Overall Orange Tropical Cyclone alert for GULAB-21/SHAHEEN-21 in Oman from 24 Sep 2021 06:00 UTC to 03 Oct 2021 18:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Orange alert Tropical Cyclone for GULAB-21/SHAHEEN-21

in Oman

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to select bulletin time

Meteorological source:

GDACS JTWC

Impact Single TC

GFS
HWRF
ECMWF

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone GULAB-21/SHAHEEN-21 can have a medium humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	HWRF
Exposed countries	India
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	90 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.4 m (26 Sep 12:00 UTC)
Vulnerability	Medium (Oman)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
HWRF Current	90 km/h	0.4 m	234 mm	0.5
HWRF Overall	158 km/h	0.5 m	591 mm	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

158 km/h

Up to 70 thousand can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above

Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 26 Sep 2021 06:00 UTC

Category	Country	Population
Tropical Storm	India	65,446

See TC classification SSHS

Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Pop in Cat. 1 or higher	TS	Cat. 1	Cat. 2	Cat. 3	Cat. 4	Cat. 5	Countries
1	24 Sep 2021 06:00	61	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	24 Sep 2021 12:00	61	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	24 Sep 2021 18:00	61	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
4	25 Sep 2021 00:00	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
5	25 Sep 2021 06:00	76	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
6	25 Sep 2021 12:00	65	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
7	25 Sep 2021 18:00	72	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
8	26 Sep 2021 00:00	79	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
9	26 Sep 2021 06:00	90	-		-	-	-	-	-	India

Download:

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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Rainfall

Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 26 Sep 2021 06:00 UTC

Level	Country	Population
250-500 mm	India	1,565,070
100-250 mm	India	42,853,854
50-100 mm	India	41,506,308

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Rainfall (mm)	Pop >100mm or higher	50-100	100-250	250-500	500-750	750-1000	>1000	Countries
1	24 Sep 2021 06:00	363	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	24 Sep 2021 12:00	33	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	24 Sep 2021 18:00	185	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
4	25 Sep 2021 00:00	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
5	25 Sep 2021 06:00	258	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
6	25 Sep 2021 12:00	83	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
7	25 Sep 2021 18:00	166	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
8	26 Sep 2021 00:00	279	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
9	26 Sep 2021 06:00	463	44.4 million				-	-	-	India

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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StormSurge

0.4 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.4m in Dasah, United Arab Emirates. This height is estimated for 26 Sep 2021 12:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 26 Sep 2021 06:00 UTC

