Overall Red alert Tropical Cyclone for IOTA-20
in Honduras, Nicaragua
15 Nov 2020 00 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone IOTA-20 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries Honduras, Nicaragua, Colombia
Exposed population 2 thousand in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 90 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.2 m (15 Nov 01:30 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Honduras)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 90 km/h 0.2 m 78 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 158 km/h 1.7 m 607 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

158 km/h

Up to 250 thousand can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 15 Nov 2020 00:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
CAT. 1Honduras, Nicaragua1,731
+
Honduras1,675 
Nicaragua56 
Tropical StormHonduras, Nicaragua, Colombia247,966
+
Honduras124,172 
Nicaragua50,638 
Colombia73,156 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 13 Nov 2020 12:00 47 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 13 Nov 2020 18:00 50 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 14 Nov 2020 00:00 65 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 14 Nov 2020 06:00 65 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 14 Nov 2020 12:00 79 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 14 Nov 2020 18:00 86 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 15 Nov 2020 00:00 169 2 thousand
- - - - Honduras, Nicaragua, Colombia
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
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Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 15 Nov 2020 00:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
500-750 mmNicaragua1,746 
250-500 mmHonduras, Nicaragua287,102
+
Honduras134,066 
Nicaragua153,036 
100-250 mmMexico, Honduras, Nicaragua, Colombia, Venezuela, Panama1,764,324
+
Mexico947 
Honduras1,275,913 
Nicaragua136,256 
Colombia162,731 
Venezuela170,431 
Panama18,046 
50-100 mmMexico, Honduras, Guatemala, Nicaragua, Colombia, Bonaire (Netherlands), Curacao, Venezuela, Costa Rica, Panama24,289,264
+
Mexico1,497,426 
Honduras2,017,189 
Guatemala246 
Nicaragua279,652 
Colombia8,435,627 
Bonaire (Netherlands)779 
Curacao27,724 
Venezuela10,595,763 
Costa Rica714,401 
Panama720,457 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 13 Nov 2020 12:00 72 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 13 Nov 2020 18:00 103 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 14 Nov 2020 00:00 241 -
- - - - - Colombia
Blue 4 14 Nov 2020 06:00 288 -
- - - - - Colombia
