Overall Orange Tropical Cyclone alert for GULAB-21/SHAHEEN-21 in Oman from 24 Sep 2021 06:00 UTC to 03 Oct 2021 18:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Orange alert Tropical Cyclone for GULAB-21/SHAHEEN-21

in Oman

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Meteorological source:

GDACS JTWC

Impact Single TC

GFS
HWRF
ECMWF

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone GULAB-21/SHAHEEN-21 can have a medium humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	HWRF
Exposed countries	India
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	79 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.3 m (26 Sep 03:30 UTC)
Vulnerability	Medium (Oman)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
HWRF Current	79 km/h	0.3 m	279 mm	0.5
HWRF Overall	158 km/h	0.5 m	591 mm	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

158 km/h

Up to 190 thousand can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above

Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 26 Sep 2021 00:00 UTC

Category	Country	Population
Tropical Storm	India	186,487

See TC classification SSHS

Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Pop in Cat. 1 or higher	TS	Cat. 1	Cat. 2	Cat. 3	Cat. 4	Cat. 5	Countries
1	24 Sep 2021 06:00	61	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	24 Sep 2021 12:00	61	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	24 Sep 2021 18:00	61	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
4	25 Sep 2021 00:00	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
5	25 Sep 2021 06:00	76	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
6	25 Sep 2021 12:00	65	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
7	25 Sep 2021 18:00	72	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
8	26 Sep 2021 00:00	90	-		-	-	-	-	-	India

Download:

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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Rainfall

Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 26 Sep 2021 00:00 UTC

Level	Country	Population
250-500 mm	India	725,311
100-250 mm	India	26,543,915
50-100 mm	India	40,492,560

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Rainfall (mm)	Pop >100mm or higher	50-100	100-250	250-500	500-750	750-1000	>1000	Countries
1	24 Sep 2021 06:00	363	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	24 Sep 2021 12:00	33	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	24 Sep 2021 18:00	185	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
4	25 Sep 2021 00:00	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
5	25 Sep 2021 06:00	258	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
6	25 Sep 2021 12:00	83	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
7	25 Sep 2021 18:00	166	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
8	26 Sep 2021 00:00	369	27.3 million				-	-	-	India

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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StormSurge

0.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.3m in Bideipur, India. This height is estimated for 26 Sep 2021 03:30 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 26 Sep 2021 00:00 UTC

