 Jun 2021 12:45	Madero Amarillo	Mexico	0.2
	28 Jun 2021 07:30	Isla Natividad	Mexico	0.2
	28 Jun 2021 10:30	Garrapateras	Mexico	0.2
	28 Jun 2021 10:30	Majada Villalobos	Mexico	0.2
	28 Jun 2021 10:30	Salina Cruz	Mexico	0.2
	27 Jun 2021 19:00	Datilito	Mexico	0.2
	27 Jun 2021 19:00	La Paz	Mexico	0.2
	28 Jun 2021 02:15	San Jose	Mexico	0.2
	27 Jun 2021 21:00	San Juan de la Costa	Mexico	0.2
	27 Jun 2021 17:45	Las Bocas	Mexico	0.2
	27 Jun 2021 17:45	Camahuiroa	Mexico	0.2
	28 Jun 2021 00:00	Adolfo Lopez Mateos	Mexico	0.2
	28 Jun 2021 00:00	Queretaro	Mexico	0.2
	28 Jun 2021 03:45	Marmol	Mexico	0.2
	28 Jun 2021 03:45	Florida	Mexico	0.2
	28 Jun 2021 03:45	Mazatlan	Mexico	0.2
	27 Jun 2021 18:15	Boca del Rio	Mexico	0.2
	27 Jun 2021 17:15	San Carlos	Mexico	0.2
	27 Jun 2021 22:00	Huajapan	Mexico	0.2
	27 Jun 2021 22:00	El Roble	Mexico	0.2
	27 Jun 2021 18:00	Las Tinajas	Mexico	0.2
	28 Jun 2021 02:45	Guasimas	Mexico	0.2
	27 Jun 2021 18:15	Tripui	Mexico	0.2
	27 Jun 2021 18:15	San Cosme	Mexico	0.2
	28 Jun 2021 03:15	Santa Rosalia	Mexico	0.2
	27 Jun 2021 18:30	Las Palmas	Mexico	0.2
	27 Jun 2021 18:30	La Ribera	Mexico	0.2
	27 Jun 2021 18:30	Punta Colorada	Mexico	0.2
	27 Jun 2021 18:30	Punta Arena	Mexico	0.2
	27 Jun 2021 18:45	Santo Domingo	Mexico	0.2
	27 Jun 2021 18:30	Loreto	Mexico	0.2
	27 Jun 2021 17:45	La Trinadad	Mexico	0.2
	27 Jun 2021 12:00	Matagorda	United States	0.2
	27 Jun 2021 12:00	Chinquapin	United States	0.2
	27 Jun 2021 18:45	San Carlos	Mexico	0.2
	27 Jun 2021 18:15	Santa Rosalia	Mexico	0.2
	28 Jun 2021 01:30	Buenaventura	Mexico	0.2
	28 Jun 2021 04:30	Barron	Mexico	0.2
	28 Jun 2021 13:15	Lagarto	Mexico	0.2
	28 Jun 2021 10:15	Puerto Vallarta	Mexico	0.2
	28 Jun 2021 06:45	Playa Oceano Pacifico	Mexico	0.2
	27 Jun 2021 18:30	La Playa Colorada	Mexico	0.2
	27 Jun 2021 18:45	Ligui	Mexico	0.1
	27 Jun 2021 17:45	San Bruno	Mexico	0.1
	27 Jun 2021 13:00	Boca del Melgoita	Mexico	0.1
	29 Jun 2021 06:00	Quinones	Mexico	0.1
	27 Jun 2021 18:15	San Juanico	Mexico	0.1
	27 Jun 2021 19:15	San Bruno	Mexico	0.1
	27 Jun 2021 19:15	Mulege	Mexico	0.1
	27 Jun 2021 13:15	El Ciruelo	Mexico	0.1
	27 Jun 2021 13:15	Cuyutlan	Mexico	0.1
	27 Jun 2021 19:00	Los Dolores	Mexico	0.1
	28 Jun 2021 19:30	San Francisco del Mar	Mexico	0.1
	28 Jun 2021 19:30	La Majada	Mexico	0.1
	27 Jun 2021 12:00	Rancho Conejo	Mexico	0.1
	27 Jun 2021 16:45	El Tomale	Mexico	0.1
	27 Jun 2021 19:00	Liliba	Mexico	0.1
	28 Jun 2021 01:00	Cachimba	Mexico	0.1
	27 Jun 2021 19:30	La Puerta	Mexico	0.1
	27 Jun 2021 19:30	Isla de Palmito del Verde	Mexico	0.1
	27 Jun 2021 23:45	Agua Fresca	Mexico	0.1
	27 Jun 2021 19:00	Los Inocentes	Mexico	0.1
	27 Jun 2021 23:30	Cunano	Mexico	0.1