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	26 Sep 2021 12:00	Dasah	United Arab Emirates	0.4
	26 Sep 2021 12:00	Ar Ruways	United Arab Emirates	0.4
	26 Sep 2021 12:00	Al Marfa	United Arab Emirates	0.4
	26 Sep 2021 12:00	Jazirah	United Arab Emirates	0.4
	26 Sep 2021 12:00	Tarif	United Arab Emirates	0.4
	26 Sep 2021 12:00	Bu Lifiyat	United Arab Emirates	0.4
	26 Sep 2021 08:15	Bideipur	India	0.3
	26 Sep 2021 12:00	Zahr	United Arab Emirates	0.3
	26 Sep 2021 12:00	Abu Dhabi	United Arab Emirates	0.3
	26 Sep 2021 07:45	Hukitala	India	0.3
	26 Sep 2021 07:45	Satabhaya	India	0.3
	26 Sep 2021 07:15	Rasalpur	India	0.3
	26 Sep 2021 07:15	Chandipur	India	0.3
	26 Sep 2021 12:00	Salwa	Saudi Arabia	0.3
	26 Sep 2021 12:00	As Salwa	Saudi Arabia	0.3
	26 Sep 2021 12:00	Umm Bab	Qatar	0.3
	26 Sep 2021 12:00	Qasasil	Qatar	0.3
	26 Sep 2021 12:00	Dukhan	Qatar	0.3
	26 Sep 2021 10:45	Umm Said	Qatar	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 12:00	Al Uqayr	Saudi Arabia	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 12:00	Ar Rumaythah	Bahrain	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 12:00	Ad Dur	Bahrain	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 08:00	Al Mish ab	Saudi Arabia	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 08:00	As Saffaniyah	Saudi Arabia	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 12:00	Az Zallaq	Bahrain	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 12:00	Jaww	Bahrain	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 10:15	Al Wakrah	Qatar	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 07:00	Safwa	Saudi Arabia	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 07:00	Jabal al Qawm	Saudi Arabia	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 07:00	Al Qatif	Saudi Arabia	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 07:00	Ank	Saudi Arabia	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 07:00	Sayhat	Saudi Arabia	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 07:00	Najmah	Saudi Arabia	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 07:00	Tarut	Saudi Arabia	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 07:00	Al 'Adamah	Saudi Arabia	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 07:00	Ad Dammam	Saudi Arabia	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 12:00	Hamad Town	Bahrain	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 09:00	Malud	India	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 10:30	Digha	India	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 10:30	Ramnagar	India	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 10:00	Gangra	India	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 12:00	Al 'Arish	Qatar	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 10:00	Kakdwip	India	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 10:00	Belpukur	India	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 10:00	Kulpi	India	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 12:00	Al Qurayyah	Bahrain	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 12:00	Salmbad	Bahrain	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 12:00	'Isa Town	Bahrain	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 12:00	Dublat	India	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 11:30	Baruva	India	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 10:30	Namkhana	India	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 06:00	Ar Rifa' ash Sharqi	Bahrain	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 12:00	Ra's Munaysif	Saudi Arabia	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 12:00	Al Aziziyah	Saudi Arabia	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 10:30	Gopalpur	India	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 10:30	Chatrapur	India	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 10:30	Canjam	India	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 07:45	Bandar-e Dargaham	Iran	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 07:45	Dogerdan	Iran	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 07:45	Qeshm	Iran	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 07:45	Bandar Abbas	Iran	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 06:45	Puri	India	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 06:45	Balighai	India	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 07:30	Kuakata	Bangladesh	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 07:30	Mahipur	Bangladesh	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 07:30	Char Chapli	Bangladesh	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 07:30	Bara Baliatali	Bangladesh	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 07:30	Kalapara	Bangladesh	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 07:30	Golbania	Bangladesh	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 07:30	Char Bagala	Bangladesh	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 07:30	Bhaylabania	Bangladesh	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 07:30	Char Hare	Bangladesh	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 12:00	Al Budayyi	Bahrain	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 12:00	Ad Diraz	Bahrain	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 12:00	Badi Jamrah	Bahrain	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 12:00	Barbar	Bahrain	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 12:00	Karranah	Bahrain	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 12:00	Al Seef	Bahrain	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 12:00	Jidd Hafs	Bahrain	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 08:45	Konarak	India	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 09:30	Ad Dawhah	Qatar	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 12:00	Ar Rifa	Bahrain	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 12:00	Al Manamah	Bahrain	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 12:00	Al Juffayr	Bahrain	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 12:00	Al Muharraq	Bahrain	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 12:00	Sitrah	Bahrain	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 08:00	Debpur	Bangladesh	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 08:00	Chalitabunia	Bangladesh	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 08:00	Neta	Bangladesh	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 08:00	Chhota Baisdia	Bangladesh	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 08:00	Andar Char	Bangladesh	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 08:00	Burirchar	Bangladesh	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 08:00	Char Lakshmi	Bangladesh	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 08:00	Char Manika	Bangladesh	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 09:30	Paluru	India	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 09:30	Naupada	India	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 09:30	Ammalapadu	India	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 06:45	Bijavbati	India	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 12:00	Nuralrevu	India	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 06:00	Char Kukuri Mukuri	Bangladesh	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 06:00	Ar Kalmi	Bangladesh	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 06:00	Char Aicha	Bangladesh	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 06:00	Char Paila	Bangladesh	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 06:00	Dakshin Char Fasson	Bangladesh	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 06:00	Char Annadaprasad	Bangladesh	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 06:00	Char Faizuddin	Bangladesh	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 07:45	Panasapada	India	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 10:00	Mavalli	India	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 10:00	Shirali	India	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 10:00	Bhatkal	India	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 10:00	Bainduru	India	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 09:45	Pahel	Iran	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 09:45	Bandar-e Laft	Iran	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 09:45	Laft	Iran	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 09:45	Payi Pusht	Iran	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 11:45	Al Khubar	Saudi Arabia	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 10:15	Jimeirah	United Arab Emirates	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 06:45	Nuliasahi	India	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 06:45	Nuagan	India	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 07:00	Supati	Bangladesh	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 07:00	Bara Patharghata	Bangladesh	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 07:00	Chhota Nishanbaria Chak	Bangladesh	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 07:00	Bara Bagi	Bangladesh	