Overall Orange alert Tropical Cyclone for LORENA-19
in Mexico
19 Sep 2019 00 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone LORENA-19 can have a medium humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source ECMWF
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 61 km/h
Maximum storm surge 4.7 m (19 Sep 12:00 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Mexico)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
ECMWF Current 61 km/h 4.7 m 305 mm 0.5
ECMWF Overall 68 km/h 4.7 m 432 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

68 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 19 Sep 2019 00:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 17 Sep 2019 00:00 65 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 17 Sep 2019 12:00 65 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 18 Sep 2019 00:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 18 Sep 2019 12:00 90 -
- - - - - Mexico
GREEN 5 19 Sep 2019 00:00 76 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
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Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 19 Sep 2019 00:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
500-750 mmUnited States8,474 
250-500 mmUnited States, Mexico364,387
+
United States336,494 
Mexico27,893 
100-250 mmUnited States, Mexico3,044,785
+
United States1,651,374 
Mexico1,393,411 
50-100 mmUnited States, Mexico5,474,825
+
United States4,447,645 
Mexico1,027,180 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 17 Sep 2019 00:00 356 70 thousand
- - - - Mexico
Blue 2 17 Sep 2019 12:00 496 20 thousand
- - - - United States, Mexico
Blue 3 18 Sep 2019 00:00 372 1 million
- - - - United States, Mexico
Blue 4 18 Sep 2019 12:00 450 30 thousand
- - - - United States, Mexico
Blue 5 19 Sep 2019 00:00 608 3.4 million
- - United States, Mexico




Impact estimation for the next 72h
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StormSurge

4.7 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  4.7m in Rancho Nuevo, Mexico. This height is estimated for 19 Sep 2019 12:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 19 Sep 2019 00:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
19 Sep 2019 12:00 Rancho Nuevo Mexico  4.7
19 Sep 2019 12:00 Rancho de Piedra Mexico  4.7
19 Sep 2019 12:00 Tecolutla Mexico  4.5
19 Sep 2019 12:00 La Guadalupe Mexico  4.5
19 Sep 2019 12:00 Monte Gordo Mexico  4.5
19 Sep 2019 12:00 Buen Pais Mexico  4.1
19 Sep 2019 12:00 Alvarado Mexico  4.1
19 Sep 2019 12:00 Conejo Mexico  4.1
19 Sep 2019 12:00 Las Barrillas Mexico  3.6
19 Sep 2019 12:00 Coatzacoalcos Mexico  3.6
19 Sep 2019 12:00 Pueblo Viejo Mexico  3.4
19 Sep 2019 12:00 Primero de Mayo Mexico  3.4
19 Sep 2019 12:00 Tampico Alta Mexico  3.4
19 Sep 2019 12:00 Tamiahua Mexico  2.7
19 Sep 2019 12:00 El Naranjal Mexico  2.7
19 Sep 2019 12:00 Nautla Mexico  2.6
19 Sep 2019 12:00 El Laurel Mexico  2.6
19 Sep 2019 12:00 La Pesca Mexico  2.3
19 Sep 2019 12:00 San Cosme Mexico  2.3
19 Sep 2019 12:00 Santa Marta Mexico  2.3
19 Sep 2019 12:00 Tepeguahe Mexico  1.7
19 Sep 2019 12:00 Los Pericos Mexico  1.7
19 Sep 2019 12:00 Ursulo Galvan Mexico  1.5
19 Sep 2019 12:00 Fraccionamiento Nuevo Leon Mexico  1.3
19 Sep 2019 12:00 Laja Mexico  1.3
19 Sep 2019 12:00 Chiltepec Mexico  0.9
19 Sep 2019 12:00 Laguna Heights United States  0.9
19 Sep 2019 12:00 Port Isabel United States  0.9
19 Sep 2019 12:00 Kopernik Shores United States  0.9
19 Sep 2019 12:00 South Padre Island United States  0.9
19 Sep 2019 12:00 Boca Chica United States  0.9
19 Sep 2019 12:00 La Presita Mexico  0.7
19 Sep 2019 12:00 Las Guayabas Mexico  0.5
19 Sep 2019 08:45 San Felipe Mexico  0.3
19 Sep 2019 08:30 El Golfo de Santa Clara Mexico  0.3
19 Sep 2019 08:15 El Tornillal Mexico  0.3
19 Sep 2019 08:00 Holly Beach United States  0.3
19 Sep 2019 08:00 Cameron United States  0.3
19 Sep 2019 08:15 Constance Beach United States  0.3
19 Sep 2019 08:15 Peveto Beach United States  0.3
19 Sep 2019 08:15 Johnson's Bayou United States  0.3
19 Sep 2019 07:45 Oak Grove United States  0.3
19 Sep 2019 07:30 Grand Chenier United States  0.3
19 Sep 2019 08:15 La Choya Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 11:15 Boqueron Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 11:15 Pasito de la Senora Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 08:15 Puerto Penasco Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 09:00 Sabine United States  0.2
19 Sep 2019 11:00 Huajapan Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 11:00 El Roble Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 11:00 Cachimba Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 11:00 Barra de San Jose Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 00:00 Aguaje Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 00:00 Ojo de Liebre Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 11:15 Solo Dios Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 11:15 Arista Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 11:00 Buenavista Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 11:00 San Francisco del Mar Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 10:45 La Majada Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 05:30 Castellammare United States  0.2
19 Sep 2019 05:30 Pacific Palisades United States  0.2
19 Sep 2019 05:30 Santa Monica United States  0.2
19 Sep 2019 05:30 Sawtelle United States  0.2
19 Sep 2019 05:30 Marina del Rey United States  0.2
19 Sep 2019 05:30 Playa del Rey United States  0.2
19 Sep 2019 05:30 Alsace United States  0.2
19 Sep 2019 05:30 El Segundo United States  0.2
19 Sep 2019 05:30 Manhattan Beach United States  0.2
19 Sep 2019 05:30 Hermosa Beach United States  0.2
19 Sep 2019 05:30 Clifton United States  0.2
