Overall Red alert Tropical Cyclone for IOTA-20
in Honduras, Nicaragua

Impact

Tropical Cyclone IOTA-20 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries Honduras, Nicaragua, Colombia
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 79 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.2 m (14 Nov 16:15 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Honduras)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 79 km/h 0.2 m 332 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 158 km/h 1.7 m 607 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

158 km/h

Up to 70 thousand can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 14 Nov 2020 12:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormHonduras, Nicaragua, Colombia73,990
+
Honduras31,461 
Nicaragua37,521 
Colombia5,008 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 13 Nov 2020 12:00 47 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 13 Nov 2020 18:00 50 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 14 Nov 2020 00:00 65 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 14 Nov 2020 06:00 65 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 14 Nov 2020 12:00 176 -
- - - - - Honduras, Nicaragua, Colombia
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h




Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 14 Nov 2020 12:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
250-500 mmNicaragua, Panama, Colombia9,639
+
Nicaragua4,399 
Colombia1,385 
Panama3,855 
100-250 mmHonduras, Nicaragua, Colombia, Panama, Costa Rica477,884
+
Honduras61,915 
Nicaragua149,198 
Colombia195,415 
Costa Rica8,673 
Panama62,683 
50-100 mmMexico, Guatemala, Honduras, Nicaragua, Colombia, Aruba, Venezuela, Costa Rica, Panama16,145,110
+
Mexico1,352,791 
Guatemala60,590 
Honduras124,013 
Nicaragua116,629 
Colombia7,180,237 
Aruba110,663 
Venezuela3,532,356 
Costa Rica2,381,833 
Panama1,285,998 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 13 Nov 2020 12:00 72 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 13 Nov 2020 18:00 103 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 14 Nov 2020 00:00 241 -
- - - - - Colombia
Blue 4 14 Nov 2020 06:00 288 -
- - - - - Colombia
Blue 5 14 Nov 2020 12:00 890 490 thousand
- - - Mexico, Guatemala, Honduras, Nicaragua, Colombia, Aruba, Venezuela, Costa Rica, Panama




