Overall Orange alert Tropical Cyclone for VAYU-19
in , India, Pakistan

Impact

Tropical Cyclone VAYU-19 can have a medium humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries India
Exposed population 1.6 million in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 162 km/h
Maximum storm surge 1.6 m (12 Jun 18:30 UTC)
Vulnerability --

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 162 km/h 1.6 m 706 mm 2.5
GFS Overall 194 km/h 1.4 m 1209 mm 2.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

194 km/h

Up to 1.6 million in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 12 Jun 2019 00:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
CAT. 1India1,623,790 
Tropical StormIndia7,621,102 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
RED 1 10 Jun 2019 12:00 184 - - - - - - -
RED 2 10 Jun 2019 18:00 209 - - - - - - -
RED 3 11 Jun 2019 00:00 194 - - - - - - -
RED 4 11 Jun 2019 06:00 191 - - - - - - -
RED 5 11 Jun 2019 12:00 184 - - - - - - -
ORANGE 6 11 Jun 2019 18:00 176 - - - - - - -
RED 7 12 Jun 2019 00:00 162 1.6 million
- - - - India
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h




Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 12 Jun 2019 00:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
500-750 mmIndia108,028 
250-500 mmIndia3,394,112 
100-250 mmIndia, Sri Lanka32,257,000
+
India30,072,075 
Sri Lanka2,184,925 
50-100 mmIndia, Sri Lanka34,052,264
+
India27,904,517 
Sri Lanka6,147,747 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 10 Jun 2019 12:00 229 30 thousand
- - - - India
Blue 2 10 Jun 2019 18:00 87 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 11 Jun 2019 00:00 201 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 11 Jun 2019 06:00 113 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 11 Jun 2019 12:00 230 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 11 Jun 2019 18:00 289 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 12 Jun 2019 00:00 706 35.8 million
- - India, Sri Lanka




