Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for KIKO-19
Off-shore

Impact

Tropical Cyclone KIKO-19 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries United States, Mexico
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 68 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.4 m (12 Sep 22:15 UTC)
Vulnerability --

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 68 km/h 0.4 m 178 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 137 km/h 0.0 m 729 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

137 km/h

Up to 20 thousand can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 12 Sep 2019 18:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormUnited States, Mexico24,222
+
United States16,475 
Mexico7,747 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 12 Sep 2019 12:00 65 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 12 Sep 2019 18:00 133 -
- - - - - United States, Mexico
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h




Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 12 Sep 2019 18:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
50-100 mmMexico, United States178,627
+
Mexico178,597 
United States30 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 12 Sep 2019 12:00 222 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 12 Sep 2019 18:00 529 -
- - - - - Mexico, United States




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.4 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.4m in San Juanico, Mexico. This height is estimated for 12 Sep 2019 22:15 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 12 Sep 2019 18:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
12 Sep 2019 22:15 San Juanico Mexico  0.4
12 Sep 2019 22:15 Boca del Melgoita Mexico  0.4
12 Sep 2019 22:15 Buenaventura Mexico  0.4
12 Sep 2019 22:15 Agua del Coyote Mexico  0.3
12 Sep 2019 22:15 Las Tinajas Mexico  0.3
12 Sep 2019 22:15 Santo Domingo Mexico  0.3
12 Sep 2019 22:15 Queretaro Mexico  0.3
12 Sep 2019 21:30 Bahia Kino Mexico  0.2
12 Sep 2019 22:00 Adolfo Lopez Mateos Mexico  0.2
12 Sep 2019 20:45 Guasimas Mexico  0.2
12 Sep 2019 23:00 Woodville United States  0.2
12 Sep 2019 23:00 Bolinas United States  0.2
12 Sep 2019 23:00 Stinson Beach United States  0.2
12 Sep 2019 23:00 Muir Beach United States  0.2
12 Sep 2019 23:00 Kentfield United States  0.2
12 Sep 2019 23:00 Tamalpais Valley United States  0.2
12 Sep 2019 23:00 Mill Valley United States  0.2
12 Sep 2019 23:00 Larkspur United States  0.2
12 Sep 2019 23:00 Almonte United States  0.2
12 Sep 2019 23:00 Green Brae United States  0.2
12 Sep 2019 23:00 Marin City United States  0.2
12 Sep 2019 23:00 Strawberry United States  0.2
12 Sep 2019 23:00 Corte Madera United States  0.2
12 Sep 2019 23:00 Sunset District United States  0.2
12 Sep 2019 23:00 Sausalito United States  0.2
12 Sep 2019 23:00 Edgemar United States  0.2
12 Sep 2019 23:00 San Quentin United States  0.2
12 Sep 2019 23:00 Broadmoor United States  0.2
12 Sep 2019 23:00 Paradise Cay United States  0.2
12 Sep 2019 23:00 Stonestown United States  0.2
12 Sep 2019 23:00 Fort Winfield Scott United States  0.2
12 Sep 2019 23:00 Richmond District United States  0.2
12 Sep 2019 23:00 Daly City United States  0.2
12 Sep 2019 23:00 Westborough United States  0.2
12 Sep 2019 23:00 Tiburon United States  0.2
12 Sep 2019 23:00 Belvedere United States  0.2
12 Sep 2019 23:00 Colma United States  0.2
12 Sep 2019 23:00 Baden United States  0.2
12 Sep 2019 23:00 Little Osaka United States  0.2
12 Sep 2019 23:00 San Bruno United States  0.2
