Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for KIKO-19
Off-shore

Impact

Tropical Cyclone KIKO-19 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries United States
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 122 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.8 m (17 Sep 00:00 UTC)
Vulnerability --

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 122 km/h 0.8 m 244 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 137 km/h 0.0 m 729 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 17 Sep 2019 00:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormUnited States67 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 12 Sep 2019 12:00 65 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 12 Sep 2019 18:00 68 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 13 Sep 2019 00:00 65 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 13 Sep 2019 06:00 86 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 13 Sep 2019 12:00 76 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 13 Sep 2019 18:00 79 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 14 Sep 2019 00:00 65 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 14 Sep 2019 06:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 14 Sep 2019 12:00 101 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 14 Sep 2019 18:00 133 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 15 Sep 2019 00:00 155 -
- - - - - United States
GREEN 12 15 Sep 2019 06:00 166 - - - - - - -
GREEN 13 15 Sep 2019 12:00 202 - - - - - - -
GREEN 14 15 Sep 2019 18:00 166 - - - - - - -
GREEN 15 16 Sep 2019 00:00 166 - - - - - - -
GREEN 16 16 Sep 2019 06:00 176 - - - - - - -
GREEN 17 16 Sep 2019 12:00 184 - - - - - - -
GREEN 18 16 Sep 2019 18:00 148 -
- - - - - United States
GREEN 19 17 Sep 2019 00:00 122 -
- - - - - United States
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h

Rainfall

729 mm

No people can be affected by rain higher than 100mm (see SSHS)





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 17 Sep 2019 00:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
50-100 mmMexico08 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 12 Sep 2019 12:00 222 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 12 Sep 2019 18:00 178 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 13 Sep 2019 00:00 281 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 13 Sep 2019 06:00 235 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 13 Sep 2019 12:00 199 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 13 Sep 2019 18:00 174 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 14 Sep 2019 00:00 251 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 14 Sep 2019 06:00 206 - - - - - - -
Blue 9 14 Sep 2019 12:00 202 - - - - - - -
Blue 10 14 Sep 2019 18:00 169 - - - - - - -
Blue 11 15 Sep 2019 00:00 166 - - - - - - -
Blue 12 15 Sep 2019 06:00 154 - - - - - - -
Blue 13 15 Sep 2019 12:00 178 - - - - - - -
Blue 14 15 Sep 2019 18:00 153 - - - - - - -
Blue 15 16 Sep 2019 00:00 178 - - - - - - -
Blue 16 16 Sep 2019 06:00 203 - - - - - - -
Blue 17 16 Sep 2019 12:00 188 - - - - - - -
Blue 18 16 Sep 2019 18:00 238 - - - - - - -
Blue 19 17 Sep 2019 00:00 527 -
- - - - - Mexico




