Overall Orange Tropical Cyclone alert for GULAB-21/SHAHEEN-21 in Oman from 24 Sep 2021 06:00 UTC to 03 Oct 2021 18:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Orange alert Tropical Cyclone for GULAB-21/SHAHEEN-21

in Oman

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Meteorological source:

GDACS JTWC

Impact Single TC

GFS
HWRF
ECMWF

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone GULAB-21/SHAHEEN-21 can have a medium humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	HWRF
Exposed countries
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	65 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.3 m (25 Sep 14:15 UTC)
Vulnerability	Medium (Oman)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
HWRF Current	65 km/h	0.3 m	83 mm	0.5
HWRF Overall	158 km/h	0.5 m	591 mm	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

158 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above

Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 25 Sep 2021 12:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS

Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Pop in Cat. 1 or higher	TS	Cat. 1	Cat. 2	Cat. 3	Cat. 4	Cat. 5
1	24 Sep 2021 06:00	61	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	24 Sep 2021 12:00	61	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	24 Sep 2021 18:00	61	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
4	25 Sep 2021 00:00	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
5	25 Sep 2021 06:00	76	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
6	25 Sep 2021 12:00	79	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Download:

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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Rainfall

Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 25 Sep 2021 12:00 UTC

Level	Country	Population
250-500 mm	India	693
100-250 mm	India	11,219,793
50-100 mm	India	29,468,587

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Rainfall (mm)	Pop >100mm or higher	50-100	100-250	250-500	500-750	750-1000	>1000	Countries
1	24 Sep 2021 06:00	363	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	24 Sep 2021 12:00	33	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	24 Sep 2021 18:00	185	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
4	25 Sep 2021 00:00	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
5	25 Sep 2021 06:00	258	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
6	25 Sep 2021 12:00	454	11.2 million				-	-	-	India

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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StormSurge

0.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.3m in New Kandla, India. This height is estimated for 25 Sep 2021 14:15 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 25 Sep 2021 12:00 UTC