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 08:15	Dhalua	Bangladesh	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 08:15	Chhota Bagi	Bangladesh	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 08:15	Chandkhali	Bangladesh	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 10:00	Chittadi	India	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 10:30	Dubai	United Arab Emirates	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 12:00	Manfadh al Khafji	Saudi Arabia	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 12:00	Ras all Khafji	Saudi Arabia	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 09:45	Kumta	India	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 09:45	Honavar	India	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 09:45	Manki	India	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 06:15	Char Pyarimohan	Bangladesh	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 06:15	Char Krishnaprasad	Bangladesh	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 06:15	Char Manpura	Bangladesh	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 12:00	Bada	Pakistan	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 12:00	Cheru	Pakistan	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 12:00	Sonmiani	Pakistan	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 10:00	Gokarn	India	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 08:15	Jazirat Al Hamra	United Arab Emirates	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 08:15	Ras Al Khaymah	United Arab Emirates	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 08:15	Ar Rams	United Arab Emirates	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 11:30	Asumumbay	India	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 11:30	Alibag	India	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 11:30	Mandve	India	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 11:30	Uran	India	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 12:00	Kalingapatnam	India	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 10:15	Ankola	India	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 06:00	'Arad	Bahrain	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 06:00	Al Hidd	Bahrain	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 09:00	'Ayn Sinan	Qatar	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 11:45	Mumbai	India	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 11:45	Trombay	India	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 11:45	Taloje	India	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 07:00	Abu az Zuluf	Qatar	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 07:00	Madinat ash Shamal	Qatar	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 07:00	Al Ghariyah	Qatar	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 06:30	Hormoz	Iran	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 06:30	Arzeni	Iran	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 10:15	Belekeri	India	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 07:45	Al Jubayl Industrial City	Saudi Arabia	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 07:45	Al Jubayl	Saudi Arabia	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 10:00	Ash Shariqah	United Arab Emirates	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 06:15	Ghizlan	Saudi Arabia	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 10:00	Ajman	United Arab Emirates	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 07:30	Aramda	India	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 11:45	Kakinada	India	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 10:00	Karwar	India	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 06:00	Char Hijla	Bangladesh	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 06:00	Char Chandra Prasad	Bangladesh	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 06:00	Chandpur	Bangladesh	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 06:00	Char Kali	Bangladesh	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 06:00	Pangasia	Bangladesh	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 06:00	Harni	Bangladesh	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 06:00	Goal Bhaor	Bangladesh	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 06:00	Char Medua	Bangladesh	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 06:00	South Dighaldi	Bangladesh	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 06:00	Kalupura	Bangladesh	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 06:00	Char Munsi	Bangladesh	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 06:00	Hazari	Bangladesh	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 06:00	Jagannathpur	Bangladesh	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 06:00	Char Lawrence	Bangladesh	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 06:00	Char Falcon	Bangladesh	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 09:00	Damathat	Myanmar	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 09:00	Shwe-o	Myanmar	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 08:30	Umm al Qaywayn	United Arab Emirates	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 10:00	Sadashivgarh	India	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 08:15	Alanbya	Myanmar	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 08:15	Mokkamu	Myanmar	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 08:15	Boyagyi	Myanmar	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 08:15	Kyaikto	Myanmar	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 08:15	Kyaikpi	Myanmar	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 08:15	Kawbein	Myanmar	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 10:00	Kundapura	India	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 06:00	Sakusia	Bangladesh	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 06:00	Char Madhyam Lamchhidhali	Bangladesh	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 06:00	Hazipur	Bangladesh	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 06:00	Jahajmara	Bangladesh	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 06:00	Maijchara	Bangladesh	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 10:15	Basaidu	Iran	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 10:15	Dustku	Iran	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 10:15	Chahu Shomali	Iran	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 08:15	Ghalilah	United Arab Emirates	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 08:15	Pauktaw	Myanmar	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 08:15	Zokali	Myanmar	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 08:15	Taungxun	Myanmar	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 06:00	Baga	Bangladesh	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 06:00	Rabipur	Bangladesh	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 06:00	Char Kadira	Bangladesh	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 06:00	Char Algi	Bangladesh	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 06:00	Char Gazi	Bangladesh	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 06:00	Miar Hat	Bangladesh	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 06:00	Char Ramiz	Bangladesh	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 06:00	Char Bedama	Bangladesh	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 07:00	Shangyaung	Myanmar	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 07:00	Mahameik	Myanmar	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 07:00	Thamaseikta	Myanmar	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 06:00	Al Busaytin	Bahrain	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 06:00	Qalali	Bahrain	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 08:00	Jalalpur	India	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 08:00	Nausari	India	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 08:00	Dharasana	India	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 08:00	Valsad	India	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 08:00	Bilimora	India	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 06:15	Chudeswar	India	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 06:15	Salaya	India	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 10:30	Bandar Suflin	Iran	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 08:15	Jatar Deul	India	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 11:00	Kotada	India	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 07:30	Daman	India	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 07:30	Udvada	India	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 06:00	Jhol	Pakistan	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 06:00	Gadanjo	Pakistan	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 09:30	Dawanij	Oman	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 09:30	Al Liwa	Oman	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 09:30	Suhar	Oman	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 06:00	Dubla	Bangladesh	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.