	27 Jun 2021 18:30	San Ignacio	Mexico	0.1
	28 Jun 2021 06:15	Point Comfort	United States	0.1
	28 Jun 2021 06:15	Magnolia Beach	United States	0.1
	28 Jun 2021 06:15	Olivia	United States	0.1
	28 Jun 2021 06:15	Weedhaven	United States	0.1
	28 Jun 2021 06:15	Port Alto	United States	0.1
	28 Jun 2021 06:15	Carancahua	United States	0.1
	28 Jun 2021 06:15	El Campo Club Community	United States	0.1
	28 Jun 2021 06:15	Camp Hulen	United States	0.1
	28 Jun 2021 18:45	Mims	United States	0.1
	28 Jun 2021 18:45	Hoskins	United States	0.1
	28 Jun 2021 18:45	Peterson Landing	United States	0.1
	28 Jun 2021 18:45	Port Morris	United States	0.1
	28 Jun 2021 18:45	Red Fish Cove	United States	0.1
	28 Jun 2021 18:45	Bay Harbor	United States	0.1
	28 Jun 2021 18:45	Sea Isle	United States	0.1
	28 Jun 2021 18:45	Hitchcock	United States	0.1
	28 Jun 2021 18:45	Jamaica Beach	United States	0.1
	28 Jun 2021 05:45	Port Lavaca	United States	0.1
	28 Jun 2021 05:45	Alamo Beach	United States	0.1
	28 Jun 2021 05:45	Indianola	United States	0.1
	27 Jun 2021 12:30	Las Pinas	Mexico	0.1
	27 Jun 2021 12:30	Playa Azul	Mexico	0.1
	27 Jun 2021 17:30	Pizota	Mexico	0.1
	28 Jun 2021 00:45	Bahia Asuncion	Mexico	0.1
	28 Jun 2021 00:45	San Jose del Cabo	Mexico	0.1
	27 Jun 2021 20:00	Todos Santos	Mexico	0.1
	27 Jun 2021 12:30	Melchor Ocampo	Mexico	0.1
	28 Jun 2021 06:30	San Lucas	Mexico	0.1
	28 Jun 2021 06:30	El Tule	Mexico	0.1
	27 Jun 2021 20:00	El Pescadero	Mexico	0.1
	28 Jun 2021 04:30	Port O'Connor	United States	0.1
	28 Jun 2021 01:30	Gregory	United States	0.1
	28 Jun 2021 01:30	Caruthers Cove Colonia	United States	0.1
	28 Jun 2021 01:30	Ingleside	United States	0.1
	28 Jun 2021 01:30	Kenney Lane West Colonia	United States	0.1
	28 Jun 2021 01:30	Port Ingleside	United States	0.1
	28 Jun 2021 01:30	Indian Trails Lane Colonia	United States	0.1
	28 Jun 2021 01:30	Country Acres Colonia	United States	0.1
	28 Jun 2021 01:30	Country Estates Colonia	United States	0.1
	28 Jun 2021 01:30	Aransas Pass	United States	0.1
	28 Jun 2021 01:30	Estes	United States	0.1
	28 Jun 2021 01:30	Mustang Beach	United States	0.1
	28 Jun 2021 01:30	Port Aransas	United States	0.1
	29 Jun 2021 06:00	Maudlowe	United States	0.1
	29 Jun 2021 06:00	Tivoli	United States	0.1
	29 Jun 2021 06:00	Spanish Village	United States	0.1
	29 Jun 2021 06:00	Austwell	United States	0.1
	29 Jun 2021 06:00	North Seadrift	United States	0.1
	29 Jun 2021 06:00	Long Mott	United States	0.1
	29 Jun 2021 06:00	Seadrift	United States	0.1
	27 Jun 2021 18:30	Las Trojitas	Mexico	0.1
	27 Jun 2021 18:30	Calla de Campos	Mexico	0.1
	27 Jun 2021 18:30	Chula	Mexico	0.1
	27 Jun 2021 23:15	La Tinaja	Mexico	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.