Overall Orange alert Tropical Cyclone for VAYU-19
in , India, Pakistan

Impact

Tropical Cyclone VAYU-19 can have a medium humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries India
Exposed population 3.3 million in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 169 km/h
Maximum storm surge 1.7 m (14 Jun 14:45 UTC)
Vulnerability --

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 169 km/h 1.7 m 1177 mm 2.5
GFS Overall 194 km/h 1.4 m 1209 mm 2.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

194 km/h

Up to 3.3 million in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 12 Jun 2019 06:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
CAT. 1India3,266,100 
Tropical StormIndia8,636,873 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
RED 1 10 Jun 2019 12:00 184 - - - - - - -
RED 2 10 Jun 2019 18:00 209 - - - - - - -
RED 3 11 Jun 2019 00:00 194 - - - - - - -
RED 4 11 Jun 2019 06:00 191 - - - - - - -
RED 5 11 Jun 2019 12:00 184 - - - - - - -
ORANGE 6 11 Jun 2019 18:00 176 - - - - - - -
RED 7 12 Jun 2019 00:00 162 - - - - - - -
RED 8 12 Jun 2019 06:00 169 3.3 million
- - - - India
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h




Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 12 Jun 2019 06:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
more than 1000 mmIndia19,739 
750-1000 mmIndia146,251 
500-750 mmIndia729,798 
250-500 mmIndia3,310,847 
100-250 mmIndia, Sri Lanka54,953,384
+
India52,573,989 
Sri Lanka2,379,395 
50-100 mmIndia, Sri Lanka25,531,971
+
India19,711,340 
Sri Lanka5,820,631 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 10 Jun 2019 12:00 229 30 thousand
- - - - India
Blue 2 10 Jun 2019 18:00 87 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 11 Jun 2019 00:00 201 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 11 Jun 2019 06:00 113 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 11 Jun 2019 12:00 230 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 11 Jun 2019 18:00 289 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 12 Jun 2019 00:00 232 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 12 Jun 2019 06:00 1177 59.2 million
India, Sri Lanka




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

1.7 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  1.7m in Gadechi, India. This height is estimated for 14 Jun 2019 14:45 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 12 Jun 2019 06:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
14 Jun 2019 14:45 Gadechi India  1.7
14 Jun 2019 14:45 Okha India  1.7