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

1.6 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  1.6m in Kambhat, India. This height is estimated for 12 Jun 2019 18:30 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 12 Jun 2019 00:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
12 Jun 2019 18:30 Kambhat India  1.6
12 Jun 2019 18:30 Kavi India  1.6
12 Jun 2019 18:30 Sarod India  1.6
12 Jun 2019 18:30 Wadgam India  1.6
13 Jun 2019 19:00 Gadechi India  1.6
13 Jun 2019 19:00 Okha India  1.6
13 Jun 2019 19:00 Aramda India  1.6
14 Jun 2019 22:45 New Kandla India  1.6
14 Jun 2019 22:45 Navlakhi India  1.6
14 Jun 2019 22:30 Tuna India  1.5
12 Jun 2019 17:45 Asarsa India  1.5
14 Jun 2019 22:45 Jodiya India  1.4
12 Jun 2019 16:15 Harinagar India  1.4
12 Jun 2019 16:00 Tankari India  1.4
12 Jun 2019 16:00 Muler India  1.4
12 Jun 2019 16:30 Ghogha India  1.3
12 Jun 2019 16:15 Dahej India  1.3
14 Jun 2019 23:30 Mundra India  1.2
12 Jun 2019 14:15 Bhagva India  1.2
12 Jun 2019 14:15 Olpad India  1.2
12 Jun 2019 14:15 Hansot India  1.2
12 Jun 2019 19:45 Kotada India  1.2
12 Jun 2019 20:15 Kathiwadar Bandar India  1.2
12 Jun 2019 20:15 Mahuva India  1.2
12 Jun 2019 20:00 Jafarabad India  1.2
14 Jun 2019 22:30 Jambura India  1.2
12 Jun 2019 20:45 Dharabandar India  1.2
12 Jun 2019 20:45 Rohisa India  1.2
12 Jun 2019 14:00 Damka India  1.2
13 Jun 2019 05:15 Veraval India  1.1
13 Jun 2019 05:15 Somnath India  1.1
13 Jun 2019 05:15 Sutrapada India  1.1
13 Jun 2019 05:15 Lodhwa India  1.1
12 Jun 2019 20:45 Delvada India  1.1
12 Jun 2019 20:45 Nawabandar India  1.1
13 Jun 2019 04:00 Kodinar India  1.1
15 Jun 2019 00:00 Navinal India  1.1
12 Jun 2019 23:30 Dangarvadi India  1.1
12 Jun 2019 23:30 Kotra Nes India  1.1
13 Jun 2019 06:30 Mangrol India  1.1
13 Jun 2019 06:30 Chorwad India  1.1
12 Jun 2019 21:00 Surat India  1.1
12 Jun 2019 21:15 Jalalpur India  1.0
12 Jun 2019 21:15 Mahuver India  1.0
12 Jun 2019 21:30 Nausari India  1.0
12 Jun 2019 21:30 Navsari India  1.0
12 Jun 2019 21:30 Dharasana India  1.0
12 Jun 2019 21:30 Bilimora India  1.0
15 Jun 2019 00:00 Sika India  1.0
12 Jun 2019 21:30 Valsad India  1.0
12 Jun 2019 22:15 Udvada India  0.9
15 Jun 2019 00:00 Bhadia India  0.9
12 Jun 2019 11:00 Daman India  0.9
13 Jun 2019 17:30 Chudeswar India  0.9
13 Jun 2019 17:30 Salaya India  0.9
15 Jun 2019 00:00 Mandvi India  0.9
12 Jun 2019 17:30 Maroli India  0.9
13 Jun 2019 10:15 Shil India  0.9
12 Jun 2019 17:30 Umbargam India  0.8
15 Jun 2019 00:00 Jhankhar India  0.8
12 Jun 2019 17:45 Bordi India  0.8
12 Jun 2019 17:45 Gholvad India  0.8
12 Jun 2019 17:45 Malyan India  0.8
12 Jun 2019 15:30 Tarapur India  0.8
12 Jun 2019 15:30 Sakhare India  0.8
12 Jun 2019 10:30 Boisar India  0.8
12 Jun 2019 10:45 Shirgaon India  0.8
12 Jun 2019 09:45 Palghar India  0.8
12 Jun 2019 09:45 Mahim India  0.8
12 Jun 2019 10:15 Agashi India  0.7
12 Jun 2019 08:00 Mumbai India  0.7
12 Jun 2019 08:00 Asumumbay India  0.7
12 Jun 2019 08:00 Uran India  0.7
12 Jun 2019 08:00 Trombay India  0.7
12 Jun 2019 09:45 Nalasopara India  0.7
12 Jun 2019 09:45 Vasai India  0.7
13 Jun 2019 10:30 Gorser India  0.7
12 Jun 2019 10:15 Dongri India  0.7
12 Jun 2019 10:15 Mira Bhayandar India  0.7
13 Jun 2019 14:15 Ratia India  0.7
12 Jun 2019 09:15 Malad India  0.7
13 Jun 2019 16:45 Adodar India  0.7
13 Jun 2019 17:30 Porbandar India  0.7
12 Jun 2019 08:00 Mandve India  0.6
12 Jun 2019 11:00 Alibag India  0.6
12 Jun 2019 11:00 Revadanda India  0.6
12 Jun 2019 07:00 Murud India  0.5
13 Jun 2019 18:15 Miyani India  0.5
