Overall Orange Tropical Cyclone alert for GULAB-21/SHAHEEN-21 in Oman from 24 Sep 2021 06:00 UTC to 03 Oct 2021 18:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Orange alert Tropical Cyclone for GULAB-21/SHAHEEN-21

in Oman

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Meteorological source:

GDACS JTWC

Impact Single TC

GFS
HWRF
ECMWF

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone GULAB-21/SHAHEEN-21 can have a medium humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	HWRF
Exposed countries
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	72 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.3 m (25 Sep 18:45 UTC)
Vulnerability	Medium (Oman)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
HWRF Current	72 km/h	0.3 m	166 mm	0.5
HWRF Overall	158 km/h	0.5 m	591 mm	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

158 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above

Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 25 Sep 2021 18:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS

Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Pop in Cat. 1 or higher	TS	Cat. 1	Cat. 2	Cat. 3	Cat. 4	Cat. 5
1	24 Sep 2021 06:00	61	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	24 Sep 2021 12:00	61	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	24 Sep 2021 18:00	61	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
4	25 Sep 2021 00:00	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
5	25 Sep 2021 06:00	76	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
6	25 Sep 2021 12:00	65	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
7	25 Sep 2021 18:00	86	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Download:

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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Rainfall

Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 25 Sep 2021 18:00 UTC

Level	Country	Population
250-500 mm	India	85,332
100-250 mm	India	19,799,158
50-100 mm	India	25,506,756

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Rainfall (mm)	Pop >100mm or higher	50-100	100-250	250-500	500-750	750-1000	>1000	Countries
1	24 Sep 2021 06:00	363	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	24 Sep 2021 12:00	33	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	24 Sep 2021 18:00	185	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
4	25 Sep 2021 00:00	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
5	25 Sep 2021 06:00	258	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
6	25 Sep 2021 12:00	83	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
7	25 Sep 2021 18:00	405	19.9 million				-	-	-	India

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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StormSurge

0.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.3m in Kambhat, India. This height is estimated for 25 Sep 2021 18:45 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 25 Sep 2021 18:00 UTC

