Overall Orange alert Tropical Cyclone for VAYU-19
in , India, Pakistan

Impact

Tropical Cyclone VAYU-19 can have a medium humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries Pakistan, Iran, India
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 126 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.9 m (17 Jun 05:30 UTC)
Vulnerability --

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 126 km/h 0.9 m 375 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 194 km/h 1.4 m 1209 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 15 Jun 2019 18:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormPakistan, Iran, India162,893
+
Pakistan4,634 
Iran1,052 
India157,207 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
RED 1 10 Jun 2019 12:00 184 - - - - - - -
RED 2 10 Jun 2019 18:00 209 - - - - - - -
RED 3 11 Jun 2019 00:00 194 - - - - - - -
RED 4 11 Jun 2019 06:00 191 - - - - - - -
RED 5 11 Jun 2019 12:00 184 - - - - - - -
ORANGE 6 11 Jun 2019 18:00 176 - - - - - - -
RED 7 12 Jun 2019 00:00 162 - - - - - - -
RED 8 12 Jun 2019 06:00 169 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 12 Jun 2019 12:00 194 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 12 Jun 2019 18:00 162 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 13 Jun 2019 00:00 169 - - - - - - -
GREEN 12 13 Jun 2019 06:00 166 - - - - - - -
GREEN 13 13 Jun 2019 12:00 173 - - - - - - -
GREEN 14 13 Jun 2019 18:00 176 - - - - - - -
GREEN 15 14 Jun 2019 00:00 173 - - - - - - -
GREEN 16 14 Jun 2019 06:00 176 - - - - - - -
GREEN 17 14 Jun 2019 12:00 176 - - - - - - -
GREEN 18 14 Jun 2019 18:00 169 - - - - - - -
GREEN 19 15 Jun 2019 00:00 169 - - - - - - -
GREEN 20 15 Jun 2019 06:00 173 - - - - - - -
GREEN 21 15 Jun 2019 12:00 144 - - - - - - -
GREEN 22 15 Jun 2019 18:00 126 -
- - - - - Pakistan, Iran, India
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h

Rainfall

1209 mm

Up to 120 thousand can be affected by rain higher than 100mm (see SSHS)





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 15 Jun 2019 18:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmSri Lanka121,682 
50-100 mmIndia, Sri Lanka11,366,709
+
India7,106,336 
Sri Lanka4,260,373 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 10 Jun 2019 12:00 229 30 thousand
- - - - India
Blue 2 10 Jun 2019 18:00 87 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 11 Jun 2019 00:00 201 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 11 Jun 2019 06:00 113 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 11 Jun 2019 12:00 230 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 11 Jun 2019 18:00 289 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 12 Jun 2019 00:00 232 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 12 Jun 2019 06:00 264 - - - - - - -
