Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for KIKO-19 Off-shore from 12 Sep 2019 15:00 UTC to 25 Sep 2019 00:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for KIKO-19

Off-shore

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to select bulletin time

Meteorological source:

GDACS JTWC

Impact Single TC

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone KIKO-19 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	GFS
Exposed countries	United States, Mexico
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	79 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.4 m (13 Sep 19:15 UTC)
Vulnerability	--

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
GFS Current	79 km/h	0.4 m	174 mm	0.5
GFS Overall	137 km/h	0.0 m	729 mm	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

137 km/h

Up to 5 thousand can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above

Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 13 Sep 2019 18:00 UTC

Category	Country	Population
Tropical Storm	United States, Mexico	4,550	+
	United States	4,548
	Mexico	02

See TC classification SSHS

Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Pop in Cat. 1 or higher	TS	Cat. 1	Cat. 2	Cat. 3	Cat. 4	Cat. 5	Countries
1	12 Sep 2019 12:00	65	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	12 Sep 2019 18:00	68	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	13 Sep 2019 00:00	65	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
4	13 Sep 2019 06:00	86	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
5	13 Sep 2019 12:00	76	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
6	13 Sep 2019 18:00	140	-		-	-	-	-	-	United States, Mexico

Download:

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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Rainfall

Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 13 Sep 2019 18:00 UTC

Level	Country	Population
50-100 mm	United States, Mexico	307,242	+
	United States	05
	Mexico	307,237

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Rainfall (mm)	Pop >100mm or higher	50-100	100-250	250-500	500-750	750-1000	>1000	Countries
1	12 Sep 2019 12:00	222	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	12 Sep 2019 18:00	178	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	13 Sep 2019 00:00	281	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
4	13 Sep 2019 06:00	235	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
5	13 Sep 2019 12:00	199	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
6	13 Sep 2019 18:00	373	-		-	-	-	-	-	United States, Mexico

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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StormSurge

0.4 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.4m in Los Burros, Mexico. This height is estimated for 13 Sep 2019 19:15 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 13 Sep 2019 18:00 UTC

