Overall Orange alert Tropical Cyclone for LORENA-19
in Mexico
19 Sep 2019 12 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone LORENA-19 can have a medium humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source ECMWF
Exposed countries Mexico
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 83 km/h
Maximum storm surge 4.7 m (20 Sep 00:00 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Mexico)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
ECMWF Current 83 km/h 4.7 m 516 mm 0.5
ECMWF Overall 68 km/h 4.7 m 432 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

68 km/h

Up to 5 thousand can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 19 Sep 2019 12:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormMexico4,882 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 17 Sep 2019 00:00 65 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 17 Sep 2019 12:00 65 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 18 Sep 2019 00:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 18 Sep 2019 12:00 90 -
- - - - - Mexico
GREEN 5 19 Sep 2019 00:00 61 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 19 Sep 2019 12:00 90 -
- - - - - Mexico
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
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Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 19 Sep 2019 12:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
500-750 mmUnited States337 
250-500 mmUnited States166,900 
100-250 mmUnited States, Mexico2,191,887
+
United States2,108,209 
Mexico83,678 
50-100 mmUnited States, Mexico5,633,364
+
United States4,474,278 
Mexico1,159,086 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 17 Sep 2019 00:00 356 70 thousand
- - - - Mexico
Blue 2 17 Sep 2019 12:00 496 20 thousand
- - - - United States, Mexico
Blue 3 18 Sep 2019 00:00 372 1 million
- - - - United States, Mexico
Blue 4 18 Sep 2019 12:00 450 30 thousand
- - - - United States, Mexico
Blue 5 19 Sep 2019 00:00 305 1.1 million
- - - United States, Mexico
Blue 6 19 Sep 2019 12:00 548 2.4 million
- - United States, Mexico




Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

StormSurge

4.7 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  4.7m in Rancho Nuevo, Mexico. This height is estimated for 20 Sep 2019 00:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 19 Sep 2019 12:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
20 Sep 2019 00:00 Rancho Nuevo Mexico  4.7
20 Sep 2019 00:00 Rancho de Piedra Mexico  4.7
20 Sep 2019 00:00 Tecolutla Mexico  4.5
20 Sep 2019 00:00 La Guadalupe Mexico  4.5
20 Sep 2019 00:00 Monte Gordo Mexico  4.5
20 Sep 2019 00:00 Buen Pais Mexico  4.1
20 Sep 2019 00:00 Alvarado Mexico  4.1
20 Sep 2019 00:00 Conejo Mexico  4.1
20 Sep 2019 00:00 Las Barrillas Mexico  3.6
20 Sep 2019 00:00 Coatzacoalcos Mexico  3.6
20 Sep 2019 00:00 Pueblo Viejo Mexico  3.4
20 Sep 2019 00:00 Primero de Mayo Mexico  3.4
20 Sep 2019 00:00 Tampico Alta Mexico  3.4
20 Sep 2019 00:00 Tamiahua Mexico  2.7
20 Sep 2019 00:00 El Naranjal Mexico  2.7
20 Sep 2019 00:00 Nautla Mexico  2.6
20 Sep 2019 00:00 El Laurel Mexico  2.6
20 Sep 2019 00:00 La Pesca Mexico  2.3
20 Sep 2019 00:00 San Cosme Mexico  2.3
20 Sep 2019 00:00 Santa Marta Mexico  2.3
20 Sep 2019 00:00 Tepeguahe Mexico  1.7
20 Sep 2019 00:00 Los Pericos Mexico  1.7
20 Sep 2019 00:00 Ursulo Galvan Mexico  1.5
20 Sep 2019 00:00 Fraccionamiento Nuevo Leon Mexico  1.3
20 Sep 2019 00:00 Laja Mexico  1.3
20 Sep 2019 00:00 Chiltepec Mexico  0.9
20 Sep 2019 00:00 Laguna Heights United States  0.9
20 Sep 2019 00:00 Port Isabel United States  0.9
20 Sep 2019 00:00 Kopernik Shores United States  0.9
20 Sep 2019 00:00 South Padre Island United States  0.9
20 Sep 2019 00:00 Boca Chica United States  0.9
20 Sep 2019 00:00 La Presita Mexico  0.7
20 Sep 2019 00:00 Las Guayabas Mexico  0.5
19 Sep 2019 21:30 Aguaje Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 21:30 Ojo de Liebre Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 22:45 La Concepion Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 23:00 Barra de San Jose Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 23:45 Boqueron Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 23:45 Pasito de la Senora Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 22:30 Arista Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 22:45 El Golfo de Santa Clara Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 23:30 Huajapan Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 23:15 Garrapateras Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 23:15 Majada Villalobos Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 23:15 Salina Cruz Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 23:15 Pesqueria Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 23:15 San Francisco del Mar Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 23:15 La Majada Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 22:45 El Tornillal Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 23:45 San Felipe Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 22:45 Cachimba Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 23:00 Lagarto Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 23:00 El Roble Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 23:45 Buenavista Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 23:00 Costa Rica Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 21:00 La Choya Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 22:00 Solo Dios Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 17:45 Puerto Venustiano Carranza Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 23:30 Ayutla Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 21:15 Puerto Penasco Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 23:00 Puertecitos Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 16:30 Cedros Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 22:45 Bajo de Arenal Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 22:45 Tangolunda Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 22:45 Mirador Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 16:00 Puerto Cortes Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 16:00 El Guatamota Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 16:15 Avalon United States  0.2
19 Sep 2019 17:30 Desembarcadero de Miller Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 16:45 Puerto Magdalena Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 16:45 San Carlos Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 16:45 Madero Amarillo Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 17:00 San Juanico Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 17:00 Boca del Melgoita Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 17:00 Buenaventura Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 23:30 Loma Larga Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 16:45 Agua del Coyote Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 16:45 Las Tinajas Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 15:45 Puerto Charley Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 23:00 Pie Cerro Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 16:45 Rancho San Francisco Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 16:45 Colonia Camalu Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 23:30 Puerto Angel Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 17:00 Serena Park United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 17:00 Franciscan Village United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 17:00 Carpinteria United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 17:00 Rincon United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 17:00 Shepards United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 17:00 Punta United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 17:00 Faria United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 17:00 Dulah United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 17:00 San Buenaventura United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 17:00 Ventura United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 17:00 Montecito United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 17:00 Summerland United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 22:30 Rancho Bahia Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 23:45 La Redonda Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 15:45 Quinones Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 22:45 Orange Grove United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 22:45 Peary Place United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 22:45 Flour Bluff United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 23:45 Tlachicon Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 23:45 Coyote Mexico  0.1
20 Sep 2019 00:00 Paso Hondo Mexico  0.1
20 Sep 2019 00:00 Chagues Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 17:00 Santo Domingo Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 17:30 Hollywood By The Sea United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 17:30 Channel Islands Beach United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 17:30 Oxnard United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 16:45 La Florida Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 16:15 Rancho Boca de San Jose Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 16:15 Erendria Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 13:45 San Bruno Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 16:00 Estero la Bocana Mexico  0.1
20 Sep 2019 00:00 Bajos de Chila Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 17:00 Belmont Shore United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 17:00 Surfside United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 17:00 Seal Beach United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 17:00 Sunset Beach United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 17:00 Huntington Beach United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 17:00 Newport Beach United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 17:00 Cliff Haven United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 17:00 Bay Shores United States  0.1
20 Sep 2019 00:00 Tecomate Mexico  0.1
20 Sep 2019 00:00 Cabo Tepoca Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 19:15 Johnson's Bayou United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 19:15 Constance Beach United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 19:15 Peveto Beach United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 23:30 Puerto Escondido Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 16:45 El Nido United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 16:45 Malibu Bowl United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 16:45 Malibu United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 16:45 Monte Nido United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 16:45 Las Flores United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 16:45 Castellammare United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 16:45 Pacific Palisades United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 16:45 Santa Monica United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 16:45 Sawtelle United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 16:45 Marina del Rey United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 16:45 Playa del Rey United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 23:45 La Tuza Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 16:45 Alsace United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 16:45 El Segundo United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 16:45 Manhattan Beach United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 16:45 Hermosa Beach United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 16:45 Palos Verdes Estates United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 16:45 Clifton United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 16:45 Redondo Beach United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 16:45 Rancho Palos Verdes United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 16:45 Rolling Hills Estates United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 16:45 Rolling Hills United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 16:45 Santa Catarina Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 22:30 Molino Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 22:30 Molino