Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for KIKO-19 Off-shore from 12 Sep 2019 15:00 UTC to 25 Sep 2019 00:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for KIKO-19

Off-shore

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to select bulletin time

Meteorological source:

GDACS JTWC

Impact Single TC

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone KIKO-19 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	GFS
Exposed countries	United States
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	101 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.6 m (14 Sep 12:00 UTC)
Vulnerability	--

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
GFS Current	101 km/h	0.6 m	202 mm	0.5
GFS Overall	137 km/h	0.0 m	729 mm	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

137 km/h

Up to 870 thousand can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above

Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 14 Sep 2019 12:00 UTC

Category	Country	Population
Tropical Storm	United States	869,738

See TC classification SSHS

Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Pop in Cat. 1 or higher	TS	Cat. 1	Cat. 2	Cat. 3	Cat. 4	Cat. 5	Countries
1	12 Sep 2019 12:00	65	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	12 Sep 2019 18:00	68	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	13 Sep 2019 00:00	65	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
4	13 Sep 2019 06:00	86	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
5	13 Sep 2019 12:00	76	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
6	13 Sep 2019 18:00	79	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
7	14 Sep 2019 00:00	65	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
8	14 Sep 2019 06:00	83	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
9	14 Sep 2019 12:00	144	-		-	-	-	-	-	United States

Download:

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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Rainfall

Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 14 Sep 2019 12:00 UTC

Level	Country	Population
50-100 mm	Mexico	366,157

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Rainfall (mm)	Pop >100mm or higher	50-100	100-250	250-500	500-750	750-1000	>1000	Countries
1	12 Sep 2019 12:00	222	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	12 Sep 2019 18:00	178	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	13 Sep 2019 00:00	281	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
4	13 Sep 2019 06:00	235	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
5	13 Sep 2019 12:00	199	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
6	13 Sep 2019 18:00	174	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
7	14 Sep 2019 00:00	251	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
8	14 Sep 2019 06:00	206	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
9	14 Sep 2019 12:00	633	-		-	-	-	-	-	Mexico

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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StormSurge

0.6 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.6m in El Golfo de Santa Clara, Mexico. This height is estimated for 14 Sep 2019 12:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 14 Sep 2019 12:00 UTC

