Overall Red alert Tropical Cyclone for IOTA-20
in Honduras, Nicaragua

Impact

Tropical Cyclone IOTA-20 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries Honduras, Nicaragua, Colombia
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 65 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.2 m (14 Nov 00:45 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Honduras)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 65 km/h 0.2 m 241 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 158 km/h 1.7 m 607 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

158 km/h

Up to 8 thousand can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 14 Nov 2020 00:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormHonduras, Nicaragua, Colombia8,027
+
Honduras6,346 
Nicaragua56 
Colombia1,625 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 13 Nov 2020 12:00 47 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 13 Nov 2020 18:00 50 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 14 Nov 2020 00:00 155 -
- - - - - Honduras, Nicaragua, Colombia
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h




Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 14 Nov 2020 00:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmPanama, Colombia150,696
+
Colombia148,517 
Panama2,179 
50-100 mmMexico, Jamaica, Honduras, Nicaragua, Colombia, Venezuela, Costa Rica, Panama10,550,828
+
Mexico58,890 
Jamaica3,214 
Honduras11,904 
Nicaragua7,727 
Colombia5,431,341 
Venezuela3,420,817 
Costa Rica280,303 
Panama1,336,632 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 13 Nov 2020 12:00 72 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 13 Nov 2020 18:00 103 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 14 Nov 2020 00:00 779 150 thousand
- - - - Mexico, Jamaica, Honduras, Nicaragua, Colombia, Venezuela, Costa Rica, Panama