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	25 Sep 2021 14:15	New Kandla	India	0.3
	25 Sep 2021 18:00	Kambhat	India	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 18:00	Kavi	India	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 18:00	Sarod	India	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 18:00	Wadgam	India	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 14:00	Jodiya	India	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 16:45	Asarsa	India	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 13:45	Tuna	India	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 16:30	Harinagar	India	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 13:30	Jambura	India	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 16:45	Dahej	India	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 16:45	Tankari	India	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 16:45	Muler	India	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 12:00	Golbania	Bangladesh	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 12:00	Char Bagala	Bangladesh	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 12:00	Debpur	Bangladesh	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 12:00	Bhaylabania	Bangladesh	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 12:00	Chalitabunia	Bangladesh	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 12:00	Char Hare	Bangladesh	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 12:00	Neta	Bangladesh	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 12:00	Chhota Baisdia	Bangladesh	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 12:00	Andar Char	Bangladesh	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 12:00	Burirchar	Bangladesh	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 12:00	Char Lakshmi	Bangladesh	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 12:00	Char Manika	Bangladesh	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 16:15	Ghogha	India	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 14:15	Dhalapara	Bangladesh	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 14:15	Kamla Char	Bangladesh	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 14:15	Jafarnagar	Bangladesh	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 14:15	Barabkunda	Bangladesh	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 14:15	Bansbaria	Bangladesh	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 14:15	Kumira	Bangladesh	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 14:15	Sitalpur	Bangladesh	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 14:15	Bhatiari	Bangladesh	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 14:15	Dakhin Kattali	Bangladesh	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 14:15	Chittagong	Bangladesh	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 14:15	Maitbhanga	Bangladesh	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 14:00	Char Lakshia	Bangladesh	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 14:30	Pahel	Iran	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 14:30	Bandar-e Laft	Iran	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 14:30	Laft	Iran	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 14:30	Payi Pusht	Iran	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 12:00	Ghuar Mota	India	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 18:00	Char Kukuri Mukuri	Bangladesh	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 18:00	Char Aicha	Bangladesh	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 18:00	Char Paila	Bangladesh	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 17:15	Jahajmara	Bangladesh	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 17:15	Maijchara	Bangladesh	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 17:15	Sagaria	Bangladesh	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 17:15	Char Ishwar Ray	Bangladesh	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 17:15	Char Ishwar	Bangladesh	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 14:00	Dakhin Patenga	Bangladesh	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 13:45	Janali Hat	Bangladesh	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 13:45	Kalapul	Bangladesh	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 13:45	Anowara	Bangladesh	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 14:15	Sandwip	Bangladesh	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 14:15	Nayamasti	Bangladesh	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 16:30	Ghoshbagh	Bangladesh	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 16:30	Munshir Hat	Bangladesh	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 16:30	Char Fakura	Bangladesh	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 16:30	Akbar Hat	Bangladesh	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 14:15	Dakshin Char Fasson	Bangladesh	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 14:15	Char Pyarimohan	Bangladesh	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 14:15	Char Annadaprasad	Bangladesh	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 14:15	Char Faizuddin	Bangladesh	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 14:15	Char Krishnaprasad	Bangladesh	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 14:15	Char Manpura	Bangladesh	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 16:30	Bamnia	Bangladesh	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 16:30	Charparbati	Bangladesh	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 16:30	Tulatali	Bangladesh	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 16:30	Char Chandia	Bangladesh	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 16:30	Bara Ahmadpur	Bangladesh	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 16:30	Banskhali	Bangladesh	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 16:30	Bariakhali	Bangladesh	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 16:30	Char Kalidas	Bangladesh	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 18:00	Ar Kalmi	Bangladesh	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 18:00	Hatia	Bangladesh	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 18:00	Nalchira	Bangladesh	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 18:00	Dasher Hat	Bangladesh	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 17:00	Bandar-e Dargaham	Iran	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 17:00	Dogerdan	Iran	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 17:00	Qeshm	Iran	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 17:00	Bandar Abbas	Iran	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 16:45	Khaser Hat	Bangladesh	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 16:45	Ewazbalia	Bangladesh	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 13:45	Gahira	Bangladesh	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 14:15	Bhagva	India	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 14:15	Damka	India	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 14:15	Olpad	India	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 12:15	Char Chapli	Bangladesh	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 12:15	Bara Baliatali	Bangladesh	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 12:15	Kalapara	Bangladesh	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 12:15	Kuakata	Bangladesh	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 12:15	Mahipur	Bangladesh	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 13:00	Al Jubayl Industrial City	Saudi Arabia	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 13:00	Al Jubayl	Saudi Arabia	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 12:00	Akri	India	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 13:15	Khankhanabad	Bangladesh	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 13:15	Purba Gomdandi	Bangladesh	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 13:00	Al Fanatir	Saudi Arabia	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 15:30	Dakhinpara	Bangladesh	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 15:30	Kanyinchaung	Myanmar	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 15:30	Jaliapara	Bangladesh	