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	25 Sep 2021 18:45	Kambhat	India	0.3
	25 Sep 2021 18:45	Kavi	India	0.3
	25 Sep 2021 18:45	Sarod	India	0.3
	25 Sep 2021 18:45	Wadgam	India	0.3
	25 Sep 2021 19:30	Dakshin Char Fasson	Bangladesh	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 19:30	Char Pyarimohan	Bangladesh	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 19:30	Char Annadaprasad	Bangladesh	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 19:30	Char Faizuddin	Bangladesh	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 19:30	Char Krishnaprasad	Bangladesh	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 19:30	Char Manpura	Bangladesh	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 19:15	Char Paila	Bangladesh	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 19:45	Char Kukuri Mukuri	Bangladesh	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 19:45	Ar Kalmi	Bangladesh	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 19:45	Char Aicha	Bangladesh	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 22:30	Bara Pata	Bangladesh	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 22:30	Char Madhyam Lamchhidhali	Bangladesh	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 22:30	Hazipur	Bangladesh	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 22:30	Chandpur	Bangladesh	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 22:30	Char Lakshmi	Bangladesh	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 22:30	Kanchanpur	Bangladesh	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 22:30	Rabipur	Bangladesh	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 22:30	Char Gazi	Bangladesh	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 22:15	Char Algi	Bangladesh	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 22:15	Char Ramiz	Bangladesh	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 22:15	Dasher Hat	Bangladesh	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 20:00	Ghuar Mota	India	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 19:15	Jahajmara	Bangladesh	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 19:15	Maijchara	Bangladesh	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 21:45	Hatia	Bangladesh	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 21:45	Nalchira	Bangladesh	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 21:45	Sagaria	Bangladesh	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 21:45	Char Ishwar Ray	Bangladesh	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 22:15	Char Falcon	Bangladesh	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 22:15	Char Bedama	Bangladesh	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 22:15	Chandhuri Hat	Bangladesh	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 22:15	Khaser Hat	Bangladesh	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 22:15	Ewazbalia	Bangladesh	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 22:00	Char Ishwar	Bangladesh	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 18:00	Asarsa	India	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 18:15	Golbania	Bangladesh	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 18:15	Char Bagala	Bangladesh	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 18:15	Debpur	Bangladesh	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 18:15	Bhaylabania	Bangladesh	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 18:15	Chalitabunia	Bangladesh	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 18:15	Char Hare	Bangladesh	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 18:15	Neta	Bangladesh	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 18:15	Chhota Baisdia	Bangladesh	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 18:15	Andar Char	Bangladesh	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 18:15	Burirchar	Bangladesh	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 18:15	Char Lakshmi	Bangladesh	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 18:15	Char Manika	Bangladesh	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 18:30	Maitbhanga	Bangladesh	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 18:30	Dhalapara	Bangladesh	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 18:30	Kamla Char	Bangladesh	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 18:30	Jafarnagar	Bangladesh	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 18:30	Barabkunda	Bangladesh	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 18:30	Bansbaria	Bangladesh	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 18:30	Kumira	Bangladesh	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 18:30	Sitalpur	Bangladesh	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 18:30	Bhatiari	Bangladesh	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 18:30	Dakhin Kattali	Bangladesh	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 19:00	Sandwip	Bangladesh	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 19:00	Nayamasti	Bangladesh	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 18:30	Chittagong	Bangladesh	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 21:00	Ghoshbagh	Bangladesh	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 21:00	Munshir Hat	Bangladesh	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 21:00	Akbar Hat	Bangladesh	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 18:00	Harinagar	India	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 21:00	Char Fakura	Bangladesh	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 18:30	Char Lakshia	Bangladesh	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 21:00	Bamnia	Bangladesh	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 21:00	Charparbati	Bangladesh	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 21:00	Tulatali	Bangladesh	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 21:00	Char Chandia	Bangladesh	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 21:00	Bara Ahmadpur	Bangladesh	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 21:00	Banskhali	Bangladesh	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 21:00	Bariakhali	Bangladesh	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 21:00	Char Kalidas	Bangladesh	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 18:30	Dakhin Patenga	Bangladesh	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 18:30	Janali Hat	Bangladesh	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 18:30	Kalapul	Bangladesh	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 18:30	Anowara	Bangladesh	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 00:00	Al Mish ab	Saudi Arabia	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 00:00	As Saffaniyah	Saudi Arabia	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 18:00	Ghogha	India	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 00:00	Al Jubayl Industrial City	Saudi Arabia	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 00:00	Al Jubayl	Saudi Arabia	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 20:15	Bandar-e Dargaham	Iran	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 20:15	Dogerdan	Iran	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 20:15	Qeshm	Iran	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 20:15	Bandar Abbas	Iran	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 18:00	Dahej	India	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 18:00	Tankari	India	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 18:00	Muler	India	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 18:45	Akri	India	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 18:45	Gahira	Bangladesh	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 23:30	Al Fanatir	Saudi Arabia	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 22:15	Pahel	Iran	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 22:15	Bandar-e Laft	Iran	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 22:15	Laft	Iran	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 22:15	Payi Pusht	Iran	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 18:30	Char Chapli	