14 Jun 2019 14:45 Aramda India  1.7
13 Jun 2019 10:30 Wadgam India  1.5
13 Jun 2019 10:30 Kambhat India  1.5
13 Jun 2019 10:30 Kavi India  1.5
13 Jun 2019 10:30 Sarod India  1.5
13 Jun 2019 03:15 Asarsa India  1.5
13 Jun 2019 02:30 Ghogha India  1.4
13 Jun 2019 02:15 Harinagar India  1.4
13 Jun 2019 02:15 Dahej India  1.4
13 Jun 2019 00:15 Kotada India  1.4
13 Jun 2019 01:45 Tankari India  1.4
13 Jun 2019 01:45 Muler India  1.4
12 Jun 2019 23:30 Jafarabad India  1.4
12 Jun 2019 23:30 Kathiwadar Bandar India  1.4
13 Jun 2019 00:00 Dharabandar India  1.4
13 Jun 2019 00:00 Rohisa India  1.4
13 Jun 2019 01:15 Mahuva India  1.3
13 Jun 2019 00:00 Delvada India  1.3
13 Jun 2019 00:00 Nawabandar India  1.3
12 Jun 2019 23:30 Bhagva India  1.3
12 Jun 2019 23:00 Olpad India  1.3
12 Jun 2019 23:00 Hansot India  1.3
13 Jun 2019 00:00 Damka India  1.3
13 Jun 2019 04:00 Kotra Nes India  1.2
13 Jun 2019 04:00 Dangarvadi India  1.2
13 Jun 2019 04:15 Kodinar India  1.2
13 Jun 2019 07:15 Sutrapada India  1.2
13 Jun 2019 07:15 Lodhwa India  1.2
12 Jun 2019 23:15 Surat India  1.2
13 Jun 2019 08:15 Veraval India  1.2
13 Jun 2019 08:15 Somnath India  1.2
12 Jun 2019 23:15 Jalalpur India  1.1
12 Jun 2019 23:15 Mahuver India  1.1
12 Jun 2019 23:00 Nausari India  1.1
12 Jun 2019 23:00 Navsari India  1.1
12 Jun 2019 23:00 Dharasana India  1.1
12 Jun 2019 23:00 Bilimora India  1.1
12 Jun 2019 22:15 Valsad India  1.1
12 Jun 2019 22:15 Udvada India  1.1
12 Jun 2019 22:00 Daman India  1.0
12 Jun 2019 21:30 Maroli India  1.0
13 Jun 2019 10:15 Mangrol India  1.0
13 Jun 2019 10:15 Chorwad India  1.0
12 Jun 2019 21:15 Umbargam India  1.0
12 Jun 2019 21:15 Bordi India  1.0
12 Jun 2019 21:15 Gholvad India  0.9
12 Jun 2019 20:45 Malyan India  0.9
12 Jun 2019 20:45 Tarapur India  0.9
12 Jun 2019 20:45 Sakhare India  0.9
12 Jun 2019 20:15 Boisar India  0.9
12 Jun 2019 20:30 Shirgaon India  0.9
14 Jun 2019 01:30 Chudeswar India  0.8
12 Jun 2019 20:30 Palghar India  0.8
12 Jun 2019 20:30 Mahim India  0.8
14 Jun 2019 01:00 Salaya India  0.8
12 Jun 2019 20:30 Agashi India  0.8
12 Jun 2019 21:00 Nalasopara India  0.8
12 Jun 2019 12:45 Mumbai India  0.8
12 Jun 2019 12:45 Asumumbay India  0.8
12 Jun 2019 12:45 Uran India  0.8
12 Jun 2019 12:45 Trombay India  0.8
12 Jun 2019 21:15 Vasai India  0.8
12 Jun 2019 21:15 Dongri India  0.7
12 Jun 2019 21:15 Mira Bhayandar India  0.7
13 Jun 2019 10:15 Shil India  0.7
12 Jun 2019 20:15 Malad India  0.7
12 Jun 2019 12:00 Mandve India  0.7
12 Jun 2019 18:30 Alibag India  0.6
12 Jun 2019 18:30 Revadanda India  0.6