Blue 5 14 Nov 2020 12:00 332 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 14 Nov 2020 18:00 259 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 15 Nov 2020 00:00 565 2.1 million
- - Mexico, Honduras, Guatemala, Nicaragua, Colombia, Bonaire (Netherlands), Curacao, Venezuela, Costa Rica, Panama




Impact estimation for the next 72h
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StormSurge

0.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.2m in Ninayeri, Nicaragua. This height is estimated for 15 Nov 2020 01:30 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 15 Nov 2020 00:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
15 Nov 2020 01:30 Ninayeri Nicaragua  0.2
15 Nov 2020 01:30 Ledakura Nicaragua  0.2
15 Nov 2020 01:30 Graytown Nicaragua  0.2
15 Nov 2020 01:30 Awastara Nicaragua  0.2
15 Nov 2020 00:45 Cardoncito Venezuela  0.2
15 Nov 2020 00:45 Puerto Guerrero Venezuela  0.2
15 Nov 2020 00:45 Calle Ancha Venezuela  0.2
15 Nov 2020 00:45 Puerto Mara Venezuela  0.2
15 Nov 2020 00:45 Puerto Cardoncito Venezuela  0.2
15 Nov 2020 00:45 Paijana Venezuela  0.2
15 Nov 2020 00:45 La Esperanza Venezuela  0.2
15 Nov 2020 00:45 San Rafael Venezuela  0.2
15 Nov 2020 00:45 Las Cabimas Venezuela  0.2
15 Nov 2020 00:45 El Toas Venezuela  0.2
15 Nov 2020 00:45 San Carlos Venezuela  0.2
15 Nov 2020 01:30 La Punta Venezuela  0.2
15 Nov 2020 01:30 Los Aceitunitos Venezuela  0.2
15 Nov 2020 01:30 Los Mochos Venezuela  0.2
15 Nov 2020 01:30 Juruba Venezuela  0.2
15 Nov 2020 01:30 Campo Alegre Venezuela  0.2
15 Nov 2020 01:30 Zulia Mar Venezuela  0.2
15 Nov 2020 01:30 Los Hermanitos Venezuela  0.2
15 Nov 2020 01:30 Botoncillo Venezuela  0.2
15 Nov 2020 01:30 Caimare Chico Venezuela  0.2
15 Nov 2020 01:30 Caraipia Venezuela  0.2
15 Nov 2020 01:30 Boca Paijana Venezuela  0.2
15 Nov 2020 01:30 Puertecitos Venezuela  0.2
15 Nov 2020 01:30 Cabo Gracias Viejo Nicaragua  0.2
15 Nov 2020 01:30 Irlaya Honduras  0.2
15 Nov 2020 01:30 Cabo Gracias a Dios Honduras  0.2
15 Nov 2020 00:45 Crucira Nicaragua  0.2
15 Nov 2020 00:45 Los Filudos Venezuela  0.2
15 Nov 2020 00:45 La Gloria Venezuela  0.2
15 Nov 2020 00:45 Campamento Venezuela  0.2
15 Nov 2020 00:45 Paraguaipoa Venezuela  0.2
15 Nov 2020 00:45 Guichep Venezuela  0.2
15 Nov 2020 00:45 Jumop Venezuela  0.2
15 Nov 2020 00:45 Calinatay Venezuela  0.2
15 Nov 2020 00:45 Molomana Venezuela  0.2
15 Nov 2020 00:45 Sichipes Venezuela  0.2
15 Nov 2020 00:45 Pararu Venezuela  0.2
15 Nov 2020 00:45 Guayamulisira Venezuela  0.2
15 Nov 2020 00:45 Neima Venezuela  0.2
15 Nov 2020 00:45 Cojua Venezuela  0.2
15 Nov 2020 00:45 Guarurtain Venezuela  0.2
15 Nov 2020 00:45 Jautaipanou Venezuela  0.2
15 Nov 2020 00:45 Jasav Venezuela  0.2
15 Nov 2020 00:45 Uluimana Venezuela  0.2
15 Nov 2020 00:45 Jurulapa Venezuela  0.2
15 Nov 2020 00:45 Gualipana Venezuela  0.2
