Overall Red Tropical Cyclone alert for IOTA-20 in Honduras, Nicaragua from 13 Nov 2020 15:00 UTC to 18 Nov 2020 15:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Red alert Tropical Cyclone for IOTA-20

in Honduras, Nicaragua

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to select bulletin time

Meteorological source:

GDACS NOAA

Impact Single TC

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone IOTA-20 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	GFS
Exposed countries	Mexico, Honduras, Nicaragua, Colombia
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	97 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.1 m (15 Nov 12:00 UTC)
Vulnerability	Medium (Honduras)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
GFS Current	97 km/h	0.1 m	132 mm	0.5
GFS Overall	158 km/h	1.7 m	607 mm	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

158 km/h

Up to 220 thousand can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above

Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 15 Nov 2020 06:00 UTC

Category	Country	Population
Tropical Storm	Mexico, Honduras, Nicaragua, Colombia	219,990	+
	Mexico	12,579
	Honduras	118,535
	Nicaragua	14,686
	Colombia	74,190

See TC classification SSHS

Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Pop in Cat. 1 or higher	TS	Cat. 1	Cat. 2	Cat. 3	Cat. 4	Cat. 5	Countries
1	13 Nov 2020 12:00	47	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	13 Nov 2020 18:00	50	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	14 Nov 2020 00:00	65	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
4	14 Nov 2020 06:00	65	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
5	14 Nov 2020 12:00	79	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
6	14 Nov 2020 18:00	86	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
7	15 Nov 2020 00:00	90	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
8	15 Nov 2020 06:00	155	-		-	-	-	-	-	Mexico, Honduras, Nicaragua, Colombia

Download:

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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Rainfall

Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 15 Nov 2020 06:00 UTC

Level	Country	Population
250-500 mm	Honduras, Nicaragua	650,957	+
	Honduras	485,000
	Nicaragua	165,957
100-250 mm	Mexico, Honduras, Nicaragua, Colombia, Venezuela, Panama	2,134,313	+
	Mexico	1,479
	Honduras	1,290,551
	Nicaragua	140,033
	Colombia	286,266
	Venezuela	267,820
	Panama	148,164
50-100 mm	Cuba, Mexico, Belize, Honduras, Guatemala, Nicaragua, Colombia, Venezuela, Costa Rica, Panama	26,151,229	+
	Cuba	116,120
	Mexico	2,001,363
	Belize	20
	Honduras	1,860,843
	Guatemala	92,773
	Nicaragua	391,945
	Colombia	11,693,659
	Venezuela	8,512,258
	Costa Rica	727,980
	Panama	754,268

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Rainfall (mm)	Pop >100mm or higher	50-100	100-250	250-500	500-750	750-1000	>1000	Countries
1	13 Nov 2020 12:00	72	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	13 Nov 2020 18:00	103	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	14 Nov 2020 00:00	241	-		-	-	-	-	-	Colombia
4	14 Nov 2020 06:00	288	-		-	-	-	-	-	Colombia
5	14 Nov 2020 12:00	332	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
6	14 Nov 2020 18:00	259	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
7	15 Nov 2020 00:00	78	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
8	15 Nov 2020 06:00	600	2.8 million				-	-	-	Cuba, Mexico, Belize, Honduras, Guatemala, Nicaragua, Colombia, Venezuela, Costa Rica, Panama

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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StormSurge

0.1 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.1m in Puerto Cabezas, Nicaragua. This height is estimated for 15 Nov 2020 12:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 15 Nov 2020 06:00 UTC