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 15:30	Nyaunggyaung	Myanmar	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 15:30	Zawmadat	Myanmar	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 15:30	Anauk Myinhlut	Myanmar	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 15:30	Kyaukpandu	Myanmar	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 18:00	Bara Pata	Bangladesh	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 18:00	Char Madhyam Lamchhidhali	Bangladesh	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 18:00	Hazipur	Bangladesh	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 18:00	Chandpur	Bangladesh	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 18:00	Char Lakshmi	Bangladesh	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 18:00	Kanchanpur	Bangladesh	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 18:00	Rabipur	Bangladesh	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 18:00	Char Algi	Bangladesh	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 18:00	Char Gazi	Bangladesh	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 18:00	Char Ramiz	Bangladesh	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 12:00	Chudeswar	India	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 12:00	Salaya	India	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 12:15	Hormoz	Iran	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 18:00	Char Falcon	Bangladesh	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 18:00	Char Bedama	Bangladesh	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 18:00	Chandhuri Hat	Bangladesh	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 14:00	Mundra	India	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 12:15	Arzeni	Iran	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 13:00	Supati	Bangladesh	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 13:00	Bara Patharghata	Bangladesh	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 13:00	Chhota Nishanbaria Chak	Bangladesh	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 13:00	Dhalua	Bangladesh	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 13:00	Bara Bagi	Bangladesh	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 13:00	Chhota Bagi	Bangladesh	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 13:00	Chandkhali	Bangladesh	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 16:00	Kotada	India	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 12:45	Sika	India	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 12:00	Jhankhar	India	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 12:00	Aramda	India	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 13:30	Jalalpur	India	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 13:30	Mahuver	India	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 13:30	Nausari	India	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 13:30	Navsari	India	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 13:30	Bilimora	India	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 13:45	Dharasana	India	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 13:45	Valsad	India	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 13:30	Surat	India	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 12:30	Napura	Bangladesh	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 12:30	Dhurung	Bangladesh	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 12:30	Lemsikhali	Bangladesh	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 12:30	Al Mish ab	Saudi Arabia	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 12:30	As Saffaniyah	Saudi Arabia	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 14:45	Bambu Khan	Pakistan	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 14:45	Goth Jumo	Pakistan	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 14:30	Basaidu	Iran	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 14:30	Dustku	Iran	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 14:30	Chahu Shomali	Iran	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 17:45	Dawanij	Oman	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 17:45	Al Liwa	Oman	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 17:45	Suhar	Oman	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 12:30	Daman	India	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 12:30	Udvada	India	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 15:00	Safwa	Saudi Arabia	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 15:00	Jabal al Qawm	Saudi Arabia	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 15:00	Al Qatif	Saudi Arabia	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 15:00	Ank	Saudi Arabia	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 15:00	Sayhat	Saudi Arabia	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 15:00	Najmah	Saudi Arabia	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 15:00	Tarut	Saudi Arabia	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 15:00	Al 'Adamah	Saudi Arabia	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 15:00	Ad Dammam	Saudi Arabia	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 16:00	Ali Akbardeil	Bangladesh	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 16:00	Magnama	Bangladesh	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 12:15	Navinal	India	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 14:15	Bandar Suflin	Iran	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 18:00	Rasalpur	India	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 18:00	Chandipur	India	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 17:30	Suwadi al Batsa'	Oman	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 17:30	Billa	Oman	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 17:30	Murayjat	Oman	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 17:30	Barka	Oman	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 15:15	Mahuva	India	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 12:15	Al Khawwari	Saudi Arabia	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 12:15	Manifah	Saudi Arabia	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 12:00	Bhadia	India	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 14:00	Bandar-e Band-e	Iran	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 18:00	Al Khaluf	Oman	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 18:00	Filim	Oman	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 14:45	Deh-Cabo	Somalia	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 14:45	Cadayo	Somalia	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 14:45	Malud	India	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 15:30	Bada	Pakistan	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 15:30	Cheru	Pakistan	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 15:30	Sonmiani	Pakistan	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 16:15	Dhalghata	Bangladesh	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 18:00	Salwa	Saudi Arabia	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 18:00	As Salwa	Saudi Arabia	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 18:00	Bideipur	India	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 16:30	Kalarmarchara	Bangladesh	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 16:30	Uttar Nalbila	Bangladesh	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 18:00	Dublat	India	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 18:00	Bijavbati	India	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 15:00	Hukitala	India	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 15:00	Satabhaya	India	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 14:30	Bardeil	Bangladesh	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 14:30	Atikhalipara	Bangladesh	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 14:30	Teknaf	Bangladesh	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 14:30	Ale Kalaywa	Myanmar	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 12:00	Maroli	India	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 15:30	Ascira	Somalia	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 18:00	Umm Bab	Qatar	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.