Overall Red alert Tropical Cyclone for IOTA-20
in Honduras, Nicaragua
14 Nov 2020 06 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone IOTA-20 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries Honduras, Nicaragua, Colombia
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 65 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.2 m (14 Nov 07:00 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Honduras)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 65 km/h 0.2 m 288 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 158 km/h 1.7 m 607 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

158 km/h

Up to 30 thousand can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 14 Nov 2020 06:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormHonduras, Nicaragua, Colombia31,725
+
Honduras22,500 
Nicaragua4,217 
Colombia5,008 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 13 Nov 2020 12:00 47 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 13 Nov 2020 18:00 50 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 14 Nov 2020 00:00 65 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 14 Nov 2020 06:00 180 -
- - - - - Honduras, Nicaragua, Colombia
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
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Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 14 Nov 2020 06:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmHonduras, Nicaragua, Panama, Colombia112,066
+
Honduras24,235 
Nicaragua29,957 
Colombia26,204 
Panama31,670 
50-100 mmMexico, Honduras, Nicaragua, Colombia, Venezuela, Costa Rica, Panama16,510,983
+
Mexico222,907 
Honduras24,084 
Nicaragua227,276 
Colombia7,278,297 
Venezuela4,585,727 
Costa Rica3,396,177 
Panama776,515 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 13 Nov 2020 12:00 72 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 13 Nov 2020 18:00 103 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 14 Nov 2020 00:00 241 -
- - - - - Colombia
Blue 4 14 Nov 2020 06:00 801 110 thousand
- - - - Mexico, Honduras, Nicaragua, Colombia, Venezuela, Costa Rica, Panama




Impact estimation for the next 72h
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StormSurge

0.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.2m in Ninayeri, Nicaragua. This height is estimated for 14 Nov 2020 07:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 14 Nov 2020 06:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
14 Nov 2020 07:00 Ninayeri Nicaragua  0.2
14 Nov 2020 07:00 Ledakura Nicaragua  0.2
14 Nov 2020 07:00 Graytown Nicaragua  0.2
14 Nov 2020 06:30 Cabo Gracias Viejo Nicaragua  0.1
14 Nov 2020 06:30 Irlaya Honduras  0.1
14 Nov 2020 06:30 Cabo Gracias a Dios Honduras  0.1
14 Nov 2020 10:00 Los Filudos Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 10:00 La Gloria Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 10:00 Pararu Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 10:00 Guayamulisira Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 10:00 Campamento Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 10:00 Guarurtain Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 10:00 La Punta Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 10:00 Paraguaipoa Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 10:00 Los Aceitunitos Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 10:00 Guichep Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 10:00 Los Mochos Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 10:00 Juruba Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 10:00 Campo Alegre Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 10:00 Zulia Mar Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 10:00 Caimare Chico Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 09:15 Jumop Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 09:15 Calinatay Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 09:15 Molomana Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 09:15 Sichipes Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 09:15 Neima Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 09:15 Cojua Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 09:15 Jautaipanou Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 09:15 Jasav Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 09:15 Uluimana Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 09:15 Jurulapa Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 09:15 Gualipana Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 09:15 Cojoro Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 10:15 Los Hermanitos Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 10:15 Botoncillo Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 10:15 Caraipia Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 10:15 Boca Paijana Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 10:15 Puertecitos Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 10:15 Cardoncito Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 10:15 Puerto Guerrero Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 10:15 Calle Ancha Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 10:15 Puerto Mara Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 10:15 Puerto Cardoncito Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 10:15 Paijana Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 10:15 San Rafael Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 10:15 Las Cabimas Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 10:15 El Toas Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 10:15 San Carlos Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 09:30 Guasapatu Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 09:30 Palachuou Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 10:15 Potchoure Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 10:15 Zarrupiai Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 10:15 Cuzi Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 10:15 Morchipa Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 10:15 Parsua Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 06:15 Raya Honduras  0.1
14 Nov 2020 06:15 Clubki Honduras  0.1
14 Nov 2020 06:45 Awastara Nicaragua  0.1
14 Nov 2020 09:00 Ciudad del Carmen Mexico  0.1
14 Nov 2020 10:30 La Esperanza Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 08:45 Barra del Rio Maiz Nicaragua  0.1
14 Nov 2020 08:45 Barra Punta Gorda Nicaragua  0.1
14 Nov 2020 10:30 Guincua Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 10:30 Tapuli Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 10:15 Makaraipaho Colombia  0.1
14 Nov 2020 10:15 Castilletes Colombia  0.1
14 Nov 2020 09:30 Nagua Dominican Republic  0.1
14 Nov 2020 09:30 Sanchez Dominican Republic  0.1
14 Nov 2020 09:30 Puerto Lopez Colombia  0.1
14 Nov 2020 09:30 Puerto Ingles Colombia  0.1
14 Nov 2020 09:45 Karasua Colombia  0.1
14 Nov 2020 06:00 Wankluma Nicaragua  0.1
14 Nov 2020 06:00 Tahuantla Nicaragua  0.1
14 Nov 2020 06:00 Puerto Isabel Nicaragua  0.1
14 Nov 2020 06:15 Hualpasika Nicaragua  0.1
14 Nov 2020 06:15 Wounta Nicaragua  0.1
14 Nov 2020 06:15 Coco Haulover Nicaragua  0.1
14 Nov 2020 07:00 Yahurabila Honduras  0.1
14 Nov 2020 07:00 Barra de Caratasca Honduras  0.1
14 Nov 2020 07:00 Kaski Honduras  0.1
14 Nov 2020 07:00 Dapat Honduras  0.1
14 Nov 2020 07:00 Cauauira Honduras  0.1
14 Nov 2020 07:45 Canco Honduras  0.1
14 Nov 2020 07:45 Barra Kruta Honduras  0.1
14 Nov 2020 07:45 Kanko Honduras  0.1
14 Nov 2020 10:15 San Agustin Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 11:00 Arroyo Hondo Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 11:00 Coneja Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 08:15 Victoria Mexico  0.1