13 Jun 2019 16:45 Jhankhar India  0.6
13 Jun 2019 16:45 Sika India  0.6
13 Jun 2019 16:30 Gorser India  0.5
12 Jun 2019 06:45 Murud India  0.5
13 Jun 2019 18:30 Ratia India  0.5
12 Jun 2019 06:30 Agar Panchaitan India  0.5
12 Jun 2019 06:15 Srivardhan India  0.5
12 Jun 2019 06:15 Bankot India  0.5
14 Jun 2019 09:15 Porbandar India  0.5
14 Jun 2019 09:15 Adodar India  0.5
12 Jun 2019 06:15 Kelshi India  0.5
12 Jun 2019 06:00 Anjanwel India  0.4
12 Jun 2019 06:00 Guhagar India  0.4
12 Jun 2019 06:00 Boria India  0.4
14 Jun 2019 09:15 Miyani India  0.4
12 Jun 2019 08:00 Kavutarimunai Sri Lanka  0.4
12 Jun 2019 08:00 Nawaladi Sri Lanka  0.4
12 Jun 2019 08:00 Pooneryn Sri Lanka  0.4
12 Jun 2019 06:00 Jaigarh India  0.4
12 Jun 2019 22:45 Lamba India  0.3
12 Jun 2019 20:30 New Kandla India  0.3
12 Jun 2019 20:30 Navlakhi India  0.3
12 Jun 2019 20:30 Jodiya India  0.3
12 Jun 2019 22:45 Bhogat India  0.3
12 Jun 2019 18:00 Akri India  0.3
12 Jun 2019 06:00 Mirya India  0.3
12 Jun 2019 06:00 Ratnagiri India  0.3
12 Jun 2019 20:30 Tuna India  0.3
12 Jun 2019 20:45 Jambura India  0.3
13 Jun 2019 02:30 Madhi India  0.3
13 Jun 2019 00:00 Suthri India  0.3
12 Jun 2019 18:00 Filim Oman  0.3
12 Jun 2019 17:45 Al Khaluf Oman  0.3
13 Jun 2019 02:15 Dwarka India  0.3
12 Jun 2019 06:45 Aliavalai Sri Lanka  0.3
12 Jun 2019 06:00 Lakhpat India  0.3
12 Jun 2019 06:15 Purnagad India  0.3
15 Jun 2019 06:00 Mundra India  0.3
12 Jun 2019 06:15 Purangad India  0.3
13 Jun 2019 00:00 Mandvi India  0.2
12 Jun 2019 06:00 Adiura India  0.2
12 Jun 2019 06:00 Kumta India  0.2
12 Jun 2019 06:00 Honavar India  0.2
12 Jun 2019 06:00 Manki India  0.2
13 Jun 2019 00:15 Bhadia India  0.2
12 Jun 2019 06:00 Advota India  0.2
12 Jun 2019 06:00 Chaudi India  0.2
12 Jun 2019 06:00 Majali India  0.2
12 Jun 2019 06:00 Sadashivgarh India  0.2
12 Jun 2019 06:00 Karwar India  0.2
12 Jun 2019 09:30 Idaikkadu Sri Lanka  0.2
12 Jun 2019 09:30 Ampan Sri Lanka  0.2
12 Jun 2019 06:00 Mavalli India  0.2
12 Jun 2019 06:00 Shirali India  0.2
12 Jun 2019 06:00 Belekeri India  0.2
12 Jun 2019 06:00 Ankola India  0.2
12 Jun 2019 06:00 Gokarn India  0.2
12 Jun 2019 20:45 Navinal India  0.2
12 Jun 2019 17:00 Bambu Khan Pakistan  0.2
12 Jun 2019 17:00 Goth Jumo Pakistan  0.2
12 Jun 2019 14:15 Ghuar Mota India  0.2
12 Jun 2019 06:00 Vijayadurg India  0.2
13 Jun 2019 05:45 Talaimannar Sri Lanka  0.2
13 Jun 2019 05:45 Chiruttoppu Sri Lanka  0.2
13 Jun 2019 05:45 Mannar Sri Lanka  0.2
13 Jun 2019 05:45 Periyavilankuli Sri Lanka  0.2
12 Jun 2019 10:15 Bhatkal India  0.2