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.8 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.8m in El Golfo de Santa Clara, Mexico. This height is estimated for 17 Sep 2019 00:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 17 Sep 2019 00:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
17 Sep 2019 00:00 El Golfo de Santa Clara Mexico  0.8
17 Sep 2019 00:00 El Tornillal Mexico  0.7
17 Sep 2019 00:00 San Felipe Mexico  0.7
17 Sep 2019 00:00 La Choya Mexico  0.4
17 Sep 2019 00:00 Puerto Penasco Mexico  0.4
17 Sep 2019 00:00 Puertecitos Mexico  0.3
17 Sep 2019 05:15 Guasimas Mexico  0.3
17 Sep 2019 04:00 La Ventana Mexico  0.3
17 Sep 2019 04:00 Ensenada de los Muertos Mexico  0.3
17 Sep 2019 00:45 Rancho Bahia Mexico  0.3
17 Sep 2019 04:00 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.3
17 Sep 2019 00:00 Molino Mexico  0.3
17 Sep 2019 00:00 Molino Lacy Mexico  0.3
17 Sep 2019 04:30 Tripui Mexico  0.3
17 Sep 2019 04:30 San Cosme Mexico  0.3
17 Sep 2019 04:30 Santa Marta Mexico  0.3
17 Sep 2019 05:00 Guaymas Mexico  0.3
17 Sep 2019 05:00 Empalme Mexico  0.3
17 Sep 2019 05:45 Agua del Coyote Mexico  0.3
17 Sep 2019 04:45 Las Bocas Mexico  0.3
17 Sep 2019 05:45 San Juanico Mexico  0.3
17 Sep 2019 05:45 Boca del Melgoita Mexico  0.3
17 Sep 2019 05:45 Buenaventura Mexico  0.3
17 Sep 2019 04:30 Datilito Mexico  0.3
17 Sep 2019 04:30 La Paz Mexico  0.3
17 Sep 2019 04:45 Camahuiroa Mexico  0.3
17 Sep 2019 04:30 Rosario Mexico  0.3
17 Sep 2019 04:45 San Juan de la Costa Mexico  0.3
17 Sep 2019 00:00 Puerto Libertad Mexico  0.3
17 Sep 2019 04:45 San Jose Mexico  0.3
17 Sep 2019 04:45 Atanacio Mexico  0.3
17 Sep 2019 04:45 El Paredoncito Mexico  0.3
17 Sep 2019 04:45 Los Burros Mexico  0.3
17 Sep 2019 00:15 Bahia Kino Mexico  0.3
17 Sep 2019 00:00 El Desemboque Mexico  0.2
17 Sep 2019 05:00 San Ignacio Mexico  0.2
17 Sep 2019 05:00 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.2
17 Sep 2019 05:00 Tastiota Mexico  0.2
17 Sep 2019 05:00 Borabampo Mexico  0.2
17 Sep 2019 04:30 La Ribera Mexico  0.2
17 Sep 2019 04:30 Punta Colorada Mexico  0.2
17 Sep 2019 04:30 Punta Arena Mexico  0.2
17 Sep 2019 04:30 Los Tesos Mexico  0.2
17 Sep 2019 04:30 Los Frailes Mexico  0.2
17 Sep 2019 05:15 Cachoana Mexico  0.2
17 Sep 2019 00:00 Cabo Tepoca Mexico  0.2
17 Sep 2019 05:00 San Carlos Mexico  0.2
17 Sep 2019 05:15 San Juanico Mexico  0.2
17 Sep 2019 05:30 Loreto Mexico  0.2
17 Sep 2019 05:30 Ligui Mexico  0.2
17 Sep 2019 05:15 Mulege Mexico  0.2
17 Sep 2019 05:15 Los Dolores Mexico  0.2
17 Sep 2019 05:15 San Bruno Mexico  0.2
17 Sep 2019 05:15 Liliba Mexico  0.2
17 Sep 2019 04:45 Topolobampo Mexico  0.2
17 Sep 2019 05:30 San Rafael Mexico  0.2
17 Sep 2019 05:00 San Bruno Mexico  0.2
17 Sep 2019 00:00 Tecomate Mexico  0.2
17 Sep 2019 04:30 El Aquajito Mexico  0.2
17 Sep 2019 05:00 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.2
17 Sep 2019 05:45 Las Tinajas Mexico  0.2
17 Sep 2019 03:30 La Playa Colorada Mexico  0.2
17 Sep 2019 05:00 Tambobiche Mexico  0.2
17 Sep 2019 00:15 Agua de las Flores Mexico  0.2
17 Sep 2019 04:45 Puerto Cortes Mexico  0.2