12 Sep 2019 23:00 Fort McDowell United States  0.2
12 Sep 2019 23:00 San Francisco United States  0.2
12 Sep 2019 23:00 Bayshore United States  0.2
12 Sep 2019 23:00 South San Francisco United States  0.2
12 Sep 2019 23:00 North Beach United States  0.2
12 Sep 2019 23:00 Tanforan United States  0.2
12 Sep 2019 23:00 Brisbane United States  0.2
12 Sep 2019 19:45 Puerto Venustiano Carranza Mexico  0.2
12 Sep 2019 19:00 La Playa Colorada Mexico  0.2
12 Sep 2019 22:00 La Florida Mexico  0.2
12 Sep 2019 18:30 San Carlos Mexico  0.2
12 Sep 2019 18:30 Madero Amarillo Mexico  0.2
12 Sep 2019 21:45 Boca del Rio Mexico  0.1
12 Sep 2019 23:00 Cabo Tepoca Mexico  0.1
12 Sep 2019 20:00 Cachoana Mexico  0.1
12 Sep 2019 21:45 Puerto Magdalena Mexico  0.1
13 Sep 2019 00:00 Puerto Penasco Mexico  0.1
12 Sep 2019 23:00 Terra Linda United States  0.1
12 Sep 2019 23:00 Santa Venetia United States  0.1
12 Sep 2019 22:00 Puerto Cortes Mexico  0.1
12 Sep 2019 22:00 El Guatamota Mexico  0.1
12 Sep 2019 23:15 Tecomate Mexico  0.1
12 Sep 2019 19:30 Montecito United States  0.1
12 Sep 2019 19:30 Summerland United States  0.1
12 Sep 2019 19:30 Serena Park United States  0.1
12 Sep 2019 19:30 Franciscan Village United States  0.1
12 Sep 2019 19:30 Carpinteria United States  0.1
12 Sep 2019 19:30 Rincon United States  0.1
12 Sep 2019 19:30 Shepards United States  0.1
12 Sep 2019 19:30 Punta United States  0.1
12 Sep 2019 19:30 Faria United States  0.1
12 Sep 2019 19:30 Dulah United States  0.1
13 Sep 2019 00:00 La Choya Mexico  0.1
12 Sep 2019 23:30 El Castillo Mexico  0.1
12 Sep 2019 23:30 Las Arenitas Mexico  0.1
12 Sep 2019 21:15 San Rafael Mexico  0.1
12 Sep 2019 20:45 Puerto Charley Mexico  0.1
12 Sep 2019 23:00 Shelter Cove United States  0.1
12 Sep 2019 23:00 Rockaway Beach United States  0.1
12 Sep 2019 23:00 Pacifica United States  0.1
12 Sep 2019 23:00 Millbrae United States  0.1
12 Sep 2019 22:45 Moss Beach United States  0.1
12 Sep 2019 22:45 Montara United States  0.1
12 Sep 2019 22:45 Princeton United States  0.1
12 Sep 2019 22:45 El Granada United States  0.1
12 Sep 2019 22:45 Miramar United States  0.1
13 Sep 2019 00:00 Bahia de Tortugas Mexico  0.1
12 Sep 2019 19:30 Desembarcadero de Miller Mexico  0.1
12 Sep 2019 18:45 La Boca Mexico  0.1
12 Sep 2019 19:00 Altata Mexico  0.1
12 Sep 2019 19:30 Hope Ranch United States  0.1
12 Sep 2019 19:30 Mission United States  0.1
12 Sep 2019 20:00 Azure Vista United States  0.1
12 Sep 2019 20:00 Ocean Beach United States  0.1
12 Sep 2019 20:00 Mission Beach United States  0.1
12 Sep 2019 20:00 Fort Rosecrans United States  0.1
12 Sep 2019 20:00 Roseville United States  0.1
12 Sep 2019 20:00 Campland on the Bay Trailer Park United States  0.1
12 Sep 2019 20:00 Loma Portal United States  0.1
12 Sep 2019 20:00 San Diego United States  0.1
12 Sep 2019 20:00 Coronado United States  0.1
12 Sep 2019 20:00 Imperial Beach United States  0.1
12 Sep 2019 20:00 Boal United States  0.1
12 Sep 2019 22:30 Tangair United States  0.1
12 Sep 2019 22:30 Surf United States  0.1
12 Sep 2019 22:30 Narlon United States  0.1
12 Sep 2019 23:45 San Felipe Mexico  0.1
12 Sep 2019 22:45 Accent Homes Mobile Home Park United States  0.1
12 Sep 2019 22:45 Half Moon Bay United States  0.1
12 Sep 2019 22:30 Port San Luis United States  0.1
12 Sep 2019 22:30 Avila Beach United States  0.1
12 Sep 2019 22:30 Sycamore Springs United States  0.1
12 Sep 2019 22:30 Pismo Beach United States  0.1
12 Sep 2019 22:30 Oceano United States  0.1
12 Sep 2019 22:30 Grover City United States  0.1