12 Jun 2019 10:15 Bainduru India  0.2
12 Jun 2019 10:30 As Sirab Oman  0.2
12 Jun 2019 06:00 Madgaon India  0.2
14 Jun 2019 10:15 Bada Pakistan  0.2
14 Jun 2019 10:15 Cheru Pakistan  0.2
14 Jun 2019 10:15 Sonmiani Pakistan  0.2
12 Jun 2019 10:15 Chittadi India  0.2
12 Jun 2019 18:00 Jaffna Sri Lanka  0.2
12 Jun 2019 12:45 Kattumavadi India  0.2
12 Jun 2019 12:45 Atirampattinam India  0.2
12 Jun 2019 17:15 Devgarh India  0.2
12 Jun 2019 17:15 Achra India  0.2
12 Jun 2019 17:15 Malvan India  0.2
12 Jun 2019 17:30 Pural India  0.2
12 Jun 2019 06:00 Marmagao India  0.2
12 Jun 2019 06:00 Vasco Da Gama India  0.2
12 Jun 2019 06:00 Agacaim India  0.2
12 Jun 2019 06:00 Chopdem India  0.2
12 Jun 2019 06:00 Anjuna India  0.2
12 Jun 2019 06:00 Panaji India  0.2
12 Jun 2019 13:15 Kodigeri India  0.2
12 Jun 2019 10:00 Kundapura India  0.2
12 Jun 2019 16:15 Jhol Pakistan  0.2
12 Jun 2019 16:15 Keti Pakistan  0.2
12 Jun 2019 06:00 Vengurla India  0.2
12 Jun 2019 06:00 Terekhol India  0.2
12 Jun 2019 06:00 Udipi India  0.2
12 Jun 2019 10:15 Duqm Oman  0.2
12 Jun 2019 10:15 Nafun Oman  0.2
13 Jun 2019 05:30 Silavatturai Sri Lanka  0.2
12 Jun 2019 16:30 Goth Haji Muhammad Pakistan  0.2
12 Jun 2019 16:30 Isa Pakistan  0.2
12 Jun 2019 16:30 Goth Lashkari Pakistan  0.2
13 Jun 2019 05:30 Anaippapan Sri Lanka  0.2
12 Jun 2019 10:15 Abu 'Abali Oman  0.2
12 Jun 2019 10:15 Suwadi al Batsa' Oman  0.2
12 Jun 2019 10:15 Billa Oman  0.2
12 Jun 2019 10:15 Murayjat Oman  0.2
12 Jun 2019 10:15 Barka Oman  0.2
12 Jun 2019 10:15 Masnaah Oman  0.2
12 Jun 2019 10:15 Bu 'Abali Oman  0.2
13 Jun 2019 11:30 Naka Kharari Pakistan  0.1
13 Jun 2019 11:30 Gadani Pakistan  0.1
14 Jun 2019 16:00 Nizampatam India  0.1
14 Jun 2019 16:00 Kottapalem India  0.1
14 Jun 2019 16:00 Lankavanidibba India  0.1
13 Jun 2019 18:30 Al Kalban Oman  0.1
13 Jun 2019 18:30 Sur Masirah Oman  0.1
13 Jun 2019 18:30 'Urf Oman  0.1
14 Jun 2019 09:00 Rumra Pakistan  0.1
13 Jun 2019 17:00 Ras Muari Pakistan  0.1
14 Jun 2019 09:00 Miski Pakistan  0.1
14 Jun 2019 17:15 Ormara Raik Pakistan  0.1
14 Jun 2019 17:15 Ormara Pakistan  0.1
14 Jun 2019 08:30 Pasni Pakistan  0.1
13 Jun 2019 10:00 Kereti Iran  0.1
13 Jun 2019 10:00 Khowr Rapch Iran  0.1
14 Jun 2019 08:30 Kalat Pakistan  0.1
12 Jun 2019 09:30 Pudimadaka India  0.1
12 Jun 2019 09:30 Chipurupalle India  0.1
12 Jun 2019 09:30 Al Ashkharah Oman  0.1
12 Jun 2019 09:30 Al Jumaylah Oman  0.1
14 Jun 2019 08:45 Brar Pakistan  0.1
13 Jun 2019 16:45 Kakinada India  0.1
12 Jun 2019 06:00 Mulki India  0.1
12 Jun 2019 10:00 Pishukan Pakistan  0.1
