Overall Orange alert Tropical Cyclone for VAYU-19
in , India, Pakistan

Impact

Tropical Cyclone VAYU-19 can have a medium humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries Iran, Pakistan, India
Exposed population 870 thousand in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 176 km/h
Maximum storm surge 1.7 m (12 Jun 19:45 UTC)
Vulnerability --

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 176 km/h 1.7 m 730 mm 1.5
GFS Overall 194 km/h 1.4 m 1209 mm 1.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

194 km/h

Up to 870 thousand in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 11 Jun 2019 18:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
CAT. 1India873,108 
Tropical StormIran, Pakistan, India6,038,188
+
Iran9,139 
Pakistan1,722 
India6,027,327 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
RED 1 10 Jun 2019 12:00 184 - - - - - - -
RED 2 10 Jun 2019 18:00 209 - - - - - - -
RED 3 11 Jun 2019 00:00 194 - - - - - - -
RED 4 11 Jun 2019 06:00 191 - - - - - - -
RED 5 11 Jun 2019 12:00 184 - - - - - - -
ORANGE 6 11 Jun 2019 18:00 176 870 thousand
- - - - Iran, Pakistan, India
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h




Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 11 Jun 2019 18:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
250-500 mmIndia456,359 
100-250 mmIndia, Sri Lanka38,554,591
+
India31,804,491 
Sri Lanka6,750,100 
50-100 mmIndia, Sri Lanka12,341,743
+
India9,194,921 
Sri Lanka3,146,822 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 10 Jun 2019 12:00 229 30 thousand
- - - - India
Blue 2 10 Jun 2019 18:00 87 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 11 Jun 2019 00:00 201 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 11 Jun 2019 06:00 113 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 11 Jun 2019 12:00 230 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 11 Jun 2019 18:00 730 39 million
- - - India, Sri Lanka




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

1.7 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  1.7m in Wadgam, India. This height is estimated for 12 Jun 2019 19:45 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 11 Jun 2019 18:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
12 Jun 2019 19:45 Wadgam India  1.7
12 Jun 2019 19:45 Kambhat India  1.7
12 Jun 2019 19:30 Kavi India  1.7
12 Jun 2019 19:30 Sarod India  1.7
12 Jun 2019 21:00 Asarsa India  1.6
12 Jun 2019 17:15 Harinagar India  1.5
12 Jun 2019 21:15 Ghogha India  1.5