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	14 Sep 2019 12:00	El Golfo de Santa Clara	Mexico	0.6
	14 Sep 2019 12:00	San Felipe	Mexico	0.6
	14 Sep 2019 12:00	El Tornillal	Mexico	0.6
	14 Sep 2019 12:00	Puertecitos	Mexico	0.4
	14 Sep 2019 12:00	La Choya	Mexico	0.4
	14 Sep 2019 12:00	Puerto Penasco	Mexico	0.4
	14 Sep 2019 12:00	Molino	Mexico	0.3
	14 Sep 2019 12:00	Molino Lacy	Mexico	0.3
	14 Sep 2019 12:00	Rancho Bahia	Mexico	0.3
	14 Sep 2019 14:15	Woodville	United States	0.3
	14 Sep 2019 14:15	Bolinas	United States	0.3
	14 Sep 2019 14:15	Stinson Beach	United States	0.3
	14 Sep 2019 14:15	Muir Beach	United States	0.3
	14 Sep 2019 14:15	Kentfield	United States	0.3
	14 Sep 2019 14:15	Tamalpais Valley	United States	0.3
	14 Sep 2019 14:15	Mill Valley	United States	0.3
	14 Sep 2019 14:15	Larkspur	United States	0.3
	14 Sep 2019 14:15	Almonte	United States	0.3
	14 Sep 2019 14:15	Green Brae	United States	0.3
	14 Sep 2019 14:15	Marin City	United States	0.3
	14 Sep 2019 14:15	Strawberry	United States	0.3
	14 Sep 2019 14:15	Corte Madera	United States	0.3
	14 Sep 2019 14:15	Sunset District	United States	0.3
	14 Sep 2019 14:15	Sausalito	United States	0.3
	14 Sep 2019 14:15	Edgemar	United States	0.3
	14 Sep 2019 14:15	San Quentin	United States	0.3
	14 Sep 2019 14:15	Broadmoor	United States	0.3
	14 Sep 2019 14:15	Paradise Cay	United States	0.3
	14 Sep 2019 14:15	Stonestown	United States	0.3
	14 Sep 2019 14:15	Fort Winfield Scott	United States	0.3
	14 Sep 2019 14:15	Richmond District	United States	0.3
	14 Sep 2019 14:15	Daly City	United States	0.3
	14 Sep 2019 14:15	Westborough	United States	0.3
	14 Sep 2019 14:15	Tiburon	United States	0.3
	14 Sep 2019 14:15	Belvedere	United States	0.3
	14 Sep 2019 14:15	Colma	United States	0.3
	14 Sep 2019 14:15	Baden	United States	0.3
	14 Sep 2019 14:15	Little Osaka	United States	0.3
	14 Sep 2019 14:15	San Bruno	United States	0.3
	14 Sep 2019 14:15	Fort McDowell	United States	0.3
	14 Sep 2019 14:15	San Francisco	United States	0.3
	14 Sep 2019 14:15	Bayshore	United States	0.3
	14 Sep 2019 14:15	South San Francisco	United States	0.3
	14 Sep 2019 14:15	North Beach	United States	0.3
	14 Sep 2019 14:15	Tanforan	United States	0.3
	14 Sep 2019 14:15	Brisbane	United States	0.3
	14 Sep 2019 14:30	Terra Linda	United States	0.3
	14 Sep 2019 14:30	Santa Venetia	United States	0.3
	14 Sep 2019 17:15	Agua del Coyote	Mexico	0.3
	14 Sep 2019 17:15	Buenaventura	Mexico	0.3
	14 Sep 2019 17:30	Las Tinajas	Mexico	0.3
	14 Sep 2019 12:00	Cabo Tepoca	Mexico	0.2
	14 Sep 2019 17:30	San Juanico	Mexico	0.2
	14 Sep 2019 17:30	Boca del Melgoita	Mexico	0.2
	14 Sep 2019 12:00	Puerto Libertad	Mexico	0.2
	14 Sep 2019 12:00	Tecomate	Mexico	0.2
	14 Sep 2019 12:15	Shelter Cove	United States	0.2
	14 Sep 2019 12:15	Rockaway Beach	United States	0.2
	14 Sep 2019 12:15	Pacifica	United States	0.2
	14 Sep 2019 12:15	Millbrae	United States	0.2
	14 Sep 2019 12:15	Moss Beach	United States	0.2
	14 Sep 2019 12:15	Montara	United States	0.2
	14 Sep 2019 12:15	Princeton	United States	0.2
	14 Sep 2019 12:15	El Granada	United States	0.2
	14 Sep 2019 12:15	Miramar	United States	0.2
	14 Sep 2019 12:15	Accent Homes Mobile Home Park	United States	0.2
	14 Sep 2019 12:15	Half Moon Bay	United States	0.2
	14 Sep 2019 17:45	Santo Domingo	Mexico	0.2
	14 Sep 2019 12:15	Martins Beach	United States	0.2