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	26 Sep 2021 03:30	Bideipur	India	0.3
	26 Sep 2021 06:00	Hukitala	India	0.3
	26 Sep 2021 06:00	Satabhaya	India	0.3
	26 Sep 2021 03:45	Rasalpur	India	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 03:45	Chandipur	India	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 06:00	Dasah	United Arab Emirates	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 06:00	Ar Ruways	United Arab Emirates	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 03:30	Al 'Arish	Qatar	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 06:00	Jazirah	United Arab Emirates	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 06:00	Tarif	United Arab Emirates	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 06:00	Bu Lifiyat	United Arab Emirates	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 06:00	Al Marfa	United Arab Emirates	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 04:15	New Kandla	India	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 02:45	Al Budayyi	Bahrain	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 02:45	Ad Diraz	Bahrain	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 02:45	Al Qurayyah	Bahrain	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 02:45	Badi Jamrah	Bahrain	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 02:45	Barbar	Bahrain	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 02:45	Karranah	Bahrain	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 02:45	Salmbad	Bahrain	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 02:45	Al Seef	Bahrain	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 02:45	Jidd Hafs	Bahrain	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 02:45	'Isa Town	Bahrain	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 02:45	Ar Rifa	Bahrain	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 02:45	Al Manamah	Bahrain	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 02:45	Al Juffayr	Bahrain	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 02:45	Al Muharraq	Bahrain	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 02:45	Sitrah	Bahrain	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 02:45	Al Busaytin	Bahrain	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 02:45	'Arad	Bahrain	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 02:45	Qalali	Bahrain	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 02:45	Al Hidd	Bahrain	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 06:00	Salwa	Saudi Arabia	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 06:00	As Salwa	Saudi Arabia	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 00:00	Dakshin Char Fasson	Bangladesh	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 00:00	Char Pyarimohan	Bangladesh	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 00:00	Char Annadaprasad	Bangladesh	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 00:00	Char Lakshmi	Bangladesh	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 00:00	Kanchanpur	Bangladesh	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 00:00	Char Faizuddin	Bangladesh	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 00:00	Char Krishnaprasad	Bangladesh	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 00:00	Char Manpura	Bangladesh	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 05:00	Golbania	Bangladesh	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 05:00	Char Bagala	Bangladesh	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 05:00	Debpur	Bangladesh	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 05:00	Bhaylabania	Bangladesh	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 05:00	Chalitabunia	Bangladesh	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 05:00	Char Hare	Bangladesh	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 05:00	Neta	Bangladesh	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 05:00	Chhota Baisdia	Bangladesh	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 05:00	Andar Char	Bangladesh	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 05:00	Burirchar	Bangladesh	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 05:00	Char Lakshmi	Bangladesh	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 05:00	Char Manika	Bangladesh	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 00:00	Bara Pata	Bangladesh	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 00:00	Chandpur	Bangladesh	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 05:00	Safwa	Saudi Arabia	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 05:00	Jabal al Qawm	Saudi Arabia	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 05:00	Al Qatif	Saudi Arabia	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 05:00	Ank	Saudi Arabia	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 05:00	Sayhat	Saudi Arabia	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 05:00	Najmah	Saudi Arabia	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 05:00	Tarut	Saudi Arabia	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 05:00	Al 'Adamah	Saudi Arabia	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 05:00	Ad Dammam	Saudi Arabia	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 06:00	Abu Dhabi	United Arab Emirates	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 00:00	Jahajmara	Bangladesh	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 00:00	Maijchara	Bangladesh	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 00:00	Dasher Hat	Bangladesh	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 00:00	Rabipur	Bangladesh	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 03:00	Abu az Zuluf	Qatar	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 03:00	Madinat ash Shamal	Qatar	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 04:00	Hamad Town	Bahrain	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 04:00	Ar Rumaythah	Bahrain	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 04:00	Ar Rifa' ash Sharqi	Bahrain	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 04:00	Ad Dur	Bahrain	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 04:00	Jaww	Bahrain	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 01:30	Al Jubayl Industrial City	Saudi Arabia	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 01:30	Al Jubayl	Saudi Arabia	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 06:00	Umm Bab	Qatar	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 06:00	Zahr	United Arab Emirates	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 06:00	Qasasil	Qatar	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 00:30	Char Kukuri Mukuri	Bangladesh	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 00:30	Ar Kalmi	Bangladesh	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 00:30	Char Aicha	Bangladesh	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 00:30	Char Paila	Bangladesh	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 06:00	Al Mish ab	Saudi Arabia	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 06:00	As Saffaniyah	Saudi Arabia	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 00:00	Sagaria	Bangladesh	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 00:00	Char Ishwar Ray	Bangladesh	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 03:45	Digha	India	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 03:45	Ramnagar	India	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 03:00	Al Ghariyah	Qatar	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 00:00	Char Madhyam Lamchhidhali	Bangladesh	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 00:00	Hazipur	Bangladesh	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 00:00	Char Gazi	Bangladesh	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 04:00	Jodiya	India	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 00:00	Char Algi	Bangladesh	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 00:00	Char Ramiz	Bangladesh	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 06:00	Dukhan	Qatar	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 00:00	Hatia	Bangladesh	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 00:00	Nalchira	Bangladesh	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 00:00	Khaser Hat	Bangladesh	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 00:00	Ewazbalia	Bangladesh	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 02:30	'Ayn Sinan	Qatar	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 00:00	Char Falcon	Bangladesh	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 00:00	Char Bedama	Bangladesh	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 00:00	Chandhuri Hat	Bangladesh	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 04:45	Dublat	India	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 04:45	Bijavbati	India	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 00:00	Char Ishwar	Bangladesh	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 03:30	Tuna	India	