12 Jun 2019 17:00 Tankari India  1.5
12 Jun 2019 17:00 Muler India  1.5
12 Jun 2019 21:15 Dahej India  1.4
13 Jun 2019 13:30 Porbandar India  1.4
13 Jun 2019 13:30 Adodar India  1.4
12 Jun 2019 14:45 Bhagva India  1.3
12 Jun 2019 14:45 Olpad India  1.3
12 Jun 2019 14:45 Hansot India  1.3
13 Jun 2019 14:30 Gadechi India  1.3
13 Jun 2019 14:30 Okha India  1.3
13 Jun 2019 14:30 Aramda India  1.3
12 Jun 2019 19:45 Kotada India  1.3
14 Jun 2019 18:00 Suthri India  1.3
12 Jun 2019 20:45 Dharabandar India  1.3
12 Jun 2019 20:45 Rohisa India  1.3
12 Jun 2019 20:45 Jafarabad India  1.3
12 Jun 2019 19:30 Damka India  1.3
12 Jun 2019 19:30 Mahuva India  1.3
12 Jun 2019 21:15 Kathiwadar Bandar India  1.3
12 Jun 2019 20:30 Delvada India  1.3
12 Jun 2019 20:30 Nawabandar India  1.3
13 Jun 2019 13:00 Ratia India  1.3
13 Jun 2019 12:15 Gorser India  1.2
12 Jun 2019 17:30 Surat India  1.2
12 Jun 2019 20:30 Dangarvadi India  1.2
12 Jun 2019 20:30 Kotra Nes India  1.2
12 Jun 2019 17:15 Jalalpur India  1.1
12 Jun 2019 17:15 Mahuver India  1.1
13 Jun 2019 03:15 Mangrol India  1.1
13 Jun 2019 03:15 Chorwad India  1.1
13 Jun 2019 03:15 Veraval India  1.1
13 Jun 2019 03:15 Somnath India  1.1
13 Jun 2019 09:45 Shil India  1.1
13 Jun 2019 01:45 Sutrapada India  1.1
13 Jun 2019 01:45 Lodhwa India  1.1
12 Jun 2019 20:45 Kodinar India  1.1
14 Jun 2019 11:30 New Kandla India  1.1
14 Jun 2019 11:30 Navlakhi India  1.1
12 Jun 2019 17:15 Nausari India  1.1
12 Jun 2019 17:15 Navsari India  1.1
12 Jun 2019 17:15 Dharasana India  1.1
12 Jun 2019 17:15 Bilimora India  1.1
14 Jun 2019 11:45 Tuna India  1.1
12 Jun 2019 17:45 Valsad India  1.1
14 Jun 2019 11:45 Jodiya India  1.0
14 Jun 2019 12:00 Mundra India  1.0
13 Jun 2019 17:15 Lamba India  1.0
13 Jun 2019 17:15 Miyani India  1.0
12 Jun 2019 17:30 Udvada India  1.0
14 Jun 2019 18:00 Akri India  1.0
12 Jun 2019 17:30 Daman India  1.0
14 Jun 2019 10:45 Mandvi India  1.0
14 Jun 2019 12:00 Navinal India  1.0
14 Jun 2019 12:00 Jambura India  1.0
12 Jun 2019 17:15 Maroli India  1.0
14 Jun 2019 11:15 Bhadia India  1.0
14 Jun 2019 12:15 Sika India  1.0
13 Jun 2019 17:30 Bhogat India  1.0
12 Jun 2019 17:15 Umbargam India  0.9
12 Jun 2019 15:45 Bordi India  0.9
14 Jun 2019 12:00 Chudeswar India  0.9
14 Jun 2019 12:00 Jhankhar India  0.9
12 Jun 2019 15:30 Gholvad India  0.9
12 Jun 2019 15:00 Malyan India  0.9
12 Jun 2019 14:30 Tarapur India  0.9
12 Jun 2019 14:30 Sakhare India  0.9
12 Jun 2019 15:00 Boisar India  0.9
12 Jun 2019 14:45 Shirgaon India  0.9