12 Sep 2019 22:30 Callender United States  0.1
12 Sep 2019 19:30 Isla Vista United States  0.1
12 Sep 2019 19:30 Goleta United States  0.1
12 Sep 2019 22:15 Estero la Bocana Mexico  0.1
12 Sep 2019 23:45 Las Bocas Mexico  0.1
12 Sep 2019 23:45 Camahuiroa Mexico  0.1
12 Sep 2019 19:30 San Buenaventura United States  0.1
12 Sep 2019 19:30 Ventura United States  0.1
12 Sep 2019 19:30 Hollywood By The Sea United States  0.1
12 Sep 2019 19:30 Channel Islands Beach United States  0.1
12 Sep 2019 19:30 Oxnard United States  0.1
13 Sep 2019 00:00 Cunano Mexico  0.1
13 Sep 2019 00:00 Los Inocentes Mexico  0.1
12 Sep 2019 19:30 Coromar United States  0.1
12 Sep 2019 19:15 Keomuku United States  0.1
12 Sep 2019 19:15 Kaanapali United States  0.1
12 Sep 2019 19:15 Puukolii United States  0.1
12 Sep 2019 19:15 Lahaina United States  0.1
12 Sep 2019 19:15 Crater Village United States  0.1
12 Sep 2019 19:15 Mahinahina Camp United States  0.1
12 Sep 2019 19:00 Perihuete Mexico  0.1
12 Sep 2019 22:30 Baywood Park United States  0.1
12 Sep 2019 22:30 Cayucos United States  0.1
12 Sep 2019 22:30 Morro Bay United States  0.1
12 Sep 2019 22:00 Rancho Datilari Mexico  0.1
12 Sep 2019 22:00 Rancho Conejo Mexico  0.1
12 Sep 2019 19:00 Olowalu United States  0.1
12 Sep 2019 19:00 Kahakuloa United States  0.1
12 Sep 2019 19:00 Maalaea United States  0.1
12 Sep 2019 19:00 Waihee United States  0.1
12 Sep 2019 19:00 Hyashi Village United States  0.1
12 Sep 2019 19:00 Wailuku United States  0.1
12 Sep 2019 19:00 Kahului United States  0.1
12 Sep 2019 19:00 Puunene United States  0.1
12 Sep 2019 19:00 Village Eight United States  0.1
12 Sep 2019 19:00 Hawaiian Village United States  0.1
12 Sep 2019 19:00 Paia United States  0.1
12 Sep 2019 19:00 Haiku United States  0.1
12 Sep 2019 19:00 Pauwela United States  0.1
12 Sep 2019 22:30 Dillon Beach United States  0.1
12 Sep 2019 22:30 Brazil Beach United States  0.1
12 Sep 2019 22:30 Hamlet United States  0.1
12 Sep 2019 22:30 Nicks Cove United States  0.1
12 Sep 2019 22:30 Lairds Landing United States  0.1
12 Sep 2019 19:15 Datilito Mexico  0.1
12 Sep 2019 19:15 La Paz Mexico  0.1
12 Sep 2019 19:15 Rosario Mexico  0.1
13 Sep 2019 00:00 Agua Fresca Mexico  0.1
12 Sep 2019 22:00 Del Monte Forest United States  0.1
12 Sep 2019 22:00 Pebble Beach United States  0.1
12 Sep 2019 22:00 Carmel Highlands United States  0.1
12 Sep 2019 22:00 Carmel-by-the-Sea United States  0.1
12 Sep 2019 22:00 Pacific Grove United States  0.1
12 Sep 2019 22:00 Carmel United States  0.1
12 Sep 2019 22:00 Monterey United States  0.1
12 Sep 2019 22:00 Del Rey Oaks United States  0.1
12 Sep 2019 22:00 Workfield United States  0.1
12 Sep 2019 22:00 Seaside United States  0.1
12 Sep 2019 22:00 Ord United States  0.1
12 Sep 2019 22:00 Marina United States  0.1
12 Sep 2019 22:00 Moss Landing United States  0.1
12 Sep 2019 22:00 Neponset United States  0.1
12 Sep 2019 22:00 Nashua United States  0.1
12 Sep 2019 22:00 Castroville United States  0.1
12 Sep 2019 19:30 Naples United States  0.1
12 Sep 2019 22:30 Harmony United States  0.1
12 Sep 2019 22:00 Quinones Mexico  0.1
12 Sep 2019 20:15 San Jose Mexico  0.1
12 Sep 2019 20:15 Atanacio Mexico  0.1
12 Sep 2019 20:15 El Paredoncito Mexico  0.1
12 Sep 2019 22:30 Arguello United States  0.1
12 Sep 2019 22:30 Honda United States  0.1
12 Sep 2019 22:45 La Ventana Mexico  0.1
12 Sep 2019 22:45 Ensenada de los Muertos Mexico  0.1
12 Sep 2019 19:30 Capitan United States  0.1
12 Sep 2019 21:45 El Tomale Mexico  0.1
13 Sep 2019 00:00 Guaymas Mexico  0.1
13 Sep 2019 00:00 Empalme Mexico  0.1