Blue 9 12 Jun 2019 12:00 175 - - - - - - -
Blue 10 12 Jun 2019 18:00 297 - - - - - - -
Blue 11 13 Jun 2019 00:00 137 - - - - - - -
Blue 12 13 Jun 2019 06:00 272 - - - - - - -
Blue 13 13 Jun 2019 12:00 307 - - - - - - -
Blue 14 13 Jun 2019 18:00 198 - - - - - - -
Blue 15 14 Jun 2019 00:00 252 -
- - - - - India
Blue 16 14 Jun 2019 06:00 236 - - - - - - -
Blue 17 14 Jun 2019 12:00 240 - - - - - - -
Blue 18 14 Jun 2019 18:00 262 - - - - - - -
Blue 19 15 Jun 2019 00:00 288 - - - - - - -
Blue 20 15 Jun 2019 06:00 378 - - - - - - -
Blue 21 15 Jun 2019 12:00 325 -
- - - - - India
Blue 22 15 Jun 2019 18:00 375 120 thousand
- - - - India, Sri Lanka




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.9 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.9m in Wadgam, India. This height is estimated for 17 Jun 2019 05:30 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 15 Jun 2019 18:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
17 Jun 2019 05:30 Wadgam India  0.9
17 Jun 2019 05:30 Kambhat India  0.9
17 Jun 2019 05:30 Kavi India  0.9
17 Jun 2019 05:30 Sarod India  0.9
17 Jun 2019 04:30 Asarsa India  0.8
17 Jun 2019 02:30 Harinagar India  0.7
17 Jun 2019 02:30 Tankari India  0.7
17 Jun 2019 02:30 Muler India  0.7
17 Jun 2019 15:15 New Kandla India  0.7
17 Jun 2019 15:15 Navlakhi India  0.7
17 Jun 2019 02:45 Ghogha India  0.7
17 Jun 2019 02:45 Dahej India  0.7
17 Jun 2019 15:30 Jodiya India  0.7
17 Jun 2019 00:45 Bhagva India  0.6
17 Jun 2019 00:45 Olpad India  0.6
17 Jun 2019 00:45 Hansot India  0.6
17 Jun 2019 14:00 Tuna India  0.6
18 Jun 2019 18:00 Lakhpat India  0.6
17 Jun 2019 00:30 Damka India  0.6
17 Jun 2019 14:30 Jambura India  0.6
17 Jun 2019 13:15 Mundra India  0.5
17 Jun 2019 00:00 Kotada India  0.5
17 Jun 2019 14:00 Chudeswar India  0.5
17 Jun 2019 14:00 Salaya India  0.5
17 Jun 2019 14:00 Jhankhar India  0.5
17 Jun 2019 14:00 Sika India  0.5
16 Jun 2019 14:30 Ghuar Mota India  0.5
16 Jun 2019 23:30 Surat India  0.5
17 Jun 2019 13:30 Navinal India  0.5
16 Jun 2019 23:30 Jalalpur India  0.5
16 Jun 2019 23:30 Mahuver India  0.5
16 Jun 2019 11:45 Akri India  0.5
17 Jun 2019 09:00 Bhadia India  0.5
17 Jun 2019 08:45 Mandvi India  0.5
16 Jun 2019 23:15 Nausari India  0.5
16 Jun 2019 23:15 Navsari India  0.5
16 Jun 2019 23:15 Dharasana India  0.5
16 Jun 2019 23:15 Bilimora India  0.5
17 Jun 2019 01:30 Suthri India  0.5
16 Jun 2019 22:45 Valsad India  0.4
16 Jun 2019 22:30 Mahuva India  0.4
16 Jun 2019 21:30 Kathiwadar Bandar India  0.4
16 Jun 2019 23:00 Udvada India  0.4
17 Jun 2019 08:15 Aramda India  0.4