Bangladesh	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 18:30	Bara Baliatali	Bangladesh	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 18:30	Kalapara	Bangladesh	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 18:30	Khankhanabad	Bangladesh	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 18:15	Kuakata	Bangladesh	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 18:15	Mahipur	Bangladesh	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 18:30	Purba Gomdandi	Bangladesh	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 00:00	Abu Dhabi	United Arab Emirates	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 19:00	Al Khaluf	Oman	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 19:00	Filim	Oman	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 00:00	Al Budayyi	Bahrain	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 00:00	Ad Diraz	Bahrain	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 00:00	Al Qurayyah	Bahrain	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 00:00	Badi Jamrah	Bahrain	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 00:00	Barbar	Bahrain	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 00:00	Karranah	Bahrain	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 00:00	Salmbad	Bahrain	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 00:00	Al Seef	Bahrain	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 00:00	Jidd Hafs	Bahrain	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 00:00	'Isa Town	Bahrain	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 00:00	Ar Rifa	Bahrain	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 00:00	Al Manamah	Bahrain	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 00:00	Al Juffayr	Bahrain	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 00:00	Al Muharraq	Bahrain	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 00:00	Sitrah	Bahrain	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 00:00	Al Busaytin	Bahrain	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 00:00	'Arad	Bahrain	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 00:00	Qalali	Bahrain	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 00:00	Al Hidd	Bahrain	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 18:15	Rasalpur	India	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 18:15	Chandipur	India	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 00:00	Bideipur	India	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 18:45	Hormoz	Iran	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 18:45	Arzeni	Iran	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 00:00	Jazirah	United Arab Emirates	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 00:00	Bu Lifiyat	United Arab Emirates	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 00:00	Tarif	United Arab Emirates	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 23:45	Dawanij	Oman	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 23:45	Al Liwa	Oman	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 23:45	Suhar	Oman	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 00:00	Al 'Arish	Qatar	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 23:15	Al Marfa	United Arab Emirates	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 20:30	Basaidu	Iran	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 20:30	Dustku	Iran	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 20:30	Chahu Shomali	Iran	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 00:00	Ar Ruways	United Arab Emirates	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 18:30	Suthri	India	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 19:00	Shirali	India	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 19:00	Bhatkal	India	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 19:00	Bainduru	India	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 19:00	Chittadi	India	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 18:30	Kundapura	India	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 23:45	Suwadi al Batsa'	Oman	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 23:45	Billa	Oman	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 23:45	Murayjat	Oman	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 23:45	Barka	Oman	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 22:00	Jimeirah	United Arab Emirates	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 18:30	Salwa	Saudi Arabia	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 18:30	As Salwa	Saudi Arabia	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 21:45	Dubai	United Arab Emirates	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 00:00	Manfadh al Khafji	Saudi Arabia	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 00:00	Ras all Khafji	Saudi Arabia	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 19:00	Bambu Khan	Pakistan	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 19:00	Goth Jumo	Pakistan	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 18:45	Supati	Bangladesh	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 18:45	Bara Patharghata	Bangladesh	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 18:45	Chhota Nishanbaria Chak	Bangladesh	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 18:45	Dhalua	Bangladesh	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 18:45	Bara Bagi	Bangladesh	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 18:45	Chhota Bagi	Bangladesh	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 18:45	Chandkhali	Bangladesh	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 23:00	Mursays	Oman	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 23:00	Dawwah	Oman	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 23:00	Dafiyat	Oman	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 23:00	Dhuwwah	Oman	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 23:00	Shiinzi	Oman	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 20:30	Dakhinpara	Bangladesh	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 20:30	Kanyinchaung	Myanmar	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 20:30	Jaliapara	Bangladesh	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 20:30	Nyaunggyaung	Myanmar	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 20:30	Zawmadat	Myanmar	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 20:30	Anauk Myinhlut	Myanmar	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 20:30	Kyaukpandu	Myanmar	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 20:30	Bandar Suflin	Iran	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 20:30	Dasah	United Arab Emirates	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 22:45	Dublat	India	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 22:45	Bijavbati	India	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 00:00	Abu az Zuluf	Qatar	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 00:00	Madinat ash Shamal	Qatar	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 00:00	Al Ghariyah	Qatar	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 19:00	Umm Bab	Qatar	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 00:00	'Ayn Sinan	Qatar	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 20:00	Dukhan	Qatar	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 20:45	Bandar-e Band-e	Iran	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 19:30	Manki	India	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 19:30	Mavalli	India	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 19:00	Qasasil	Qatar	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 22:00	Zahr	United Arab Emirates	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 20:30	Ajman	United Arab Emirates	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 20:30	Umm al Qaywayn	United Arab Emirates	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 19:15	Honavar	India	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 00:00	Ar Rifa' ash Sharqi	Bahrain	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 00:00	Jaww	Bahrain	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.