12 Jun 2019 14:30 Palghar India  0.8
12 Jun 2019 14:30 Mahim India  0.8
14 Jun 2019 12:15 Salaya India  0.8
12 Jun 2019 14:30 Agashi India  0.8
12 Jun 2019 10:15 Nalasopara India  0.8
12 Jun 2019 10:30 Vasai India  0.8
12 Jun 2019 10:15 Dongri India  0.8
12 Jun 2019 10:15 Mira Bhayandar India  0.8
13 Jun 2019 22:30 Madhi India  0.8
12 Jun 2019 11:15 Mumbai India  0.8
12 Jun 2019 11:15 Asumumbay India  0.8
12 Jun 2019 11:15 Uran India  0.8
12 Jun 2019 11:15 Trombay India  0.8
12 Jun 2019 10:00 Malad India  0.8
13 Jun 2019 23:45 Dwarka India  0.7
12 Jun 2019 11:30 Mandve India  0.7
12 Jun 2019 10:45 Alibag India  0.6
12 Jun 2019 10:15 Revadanda India  0.6
12 Jun 2019 10:30 Murud India  0.5
12 Jun 2019 10:30 Agar Panchaitan India  0.5
12 Jun 2019 06:15 Srivardhan India  0.5
12 Jun 2019 06:30 Bankot India  0.5
12 Jun 2019 06:30 Kelshi India  0.5
12 Jun 2019 06:30 Anjanwel India  0.5
12 Jun 2019 00:45 Guhagar India  0.4
12 Jun 2019 00:30 Boria India  0.4
12 Jun 2019 00:30 Jaigarh India  0.4
11 Jun 2019 23:30 Kavutarimunai Sri Lanka  0.4
11 Jun 2019 23:30 Nawaladi Sri Lanka  0.4
11 Jun 2019 23:30 Pooneryn Sri Lanka  0.4
12 Jun 2019 00:30 Mirya India  0.4
12 Jun 2019 00:30 Ratnagiri India  0.4
11 Jun 2019 22:45 Lakhpat India  0.4
12 Jun 2019 00:15 Purangad India  0.4
12 Jun 2019 00:15 Purnagad India  0.4
11 Jun 2019 19:45 Adiura India  0.3
12 Jun 2019 17:30 Filim Oman  0.3
12 Jun 2019 02:30 Aliavalai Sri Lanka  0.3
11 Jun 2019 23:45 Vijayadurg India  0.3
12 Jun 2019 17:45 Al Khaluf Oman  0.3
12 Jun 2019 00:15 Karwar India  0.3
12 Jun 2019 00:15 Belekeri India  0.3
12 Jun 2019 00:15 Ankola India  0.3
12 Jun 2019 00:15 Gokarn India  0.3
11 Jun 2019 22:00 Ghuar Mota India  0.3
11 Jun 2019 23:45 Anjuna India  0.3
11 Jun 2019 23:45 Marmagao India  0.3
11 Jun 2019 23:45 Vasco Da Gama India  0.3
11 Jun 2019 23:45 Panaji India  0.3
11 Jun 2019 23:45 Agacaim India  0.3
11 Jun 2019 23:45 Madgaon India  0.3
11 Jun 2019 19:15 Devgarh India  0.3
11 Jun 2019 19:15 Pural India  0.3
11 Jun 2019 19:15 Achra India  0.3
11 Jun 2019 23:45 Honavar India  0.3
11 Jun 2019 23:45 Manki India  0.3
11 Jun 2019 23:45 Mavalli India  0.3
11 Jun 2019 23:45 Shirali India  0.3
12 Jun 2019 01:00 Idaikkadu Sri Lanka  0.3
12 Jun 2019 01:00 Ampan Sri Lanka  0.3
11 Jun 2019 19:30 Malvan India  0.3
12 Jun 2019 05:30 Kumta India  0.3
11 Jun 2019 18:00 Bambu Khan Pakistan  0.3
11 Jun 2019 18:00 Goth Jumo Pakistan  0.3
12 Jun 2019 00:00 Bhatkal India  0.3
12 Jun 2019 00:00 Bainduru India  0.2
11 Jun 2019 23:45 Chopdem India  0.2