12 Jun 2019 10:00 Akara Pakistan  0.1
12 Jun 2019 10:00 Gwadar Pakistan  0.1
13 Jun 2019 19:15 Mursays Oman  0.1
13 Jun 2019 19:15 Hiql Oman  0.1
13 Jun 2019 19:15 Dawwah Oman  0.1
13 Jun 2019 19:15 Maghilah Oman  0.1
12 Jun 2019 10:00 Balaru Pakistan  0.1
12 Jun 2019 13:00 Manamelkudi India  0.1
12 Jun 2019 13:00 Ammapatam India  0.1
12 Jun 2019 09:15 Malan Pakistan  0.1
12 Jun 2019 09:15 Venkatapuram India  0.1
12 Jun 2019 09:15 Pata Polvaram India  0.1
13 Jun 2019 13:15 Pamban India  0.1
13 Jun 2019 13:15 Rameswaram India  0.1
12 Jun 2019 09:15 Pentakota India  0.1
12 Jun 2019 09:45 Dorri Iran  0.1
12 Jun 2019 09:45 Pozm Tiab Iran  0.1
12 Jun 2019 09:45 Machan Iran  0.1
12 Jun 2019 09:45 Konarak Iran  0.1
12 Jun 2019 09:45 Tis Iran  0.1
12 Jun 2019 09:45 Chah Bahar Iran  0.1
12 Jun 2019 09:45 Ahmadizeh Iran  0.1
13 Jun 2019 17:15 Manumah Oman  0.1
12 Jun 2019 09:45 Shuwayr Oman  0.1
12 Jun 2019 18:15 Dafiyat Oman  0.1
12 Jun 2019 18:15 Dhuwwah Oman  0.1
12 Jun 2019 18:15 Shiinzi Oman  0.1
12 Jun 2019 10:30 Baghan Iran  0.1
12 Jun 2019 10:30 Jask-e Kohneh Iran  0.1
12 Jun 2019 10:30 Jask Iran  0.1
13 Jun 2019 18:15 Gurdim Iran  0.1
13 Jun 2019 18:15 Guraim Iran  0.1
13 Jun 2019 17:00 Gollapalem India  0.1
13 Jun 2019 17:00 Antarvedi India  0.1
12 Jun 2019 13:15 Vedaranyam India  0.1
12 Jun 2019 13:15 Vedaranniyam India  0.1
12 Jun 2019 09:30 Barambah Pakistan  0.1
12 Jun 2019 09:15 Peddapatnam India  0.1
13 Jun 2019 18:00 Vanak Iran  0.1
13 Jun 2019 18:15 Bayahi Iran  0.1
13 Jun 2019 17:45 Karap Iran  0.1
13 Jun 2019 17:45 Derangu Iran  0.1
13 Jun 2019 17:45 Bir Iran  0.1
12 Jun 2019 18:00 Kiranchi Sri Lanka  0.1
13 Jun 2019 16:45 Bandamurlanka India  0.1
13 Jun 2019 17:30 Kamshahr Iran  0.1
13 Jun 2019 17:30 Mawalis Oman  0.1
13 Jun 2019 17:30 Azaiba Oman  0.1
13 Jun 2019 17:30 Mina' al Fahl Oman  0.1
13 Jun 2019 17:30 Matrah Oman  0.1
13 Jun 2019 17:15 Masqat Oman  0.1
13 Jun 2019 17:15 Al Bustan Oman  0.1
13 Jun 2019 17:15 Yiti Oman  0.1
13 Jun 2019 17:15 As Sifah Oman  0.1
13 Jun 2019 17:30 Ramin Iran  0.1
12 Jun 2019 10:30 Sib Oman  0.1
12 Jun 2019 09:15 Jiwani Pakistan  0.1
12 Jun 2019 09:15 Pusht Iran  0.1
12 Jun 2019 09:15 Pesabandar Iran  0.1
13 Jun 2019 17:30 Sam Iran  0.1
13 Jun 2019 17:30 Beris Iran  0.1
13 Jun 2019 17:30 Baleh Sar Iran  0.1
13 Jun 2019 17:30 Kizhdab Iran  0.1
13 Jun 2019 17:30 Guran Kosh-E Pa'in Iran  0.1
13 Jun 2019 17:30 Kachow Iran  0.1
12 Jun 2019 09:15 Sharkh Oman  0.1
12 Jun 2019 06:00 Mangaluru India  0.1
12 Jun 2019 09:00 Kottapatnam India  0.1
13 Jun 2019 22:45 Vellankulam Sri Lanka  0.1