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	13 Sep 2019 19:15	Los Burros	Mexico	0.4
	13 Sep 2019 18:00	La Choya	Mexico	0.3
	13 Sep 2019 20:00	Guasimas	Mexico	0.3
	13 Sep 2019 18:00	El Golfo de Santa Clara	Mexico	0.3
	13 Sep 2019 19:15	Cabo Tepoca	Mexico	0.3
	13 Sep 2019 19:30	San Felipe	Mexico	0.3
	13 Sep 2019 19:30	Tecomate	Mexico	0.3
	13 Sep 2019 18:45	Puertecitos	Mexico	0.3
	13 Sep 2019 18:30	Molino	Mexico	0.3
	13 Sep 2019 18:30	Molino Lacy	Mexico	0.3
	13 Sep 2019 18:00	El Tornillal	Mexico	0.3
	13 Sep 2019 18:00	Puerto Penasco	Mexico	0.3
	13 Sep 2019 18:45	Rancho Bahia	Mexico	0.3
	13 Sep 2019 18:30	Puerto Libertad	Mexico	0.3
	13 Sep 2019 19:00	Desembarcadero de Miller	Mexico	0.3
	13 Sep 2019 19:00	Bahia de Tortugas	Mexico	0.3
	13 Sep 2019 18:15	El Desemboque	Mexico	0.3
	13 Sep 2019 19:30	Las Bocas	Mexico	0.3
	13 Sep 2019 19:30	Camahuiroa	Mexico	0.3
	13 Sep 2019 21:00	Bahia Kino	Mexico	0.3
	13 Sep 2019 20:15	San Rafael	Mexico	0.3
	13 Sep 2019 19:45	San Jose	Mexico	0.3
	13 Sep 2019 19:45	Atanacio	Mexico	0.3
	13 Sep 2019 19:45	El Paredoncito	Mexico	0.3
	13 Sep 2019 19:45	Guaymas	Mexico	0.2
	13 Sep 2019 19:45	Empalme	Mexico	0.2
	13 Sep 2019 19:30	Cachoana	Mexico	0.2
	13 Sep 2019 19:00	San Cosme	Mexico	0.2
	13 Sep 2019 19:00	Santa Marta	Mexico	0.2
	13 Sep 2019 18:45	Puerto Venustiano Carranza	Mexico	0.2
	13 Sep 2019 19:00	Datilito	Mexico	0.2
	13 Sep 2019 19:00	La Paz	Mexico	0.2
	13 Sep 2019 19:00	Rosario	Mexico	0.2
	13 Sep 2019 18:00	Agua de las Flores	Mexico	0.2
	13 Sep 2019 19:45	San Carlos	Mexico	0.2
	13 Sep 2019 19:45	El Barril	Mexico	0.2
	13 Sep 2019 19:30	Tastiota	Mexico	0.2
	13 Sep 2019 19:15	San Ignacio	Mexico	0.2
	13 Sep 2019 19:15	Santa Rosalia	Mexico	0.2
	13 Sep 2019 19:30	Borabampo	Mexico	0.2
	13 Sep 2019 19:45	Santa Rosalia	Mexico	0.2
	13 Sep 2019 19:45	San Juanico	Mexico	0.2
	13 Sep 2019 19:45	San Bruno	Mexico	0.2
	13 Sep 2019 19:30	Mulege	Mexico	0.2
	13 Sep 2019 19:30	Los Dolores	Mexico	0.2
	13 Sep 2019 18:30	Woodville	United States	0.2
	13 Sep 2019 18:30	Bolinas	United States	0.2
	13 Sep 2019 18:30	Stinson Beach	United States	0.2
	13 Sep 2019 18:30	Muir Beach	United States	0.2
	13 Sep 2019 18:30	Kentfield	United States	0.2
	13 Sep 2019 18:30	Tamalpais Valley	United States	0.2
	13 Sep 2019 18:30	Mill Valley	United States	0.2
	13 Sep 2019 18:30	Larkspur	United States	0.2
	13 Sep 2019 18:30	Almonte	United States	0.2
	13 Sep 2019 18:30	Green Brae	United States	0.2
	13 Sep 2019 18:30	Marin City	United States	0.2
	13 Sep 2019 18:30	Strawberry	United States	0.2
	13 Sep 2019 18:30	Corte Madera	United States	0.2
	13 Sep 2019 18:30	Sunset District	United States	0.2
	13 Sep 2019 18:30	Sausalito	United States	0.2
	13 Sep 2019 18:30	Edgemar	United States	0.2
	13 Sep 2019 18:30	San Quentin	United States	0.2
	13 Sep 2019 18:30	Broadmoor	United States	0.2
	13 Sep 2019 18:30	Paradise Cay	United States	0.2
	13 Sep 2019 18:30	Stonestown	United States	0.2
	13 Sep 2019 18:30	Fort Winfield Scott	United States	0.2
	13 Sep 2019 18:30	Richmond District	United States	0.2
	13 Sep 2019 18:30	Daly City	United States	0.2
	13 Sep 2019 18:30	Westborough	United States	0.2
	13 Sep 2019 18:30	Tiburon	United States	0.2
	13 Sep 2019 18:30	Belvedere	United States	0.2