19 Sep 2019 05:30 Redondo Beach United States  0.2
19 Sep 2019 05:00 Puerto Cortes Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 05:00 El Guatamota Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 11:45 Salina Cruz Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 11:45 Lagarto Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 05:45 Point Dume United States  0.2
19 Sep 2019 05:45 Malibu Vista United States  0.2
19 Sep 2019 05:45 El Nido United States  0.2
19 Sep 2019 05:45 Malibu Bowl United States  0.2
19 Sep 2019 05:45 Malibu United States  0.2
19 Sep 2019 05:45 Monte Nido United States  0.2
19 Sep 2019 05:45 Las Flores United States  0.2
19 Sep 2019 06:00 Faria United States  0.2
19 Sep 2019 06:00 Dulah United States  0.2
19 Sep 2019 05:45 Serena Park United States  0.2
19 Sep 2019 05:45 Franciscan Village United States  0.2
19 Sep 2019 05:45 Carpinteria United States  0.2
19 Sep 2019 05:45 Rincon United States  0.2
19 Sep 2019 05:45 Shepards United States  0.2
19 Sep 2019 05:45 Punta United States  0.2
19 Sep 2019 05:45 San Buenaventura United States  0.2
19 Sep 2019 05:45 Ventura United States  0.2
19 Sep 2019 05:30 Avalon United States  0.2
19 Sep 2019 09:15 Puertecitos Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 05:45 Malibu West United States  0.2
19 Sep 2019 05:45 Belmont Shore United States  0.2
19 Sep 2019 05:45 Surfside United States  0.2
19 Sep 2019 05:45 Seal Beach United States  0.2
19 Sep 2019 05:45 Sunset Beach United States  0.2
19 Sep 2019 05:45 Huntington Beach United States  0.2
19 Sep 2019 05:45 Newport Beach United States  0.2
19 Sep 2019 05:45 Cliff Haven United States  0.2
19 Sep 2019 05:45 Bay Shores United States  0.2
19 Sep 2019 05:45 Balboa United States  0.2
19 Sep 2019 05:45 Corona del Mar United States  0.2
19 Sep 2019 05:45 Crystal Cove United States  0.2
19 Sep 2019 05:45 Palos Verdes Estates United States  0.2
19 Sep 2019 06:00 Hollywood By The Sea United States  0.2
19 Sep 2019 06:00 Channel Islands Beach United States  0.2
19 Sep 2019 06:00 Oxnard United States  0.2
19 Sep 2019 05:30 Rancho Palos Verdes United States  0.2
19 Sep 2019 05:30 Rolling Hills Estates United States  0.2
19 Sep 2019 05:30 Rolling Hills United States  0.2
19 Sep 2019 05:45 Sycamore United States  0.2
19 Sep 2019 05:45 Solromar United States  0.2
19 Sep 2019 11:15 La Concepion Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 05:45 San Pedro United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 05:45 Wilmington United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 05:45 Signal Hill United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 11:30 Majada Villalobos Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 11:45 Costa Rica Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 07:30 High Island United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 05:45 San Joaquin Hills United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 05:45 Emerald Bay United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 10:45 Pesqueria Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 05:45 Montecito United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 05:45 Summerland United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 04:15 Puerto Venustiano Carranza Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 05:30 Two Harbors United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 07:45 San Bruno Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 05:45 Laguna Beach United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 05:45 Canyon Acres United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 05:45 Top of the World United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 05:45 South Laguna United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 05:45 Capistrano Beach United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 05:45 San Clemente United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 05:45 Agra United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 06:00 Hope Ranch United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 06:00 Mission United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 06:00 Isla Vista United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 06:00 Goleta United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 06:30 Rancho Bahia Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 10:30 Garrapateras Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 05:45 Las Flores United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 05:45 Coromar United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 05:45 Azure Vista United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 05:45 Ocean Beach United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 05:45 Mission Beach United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 05:45 Fort Rosecrans United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 05:45 Roseville United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 05:45 Loma Portal United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 05:45 San Diego United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 05:45 Coronado United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 05:45 Imperial Beach United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 05:45 Boal United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 04:45 Cedros Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 05:45 Stuart United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 05:45 Fallbrook Junction United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 05:45 Camp Pendleton South United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 05:30 La Jolla United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 05:30 The Muirlands United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 