16 Jun 2019 21:15 Jafarabad India  0.4
17 Jun 2019 08:15 Okha India  0.4
16 Jun 2019 23:00 Daman India  0.4
16 Jun 2019 10:15 Bambu Khan Pakistan  0.4
16 Jun 2019 10:15 Goth Jumo Pakistan  0.4
16 Jun 2019 18:45 Gadechi India  0.4
16 Jun 2019 22:15 Maroli India  0.4
16 Jun 2019 22:15 Umbargam India  0.4
16 Jun 2019 21:15 Rohisa India  0.4
16 Jun 2019 02:45 Bada Pakistan  0.4
16 Jun 2019 02:45 Cheru Pakistan  0.4
16 Jun 2019 02:45 Sonmiani Pakistan  0.4
16 Jun 2019 21:15 Dharabandar India  0.3
16 Jun 2019 19:30 Tarapur India  0.3
16 Jun 2019 19:30 Gholvad India  0.3
16 Jun 2019 19:30 Malyan India  0.3
16 Jun 2019 19:30 Boisar India  0.3
16 Jun 2019 19:30 Sakhare India  0.3
16 Jun 2019 02:00 Goth Haji Muhammad Pakistan  0.3
16 Jun 2019 02:00 Isa Pakistan  0.3
16 Jun 2019 02:00 Goth Lashkari Pakistan  0.3
16 Jun 2019 17:00 Dwarka India  0.3
16 Jun 2019 02:00 Ras Muari Pakistan  0.3
16 Jun 2019 22:00 Bordi India  0.3
16 Jun 2019 12:30 Mumbai India  0.3
16 Jun 2019 12:30 Asumumbay India  0.3
16 Jun 2019 12:30 Uran India  0.3
16 Jun 2019 12:30 Trombay India  0.3
16 Jun 2019 00:45 Kavutarimunai Sri Lanka  0.3
16 Jun 2019 00:45 Nawaladi Sri Lanka  0.3
16 Jun 2019 00:45 Pooneryn Sri Lanka  0.3
17 Jun 2019 03:00 Delvada India  0.3
17 Jun 2019 03:00 Nawabandar India  0.3
16 Jun 2019 19:30 Palghar India  0.3
16 Jun 2019 19:30 Mahim India  0.3
16 Jun 2019 19:30 Nalasopara India  0.3
16 Jun 2019 19:30 Agashi India  0.3
16 Jun 2019 19:30 Vasai India  0.3
16 Jun 2019 17:15 Madhi India  0.3
16 Jun 2019 19:30 Shirgaon India  0.3
16 Jun 2019 19:30 Dongri India  0.3
16 Jun 2019 19:30 Mira Bhayandar India  0.3
16 Jun 2019 02:15 Jhol Pakistan  0.3
16 Jun 2019 02:15 Keti Pakistan  0.3
16 Jun 2019 01:45 Naka Kharari Pakistan  0.3
16 Jun 2019 01:45 Gadani Pakistan  0.3
16 Jun 2019 17:00 Bhogat India  0.3
16 Jun 2019 02:30 Brar Pakistan  0.3
16 Jun 2019 16:45 Lamba India  0.3
17 Jun 2019 03:30 Dangarvadi India  0.3
15 Jun 2019 19:45 Miyani India  0.3
17 Jun 2019 02:45 Kotra Nes India  0.3
16 Jun 2019 19:15 Malad India  0.3
16 Jun 2019 12:30 Mandve India  0.3
15 Jun 2019 19:45 Porbandar India  0.3
15 Jun 2019 19:45 Adodar India  0.3
16 Jun 2019 11:15 Filim Oman  0.3
17 Jun 2019 02:45 Kodinar India  0.3
16 Jun 2019 11:00 Al Khaluf Oman  0.3
15 Jun 2019 20:00 Ratia India  0.3
17 Jun 2019 03:30 Veraval India  0.3
17 Jun 2019 03:30 Somnath India  0.3
17 Jun 2019 03:30 Sutrapada India  0.3
17 Jun 2019 03:30 Lodhwa India  0.3
15 Jun 2019 20:00 Gorser India  0.3
17 Jun 2019 03:45 Mangrol India  0.3
17 Jun 2019 03:45 Chorwad India  0.3
17 Jun 2019 03:30 Shil India  0.2
18 Jun 2019 12:30 Ormara Raik Pakistan  0.2
18 Jun 2019 12:30 Ormara Pakistan  0.2