15 Nov 2020 00:45 Cojoro Venezuela  0.2
15 Nov 2020 00:15 Karata Nicaragua  0.2
15 Nov 2020 00:15 Huahua Nicaragua  0.2
15 Nov 2020 00:15 Lama Laya Nicaragua  0.2
15 Nov 2020 00:15 Puerto Cabezas Nicaragua  0.2
15 Nov 2020 00:15 Tuapi Nicaragua  0.2
15 Nov 2020 01:00 Guasapatu Venezuela  0.2
15 Nov 2020 01:00 Palachuou Venezuela  0.2
15 Nov 2020 00:00 Potchoure Venezuela  0.2
15 Nov 2020 00:00 Zarrupiai Venezuela  0.2
15 Nov 2020 00:00 Cuzi Venezuela  0.2
15 Nov 2020 01:15 Raya Honduras  0.2
15 Nov 2020 01:15 Clubki Honduras  0.2
15 Nov 2020 00:15 Coco Haulover Nicaragua  0.2
15 Nov 2020 00:00 Tasbapauni Nicaragua  0.2
15 Nov 2020 00:00 Barra de Rio Grande Nicaragua  0.2
15 Nov 2020 00:15 Morchipa Venezuela  0.1
15 Nov 2020 00:15 Parsua Venezuela  0.1
15 Nov 2020 00:00 Hualpasika Nicaragua  0.1
15 Nov 2020 00:00 Wounta Nicaragua  0.1
15 Nov 2020 01:30 San Agustin Venezuela  0.1
15 Nov 2020 00:00 Sandy Bay Sirpi Nicaragua  0.1
15 Nov 2020 01:00 Wankluma Nicaragua  0.1
15 Nov 2020 01:45 Arroyo Hondo Venezuela  0.1
15 Nov 2020 01:45 Coneja Venezuela  0.1
15 Nov 2020 01:45 Canapo Venezuela  0.1
15 Nov 2020 01:45 Caracubana Venezuela  0.1
15 Nov 2020 01:45 Antunez Venezuela  0.1
15 Nov 2020 01:45 Yuquique Venezuela  0.1
15 Nov 2020 03:00 Yahurabila Honduras  0.1
15 Nov 2020 03:00 Barra de Caratasca Honduras  0.1
15 Nov 2020 03:00 Kaski Honduras  0.1
15 Nov 2020 03:00 Dapat Honduras  0.1
15 Nov 2020 03:00 Cauauira Honduras  0.1
15 Nov 2020 00:15 Set Net Nicaragua  0.1
15 Nov 2020 00:00 Tahuantla Nicaragua  0.1
15 Nov 2020 00:00 Puerto Isabel Nicaragua  0.1
15 Nov 2020 00:45 Guincua Venezuela  0.1
15 Nov 2020 00:45 Tapuli Venezuela  0.1
15 Nov 2020 01:15 Makaraipaho Colombia  0.1
15 Nov 2020 01:15 Castilletes Colombia  0.1
15 Nov 2020 05:30 Las Delicias Venezuela  0.1
15 Nov 2020 05:00 Nueva Gerona Cuba  0.1
15 Nov 2020 05:00 Presidio Modelo Cuba  0.1
15 Nov 2020 05:00 El Carmelo Venezuela  0.1
15 Nov 2020 05:00 Santa Cruz de Mara Venezuela  0.1
15 Nov 2020 05:00 Salina Rica Venezuela  0.1
15 Nov 2020 05:00 Puerto Caballo Venezuela  0.1
15 Nov 2020 05:00 El Triunfo Venezuela  0.1
15 Nov 2020 05:00 Punto Miranda Venezuela  0.1
15 Nov 2020 05:00 El Aceituno Venezuela  0.1
15 Nov 2020 05:00 Punta de Palmas Venezuela  0.1
15 Nov 2020 05:00 Haticos del Sur Venezuela  0.1
15 Nov 2020 05:00 El Cucharal Venezuela  0.1
15 Nov 2020 05:00 Los Jobitos Venezuela  0.1
15 Nov 2020 05:00 Jaguecito Venezuela  0.1
15 Nov 2020 05:00 El Caiman Venezuela  0.1
15 Nov 2020 05:00 Altagracia Venezuela  0.1
15 Nov 2020 05:00 Las Playitas Venezuela  0.1
15 Nov 2020 02:30 Kanko Honduras  0.1
15 Nov 2020 05:00 Maracaibo Venezuela  0.1
15 Nov 2020 05:00 Punta de Leiva Venezuela  0.1
15 Nov 2020 05:00 El Canito Venezuela  0.1
15 Nov 2020 05:00 Bella Vista Venezuela  0.1