05:30 Easter Cross United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 05:30 Campland on the Bay Trailer Park United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 05:45 Escondido Junction United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 05:45 Oceanside United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 05:45 Carlsbad United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 05:45 Ponto United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 05:45 Leucadia United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 05:45 Naples United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 05:30 Encinitas United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 05:30 Cardiff-by-the-Sea United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 05:30 Solana Beach United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 05:30 Green Valley Mobile Estates United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 05:30 Del Mar United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 05:30 Sorrento United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 09:15 Molino Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 09:15 Molino Lacy Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 03:45 San Bruno Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 03:45 Loreto Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 07:45 Gilchrist United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 06:30 Buenaventura Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 06:30 Agua del Coyote Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 03:45 Puerto Magdalena Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 03:45 San Carlos Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 03:45 Madero Amarillo Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 06:00 Lento United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 06:00 Tajiguas United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 06:00 Capitan United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 06:45 Bolivar Peninsula United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 06:45 Caplen United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 05:45 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 05:45 La Ventana Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 05:45 Ensenada de los Muertos Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 05:15 Desembarcadero de Miller Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 09:00 Tecomate Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 09:00 Cabo Tepoca Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 01:45 Novillero Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 01:45 Cuantla Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 02:00 Orange Grove United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 02:00 Peary Place United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 02:00 Flour Bluff United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 04:30 Isla Natividad Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 08:45 Puerto Libertad Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 03:45 San Juanico Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 05:00 Rosarito Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 01:15 Isla de Palmito del Verde Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 10:00 Ayutla Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 05:45 San Augustine United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 05:45 Sacate United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 05:45 Las Cruces United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 05:45 Gaviota United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 05:30 El Descanso Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 05:30 La Mision Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 05:30 Encino Solo Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 04:45 San Simeon United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 04:45 Happy Hill United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 04:45 Cambria United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 04:45 Harmony United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 04:45 Baywood Park United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 04:45 Port San Luis United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 04:45 Avila Beach United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 04:45 Sycamore Springs United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 04:45 Pismo Beach United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 04:45 Oceano United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 04:45 Grover City United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 04:45 Callender United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 06:00 Rancho Cepeda Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 06:00 Rancho San Francisco Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 06:00 Colonia Camalu Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 04:45 Rancho Datilari Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 04:45 Rancho Conejo Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 04:45 El Tomale Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 05:15 Puerto Charley Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 04:45 Tangair United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 04:45 Surf United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 04:45 Narlon United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 07:45 Crystal Beach United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 07:45 Patton United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 04:15 