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.2m in Raya, Honduras. This height is estimated for 14 Nov 2020 16:15 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 14 Nov 2020 12:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
14 Nov 2020 16:15 Raya Honduras  0.2
14 Nov 2020 16:15 Clubki Honduras  0.2
14 Nov 2020 16:15 Cabo Gracias Viejo Nicaragua  0.2
14 Nov 2020 16:15 Irlaya Honduras  0.2
14 Nov 2020 16:15 Cabo Gracias a Dios Honduras  0.2
14 Nov 2020 15:00 Ninayeri Nicaragua  0.2
14 Nov 2020 15:00 Ledakura Nicaragua  0.2
14 Nov 2020 15:00 Graytown Nicaragua  0.2
14 Nov 2020 14:45 Awastara Nicaragua  0.1
14 Nov 2020 15:45 Kanko Honduras  0.1
14 Nov 2020 14:30 Sandy Bay Sirpi Nicaragua  0.1
14 Nov 2020 14:30 Barra de Rio Grande Nicaragua  0.1
14 Nov 2020 16:30 Tasbapauni Nicaragua  0.1
14 Nov 2020 16:30 Set Net Nicaragua  0.1
14 Nov 2020 16:45 Wankluma Nicaragua  0.1
14 Nov 2020 14:00 Mulatos Colombia  0.1
14 Nov 2020 14:00 Zepata Colombia  0.1
14 Nov 2020 14:00 Damaquiel Colombia  0.1
14 Nov 2020 14:00 San Juan Colombia  0.1
14 Nov 2020 14:00 San Juan de Uraba Colombia  0.1
14 Nov 2020 15:30 Canco Honduras  0.1
14 Nov 2020 15:30 Barra Kruta Honduras  0.1
14 Nov 2020 16:45 Tahuantla Nicaragua  0.1
14 Nov 2020 16:45 Puerto Isabel Nicaragua  0.1
14 Nov 2020 16:45 Hualpasika Nicaragua  0.1
14 Nov 2020 16:45 Wounta Nicaragua  0.1
14 Nov 2020 16:45 Coco Haulover Nicaragua  0.1
14 Nov 2020 16:45 Crucira Nicaragua  0.1
14 Nov 2020 18:00 Patino Panama  0.1
14 Nov 2020 18:00 Punta Alegre Panama  0.1
14 Nov 2020 18:00 Buena Vista Panama  0.1
14 Nov 2020 18:00 Barro Colorado Panama  0.1
14 Nov 2020 18:00 Quebrada Honda Panama  0.1
14 Nov 2020 18:00 Sibarco Panama  0.1
14 Nov 2020 18:00 El Pixvae Panama  0.1
14 Nov 2020 18:00 Sebolleta Panama  0.1
14 Nov 2020 18:00 Mogocenega Panama  0.1
14 Nov 2020 18:00 La Quebrada Panama  0.1
14 Nov 2020 18:00 Perrecenega Panama  0.1
14 Nov 2020 18:00 Bajo Grande Panama  0.1
14 Nov 2020 18:00 El Encanto Panama  0.1
14 Nov 2020 18:00 Lagarto Panama  0.1
14 Nov 2020 18:00 Mogue Panama  0.1
14 Nov 2020 18:00 La Palma Panama  0.1
14 Nov 2020 18:00 Bavo Grande Panama  0.1
14 Nov 2020 18:00 Berenia Panama  0.1
14 Nov 2020 18:00 Punuloso Panama  0.1
14 Nov 2020 18:00 Miraflores Panama  0.1
14 Nov 2020 18:00 Paratilla Panama  0.1
14 Nov 2020 18:00 Arrizal Panama  0.1
14 Nov 2020 18:00 Aguadilla Panama  0.1
14 Nov 2020 18:00 Jose Paganti Panama  0.1
14 Nov 2020 18:00 Teteral Panama  0.1
14 Nov 2020 18:00 Seteganti Panama  0.1
14 Nov 2020 18:00 Gollito Diaz Panama  0.1
14 Nov 2020 18:00 Chepigana Panama  0.1
14 Nov 2020 18:00 Tutumito Panama  0.1
14 Nov 2020 18:00 El Tigre Panama  0.1
14 Nov 2020 18:00 Campeon Panama  0.1
14 Nov 2020 18:00 Canablancal Panama  0.1
14 Nov 2020 18:00 La Plaza Panama  0.1
14 Nov 2020 18:00 Bijagual Panama  0.1
14 Nov 2020 15:00 Puerto Cabezas Nicaragua  0.1
14 Nov 2020 15:00 Tuapi Nicaragua  0.1
14 Nov 2020 14:30 Los Hermanitos Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 14:30 Botoncillo Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 14:30 Caraipia Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 14:30 Boca Paijana Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 14:30 Puertecitos Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 14:30 Cardoncito Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 14:30 Puerto Guerrero Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 14:30 Calle Ancha Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 14:30 Puerto Mara Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 14:30 Puerto Cardoncito Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 14:30 Paijana Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 14:30 La Esperanza Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 14:30 San Rafael Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 14:30 Las Cabimas Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 14:30 Las Delicias Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 14:30 El Toas Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 14:30 San Carlos Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 18:00 Boca del Yaracuy Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 18:00 Boca de Yaracuy Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 18:00 Moron Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 18:00 Taborda Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 18:00 El Palito Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 18:00 Goaigoaza Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 18:00 Sta. Rosa Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 18:00 Puerto Cabello Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 18:00 Sta. Lucia Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 18:00 Pto Borburata Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 18:00 Quizandal Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 18:00 Ganango Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 15:00 Baru Colombia  0.1
14 Nov 2020 15:00 Pendales Colombia  0.1