15 Nov 2020 05:00 La Palmita Venezuela  0.1
15 Nov 2020 05:00 Jaguey de Vera Venezuela  0.1
15 Nov 2020 05:00 Ancon de Iturbe Venezuela  0.1
15 Nov 2020 05:00 Ancon de Iturre Venezuela  0.1
15 Nov 2020 05:00 Gutierrez Venezuela  0.1
15 Nov 2020 06:00 Almacen Cuba  0.1
15 Nov 2020 06:00 Guasimal Cuba  0.1
15 Nov 2020 02:45 Canco Honduras  0.1
15 Nov 2020 02:45 Barra Kruta Honduras  0.1
15 Nov 2020 03:30 Ciudad del Carmen Mexico  0.1
15 Nov 2020 00:00 Puerto Lopez Colombia  0.1
15 Nov 2020 02:00 Pusuaya Honduras  0.1
15 Nov 2020 00:30 Mulatos Colombia  0.1
15 Nov 2020 00:30 Zepata Colombia  0.1
15 Nov 2020 00:30 Damaquiel Colombia  0.1
15 Nov 2020 00:30 San Juan Colombia  0.1
15 Nov 2020 00:30 San Juan de Uraba Colombia  0.1
15 Nov 2020 02:15 Santa Clara Venezuela  0.1
15 Nov 2020 02:15 El Suite Venezuela  0.1
15 Nov 2020 02:15 Puerto Gutierrez Venezuela  0.1
15 Nov 2020 02:15 Los Hatos Venezuela  0.1
15 Nov 2020 02:15 Baruche Venezuela  0.1
15 Nov 2020 02:15 Puerto Zazarida Venezuela  0.1
15 Nov 2020 02:15 Zazarida Venezuela  0.1
15 Nov 2020 01:00 Tay Lirila Honduras  0.1
15 Nov 2020 02:00 Puerto Ingles Colombia  0.1
15 Nov 2020 05:45 Perequete Panama  0.1
15 Nov 2020 05:45 Pena Blanca Panama  0.1
15 Nov 2020 05:45 La Mitra Panama  0.1
15 Nov 2020 05:45 Playa Leona Panama  0.1
15 Nov 2020 05:45 Coco Panama  0.1
15 Nov 2020 05:45 Cruces Panama  0.1
15 Nov 2020 05:45 Majagul Panama  0.1
15 Nov 2020 05:45 San Jose Panama  0.1
15 Nov 2020 05:45 Isleta Panama  0.1
15 Nov 2020 05:45 Arraijan Panama  0.1
15 Nov 2020 05:45 Puerto Caimito Panama  0.1
15 Nov 2020 05:45 Vista Alegre Panama  0.1
15 Nov 2020 05:45 San Vicente de Bique Panama  0.1
15 Nov 2020 05:45 Vaca Monte Panama  0.1
15 Nov 2020 05:45 Vera Cruz Panama  0.1
15 Nov 2020 05:45 Rousseau Panama  0.1
15 Nov 2020 05:45 Lacona Panama  0.1
15 Nov 2020 05:45 Fuerte Kobbe Panama  0.1
15 Nov 2020 05:45 Albrook Panama  0.1
15 Nov 2020 05:45 Taboga Panama  0.1
15 Nov 2020 05:30 Ciudad de Panama Panama  0.1
15 Nov 2020 05:30 Juan Dias Panama  0.1
15 Nov 2020 05:30 El Sitio Panama  0.1
15 Nov 2020 05:30 Ciudad Radial Panama  0.1
15 Nov 2020 05:30 Palo Grande Panama  0.1
15 Nov 2020 05:30 Boca de Pacora Panama  0.1
15 Nov 2020 01:30 Hacienda Barravieja Colombia  0.1
15 Nov 2020 01:30 Puebloviejo Colombia  0.1
15 Nov 2020 01:30 Tasajera Colombia  0.1
15 Nov 2020 01:30 Palmira Colombia  0.1
15 Nov 2020 01:30 Isla del Rosario Colombia  0.1
15 Nov 2020 02:30 Victoria Mexico  0.1
15 Nov 2020 00:45 Karasua Colombia  0.1
15 Nov 2020 05:45 Rio Chico Panama  0.1
15 Nov 2020 05:15 Chepillo Panama  0.1
15 Nov 2020 05:15 Sabaneta Panama  0.1
15 Nov 2020 05:15 Boca de Torin Panama  0.1
15 Nov 2020 05:15 Chinina Panama  0.1
15 Nov 2020 00:30 Punta Espada Colombia  0.1