Ligui Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 04:15 Tripui Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 05:30 El Sauzal Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 05:45 Las Tinajas Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 05:30 Cabo Punta Banda Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 05:30 Ensenada Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 05:30 Erendria Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 01:30 La Puerta Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 11:45 Mirador Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 04:45 Plaskett United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 04:45 Gorde United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 05:15 Santa Catarina Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 00:00 Bajo de Arenal Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 00:00 Tangolunda Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 05:15 Rancho Boca de San Jose Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 05:00 Bahia Kino Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 03:30 Boca del Rio Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 00:00 Estrecho Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 00:00 Santiago Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 00:00 Manzanillo Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 02:15 Punta Colorada Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 02:15 Punta Arena Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 02:15 Los Tesos Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 04:45 Cayucos United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 03:15 La Playa Colorada Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 04:45 Morro Bay United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 03:45 Datilito Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 03:45 La Paz Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 03:45 Rosario Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 04:45 Honda United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 07:45 Flake United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 07:45 Elmgrove United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 04:45 Lucia United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 05:30 Bahia Asuncion Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 04:00 Mulege Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 01:30 Cuamecate Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 04:45 Santa Cruz United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 04:45 Twin Lakes United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 04:45 Live Oak United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 04:45 Opal Cliffs United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 04:45 Capitola United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 04:45 Soquel United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 04:45 Aptos United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 04:45 Rio del Mar United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 04:45 Rob Roy Junction United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 04:45 La Selva Beach United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 04:45 Ellicott United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 04:45 Marina United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 04:45 Moss Landing United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 04:45 Neponset United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 04:45 Nashua United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 04:45 Castroville United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 10:15 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 04:30 Cachoana Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 04:00 Los Dolores Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 03:30 Boca del Melgoita Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 04:45 Pacific Grove United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 04:45 Monterey United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 04:45 Workfield United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 04:45 Seaside United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 04:45 Ord United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 04:45 Gordola United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 04:45 Swanton United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 04:45 Davenport United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 05:15 El Rosario Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 04:30 Del Monte Forest United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 04:30 Pebble Beach United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 04:30 Carmel Highlands United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 04:30 Carmel-by-the-Sea United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 04:30 Carmel United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 04:30 Del Rey Oaks United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 05:30 Playa Oceano Pacifico Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 01:15 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 01:15 El Nuevo Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 00:00 El Ciruelo Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 02:30 San Blas Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 06:00 Jalama United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 06:00 Concepcion United States  0.1
19 Sep 2019 05:15 Barron Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 05:15 La Palmita Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 06:00 La Florida Mexico  0.1