Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for KIKO-19 Off-shore from 12 Sep 2019 15:00 UTC to 25 Sep 2019 00:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for KIKO-19

Off-shore

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Meteorological source:

GDACS JTWC

Impact Single TC

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone KIKO-19 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	GFS
Exposed countries
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	65 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.1 m (12 Sep 16:30 UTC)
Vulnerability	--

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
GFS Current	65 km/h	0.1 m	222 mm	0.5
GFS Overall	137 km/h	0.0 m	729 mm	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

137 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above

Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 12 Sep 2019 12:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS

Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

Alert	N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Pop in Cat. 1 or higher	TS	Cat. 1	Cat. 2	Cat. 3	Cat. 4	Cat. 5	Countries
	1	12 Sep 2019 12:00	119	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Download:

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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Rainfall

Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 12 Sep 2019 12:00 UTC

Level	Country	Population
50-100 mm	Mexico	883,839

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

Alert	N°	Date (UTC)	Max Rainfall (mm)	Pop >100mm or higher	50-100	100-250	250-500	500-750	750-1000	>1000	Countries
	1	12 Sep 2019 12:00	415	-		-	-	-	-	-	Mexico

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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StormSurge

0.1 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.1m in Umipaa, United States. This height is estimated for 12 Sep 2019 16:30 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 12 Sep 2019 12:00 UTC

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	12 Sep 2019 16:30	Umipaa	United States	0.1
	12 Sep 2019 16:30	Kaunakakai	United States	0.1
	12 Sep 2019 16:30	Kaumalapau	United States	0.1
	12 Sep 2019 16:30	Moku	United States	0.1
	12 Sep 2019 16:30	Kamalo	United States	0.1
	12 Sep 2019 16:30	Kaluaaha	United States	0.1
	12 Sep 2019 16:30	Keomuku	United States	0.1
	12 Sep 2019 16:30	Ualapue	United States	0.1
	12 Sep 2019 16:30	Pukoo	United States	0.1
	12 Sep 2019 13:15	Woodville	United States	0.1
	12 Sep 2019 13:15	Bolinas	United States	0.1
	12 Sep 2019 13:15	Stinson Beach	United States	0.1
	12 Sep 2019 13:15	Muir Beach	United States	0.1
	12 Sep 2019 13:15	Kentfield	United States	0.1
	12 Sep 2019 13:15	Tamalpais Valley	United States	0.1
	12 Sep 2019 13:15	Mill Valley	United States	0.1
	12 Sep 2019 13:15	Larkspur	United States	0.1
	12 Sep 2019 13:15	Almonte	United States	0.1
	12 Sep 2019 13:15	Green Brae	United States	0.1
	12 Sep 2019 13:15	Marin City	United States	0.1
	12 Sep 2019 13:15	Strawberry	United States	0.1
	12 Sep 2019 13:15	Corte Madera	United States	0.1
	12 Sep 2019 13:15	Sunset District	United States	0.1
	12 Sep 2019 13:15	Sausalito	United States	0.1
	12 Sep 2019 13:15	Edgemar	United States	0.1
	12 Sep 2019 13:15	San Quentin	United States	0.1
	12 Sep 2019 13:15	Broadmoor	United States	0.1
	12 Sep 2019 13:15	Paradise Cay	United States	0.1
	12 Sep 2019 13:15	Stonestown	United States	0.1
	12 Sep 2019 13:15	Fort Winfield Scott	United States	0.1
	12 Sep 2019 13:15	Richmond District	United States	0.1
	12 Sep 2019 13:15	Daly City	United States	0.1
	12 Sep 2019 13:15	Westborough	United States	0.1
	12 Sep 2019 13:15	Tiburon	United States	0.1
	12 Sep 2019 13:15	Belvedere	United States	0.1
	12 Sep 2019 13:15	Colma	United States	0.1
	12 Sep 2019 13:15	Baden	United States	0.1
	12 Sep 2019 13:15	Little Osaka	United States	0.1
	12 Sep 2019 13:15	San Bruno	United States	0.1
	12 Sep 2019 13:15	Fort McDowell	United States	0.1
	12 Sep 2019 13:15	San Francisco	United States	0.1
	12 Sep 2019 13:15	Bayshore	United States	0.1
	12 Sep 2019 13:15	South San Francisco	United States	0.1
	12 Sep 2019 13:15	North Beach	United States	0.1
	12 Sep 2019 13:15	Tanforan	United States	0.1
	12 Sep 2019 13:15	Brisbane	United States	0.1
	12 Sep 2019 16:00	Agua del Coyote	Mexico	0.1
	12 Sep 2019 17:45	Kaanapali	United States	0.1
	12 Sep 2019 17:45	Puukolii	United States	0.1
	12 Sep 2019 17:45	Lahaina	United States	0.1
	12 Sep 2019 17:45	Crater Village	United States	0.1
	12 Sep 2019 17:45	Mahinahina Camp	United States	0.1
	12 Sep 2019 13:30	Terra Linda	United States	0.1
	12 Sep 2019 13:30	Santa Venetia	United States	0.1
	12 Sep 2019 17:45	Honokahua	United States	0.1
	12 Sep 2019 17:45	Kapalua	United States	0.1
	12 Sep 2019 18:00	Quinones	Mexico	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.