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	15 Nov 2020 12:00	Puerto Cabezas	Nicaragua	0.1
	15 Nov 2020 12:00	Tuapi	Nicaragua	0.1
	15 Nov 2020 12:00	Crucira	Nicaragua	0.1
	15 Nov 2020 11:30	Sandy Bay Sirpi	Nicaragua	0.1
	15 Nov 2020 11:30	Barra de Rio Grande	Nicaragua	0.1
	15 Nov 2020 11:30	Hualpasika	Nicaragua	0.1
	15 Nov 2020 11:30	Wounta	Nicaragua	0.1
	15 Nov 2020 11:30	Coco Haulover	Nicaragua	0.1
	15 Nov 2020 11:45	Tahuantla	Nicaragua	0.1
	15 Nov 2020 11:45	Puerto Isabel	Nicaragua	0.1
	15 Nov 2020 11:45	Awastara	Nicaragua	0.1
	15 Nov 2020 06:00	Los Hermanitos	Venezuela	0.1
	15 Nov 2020 06:00	Botoncillo	Venezuela	0.1
	15 Nov 2020 06:00	Caraipia	Venezuela	0.1
	15 Nov 2020 06:00	Boca Paijana	Venezuela	0.1
	15 Nov 2020 06:00	Puertecitos	Venezuela	0.1
	15 Nov 2020 06:00	Cardoncito	Venezuela	0.1
	15 Nov 2020 06:00	Puerto Guerrero	Venezuela	0.1
	15 Nov 2020 06:00	Calle Ancha	Venezuela	0.1
	15 Nov 2020 06:00	Puerto Mara	Venezuela	0.1
	15 Nov 2020 06:00	Puerto Cardoncito	Venezuela	0.1
	15 Nov 2020 06:00	Paijana	Venezuela	0.1
	15 Nov 2020 06:00	La Esperanza	Venezuela	0.1
	15 Nov 2020 06:00	San Rafael	Venezuela	0.1
	15 Nov 2020 06:00	Las Cabimas	Venezuela	0.1
	15 Nov 2020 06:00	Las Delicias	Venezuela	0.1
	15 Nov 2020 06:00	El Toas	Venezuela	0.1
	15 Nov 2020 06:00	San Carlos	Venezuela	0.1
	15 Nov 2020 11:30	Wankluma	Nicaragua	0.1
	15 Nov 2020 11:30	Ninayeri	Nicaragua	0.1
	15 Nov 2020 11:30	Ledakura	Nicaragua	0.1
	15 Nov 2020 11:30	Graytown	Nicaragua	0.1
	15 Nov 2020 12:00	Karata	Nicaragua	0.1
	15 Nov 2020 12:00	Huahua	Nicaragua	0.1
	15 Nov 2020 12:00	Lama Laya	Nicaragua	0.1
	15 Nov 2020 06:00	Almacen	Cuba	0.1
	15 Nov 2020 06:00	Guasimal	Cuba	0.1
	15 Nov 2020 10:45	Set Net	Nicaragua	0.1
	15 Nov 2020 11:00	Tasbapauni	Nicaragua	0.1
	15 Nov 2020 06:00	El Carmelo	Venezuela	0.1
	15 Nov 2020 06:00	Santa Cruz de Mara	Venezuela	0.1
	15 Nov 2020 06:00	Salina Rica	Venezuela	0.1
	15 Nov 2020 06:00	Maracaibo	Venezuela	0.1
	15 Nov 2020 06:00	Puerto Caballo	Venezuela	0.1
	15 Nov 2020 06:00	El Triunfo	Venezuela	0.1
	15 Nov 2020 06:00	Punto Miranda	Venezuela	0.1
	15 Nov 2020 06:00	El Aceituno	Venezuela	0.1
	15 Nov 2020 06:00	Punta de Palmas	Venezuela	0.1
	15 Nov 2020 06:00	Haticos del Sur	Venezuela	0.1
	15 Nov 2020 06:00	Punta de Leiva	Venezuela	0.1
	15 Nov 2020 06:00	El Cucharal	Venezuela	0.1
	15 Nov 2020 06:00	Los Jobitos	Venezuela	0.1
	15 Nov 2020 06:00	Jaguecito	Venezuela	0.1
	15 Nov 2020 06:00	El Canito	Venezuela	0.1
	15 Nov 2020 06:00	El Caiman	Venezuela	0.1
	15 Nov 2020 06:00	Altagracia	Venezuela	0.1
	15 Nov 2020 06:00	Las Playitas	Venezuela	0.1
	15 Nov 2020 06:00	Bella Vista	Venezuela	0.1
	15 Nov 2020 06:00	La Palmita	Venezuela	0.1
	15 Nov 2020 06:00	Jaguey de Vera	Venezuela	0.1
	15 Nov 2020 06:00	Ancon de Iturbe	Venezuela	0.1
	15 Nov 2020 06:00	Ancon de Iturre	Venezuela	0.1
	15 Nov 2020 06:00	Gutierrez	Venezuela	0.1
	15 Nov 2020 11:30	Nevamar	Colombia	0.1
	15 Nov 2020 11:30	Rio Canas	Colombia	0.1
	15 Nov 2020 11:30	Olga	Colombia	0.1
	15 Nov 2020 11:30	La Victoria	Colombia	0.1
	15 Nov 2020 11:30	Dibulla	Colombia	0.1
	15 Nov 2020 07:00	Majana	Cuba	0.1
	15 Nov 2020 07:00	Guanimar	Cuba	0.1
	15 Nov 2020 10:15	Barra del Rio Maiz	Nicaragua	0.1
	15 Nov 2020 10:15	Amerisco	Nicaragua	0.1
	15 Nov 2020 06:00	Perequete	Panama	0.1
	15 Nov 2020 06:00	Pena Blanca	Panama	0.1
	15 Nov 2020 06:00	La Mitra	Panama	0.1
	15 Nov 2020 06:00	Playa Leona	Panama	0.1
	15 Nov 2020 06:00	Coco	Panama	0.1
	15 Nov 2020 06:00	Cruces	Panama	0.1
	15 Nov 2020 06:00	Majagul	Panama	0.1
	15 Nov 2020 06:00	San Jose	Panama	0.1
	15 Nov 2020 06:00	Isleta	Panama	0.1
	15 Nov 2020 06:00	Arraijan	Panama	0.1
	15 Nov 2020 06:00	Puerto Caimito	Panama	0.1
	15 Nov 2020 06:00	Vista Alegre	Panama	0.1
	15 Nov 2020 06:00	San Vicente de Bique	Panama	0.1
	15 Nov 2020 06:00	Vaca Monte	Panama	0.1
	15 Nov 2020 06:00	Vera Cruz	Panama	0.1
	15 Nov 2020 06:00	Rousseau	Panama	0.1
	15 Nov 2020 06:00	Lacona	Panama	0.1
	15 Nov 2020 06:00	Fuerte Kobbe	Panama	0.1
	15 Nov 2020 06:00	Albrook	Panama	0.1
	15 Nov 2020 06:00	Taboga	Panama	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.