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.2m in Tibana, Venezuela. This height is estimated for 14 Nov 2020 00:45 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 14 Nov 2020 00:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
14 Nov 2020 00:45 Tibana Venezuela  0.2
14 Nov 2020 00:45 Sanare Venezuela  0.2
14 Nov 2020 00:45 Cuara Venezuela  0.2
14 Nov 2020 00:45 El Cuatro Venezuela  0.2
14 Nov 2020 00:45 La Soledad Venezuela  0.2
14 Nov 2020 00:45 Santa Ana Venezuela  0.2
14 Nov 2020 00:45 El Muertico Venezuela  0.2
14 Nov 2020 00:45 Tucacas Venezuela  0.2
14 Nov 2020 00:45 Los Corales Venezuela  0.2
14 Nov 2020 00:45 La Luisa Venezuela  0.2
14 Nov 2020 00:45 Las Delicias Venezuela  0.2
14 Nov 2020 00:45 Chichiriviche Venezuela  0.2
14 Nov 2020 00:45 Morrocoy Venezuela  0.2
14 Nov 2020 00:45 San Rafael Venezuela  0.2
14 Nov 2020 03:45 Barra del Rio Maiz Nicaragua  0.2
14 Nov 2020 03:45 Barra Punta Gorda Nicaragua  0.2
14 Nov 2020 04:45 Kanko Honduras  0.2
14 Nov 2020 04:45 Raya Honduras  0.2
14 Nov 2020 04:45 Clubki Honduras  0.2
14 Nov 2020 04:45 Irlaya Honduras  0.2
14 Nov 2020 04:45 Cabo Gracias a Dios Honduras  0.2
14 Nov 2020 04:45 Canco Honduras  0.2
14 Nov 2020 04:45 Barra Kruta Honduras  0.2
14 Nov 2020 01:15 Chirimena Venezuela  0.2
14 Nov 2020 01:15 Chipumena Venezuela  0.2
14 Nov 2020 01:15 Guaical Venezuela  0.2
14 Nov 2020 01:15 Flores Venezuela  0.2
14 Nov 2020 01:15 El Aguasal Venezuela  0.2
14 Nov 2020 01:15 Carenero Venezuela  0.2
14 Nov 2020 01:15 Higuerote Venezuela  0.2
14 Nov 2020 01:15 Buche Venezuela  0.2
14 Nov 2020 01:15 Sotillo Venezuela  0.2
14 Nov 2020 01:15 Boca Vieja Venezuela  0.2
14 Nov 2020 01:15 Pueblo Nuevo Venezuela  0.2
14 Nov 2020 01:15 Paparo Venezuela  0.2
14 Nov 2020 05:15 Cabo Gracias Viejo Nicaragua  0.1
14 Nov 2020 04:45 Tasbapauni Nicaragua  0.1
14 Nov 2020 04:45 Set Net Nicaragua  0.1
14 Nov 2020 03:30 Santa Catalina Colombia  0.1
14 Nov 2020 03:30 San Antero Colombia  0.1
14 Nov 2020 03:30 Bijadito Colombia  0.1
14 Nov 2020 03:30 El Penon Colombia  0.1
14 Nov 2020 03:30 El Porvenir Colombia  0.1
14 Nov 2020 03:30 El Bobo Colombia  0.1
14 Nov 2020 03:30 Covenas Colombia  0.1
14 Nov 2020 03:30 Covenitas Colombia  0.1
14 Nov 2020 03:30 Guayabal Colombia  0.1
14 Nov 2020 03:30 Punta Seca Colombia  0.1
14 Nov 2020 03:30 Hacienda Petalaca Colombia  0.1
14 Nov 2020 03:30 Puerto Viejo Colombia  0.1
14 Nov 2020 03:30 Tolu Colombia  0.1
14 Nov 2020 01:00 Zalazar Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 01:45 Amerisco Nicaragua  0.1
14 Nov 2020 03:00 Mulatos Colombia  0.1
14 Nov 2020 03:00 Zepata Colombia  0.1
14 Nov 2020 03:00 Damaquiel Colombia  0.1
14 Nov 2020 03:00 San Juan Colombia  0.1
14 Nov 2020 03:00 San Juan de Uraba Colombia  0.1
14 Nov 2020 06:00 Ninayeri Nicaragua  0.1
14 Nov 2020 06:00 Ledakura Nicaragua  0.1
14 Nov 2020 06:00 Graytown Nicaragua  0.1
14 Nov 2020 06:00 Awastara Nicaragua  0.1
14 Nov 2020 00:30 Rio Canas Colombia  0.1
14 Nov 2020 00:30 Olga Colombia  0.1
14 Nov 2020 00:30 La Victoria Colombia  0.1
14 Nov 2020 00:30 Dibulla Colombia  0.1
14 Nov 2020 00:30 La Enea Colombia  0.1
14 Nov 2020 00:30 Punta Guamachito Colombia  0.1
14 Nov 2020 01:00 Alley Jamaica  0.1
14 Nov 2020 01:00 Brazalitta Jamaica  0.1
14 Nov 2020 01:00 Mahoe Gardens Jamaica  0.1
14 Nov 2020 00:00 Charaima Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 00:00 Baraived Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 00:00 Guayacan Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 00:00 El Hato Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 00:00 Pedregalito Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 02:45 Las Cruces Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 02:45 Arenas Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 03:30 Nueva Gerona Cuba  0.1
14 Nov 2020 03:30 Presidio Modelo Cuba  0.1
14 Nov 2020 03:30 Wankluma Nicaragua  0.1
14 Nov 2020 04:15 Barra de Rio Grande Nicaragua  0.1
14 Nov 2020 03:00 Yahurabila Honduras  0.1
14 Nov 2020 03:00 Barra de Caratasca Honduras  0.1
14 Nov 2020 03:00 Kaski Honduras  0.1
14 Nov 2020 03:00 Dapat Honduras  0.1
14 Nov 2020 03:00 Cauauira Honduras  0.1
14 Nov 2020 03:30 Zaragocilla Colombia  0.1
14 Nov 2020 03:30 Santa Maria Colombia  0.1
14 Nov 2020 04:30 Sandy Bay Sirpi Nicaragua  0.1
14 Nov 2020 06:00 Tahuantla Nicaragua  0.1
14 Nov 2020 06:00 Puerto Isabel Nicaragua  0.1
14 Nov 2020 01:15 Pusuaya Honduras  0.1
14 Nov 2020 01:00 El Carmelo Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 01:00 Las Delicias Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 01:00 Santa Cruz de Mara Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 01:00 Salina Rica Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 01:00 Maracaibo Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 01:00 Puerto Caballo Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 01:00 El Triunfo Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 01:00 Punto Miranda Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 01:00 El Aceituno Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 01:00 Punta de Palmas Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 01:00 Haticos del Sur Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 01:00 Punta de Leiva Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 01:00 El Cucharal Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 01:00 Los Jobitos Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 01:00 Jaguecito Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 01:00 El Canito Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 01:00 El Caiman Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 01:00 Altagracia Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 01:00 Las Playitas Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 01:00 Bella Vista Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 01:00 La Palmita Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 01:00 Jaguey de Vera Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 01:00 Ancon de Iturbe Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 01:00 Ancon de Iturre Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 01:00 Gutierrez Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 01:15 El Toas Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 01:15 San Carlos Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 02:00 Puerto Guerrero Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 02:00 Puerto Mara Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 02:00 La Esperanza Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 02:00 San Rafael Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 02:00 Las Cabimas Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 01:00 Patlaya Honduras  0.1
14 Nov 2020 01:00 Uhi Honduras  0.1
14 Nov 2020 01:30 Los Hermanitos Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 01:30 Botoncillo Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 01:30 Caraipia Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 01:30 Boca Paijana Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 01:30 Puertecitos Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 01:30 Cardoncito Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 01:30 Calle Ancha Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 01:30 Puerto Cardoncito Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 01:30 Paijana Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 05:00 Karata Nicaragua  0.1
14 Nov 2020 05:00 Lama Laya Nicaragua  0.1
14 Nov 2020 05:00 Puerto Cabezas Nicaragua  0.1
14 Nov 2020 05:00 Tuapi Nicaragua  0.1
14 Nov 2020 05:00 Crucira Nicaragua  0.1
14 Nov 2020 01:30 Simon Bolivar Cuba  0.1
14 Nov 2020 03:45 Tay Lirila Honduras  0.1
14 Nov 2020 01:00 Arboletes Colombia  0.1
14 Nov 2020 00:30 Caduto Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 05:00 Huahua Nicaragua  0.1
14 Nov 2020 02:00 Monkey Point Nicaragua  0.1