	14 Sep 2019 12:15	Tunitas	United States	0.2
	14 Sep 2019 12:15	San Gregorio	United States	0.2
	14 Sep 2019 12:15	Pescadero	United States	0.2
	14 Sep 2019 12:15	Hillsdale	United States	0.2
	14 Sep 2019 17:15	Queretaro	Mexico	0.2
	14 Sep 2019 12:15	Burlingame	United States	0.2
	14 Sep 2019 12:15	Hillsborough	United States	0.2
	14 Sep 2019 17:30	Adolfo Lopez Mateos	Mexico	0.2
	14 Sep 2019 17:15	Puerto Magdalena	Mexico	0.2
	14 Sep 2019 17:15	San Carlos	Mexico	0.2
	14 Sep 2019 17:15	Madero Amarillo	Mexico	0.2
	14 Sep 2019 12:00	Agua de las Flores	Mexico	0.2
	14 Sep 2019 17:15	Puerto Cortes	Mexico	0.2
	14 Sep 2019 17:15	El Guatamota	Mexico	0.2
	14 Sep 2019 12:00	El Desemboque	Mexico	0.2
	14 Sep 2019 17:45	La Ribera	Mexico	0.2
	14 Sep 2019 17:45	Punta Colorada	Mexico	0.2
	14 Sep 2019 17:45	Punta Arena	Mexico	0.2
	14 Sep 2019 17:45	Los Tesos	Mexico	0.2
	14 Sep 2019 17:45	Los Frailes	Mexico	0.2
	14 Sep 2019 18:00	Boca del Rio	Mexico	0.2
	14 Sep 2019 17:30	La Florida	Mexico	0.1
	14 Sep 2019 15:00	Los Burros	Mexico	0.1
	14 Sep 2019 18:00	La Playa Colorada	Mexico	0.1
	14 Sep 2019 18:00	Santa Cruz	Mexico	0.1
	14 Sep 2019 18:00	La Ventana	Mexico	0.1
	14 Sep 2019 18:00	Ensenada de los Muertos	Mexico	0.1
	14 Sep 2019 12:15	Bahia de Tortugas	Mexico	0.1
	14 Sep 2019 17:45	Puerto Charley	Mexico	0.1
	14 Sep 2019 18:00	El Castillo	Mexico	0.1
	14 Sep 2019 18:00	Las Arenitas	Mexico	0.1
	14 Sep 2019 17:45	Quinones	Mexico	0.1
	14 Sep 2019 14:45	Olowalu	United States	0.1
	14 Sep 2019 14:45	Kahakuloa	United States	0.1
	14 Sep 2019 14:45	Maalaea	United States	0.1
	14 Sep 2019 14:45	Waihee	United States	0.1
	14 Sep 2019 14:45	Hyashi Village	United States	0.1
	14 Sep 2019 14:45	Wailuku	United States	0.1
	14 Sep 2019 14:45	Kahului	United States	0.1
	14 Sep 2019 14:45	Puunene	United States	0.1
	14 Sep 2019 14:45	Village Eight	United States	0.1
	14 Sep 2019 14:45	Hawaiian Village	United States	0.1
	14 Sep 2019 14:45	Paia	United States	0.1
	14 Sep 2019 14:45	Haiku	United States	0.1
	14 Sep 2019 14:45	Pauwela	United States	0.1
	14 Sep 2019 12:15	Puerto Venustiano Carranza	Mexico	0.1
	14 Sep 2019 18:00	Cunano	Mexico	0.1
	14 Sep 2019 18:00	Los Inocentes	Mexico	0.1
	14 Sep 2019 15:00	Datilito	Mexico	0.1
	14 Sep 2019 15:00	La Paz	Mexico	0.1
	14 Sep 2019 15:00	Rosario	Mexico	0.1
	14 Sep 2019 13:30	Azure Vista	United States	0.1
	14 Sep 2019 13:30	Ocean Beach	United States	0.1
	14 Sep 2019 13:30	Mission Beach	United States	0.1
	14 Sep 2019 13:30	Fort Rosecrans	United States	0.1
	14 Sep 2019 13:30	Roseville	United States	0.1
	14 Sep 2019 13:30	Campland on the Bay Trailer Park	United States	0.1
	14 Sep 2019 13:30	Loma Portal	United States	0.1
	14 Sep 2019 13:30	San Diego	United States	0.1
	14 Sep 2019 13:30	Coronado	United States	0.1
	14 Sep 2019 13:30	Imperial Beach	United States	0.1
	14 Sep 2019 13:30	Boal	United States	0.1
	14 Sep 2019 17:45	La Boca	Mexico	0.1
	14 Sep 2019 14:00	Montecito	United States	0.1
	14 Sep 2019 14:00	Summerland	United States	0.1
	14 Sep 2019 14:00	Serena Park	United States	0.1
	14 Sep 2019 14:00	Franciscan Village	United States	0.1
	14 Sep 2019 14:00	Carpinteria	United States	0.1
	14 Sep 2019 14:00	Rincon	United States	0.1
	14 Sep 2019 14:00	Shepards	United States	0.1
	14 Sep 2019 14:00	Punta	United States	0.1
	14 Sep 2019 17:15	Perihuete	Mexico	0.1
	14 Sep 2019 13:45	Faria	United States	0.1