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 05:45	Kuakata	Bangladesh	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 05:45	Mahipur	Bangladesh	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 05:45	Char Chapli	Bangladesh	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 05:45	Bara Baliatali	Bangladesh	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 05:45	Kalapara	Bangladesh	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 00:15	Sandwip	Bangladesh	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 00:15	Nayamasti	Bangladesh	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 03:30	Ar Rakah	Saudi Arabia	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 03:30	Al Khubar	Saudi Arabia	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 06:00	Al Uqayr	Saudi Arabia	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 03:45	Jambura	India	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 00:00	Al Fanatir	Saudi Arabia	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 00:30	Maitbhanga	Bangladesh	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 05:30	Jimeirah	United Arab Emirates	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 06:00	Manfadh al Khafji	Saudi Arabia	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 06:00	Ras all Khafji	Saudi Arabia	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 04:00	Ra's Munaysif	Saudi Arabia	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 04:00	Al Aziziyah	Saudi Arabia	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 06:00	Supati	Bangladesh	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 06:00	Bara Patharghata	Bangladesh	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 06:00	Chhota Nishanbaria Chak	Bangladesh	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 06:00	Dhalua	Bangladesh	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 06:00	Bara Bagi	Bangladesh	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 06:00	Chhota Bagi	Bangladesh	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 06:00	Chandkhali	Bangladesh	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 06:00	Gangra	India	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 05:30	Dubai	United Arab Emirates	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 06:00	Az Zallaq	Bahrain	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 02:00	Akri	India	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 00:30	Kamla Char	Bangladesh	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 00:15	Dhalapara	Bangladesh	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 00:15	Jafarnagar	Bangladesh	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 00:15	Barabkunda	Bangladesh	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 00:15	Bansbaria	Bangladesh	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 00:15	Kumira	Bangladesh	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 00:15	Sitalpur	Bangladesh	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 00:15	Bhatiari	Bangladesh	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 00:15	Dakhin Kattali	Bangladesh	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 04:15	Ash Shariqah	United Arab Emirates	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 04:15	Ajman	United Arab Emirates	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 00:00	Munshir Hat	Bangladesh	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 00:00	Akbar Hat	Bangladesh	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 02:30	Ghuar Mota	India	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 00:15	Chittagong	Bangladesh	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 03:15	Chudeswar	India	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 03:15	Salaya	India	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 04:30	Ghizlan	Saudi Arabia	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 02:15	Char Fakura	Bangladesh	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 02:15	Ghoshbagh	Bangladesh	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 06:00	Namkhana	India	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 02:00	Bamnia	Bangladesh	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 02:00	Charparbati	Bangladesh	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 02:00	Tulatali	Bangladesh	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 02:00	Char Chandia	Bangladesh	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 02:00	Bara Ahmadpur	Bangladesh	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 02:00	Banskhali	Bangladesh	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 02:00	Bariakhali	Bangladesh	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 02:00	Char Kalidas	Bangladesh	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 04:15	Umm al Qaywayn	United Arab Emirates	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 00:00	Char Lakshia	Bangladesh	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 03:45	Mundra	India	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 05:15	Char Hijla	Bangladesh	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 05:15	Char Chandra Prasad	Bangladesh	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 05:15	Chandpur	Bangladesh	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 05:15	Char Kali	Bangladesh	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 05:15	Pangasia	Bangladesh	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 05:15	Harni	Bangladesh	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 05:15	Goal Bhaor	Bangladesh	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 05:15	Char Medua	Bangladesh	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 05:15	South Dighaldi	Bangladesh	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 05:15	Kalupura	Bangladesh	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 05:15	Char Munsi	Bangladesh	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 05:15	Hazari	Bangladesh	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 05:15	Jagannathpur	Bangladesh	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 05:15	Char Lawrence	Bangladesh	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 04:45	Sakusia	Bangladesh	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 05:30	Dawanij	Oman	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 05:30	Al Liwa	Oman	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 05:30	Suhar	Oman	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 03:00	Jhankhar	India	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 03:00	Sika	India	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 04:45	Baga	Bangladesh	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 04:45	Char Kadira	Bangladesh	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 04:45	Miar Hat	Bangladesh	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 06:00	Asumumbay	India	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 06:00	Alibag	India	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 06:00	Mandve	India	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 06:00	Uran	India	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 06:00	Bada	Pakistan	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 06:00	Cheru	Pakistan	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 06:00	Sonmiani	Pakistan	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 06:00	Jazirat Al Hamra	United Arab Emirates	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 06:00	Ras Al Khaymah	United Arab Emirates	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 06:00	Ar Rams	United Arab Emirates	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 06:00	Hormoz	Iran	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 06:00	Arzeni	Iran	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 06:00	Kakdwip	India	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 00:00	Dakhin Patenga	Bangladesh	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 05:45	Jhol	Pakistan	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 05:45	Gadanjo	Pakistan	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 05:00	Basaidu	Iran	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 05:00	Dustku	Iran	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 05:00	Chahu Shomali	Iran	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 01:45	Bandar-e Dargaham	Iran	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 01:45	Dogerdan	Iran	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 01:45	Qeshm	Iran	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 01:45	Bandar Abbas	Iran	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 00:00	Al Khaluf	Oman	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 00:00	Filim	Oman	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 01:45	Aramda	India	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 06:00	Dubla	Bangladesh	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.