16 Jun 2019 02:00 Aliavalai Sri Lanka  0.2
16 Jun 2019 12:15 Alibag India  0.2
16 Jun 2019 09:30 Malan Pakistan  0.2
16 Jun 2019 11:30 Revadanda India  0.2
18 Jun 2019 18:00 Jaffna Sri Lanka  0.2
18 Jun 2019 18:00 Idaikkadu Sri Lanka  0.2
18 Jun 2019 18:00 Ampan Sri Lanka  0.2
15 Jun 2019 21:45 Talaimannar Sri Lanka  0.2
15 Jun 2019 21:45 Chiruttoppu Sri Lanka  0.2
15 Jun 2019 21:45 Mannar Sri Lanka  0.2
15 Jun 2019 21:45 Periyavilankuli Sri Lanka  0.2
16 Jun 2019 09:45 Balaru Pakistan  0.2
16 Jun 2019 02:15 As Sifah Oman  0.2
15 Jun 2019 18:00 Nizampatam India  0.2
15 Jun 2019 18:00 Kottapalem India  0.2
15 Jun 2019 18:00 Lankavanidibba India  0.2
18 Jun 2019 14:15 Kodigeri India  0.2
18 Jun 2019 14:15 Atirampattinam India  0.2
18 Jun 2019 14:30 Kattumavadi India  0.2
17 Jun 2019 11:30 Kalat Pakistan  0.2
18 Jun 2019 12:00 Rumra Pakistan  0.2
16 Jun 2019 11:15 As Sirab Oman  0.2
17 Jun 2019 09:30 Miski Pakistan  0.2
17 Jun 2019 11:30 Pasni Pakistan  0.2
16 Jun 2019 11:30 Murud India  0.2
15 Jun 2019 21:30 Silavatturai Sri Lanka  0.2
16 Jun 2019 18:00 Gurdim Iran  0.2
16 Jun 2019 18:00 Guraim Iran  0.2
16 Jun 2019 18:00 Dorri Iran  0.2
16 Jun 2019 18:00 Pozm Tiab Iran  0.2
16 Jun 2019 18:00 Machan Iran  0.2
16 Jun 2019 18:00 Konarak Iran  0.2
16 Jun 2019 16:45 Tis Iran  0.2
16 Jun 2019 16:45 Chah Bahar Iran  0.2
16 Jun 2019 16:45 Ahmadizeh Iran  0.2
15 Jun 2019 18:00 Kakinada India  0.2
16 Jun 2019 02:15 Suwadi al Batsa' Oman  0.2
16 Jun 2019 02:15 Billa Oman  0.2
16 Jun 2019 02:15 Murayjat Oman  0.2
16 Jun 2019 02:15 Barka Oman  0.2
16 Jun 2019 02:15 Manumah Oman  0.2
15 Jun 2019 23:45 Agar Panchaitan India  0.2
15 Jun 2019 23:45 Srivardhan India  0.2
15 Jun 2019 23:45 Bankot India  0.2
15 Jun 2019 23:45 Kelshi India  0.2
17 Jun 2019 02:15 Pudimadaka India  0.2
17 Jun 2019 02:15 Chipurupalle India  0.2
16 Jun 2019 17:15 Kereti Iran  0.2
16 Jun 2019 17:15 Khowr Rapch Iran  0.2
16 Jun 2019 09:45 Pishukan Pakistan  0.2
16 Jun 2019 09:45 Akara Pakistan  0.2
17 Jun 2019 11:45 Barambah Pakistan  0.2
16 Jun 2019 18:00 Kamshahr Iran  0.1
18 Jun 2019 18:00 Al Kalban Oman  0.1
18 Jun 2019 18:00 Sur Masirah Oman  0.1
18 Jun 2019 18:00 'Urf Oman  0.1
16 Jun 2019 16:30 Masqat Oman  0.1
16 Jun 2019 16:30 Al Bustan Oman  0.1
16 Jun 2019 16:30 Yiti Oman  0.1
16 Jun 2019 02:00 Jask-e Kohneh Iran  0.1
16 Jun 2019 02:00 Jask Iran  0.1
16 Jun 2019 16:45 Baghan Iran  0.1
16 Jun 2019 02:15 Masnaah Oman  0.1
16 Jun 2019 02:15 Bu 'Abali Oman  0.1
16 Jun 2019 02:15 Abu 'Abali Oman  0.1
18 Jun 2019 14:15 Manamelkudi India  0.1
18 Jun 2019 14:15 Ammapatam India  0.1
17 Jun 2019 02:15 Venkatapuram India  0.1
17 Jun 2019 02:15 Pata Polvaram India  0.1
16 Jun 2019 02:15 Sib Oman  0.1