	13 Sep 2019 18:30	Colma	United States	0.2
	13 Sep 2019 18:30	Baden	United States	0.2
	13 Sep 2019 18:30	Little Osaka	United States	0.2
	13 Sep 2019 18:30	San Bruno	United States	0.2
	13 Sep 2019 18:30	Fort McDowell	United States	0.2
	13 Sep 2019 18:30	San Francisco	United States	0.2
	13 Sep 2019 18:30	Bayshore	United States	0.2
	13 Sep 2019 18:30	South San Francisco	United States	0.2
	13 Sep 2019 18:30	North Beach	United States	0.2
	13 Sep 2019 18:30	Tanforan	United States	0.2
	13 Sep 2019 18:30	Brisbane	United States	0.2
	13 Sep 2019 19:45	Liliba	Mexico	0.2
	13 Sep 2019 18:30	La Ventana	Mexico	0.2
	13 Sep 2019 18:30	Ensenada de los Muertos	Mexico	0.2
	13 Sep 2019 18:30	Santa Cruz	Mexico	0.2
	13 Sep 2019 19:00	Topolobampo	Mexico	0.2
	13 Sep 2019 19:00	El Castillo	Mexico	0.2
	13 Sep 2019 19:00	Las Arenitas	Mexico	0.2
	13 Sep 2019 18:30	Tripui	Mexico	0.2
	13 Sep 2019 19:00	San Juan de la Costa	Mexico	0.2
	13 Sep 2019 19:00	Loreto	Mexico	0.2
	13 Sep 2019 19:00	Ligui	Mexico	0.2
	13 Sep 2019 19:15	El Aquajito	Mexico	0.2
	13 Sep 2019 19:30	San Bruno	Mexico	0.2
	13 Sep 2019 18:00	Agua del Coyote	Mexico	0.2
	13 Sep 2019 18:30	Terra Linda	United States	0.2
	13 Sep 2019 18:30	Santa Venetia	United States	0.2
	13 Sep 2019 18:45	Boca del Rio	Mexico	0.2
	13 Sep 2019 19:00	La Playa Colorada	Mexico	0.2
	13 Sep 2019 23:00	Umipaa	United States	0.2
	13 Sep 2019 23:00	Kaunakakai	United States	0.2
	13 Sep 2019 23:00	Kaumalapau	United States	0.2
	13 Sep 2019 23:00	Moku	United States	0.2
	13 Sep 2019 23:00	Kamalo	United States	0.2
	13 Sep 2019 23:00	Kaluaaha	United States	0.2
	13 Sep 2019 23:00	Keomuku	United States	0.2
	13 Sep 2019 23:00	Ualapue	United States	0.2
	13 Sep 2019 23:00	Pukoo	United States	0.2
	13 Sep 2019 19:15	Tambobiche	Mexico	0.2
	13 Sep 2019 22:15	Olowalu	United States	0.2
	13 Sep 2019 22:15	Kahakuloa	United States	0.2
	13 Sep 2019 22:15	Maalaea	United States	0.2
	13 Sep 2019 22:15	Waihee	United States	0.2
	13 Sep 2019 22:15	Hyashi Village	United States	0.2
	13 Sep 2019 22:15	Wailuku	United States	0.2
	13 Sep 2019 22:15	Kahului	United States	0.2
	13 Sep 2019 22:15	Puunene	United States	0.2
	13 Sep 2019 22:15	Village Eight	United States	0.2
	13 Sep 2019 22:15	Hawaiian Village	United States	0.2
	13 Sep 2019 22:15	Paia	United States	0.2
	13 Sep 2019 22:15	Haiku	United States	0.2
	13 Sep 2019 22:15	Pauwela	United States	0.2
	13 Sep 2019 18:30	Altata	Mexico	0.2
	13 Sep 2019 18:30	Shelter Cove	United States	0.2
	13 Sep 2019 18:30	Rockaway Beach	United States	0.2
	13 Sep 2019 18:30	Pacifica	United States	0.2
	13 Sep 2019 18:30	Millbrae	United States	0.2
	13 Sep 2019 18:30	San Juanico	Mexico	0.2
	13 Sep 2019 18:30	Boca del Melgoita	Mexico	0.2
	13 Sep 2019 18:30	Buenaventura	Mexico	0.2
	13 Sep 2019 18:15	Cedros	Mexico	0.2
	13 Sep 2019 23:15	Waialua	United States	0.1
	13 Sep 2019 22:45	Shepards	United States	0.1
	13 Sep 2019 22:45	Punta	United States	0.1
	13 Sep 2019 22:45	Faria	United States	0.1
	13 Sep 2019 22:45	Dulah	United States	0.1
	13 Sep 2019 22:45	San Buenaventura	United States	0.1
	13 Sep 2019 22:45	Ventura	United States	0.1
	13 Sep 2019 22:45	Hollywood By The Sea	United States	0.1
	13 Sep 2019 22:45	Channel Islands Beach	United States	0.1
