Overall Orange Tropical Cyclone alert for GULAB-21/SHAHEEN-21 in Oman from 24 Sep 2021 06:00 UTC to 03 Oct 2021 18:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Orange alert Tropical Cyclone for GULAB-21/SHAHEEN-21

in Oman

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Meteorological source:

GDACS JTWC

Impact Single TC

GFS
HWRF
ECMWF

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone GULAB-21/SHAHEEN-21 can have a medium humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	HWRF
Exposed countries	India
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	68 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.5 m (26 Sep 14:00 UTC)
Vulnerability	Medium (Oman)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
HWRF Current	68 km/h	0.5 m	111 mm	0.5
HWRF Overall	158 km/h	0.5 m	591 mm	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

158 km/h

Up to 8 thousand can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above

Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 26 Sep 2021 12:00 UTC

Category	Country	Population
Tropical Storm	India	7,567

See TC classification SSHS

Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Pop in Cat. 1 or higher	TS	Cat. 1	Cat. 2	Cat. 3	Cat. 4	Cat. 5	Countries
1	24 Sep 2021 06:00	61	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	24 Sep 2021 12:00	61	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	24 Sep 2021 18:00	61	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
4	25 Sep 2021 00:00	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
5	25 Sep 2021 06:00	76	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
6	25 Sep 2021 12:00	65	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
7	25 Sep 2021 18:00	72	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
8	26 Sep 2021 00:00	79	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
9	26 Sep 2021 06:00	90	-		-	-	-	-	-	India
10	26 Sep 2021 12:00	68	-		-	-	-	-	-	India

Download:

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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Rainfall

Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 26 Sep 2021 12:00 UTC

Level	Country	Population
250-500 mm	India	314,270
100-250 mm	India	34,605,537
50-100 mm	India	52,039,170

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Rainfall (mm)	Pop >100mm or higher	50-100	100-250	250-500	500-750	750-1000	>1000	Countries
1	24 Sep 2021 06:00	363	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	24 Sep 2021 12:00	33	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	24 Sep 2021 18:00	185	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
4	25 Sep 2021 00:00	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
5	25 Sep 2021 06:00	258	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
6	25 Sep 2021 12:00	83	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
7	25 Sep 2021 18:00	166	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
8	26 Sep 2021 00:00	279	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
9	26 Sep 2021 06:00	234	-		-	-	-	-	-	India
10	26 Sep 2021 12:00	529	34.9 million				-	-	-	India

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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StormSurge

0.5 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.5m in Dasah, United Arab Emirates. This height is estimated for 26 Sep 2021 14:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 26 Sep 2021 12:00 UTC