16 Jun 2019 10:15 Gwadar Pakistan  0.1
15 Jun 2019 18:00 Gollapalem India  0.1
15 Jun 2019 18:00 Antarvedi India  0.1
15 Jun 2019 18:45 Al Ashkharah Oman  0.1
15 Jun 2019 18:45 Al Jumaylah Oman  0.1
15 Jun 2019 18:00 Peddapatnam India  0.1
15 Jun 2019 21:45 Anaippapan Sri Lanka  0.1
16 Jun 2019 17:45 Vanak Iran  0.1
16 Jun 2019 17:15 Kachow Iran  0.1
16 Jun 2019 17:15 Sam Iran  0.1
16 Jun 2019 17:15 Beris Iran  0.1
16 Jun 2019 17:00 Bayahi Iran  0.1
18 Jun 2019 14:15 Vedaranyam India  0.1
18 Jun 2019 14:15 Vedaranniyam India  0.1
16 Jun 2019 17:45 Mina' al Fahl Oman  0.1
16 Jun 2019 17:45 Matrah Oman  0.1
16 Jun 2019 02:00 Mawalis Oman  0.1
16 Jun 2019 02:00 Azaiba Oman  0.1
15 Jun 2019 18:00 Kottapatnam India  0.1
16 Jun 2019 16:30 Derangu Iran  0.1
16 Jun 2019 16:30 Bir Iran  0.1
16 Jun 2019 02:00 Pusht Iran  0.1
16 Jun 2019 02:00 Pesabandar Iran  0.1
16 Jun 2019 17:15 Kizhdab Iran  0.1
16 Jun 2019 17:15 Guran Kosh-E Pa'in Iran  0.1
16 Jun 2019 17:15 Baleh Sar Iran  0.1
16 Jun 2019 17:15 Ramin Iran  0.1
16 Jun 2019 02:00 Jiwani Pakistan  0.1
15 Jun 2019 18:00 Pentakota India  0.1
15 Jun 2019 18:00 Bandamurlanka India  0.1
16 Jun 2019 17:15 Karap Iran  0.1
17 Jun 2019 02:30 Therunattam India  0.1
17 Jun 2019 02:30 Ennore India  0.1
16 Jun 2019 15:00 Karwar India  0.1
16 Jun 2019 15:00 Belekeri India  0.1
16 Jun 2019 15:00 Ankola India  0.1
16 Jun 2019 15:00 Gokarn India  0.1
16 Jun 2019 03:15 Mursays Oman  0.1
16 Jun 2019 03:15 Dawwah Oman  0.1
16 Jun 2019 03:15 Maghilah Oman  0.1
16 Jun 2019 03:30 Hiql Oman  0.1
16 Jun 2019 03:30 Dafiyat Oman  0.1
16 Jun 2019 03:30 Dhuwwah Oman  0.1
18 Jun 2019 18:00 Kiranchi Sri Lanka  0.1
16 Jun 2019 03:15 Shiinzi Oman  0.1
18 Jun 2019 14:00 Kottaippattanam India  0.1
16 Jun 2019 13:30 Pamban India  0.1
16 Jun 2019 13:30 Rameswaram India  0.1
16 Jun 2019 17:30 Had Oman  0.1
16 Jun 2019 17:30 Dibab Oman  0.1
16 Jun 2019 17:30 Ramlah Oman  0.1
16 Jun 2019 17:30 Quryat Oman  0.1
16 Jun 2019 17:30 Daghmar Oman  0.1
16 Jun 2019 17:30 Sur Oman  0.1
16 Jun 2019 17:30 Qalhat Oman  0.1
16 Jun 2019 17:30 Bi'r Bira' Oman  0.1
16 Jun 2019 17:30 Bimmah Oman  0.1
16 Jun 2019 17:30 Tiwi Oman  0.1
16 Jun 2019 17:30 Fins Oman  0.1
16 Jun 2019 17:30 Bilad as Sur Oman  0.1
16 Jun 2019 00:00 Anjanwel India  0.1
15 Jun 2019 18:00 Pakala India  0.1
16 Jun 2019 09:45 Duqm Oman  0.1
16 Jun 2019 09:45 Nafun Oman  0.1
16 Jun 2019 17:45 Ra's ar Ru'ays Oman  0.1
16 Jun 2019 17:45 Sharkh Oman  0.1
15 Jun 2019 18:00 Ullapalem India  0.1
15 Jun 2019 18:00 Kodur India  0.1
18 Jun 2019 18:00 Kurichchikadu Sri Lanka  0.1
18 Jun 2019 18:00 Kayts Sri Lanka  0.1
15 Jun 2019 18:00 Chakicherla India  0.1
16 Jun 2019 03:45 Ghalat Oman  0.1