	13 Sep 2019 22:45	Oxnard	United States	0.1
	13 Sep 2019 23:00	Hoolehua	United States	0.1
	13 Sep 2019 23:00	Kualapuu	United States	0.1
	13 Sep 2019 18:45	La Boca	Mexico	0.1
	13 Sep 2019 23:15	Halawa	United States	0.1
	13 Sep 2019 23:15	Kaanapali	United States	0.1
	13 Sep 2019 23:15	Puukolii	United States	0.1
	13 Sep 2019 23:15	Lahaina	United States	0.1
	13 Sep 2019 23:15	Crater Village	United States	0.1
	13 Sep 2019 23:15	Honokahua	United States	0.1
	13 Sep 2019 23:15	Mahinahina Camp	United States	0.1
	13 Sep 2019 23:15	Kapalua	United States	0.1
	13 Sep 2019 18:30	Puerto Magdalena	Mexico	0.1
	13 Sep 2019 18:30	San Carlos	Mexico	0.1
	13 Sep 2019 18:30	Madero Amarillo	Mexico	0.1
	13 Sep 2019 20:15	Puerto Cortes	Mexico	0.1
	13 Sep 2019 20:15	Puerto Charley	Mexico	0.1
	13 Sep 2019 23:30	Kihei	United States	0.1
	13 Sep 2019 23:30	Keawakapu	United States	0.1
	13 Sep 2019 23:30	Makena	United States	0.1
	13 Sep 2019 23:30	Keoneoio	United States	0.1
	13 Sep 2019 23:30	Ulupalakua	United States	0.1
	13 Sep 2019 18:15	Isla Natividad	Mexico	0.1
	13 Sep 2019 18:30	Moss Beach	United States	0.1
	13 Sep 2019 18:30	Montara	United States	0.1
	13 Sep 2019 18:30	Princeton	United States	0.1
	13 Sep 2019 18:30	El Granada	United States	0.1
	13 Sep 2019 18:30	Miramar	United States	0.1
	13 Sep 2019 20:15	Wilmington	United States	0.1
	13 Sep 2019 20:15	Signal Hill	United States	0.1
	13 Sep 2019 20:15	Belmont Shore	United States	0.1
	13 Sep 2019 20:15	Surfside	United States	0.1
	13 Sep 2019 20:15	Seal Beach	United States	0.1
	13 Sep 2019 20:15	Sunset Beach	United States	0.1
	13 Sep 2019 20:15	Huntington Beach	United States	0.1
	13 Sep 2019 20:15	Newport Beach	United States	0.1
	13 Sep 2019 18:30	Perihuete	Mexico	0.1
	13 Sep 2019 22:15	Aguaje	Mexico	0.1
	13 Sep 2019 22:15	Ojo de Liebre	Mexico	0.1
	13 Sep 2019 18:15	El Guatamota	Mexico	0.1
	13 Sep 2019 20:15	Kukuiula	United States	0.1
	13 Sep 2019 20:15	Omao	United States	0.1
	13 Sep 2019 20:15	Koloa	United States	0.1
	13 Sep 2019 20:15	Poipu	United States	0.1
	13 Sep 2019 20:15	Puhi	United States	0.1
	13 Sep 2019 20:15	Lihue	United States	0.1
	13 Sep 2019 20:15	Wailua Homesteads	United States	0.1
	13 Sep 2019 20:15	Kealia	United States	0.1
	13 Sep 2019 20:15	Hanamaulu	United States	0.1
	13 Sep 2019 20:15	Wailua	United States	0.1
	13 Sep 2019 20:15	Moloaa	United States	0.1
	13 Sep 2019 20:15	Kapaa	United States	0.1
	13 Sep 2019 20:15	Anahola	United States	0.1
	13 Sep 2019 20:15	Kumukumu	United States	0.1
	13 Sep 2019 18:00	Las Tinajas	Mexico	0.1
	13 Sep 2019 18:30	Las Palmas	Mexico	0.1
	13 Sep 2019 18:30	La Ribera	Mexico	0.1
	13 Sep 2019 18:30	Punta Colorada	Mexico	0.1
	13 Sep 2019 18:30	Punta Arena	Mexico	0.1
	13 Sep 2019 18:30	Los Tesos	Mexico	0.1
	13 Sep 2019 18:30	La Trinadad	Mexico	0.1
	13 Sep 2019 23:15	Ulumalu	United States	0.1
	13 Sep 2019 20:15	San Pedro	United States	0.1
	13 Sep 2019 18:30	Los Frailes	Mexico	0.1
	13 Sep 2019 18:30	Accent Homes Mobile Home Park	United States	0.1
	13 Sep 2019 18:30	Half Moon Bay	United States	0.1
	13 Sep 2019 18:15	Santo Domingo	Mexico	0.1
	13 Sep 2019 19:45	La Fortuna	Mexico	0.1
	13 Sep 2019 19:45	El Cardoncito	Mexico	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.