Lacy Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 17:15 Isla Natividad Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 16:15 Playa Oceano Pacifico Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 19:45 Sabine United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 16:45 Sycamore United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 16:45 Solromar United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 16:45 Malibu West United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 16:45 Point Dume United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 16:45 Malibu Vista United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 16:15 Adolfo Lopez Mateos Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 16:45 Queretaro Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 13:15 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 13:15 El Nuevo Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 17:00 Balboa United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 17:00 Corona del Mar United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 17:00 Crystal Cove United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 17:00 South Laguna United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 16:30 San Pedro United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 16:30 Wilmington United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 16:30 Signal Hill United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 16:45 Azure Vista United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 16:45 Ocean Beach United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 16:45 Mission Beach United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 16:45 Fort Rosecrans United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 16:45 Roseville United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 16:45 Loma Portal United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 16:45 San Diego United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 16:45 Coronado United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 16:45 Imperial Beach United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 16:45 Boal United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 16:45 Encinitas United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 16:45 Cardiff-by-the-Sea United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 16:45 La Jolla United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 16:45 The Muirlands United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 16:45 Solana Beach United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 16:45 Green Valley Mobile Estates United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 16:45 Del Mar United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 16:45 Easter Cross United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 16:45 Campland on the Bay Trailer Park United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 16:45 Sorrento United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 17:15 Rosarito Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 17:00 Capistrano Beach United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 13:00 Cuamecate Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 17:15 Emerald Bay United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 17:15 Laguna Beach United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 17:15 Canyon Acres United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 17:15 Top of the World United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 23:45 Tierra Colorada Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 19:15 Holly Beach United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 17:00 San Clemente United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 14:00 Novillero Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 14:00 Cuantla Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 17:15 Coromar United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 17:15 Isla Vista United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 17:15 Goleta United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 17:15 Hope Ranch United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 17:15 Mission United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 23:45 Copala Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 23:45 Marquelia Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 17:15 Stuart United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 17:15 Fallbrook Junction United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 17:15 Camp Pendleton South United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 17:00 San Joaquin Hills United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 17:15 Las Cruces United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 17:15 Gaviota United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 17:15 Lento United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 17:15 Tajiguas United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 17:15 Capitan United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 17:15 Naples United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 19:30 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 19:30 La Ventana Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 19:30 Ensenada de los Muertos Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 23:45 Mauricio Gutierrez Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 16:45 Agra United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 16:45 Ponto United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 16:45 Leucadia United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 17:15 Las Flores United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 17:15 Escondido Junction United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 17:15 Oceanside United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 17:15 Carlsbad United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 16:45 Two Harbors United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 23:30 El Papayo Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 16:30 Rancho Cepeda Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 18:15 La Ribera Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 18:15 Punta Colorada Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 18:15 Punta Arena Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 18:15 Los Tesos Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 14:15 Isla de Palmito del Verde Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 15:00 San Blas Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 15:00 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 13:45 Caimanero Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 13:45 Jarilla Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 13:45 La Puerta Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 12:30 Punta Mita Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 12:30 San Francisco Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 12:30 Cruz de Juanacaxtle Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 12:30 Puerto Vallarta Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 17:00 San Augustine United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 17:00 Sacate United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 16:30 El Sauzal Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 16:30 Cabo Punta Banda Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 16:30 Ensenada Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 23:15 El Marques Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 16:00 Rancho Datilari Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 23:15 Acapulco Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 16:45 El Rosario Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 13:00 San Bruno Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 13:00 Loreto Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 14:45 Dimas Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 20:00 High Island United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 17:00 El Descanso Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 17:00 La Mision Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 17:00 Encino Solo Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 21:30 Puerto Libertad Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 17:30 Jalama United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 17:30 Concepcion United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 17:30 Sudden United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 15:15 Perihuete Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 15:15 Florida Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 15:15 Mazatlan Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 16:30 Bahia Asuncion Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 15:45 Baywood Park United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 15:45 Port San Luis United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 15:45 Avila Beach United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 15:45 Sycamore Springs United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 15:45 Pismo Beach United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 15:45 Oceano United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 15:45 Grover City United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 15:45 Callender United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 23:30 Nuxco Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 23:00 Calvario Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 23:00 Coyuquillas Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 15:30 Rancho Conejo Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 15:30 El Tomale Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 13:45 La Palmita Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 15:15 Los Inocentes Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 16:15 Bahia de Tortugas Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 17:00 Santa Marie Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 15:15 Cunano Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 19:00 Cameron United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 18:00 Plaskett United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 18:00 Gorde United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 21:30 El Desemboque Mexico  0.1