12 Jun 2019 00:00 Chittadi India  0.2
11 Jun 2019 23:45 Vengurla India  0.2
11 Jun 2019 23:45 Terekhol India  0.2
12 Jun 2019 05:30 Sadashivgarh India  0.2
12 Jun 2019 00:00 Kundapura India  0.2
11 Jun 2019 21:30 Talaimannar Sri Lanka  0.2
11 Jun 2019 21:30 Chiruttoppu Sri Lanka  0.2
11 Jun 2019 21:30 Mannar Sri Lanka  0.2
11 Jun 2019 21:30 Periyavilankuli Sri Lanka  0.2
11 Jun 2019 23:30 Advota India  0.2
11 Jun 2019 23:30 Chaudi India  0.2
11 Jun 2019 23:30 Majali India  0.2
11 Jun 2019 18:30 Bada Pakistan  0.2
11 Jun 2019 18:30 Cheru Pakistan  0.2
11 Jun 2019 18:30 Sonmiani Pakistan  0.2
11 Jun 2019 23:45 Udipi India  0.2
11 Jun 2019 18:15 Jaffna Sri Lanka  0.2
12 Jun 2019 13:30 Kodigeri India  0.2
12 Jun 2019 13:45 Kattumavadi India  0.2
12 Jun 2019 13:45 Atirampattinam India  0.2
11 Jun 2019 21:15 Silavatturai Sri Lanka  0.2
12 Jun 2019 08:45 Jhol Pakistan  0.2
12 Jun 2019 08:45 Keti Pakistan  0.2
13 Jun 2019 18:00 Al Kalban Oman  0.2
13 Jun 2019 18:00 Sur Masirah Oman  0.2
13 Jun 2019 18:00 'Urf Oman  0.2
11 Jun 2019 21:00 Anaippapan Sri Lanka  0.2
12 Jun 2019 10:45 As Sirab Oman  0.2
11 Jun 2019 18:00 Nizampatam India  0.2
11 Jun 2019 18:00 Kottapalem India  0.2
11 Jun 2019 18:00 Lankavanidibba India  0.2
11 Jun 2019 18:00 Naka Kharari Pakistan  0.2
11 Jun 2019 18:00 Gadani Pakistan  0.2
11 Jun 2019 18:00 Goth Lashkari Pakistan  0.2
11 Jun 2019 18:00 Ras Muari Pakistan  0.2
11 Jun 2019 18:00 Goth Haji Muhammad Pakistan  0.2
11 Jun 2019 18:00 Isa Pakistan  0.2
14 Jun 2019 17:15 Pasni Pakistan  0.2
14 Jun 2019 17:15 Miski Pakistan  0.2
14 Jun 2019 17:15 Rumra Pakistan  0.2
13 Jun 2019 18:45 Mursays Oman  0.1
13 Jun 2019 18:45 Hiql Oman  0.1
13 Jun 2019 18:45 Dawwah Oman  0.1
13 Jun 2019 18:45 Maghilah Oman  0.1
12 Jun 2019 13:30 Pamban India  0.1
12 Jun 2019 13:30 Rameswaram India  0.1
11 Jun 2019 18:00 Brar Pakistan  0.1
14 Jun 2019 09:00 Ormara Raik Pakistan  0.1
14 Jun 2019 09:00 Ormara Pakistan  0.1
12 Jun 2019 09:15 Malan Pakistan  0.1
13 Jun 2019 16:30 Pudimadaka India  0.1
13 Jun 2019 16:30 Chipurupalle India  0.1
13 Jun 2019 10:00 Balaru Pakistan  0.1
12 Jun 2019 01:45 Al Ashkharah Oman  0.1
12 Jun 2019 01:45 Al Jumaylah Oman  0.1
13 Jun 2019 16:45 Venkatapuram India  0.1
13 Jun 2019 16:45 Pata Polvaram India  0.1
12 Jun 2019 05:45 Mulki India  0.1
13 Jun 2019 18:00 Pishukan Pakistan  0.1
13 Jun 2019 18:00 Akara Pakistan  0.1
13 Jun 2019 16:45 Pentakota India  0.1
13 Jun 2019 10:45 Kalat Pakistan  0.1
14 Jun 2019 12:15 Manamelkudi India  0.1