17 Sep 2019 04:45 Puerto Charley Mexico  0.2
17 Sep 2019 03:45 La Fortuna Mexico  0.2
17 Sep 2019 03:45 El Cardoncito Mexico  0.2
17 Sep 2019 03:45 Boca del Rio Mexico  0.2
17 Sep 2019 04:15 Perihuete Mexico  0.2
17 Sep 2019 03:45 El Castillo Mexico  0.2
17 Sep 2019 03:45 Las Arenitas Mexico  0.2
17 Sep 2019 04:45 Altata Mexico  0.2
17 Sep 2019 05:00 Bahia de Tortugas Mexico  0.2
17 Sep 2019 04:30 Las Palmas Mexico  0.2
17 Sep 2019 04:30 La Trinadad Mexico  0.2
17 Sep 2019 04:45 La Boca Mexico  0.2
17 Sep 2019 05:00 El Barril Mexico  0.2
17 Sep 2019 05:45 Santo Domingo Mexico  0.2
17 Sep 2019 05:30 Queretaro Mexico  0.2
17 Sep 2019 04:00 El Guatamota Mexico  0.2
17 Sep 2019 01:00 Woodville United States  0.2
17 Sep 2019 01:00 Bolinas United States  0.2
17 Sep 2019 01:00 Stinson Beach United States  0.2
17 Sep 2019 01:00 Muir Beach United States  0.2
17 Sep 2019 01:00 Kentfield United States  0.2
17 Sep 2019 01:00 Tamalpais Valley United States  0.2
17 Sep 2019 01:00 Mill Valley United States  0.2
17 Sep 2019 01:00 Larkspur United States  0.2
17 Sep 2019 01:00 Almonte United States  0.2
17 Sep 2019 01:00 Green Brae United States  0.2
17 Sep 2019 01:00 Marin City United States  0.2
17 Sep 2019 01:00 Strawberry United States  0.2
17 Sep 2019 01:00 Corte Madera United States  0.2
17 Sep 2019 01:00 Sunset District United States  0.2
17 Sep 2019 01:00 Sausalito United States  0.2
17 Sep 2019 01:00 Edgemar United States  0.2
17 Sep 2019 01:00 San Quentin United States  0.2
17 Sep 2019 01:00 Broadmoor United States  0.2
17 Sep 2019 01:00 Paradise Cay United States  0.2
17 Sep 2019 01:00 Stonestown United States  0.2
17 Sep 2019 01:00 Fort Winfield Scott United States  0.2
17 Sep 2019 01:00 Richmond District United States  0.2
17 Sep 2019 01:00 Daly City United States  0.2
17 Sep 2019 01:00 Westborough United States  0.2
17 Sep 2019 01:00 Tiburon United States  0.2
17 Sep 2019 01:00 Belvedere United States  0.2
17 Sep 2019 01:00 Colma United States  0.2
17 Sep 2019 01:00 Baden United States  0.2
17 Sep 2019 01:00 Little Osaka United States  0.2
17 Sep 2019 01:00 San Bruno United States  0.2
17 Sep 2019 01:00 Fort McDowell United States  0.2
17 Sep 2019 01:00 San Francisco United States  0.2
17 Sep 2019 01:00 Bayshore United States  0.2
17 Sep 2019 01:00 South San Francisco United States  0.2
17 Sep 2019 01:00 North Beach United States  0.2
17 Sep 2019 01:00 Tanforan United States  0.2
17 Sep 2019 01:00 Brisbane United States  0.2
17 Sep 2019 03:45 Todos Santos Mexico  0.2
17 Sep 2019 05:30 Cunano Mexico  0.2
17 Sep 2019 05:30 Los Inocentes Mexico  0.2
17 Sep 2019 04:15 San Jose del Cabo Mexico  0.2
17 Sep 2019 04:00 Quinones Mexico  0.2
17 Sep 2019 03:45 El Pescadero Mexico  0.2
17 Sep 2019 04:30 Puerto Magdalena Mexico  0.2
17 Sep 2019 04:30 San Carlos Mexico  0.2
17 Sep 2019 04:15 El Tule Mexico  0.2
17 Sep 2019 04:15 El Tomale Mexico  0.2
17 Sep 2019 04:15 Agua Fresca Mexico  0.2
17 Sep 2019 04:30 Madero Amarillo Mexico  0.2
17 Sep 2019 04:15 San Lucas Mexico  0.1
17 Sep 2019 03:45 La Tinaja Mexico  0.1
17 Sep 2019 03:45 Pozo de Cota Mexico  0.1