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	26 Sep 2021 14:00	Dasah	United Arab Emirates	0.5
	26 Sep 2021 14:00	Ar Ruways	United Arab Emirates	0.5
	26 Sep 2021 18:00	Jazirah	United Arab Emirates	0.5
	26 Sep 2021 18:00	Tarif	United Arab Emirates	0.5
	26 Sep 2021 18:00	Bu Lifiyat	United Arab Emirates	0.5
	26 Sep 2021 16:30	Al Marfa	United Arab Emirates	0.5
	26 Sep 2021 18:00	Abu Dhabi	United Arab Emirates	0.4
	26 Sep 2021 15:00	Zahr	United Arab Emirates	0.4
	26 Sep 2021 14:45	Salwa	Saudi Arabia	0.3
	26 Sep 2021 14:45	As Salwa	Saudi Arabia	0.3
	26 Sep 2021 14:45	Umm Bab	Qatar	0.3
	26 Sep 2021 14:30	Qasasil	Qatar	0.3
	26 Sep 2021 14:15	Dukhan	Qatar	0.3
	26 Sep 2021 12:45	Baruva	India	0.3
	26 Sep 2021 18:00	Damathat	Myanmar	0.3
	26 Sep 2021 18:00	Shwe-o	Myanmar	0.3
	26 Sep 2021 18:00	Alanbya	Myanmar	0.3
	26 Sep 2021 18:00	Mokkamu	Myanmar	0.3
	26 Sep 2021 18:00	Boyagyi	Myanmar	0.3
	26 Sep 2021 18:00	Kyaikto	Myanmar	0.3
	26 Sep 2021 18:00	Kyaikpi	Myanmar	0.3
	26 Sep 2021 18:00	Kawbein	Myanmar	0.3
	26 Sep 2021 18:00	Pauktaw	Myanmar	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 18:00	Zokali	Myanmar	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 18:00	Taungxun	Myanmar	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 17:30	Mahameik	Myanmar	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 17:30	Thamaseikta	Myanmar	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 18:00	Taunggyi	Myanmar	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 13:15	Al Uqayr	Saudi Arabia	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 17:00	Jimeirah	United Arab Emirates	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 18:00	Shangyaung	Myanmar	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 17:30	Budin	Myanmar	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 17:30	Kadaik	Myanmar	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 17:30	Donwun	Myanmar	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 17:15	Dubai	United Arab Emirates	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 13:30	Ar Rumaythah	Bahrain	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 17:30	Kangyisu	Myanmar	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 17:15	Tanbingyaung	Myanmar	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 13:30	Ad Dur	Bahrain	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 12:00	Umm Said	Qatar	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 17:30	Khindan	Myanmar	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 17:15	Ash Shariqah	United Arab Emirates	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 18:00	Darein	Myanmar	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 13:30	Az Zallaq	Bahrain	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 13:30	Jaww	Bahrain	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 17:00	Ajman	United Arab Emirates	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 18:00	Kala-ywa	Myanmar	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 18:00	Ase-ywa	Myanmar	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 12:30	Gangra	India	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 18:00	Pahel	Iran	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 18:00	Bandar-e Laft	Iran	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 18:00	Laft	Iran	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 18:00	Payi Pusht	Iran	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 12:00	Bideipur	India	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 12:00	Hukitala	India	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 12:00	Satabhaya	India	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 14:30	Al Khaluf	Oman	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 14:30	Filim	Oman	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 17:00	Hamad Town	Bahrain	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 17:45	Paung	Myanmar	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 13:45	Naupada	India	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 13:45	Ammalapadu	India	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 17:00	Umm al Qaywayn	United Arab Emirates	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 17:15	Al Qurayyah	Bahrain	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 17:15	Salmbad	Bahrain	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 17:15	'Isa Town	Bahrain	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 18:00	Bandar-e Dargaham	Iran	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 17:30	Al Budayyi	Bahrain	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 17:30	Ad Diraz	Bahrain	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 17:30	Badi Jamrah	Bahrain	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 17:30	Barbar	Bahrain	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 17:30	Karranah	Bahrain	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 17:30	Al Seef	Bahrain	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 17:30	Jidd Hafs	Bahrain	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 17:30	Ar Rifa	Bahrain	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 17:30	Ar Rifa' ash Sharqi	Bahrain	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 17:30	Al Manamah	Bahrain	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 17:30	Al Juffayr	Bahrain	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 17:30	Al Muharraq	Bahrain	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 17:30	Sitrah	Bahrain	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 12:00	Al 'Arish	Qatar	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 15:00	Srikurman	India	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 15:00	Kalingapatnam	India	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 17:00	Ra's Munaysif	Saudi Arabia	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 17:00	Al Aziziyah	Saudi Arabia	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 18:00	Thaunggon	Myanmar	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 18:00	Kyauktan	Myanmar	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 18:00	Mibya	Myanmar	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 18:00	Hngetkyidaung	Myanmar	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 18:00	Thegondan	Myanmar	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 17:30	Munaing	Myanmar	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 17:30	Tagukana	Myanmar	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 17:30	Kawpamagon	Myanmar	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 12:00	Al Mish ab	Saudi Arabia	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 12:00	As Saffaniyah	Saudi Arabia	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 12:30	Kakdwip	India	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 12:30	Namkhana	India	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 12:00	Dublat	India	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 16:15	Al Khubar	Saudi Arabia	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 17:45	Kwanhla	Myanmar	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 18:00	Dogerdan	Iran	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 12:45	Nuralrevu	India	