14 Jun 2019 12:15 Ammapatam India  0.1
11 Jun 2019 18:00 Kakinada India  0.1
11 Jun 2019 18:00 Pozm Tiab Iran  0.1
11 Jun 2019 18:00 Machan Iran  0.1
11 Jun 2019 18:00 Konarak Iran  0.1
11 Jun 2019 18:00 Gwadar Pakistan  0.1
11 Jun 2019 18:00 As Sifah Oman  0.1
14 Jun 2019 17:00 Sam Iran  0.1
14 Jun 2019 17:00 Beris Iran  0.1
14 Jun 2019 18:00 Kiranchi Sri Lanka  0.1
14 Jun 2019 17:00 Jiwani Pakistan  0.1
14 Jun 2019 17:00 Pusht Iran  0.1
14 Jun 2019 17:00 Pesabandar Iran  0.1
14 Jun 2019 13:15 Vedaranyam India  0.1
14 Jun 2019 13:15 Vedaranniyam India  0.1
14 Jun 2019 17:00 Kachow Iran  0.1
12 Jun 2019 18:30 Dafiyat Oman  0.1
12 Jun 2019 18:30 Dhuwwah Oman  0.1
13 Jun 2019 17:30 Vanak Iran  0.1
13 Jun 2019 17:30 Masnaah Oman  0.1
13 Jun 2019 17:30 Bu 'Abali Oman  0.1
13 Jun 2019 17:30 Abu 'Abali Oman  0.1
13 Jun 2019 17:00 Gollapalem India  0.1
13 Jun 2019 17:00 Antarvedi India  0.1
13 Jun 2019 17:30 Suwadi al Batsa' Oman  0.1
13 Jun 2019 17:30 Billa Oman  0.1
13 Jun 2019 17:30 Murayjat Oman  0.1
13 Jun 2019 17:30 Barka Oman  0.1
14 Jun 2019 18:00 Baghan Iran  0.1
14 Jun 2019 18:00 Jask-e Kohneh Iran  0.1
14 Jun 2019 18:00 Jask Iran  0.1
13 Jun 2019 18:00 Kereti Iran  0.1
13 Jun 2019 18:00 Khowr Rapch Iran  0.1
14 Jun 2019 18:00 Kizhdab Iran  0.1
14 Jun 2019 17:15 Ramin Iran  0.1
14 Jun 2019 17:15 Baleh Sar Iran  0.1
14 Jun 2019 17:15 Guran Kosh-E Pa'in Iran  0.1
14 Jun 2019 17:15 Tis Iran  0.1
14 Jun 2019 17:15 Chah Bahar Iran  0.1
14 Jun 2019 17:15 Ahmadizeh Iran  0.1
14 Jun 2019 17:15 Gurdim Iran  0.1
14 Jun 2019 17:15 Guraim Iran  0.1
14 Jun 2019 17:15 Dorri Iran  0.1
13 Jun 2019 17:30 Mawalis Oman  0.1
13 Jun 2019 17:30 Azaiba Oman  0.1
13 Jun 2019 17:30 Mina' al Fahl Oman  0.1
13 Jun 2019 17:30 Matrah Oman  0.1
13 Jun 2019 17:30 Bayahi Iran  0.1
13 Jun 2019 17:45 Karap Iran  0.1
13 Jun 2019 16:45 Peddapatnam India  0.1
13 Jun 2019 16:45 Bandamurlanka India  0.1
13 Jun 2019 17:30 Sib Oman  0.1
13 Jun 2019 18:00 Masqat Oman  0.1
13 Jun 2019 18:00 Al Bustan Oman  0.1
13 Jun 2019 18:00 Yiti Oman  0.1
14 Jun 2019 18:00 Kamshahr Iran  0.1
12 Jun 2019 10:15 Duqm Oman  0.1
12 Jun 2019 10:15 Nafun Oman  0.1
13 Jun 2019 17:30 Manumah Oman  0.1
14 Jun 2019 17:45 Derangu Iran  0.1
14 Jun 2019 17:45 Bir Iran  0.1
11 Jun 2019 18:00 Kottapatnam India  0.1
12 Jun 2019 18:45 Shiinzi Oman  0.1
13 Jun 2019 17:45 Barambah Pakistan  0.1
12 Jun 2019 05:30 Mangaluru India  0.1
12 Jun 2019 05:30 Manjeshwaram India  0.1
14 Jun 2019 17:00 Kurichchikadu Sri Lanka  0.1
14 Jun 2019 17:00 Kayts Sri Lanka  0.1