17 Sep 2019 01:15 Terra Linda United States  0.1
17 Sep 2019 01:15 Santa Venetia United States  0.1
17 Sep 2019 04:15 Rancho Conejo Mexico  0.1
17 Sep 2019 06:00 Adolfo Lopez Mateos Mexico  0.1
17 Sep 2019 03:45 Rancho Datilari Mexico  0.1
17 Sep 2019 02:45 Aguaje Mexico  0.1
17 Sep 2019 02:45 Ojo de Liebre Mexico  0.1
17 Sep 2019 05:15 Cedros Mexico  0.1
17 Sep 2019 04:30 Desembarcadero de Miller Mexico  0.1
17 Sep 2019 00:00 Summerland United States  0.1
17 Sep 2019 00:00 Serena Park United States  0.1
17 Sep 2019 00:00 Franciscan Village United States  0.1
17 Sep 2019 00:00 Carpinteria United States  0.1
17 Sep 2019 00:00 Rincon United States  0.1
17 Sep 2019 00:00 Shepards United States  0.1
17 Sep 2019 00:00 Punta United States  0.1
17 Sep 2019 00:00 Faria United States  0.1
17 Sep 2019 00:00 Dulah United States  0.1
17 Sep 2019 06:00 La Florida Mexico  0.1
17 Sep 2019 05:00 Estero la Bocana Mexico  0.1
17 Sep 2019 05:30 Puerto Venustiano Carranza Mexico  0.1
17 Sep 2019 00:00 Montecito United States  0.1
17 Sep 2019 05:00 Playa Oceano Pacifico Mexico  0.1
17 Sep 2019 05:15 Isla Natividad Mexico  0.1
17 Sep 2019 05:00 Kaunakakai United States  0.1
17 Sep 2019 05:00 Kaumalapau United States  0.1
17 Sep 2019 05:00 Moku United States  0.1
17 Sep 2019 05:00 Kamalo United States  0.1
17 Sep 2019 05:00 Kaluaaha United States  0.1
17 Sep 2019 05:00 Keomuku United States  0.1
17 Sep 2019 05:00 Ualapue United States  0.1
17 Sep 2019 05:00 Pukoo United States  0.1
17 Sep 2019 05:00 Waialua United States  0.1
17 Sep 2019 05:30 Santa Catarina Mexico  0.1
17 Sep 2019 05:15 El Rosario Mexico  0.1
17 Sep 2019 05:15 Santa Marie Mexico  0.1
17 Sep 2019 05:00 Rancho San Francisco Mexico  0.1
17 Sep 2019 05:00 Colonia Camalu Mexico  0.1
17 Sep 2019 05:00 Halawa United States  0.1
17 Sep 2019 00:00 Hope Ranch United States  0.1
17 Sep 2019 00:00 Mission United States  0.1
17 Sep 2019 05:00 Kaanapali United States  0.1
17 Sep 2019 05:00 Puukolii United States  0.1
17 Sep 2019 05:00 Lahaina United States  0.1
17 Sep 2019 05:00 Crater Village United States  0.1
17 Sep 2019 05:00 Honokahua United States  0.1
17 Sep 2019 05:00 Mahinahina Camp United States  0.1
17 Sep 2019 05:00 Kapalua United States  0.1
17 Sep 2019 00:15 Las Flores United States  0.1
17 Sep 2019 00:15 Castellammare United States  0.1
17 Sep 2019 00:15 Pacific Palisades United States  0.1
17 Sep 2019 00:15 Santa Monica United States  0.1
17 Sep 2019 00:15 Sawtelle United States  0.1
17 Sep 2019 00:15 Marina del Rey United States  0.1
17 Sep 2019 00:15 Playa del Rey United States  0.1
17 Sep 2019 00:15 Alsace United States  0.1
17 Sep 2019 00:15 El Segundo United States  0.1
17 Sep 2019 00:15 Manhattan Beach United States  0.1
17 Sep 2019 00:15 Hermosa Beach United States  0.1
17 Sep 2019 00:15 Clifton United States  0.1
17 Sep 2019 00:15 Redondo Beach United States  0.1
17 Sep 2019 05:15 Bahia Asuncion Mexico  0.1
17 Sep 2019 05:15 Rancho Cepeda Mexico  0.1
17 Sep 2019 05:00 Olowalu United States  0.1
17 Sep 2019 00:00 Isla Vista United States  0.1
17 Sep 2019 00:00 Goleta United States  0.1