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 12:00	Al Wakrah	Qatar	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 13:45	Gopalpur	India	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 13:00	Rasalpur	India	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 13:00	Chandipur	India	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 14:30	Belpukur	India	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 14:30	Kulpi	India	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 16:45	Jazirat Al Hamra	United Arab Emirates	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 16:45	Ras Al Khaymah	United Arab Emirates	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 16:45	Ar Rams	United Arab Emirates	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 16:15	Basaidu	Iran	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 16:15	Dustku	Iran	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 16:15	Chahu Shomali	Iran	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 16:45	Bandar Suflin	Iran	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 16:45	Qeshm	Iran	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 16:45	Bandar Abbas	Iran	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 12:00	Safwa	Saudi Arabia	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 12:00	Jabal al Qawm	Saudi Arabia	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 12:00	Al Qatif	Saudi Arabia	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 12:00	Ank	Saudi Arabia	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 12:00	Sayhat	Saudi Arabia	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 12:00	Najmah	Saudi Arabia	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 12:00	Tarut	Saudi Arabia	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 12:00	Al 'Adamah	Saudi Arabia	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 12:00	Ad Dammam	Saudi Arabia	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 13:30	Chatrapur	India	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 13:30	Canjam	India	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 13:30	Paluru	India	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 16:45	Bandar-e Band-e	Iran	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 18:00	New Kandla	India	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 15:00	Kambhat	India	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 15:00	Kavi	India	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 15:00	Sarod	India	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 14:30	Koyyam	India	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 14:30	Dharmavaram	India	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 15:00	Wadgam	India	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 18:00	Manfadh al Khafji	Saudi Arabia	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 18:00	Ras all Khafji	Saudi Arabia	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 16:45	Ghalilah	United Arab Emirates	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 12:30	Malud	India	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 12:15	Bada	Pakistan	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 12:15	Cheru	Pakistan	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 12:15	Sonmiani	Pakistan	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 17:00	Mupon	Myanmar	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 12:45	Puri	India	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 12:15	Bijavbati	India	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 13:30	Kakinada	India	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 18:00	Ale-ywa	Myanmar	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 16:00	Vishakhapatnam	India	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 16:00	Chittivalasa	India	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 16:00	Bhimunipatnam	India	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 16:00	Konada	India	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 16:00	Kyaikkami	Myanmar	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 16:00	Hpayagon	Myanmar	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 12:00	Digha	India	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 12:00	Ramnagar	India	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 18:00	Pudimadaka	India	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 18:00	Chipurupalle	India	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 16:45	Bukha	Oman	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 17:45	Jodiya	India	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 12:00	Mumbai	India	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 12:00	Asumumbay	India	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 12:00	Mandve	India	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 12:00	Uran	India	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 12:00	Trombay	India	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 12:00	Taloje	India	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 16:45	Al Khasab	Oman	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 12:45	Panasapada	India	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 15:15	Hormoz	Iran	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 15:15	Arzeni	Iran	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 17:00	Kayindaung	Myanmar	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 12:45	Balighai	India	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 12:00	Ad Dawhah	Qatar	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 18:00	Tuna	India	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 15:00	Kumza	Oman	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 13:15	Nuliasahi	India	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 13:15	Nuagan	India	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 12:00	Alibag	India	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 15:00	Ash Shishah	Oman	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 13:30	Dawanij	Oman	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 13:30	Al Liwa	Oman	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 13:30	Suhar	Oman	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 17:15	Band-e Kong	Iran	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 16:15	Wagaru	Myanmar	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 14:30	Konarak	India	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 15:45	Salagh	Iran	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 15:45	Tabl	Iran	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 15:45	Khammasi	Iran	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 15:45	Direstan	Iran	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 13:45	Ascira	Somalia	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 17:45	Jambura	India	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 16:30	Kotada	India	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 15:00	Govundlapalem	India	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 16:00	Bandar-e Guran	Iran	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 17:15	Dahej	India	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.