	14 Sep 2019 13:45	Dulah	United States	0.1
	14 Sep 2019 13:45	San Buenaventura	United States	0.1
	14 Sep 2019 13:45	Ventura	United States	0.1
	14 Sep 2019 13:45	Hollywood By The Sea	United States	0.1
	14 Sep 2019 13:45	Channel Islands Beach	United States	0.1
	14 Sep 2019 13:45	Oxnard	United States	0.1
	14 Sep 2019 17:45	El Tomale	Mexico	0.1
	14 Sep 2019 17:45	Agua Fresca	Mexico	0.1
	14 Sep 2019 17:30	La Fortuna	Mexico	0.1
	14 Sep 2019 17:30	El Cardoncito	Mexico	0.1
	14 Sep 2019 18:00	Rancho Datilari	Mexico	0.1
	14 Sep 2019 14:00	Tangair	United States	0.1
	14 Sep 2019 14:00	Surf	United States	0.1
	14 Sep 2019 14:00	Narlon	United States	0.1
	14 Sep 2019 18:00	Rancho Conejo	Mexico	0.1
	14 Sep 2019 12:45	Santa Catarina	Mexico	0.1
	14 Sep 2019 12:15	Carnet	United States	0.1
	14 Sep 2019 12:15	Salmon Creek	United States	0.1
	14 Sep 2019 12:15	Bodega Bay	United States	0.1
	14 Sep 2019 12:15	Dillon Beach	United States	0.1
	14 Sep 2019 12:15	Brazil Beach	United States	0.1
	14 Sep 2019 12:15	Hamlet	United States	0.1
	14 Sep 2019 12:15	Nicks Cove	United States	0.1
	14 Sep 2019 12:15	Lairds Landing	United States	0.1
	14 Sep 2019 13:30	Wilmington	United States	0.1
	14 Sep 2019 13:30	Signal Hill	United States	0.1
	14 Sep 2019 13:30	Belmont Shore	United States	0.1
	14 Sep 2019 13:30	Surfside	United States	0.1
	14 Sep 2019 13:30	Seal Beach	United States	0.1
	14 Sep 2019 13:30	Sunset Beach	United States	0.1
	14 Sep 2019 13:30	Huntington Beach	United States	0.1
	14 Sep 2019 13:30	Newport Beach	United States	0.1
	14 Sep 2019 18:00	Todos Santos	Mexico	0.1
	14 Sep 2019 13:45	Cedros	Mexico	0.1
	14 Sep 2019 18:00	El Pescadero	Mexico	0.1
	14 Sep 2019 18:00	La Tinaja	Mexico	0.1
	14 Sep 2019 18:00	Pozo de Cota	Mexico	0.1
	14 Sep 2019 14:00	Hope Ranch	United States	0.1
	14 Sep 2019 14:00	Mission	United States	0.1
	14 Sep 2019 17:45	Altata	Mexico	0.1
	14 Sep 2019 13:45	Desembarcadero de Miller	Mexico	0.1
	14 Sep 2019 17:30	San Jose del Cabo	Mexico	0.1
	14 Sep 2019 18:00	San Lucas	Mexico	0.1
	14 Sep 2019 15:15	San Juan de la Costa	Mexico	0.1
	14 Sep 2019 18:00	El Tule	Mexico	0.1
	14 Sep 2019 17:45	Las Palmas	Mexico	0.1
	14 Sep 2019 12:30	Rancho Boca de San Jose	Mexico	0.1
	14 Sep 2019 12:30	Erendria	Mexico	0.1
	14 Sep 2019 14:00	Oceano	United States	0.1
	14 Sep 2019 14:00	Grover City	United States	0.1
	14 Sep 2019 14:00	Callender	United States	0.1
	14 Sep 2019 12:15	Del Monte Forest	United States	0.1
	14 Sep 2019 12:15	Pebble Beach	United States	0.1
	14 Sep 2019 12:15	Carmel-by-the-Sea	United States	0.1
	14 Sep 2019 12:15	Pacific Grove	United States	0.1
	14 Sep 2019 12:15	Carmel	United States	0.1
	14 Sep 2019 12:15	Monterey	United States	0.1
	14 Sep 2019 12:15	Del Rey Oaks	United States	0.1
	14 Sep 2019 12:15	Workfield	United States	0.1
	14 Sep 2019 12:15	Seaside	United States	0.1
	14 Sep 2019 12:15	Ord	United States	0.1
	14 Sep 2019 12:15	Marina	United States	0.1
	14 Sep 2019 12:15	Moss Landing	United States	0.1
	14 Sep 2019 12:15	Neponset	United States	0.1
	14 Sep 2019 12:15	Nashua	United States	0.1
	14 Sep 2019 12:15	Castroville	United States	0.1
	14 Sep 2019 12:15	Jenner	United States	0.1
	14 Sep 2019 12:15	Bridgehaven	United States	0.1
	14 Sep 2019 17:00	Playa Oceano Pacifico	Mexico	0.1
	14 Sep 2019 13:30	Rosarito	Mexico	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.