14 Nov 2020 15:00 Porto Nao Colombia  0.1
14 Nov 2020 15:00 Polonia Colombia  0.1
14 Nov 2020 15:00 Santa Ana Colombia  0.1
14 Nov 2020 15:00 Ararca Colombia  0.1
14 Nov 2020 15:00 Pasacaballo Colombia  0.1
14 Nov 2020 15:00 Piedrecitas Colombia  0.1
14 Nov 2020 15:00 Leticia Colombia  0.1
14 Nov 2020 15:00 Caserio El Cobado Colombia  0.1
14 Nov 2020 15:00 Cobado Colombia  0.1
14 Nov 2020 15:00 Puerto Cospique Colombia  0.1
14 Nov 2020 18:00 Perequete Panama  0.1
14 Nov 2020 18:00 Pena Blanca Panama  0.1
14 Nov 2020 18:00 La Mitra Panama  0.1
14 Nov 2020 18:00 Playa Leona Panama  0.1
14 Nov 2020 18:00 Coco Panama  0.1
14 Nov 2020 18:00 Cruces Panama  0.1
14 Nov 2020 18:00 Majagul Panama  0.1
14 Nov 2020 18:00 San Jose Panama  0.1
14 Nov 2020 18:00 Isleta Panama  0.1
14 Nov 2020 18:00 Arraijan Panama  0.1
14 Nov 2020 18:00 Puerto Caimito Panama  0.1
14 Nov 2020 18:00 Vista Alegre Panama  0.1
14 Nov 2020 18:00 San Vicente de Bique Panama  0.1
14 Nov 2020 18:00 Vaca Monte Panama  0.1
14 Nov 2020 18:00 Vera Cruz Panama  0.1
14 Nov 2020 18:00 Rousseau Panama  0.1
14 Nov 2020 18:00 Lacona Panama  0.1
14 Nov 2020 18:00 Fuerte Kobbe Panama  0.1
14 Nov 2020 18:00 Albrook Panama  0.1
14 Nov 2020 18:00 Taboga Panama  0.1
14 Nov 2020 16:00 Huahua Nicaragua  0.1
14 Nov 2020 15:30 Barra del Rio Maiz Nicaragua  0.1
14 Nov 2020 15:30 Barra Punta Gorda Nicaragua  0.1
14 Nov 2020 18:00 Gonzalo Vasquez Panama  0.1
14 Nov 2020 18:00 Josefa Panama  0.1
14 Nov 2020 18:00 La Cantina Panama  0.1
14 Nov 2020 18:00 Rio Congo Panama  0.1
14 Nov 2020 18:00 Cucunati Panama  0.1
14 Nov 2020 18:00 Tetitas Panama  0.1
14 Nov 2020 18:00 Los Lajas Panama  0.1
14 Nov 2020 18:00 Boca de Teta Panama  0.1
14 Nov 2020 18:00 San Jose Panama  0.1
14 Nov 2020 18:00 Los Nisperos Panama  0.1
14 Nov 2020 18:00 Agua Mina Panama  0.1
14 Nov 2020 18:00 Coloncito Panama  0.1
14 Nov 2020 18:00 El Celaje Panama  0.1
14 Nov 2020 18:00 Playa Coronado Panama  0.1
14 Nov 2020 18:00 Playa Cporonado Panama  0.1
14 Nov 2020 18:00 La Paz Panama  0.1
14 Nov 2020 18:00 Santa Cruz Panama  0.1
14 Nov 2020 18:00 Chame Panama  0.1
14 Nov 2020 18:00 Espave Panama  0.1
14 Nov 2020 18:00 Gorgona Panama  0.1
14 Nov 2020 18:00 El Mangate Panama  0.1
14 Nov 2020 18:00 Pajonal Panama  0.1
14 Nov 2020 18:00 El Libano Panama  0.1
14 Nov 2020 18:00 Los Calabazos Panama  0.1
14 Nov 2020 18:00 El Tigre Panama  0.1
14 Nov 2020 18:00 La Boca de Chame Panama  0.1
14 Nov 2020 18:00 Claridad Panama  0.1
14 Nov 2020 18:00 Punta Chame Panama  0.1
14 Nov 2020 12:00 Los Filudos Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 12:00 La Gloria Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 12:00 Pararu Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 12:00 Guayamulisira Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 12:00 Campamento Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 12:00 Guarurtain Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 12:00 La Punta Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 12:00 Paraguaipoa Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 12:00 Los Aceitunitos Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 12:00 Guichep Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 12:00 Los Mochos Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 12:00 Juruba Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 12:00 Campo Alegre Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 12:00 Zulia Mar Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 12:00 Caimare Chico Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 16:00 Karata Nicaragua  0.1
14 Nov 2020 18:00 Otoque Occidente Panama  0.1
14 Nov 2020 18:00 Otoque Oriente Panama  0.1
14 Nov 2020 12:45 El Carmelo Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 12:45 Santa Cruz de Mara Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 12:45 Salina Rica Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 12:45 Puerto Caballo Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 12:45 El Triunfo Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 12:45 Punto Miranda Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 12:45 El Aceituno Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 12:45 Punta de Palmas Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 12:45 Haticos del Sur Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 12:45 El Cucharal Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 12:45 Los Jobitos Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 12:45 Jaguecito Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 12:45 El Caiman Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 12:45 Altagracia Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 12:45 Las Playitas Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 16:45 Yahurabila Honduras  0.1
14 Nov 2020 16:45 Barra de Caratasca Honduras  0.1
14 Nov 2020 16:45 Kaski Honduras  0.1
14 Nov 2020 16:45 Dapat Honduras  0.1
14 Nov 2020 16:45 Cauauira Honduras  0.1
14 Nov 2020 16:45 Lama Laya Nicaragua  0.1
14 Nov 2020 14:45 Tay Lirila Honduras  0.1