12 Jun 2019 06:45 Agar Panchaitan India  0.5
12 Jun 2019 06:15 Srivardhan India  0.5
12 Jun 2019 06:45 Bankot India  0.5
12 Jun 2019 06:45 Kelshi India  0.5
13 Jun 2019 18:30 Lamba India  0.5
12 Jun 2019 00:45 Anjanwel India  0.5
12 Jun 2019 00:45 Guhagar India  0.4
12 Jun 2019 00:30 Boria India  0.4
12 Jun 2019 00:30 Jaigarh India  0.4
13 Jun 2019 18:30 Bhogat India  0.4
12 Jun 2019 00:00 Kavutarimunai Sri Lanka  0.4
12 Jun 2019 00:00 Nawaladi Sri Lanka  0.4
12 Jun 2019 00:00 Pooneryn Sri Lanka  0.4
12 Jun 2019 00:30 Mirya India  0.4
12 Jun 2019 00:30 Ratnagiri India  0.4
14 Jun 2019 18:30 Dwarka India  0.4
14 Jun 2019 18:45 Suthri India  0.4
12 Jun 2019 00:15 Purangad India  0.4
12 Jun 2019 00:15 Purnagad India  0.4
12 Jun 2019 00:00 Lakhpat India  0.3
12 Jun 2019 00:00 Adiura India  0.3
12 Jun 2019 18:00 Akri India  0.3
14 Jun 2019 01:30 Madhi India  0.3
12 Jun 2019 00:45 Aliavalai Sri Lanka  0.3
12 Jun 2019 00:00 Vijayadurg India  0.3
12 Jun 2019 00:15 Karwar India  0.3
12 Jun 2019 00:15 Belekeri India  0.3
12 Jun 2019 00:15 Ankola India  0.3
12 Jun 2019 00:15 Gokarn India  0.3
12 Jun 2019 17:45 Filim Oman  0.3
12 Jun 2019 17:45 Al Khaluf Oman  0.3
12 Jun 2019 05:15 Kumta India  0.3
12 Jun 2019 05:15 Honavar India  0.3
12 Jun 2019 05:15 Manki India  0.3
12 Jun 2019 00:30 Idaikkadu Sri Lanka  0.3
12 Jun 2019 00:30 Ampan Sri Lanka  0.3
12 Jun 2019 00:15 Pural India  0.3
12 Jun 2019 00:00 Mavalli India  0.3
12 Jun 2019 00:00 Shirali India  0.3
12 Jun 2019 00:00 Anjuna India  0.3
12 Jun 2019 00:00 Marmagao India  0.3
12 Jun 2019 00:00 Vasco Da Gama India  0.3
12 Jun 2019 00:00 Panaji India  0.3
12 Jun 2019 00:00 Agacaim India  0.3
12 Jun 2019 00:00 Madgaon India  0.3
12 Jun 2019 00:00 Devgarh India  0.3
12 Jun 2019 00:00 Achra India  0.3
12 Jun 2019 00:00 Bhatkal India  0.3
12 Jun 2019 00:00 Bainduru India  0.2
12 Jun 2019 00:00 Chittadi India  0.2
12 Jun 2019 05:30 Sadashivgarh India  0.2
12 Jun 2019 00:00 Chopdem India  0.2
12 Jun 2019 00:00 Kundapura India  0.2
12 Jun 2019 14:30 Ghuar Mota India  0.2
12 Jun 2019 05:45 Advota India  0.2
12 Jun 2019 05:45 Chaudi India  0.2
12 Jun 2019 05:45 Majali India  0.2
12 Jun 2019 00:00 Malvan India  0.2
13 Jun 2019 05:30 Talaimannar Sri Lanka  0.2
13 Jun 2019 05:30 Chiruttoppu Sri Lanka  0.2
13 Jun 2019 05:30 Mannar Sri Lanka  0.2
13 Jun 2019 05:30 Periyavilankuli Sri Lanka  0.2
12 Jun 2019 09:15 Bambu Khan Pakistan  0.2
12 Jun 2019 09:15 Goth Jumo Pakistan  0.2
12 Jun 2019 00:00 Terekhol India  0.2
12 Jun 2019 00:00 Vengurla India  0.2
12 Jun 2019 09:30 Bada Pakistan  0.2
12 Jun 2019 09:30 Cheru Pakistan  0.2
12 Jun 2019 09:30 Sonmiani Pakistan  0.2
14 Jun 2019 13:30 Kodigeri India  0.2
12 Jun 2019 05:30 Udipi India  0.2
13 Jun 2019 19:00 Jaffna Sri Lanka  0.2
14 Jun 2019 13:00 Atirampattinam India  0.2
14 Jun 2019 12:15 Kattumavadi India  0.2
13 Jun 2019 05:15 Silavatturai Sri Lanka  0.2
12 Jun 2019 08:45 Jhol Pakistan  0.2
12 Jun 2019 08:45 Keti Pakistan  0.2
12 Jun 2019 10:45 As Sirab Oman  0.2
13 Jun 2019 18:30 Al Kalban Oman  0.2
13 Jun 2019 18:30 Sur Masirah Oman  0.2
13 Jun 2019 18:30 'Urf Oman  0.2
13 Jun 2019 05:15 Anaippapan Sri Lanka  0.2
13 Jun 2019 16:45 Nizampatam India  0.2
13 Jun 2019 16:45 Kottapalem India  0.2
13 Jun 2019 16:45 Lankavanidibba India  0.2
12 Jun 2019 08:00 Goth Haji Muhammad Pakistan  0.2
12 Jun 2019 08:00 Isa Pakistan  0.2
12 Jun 2019 08:00 Goth Lashkari Pakistan  0.2
14 Jun 2019 09:00 Rumra Pakistan  0.2
14 Jun 2019 16:15 Ormara Raik Pakistan  0.2
14 Jun 2019 16:15 Ormara Pakistan  0.2
13 Jun 2019 13:15 Pamban India  0.2
13 Jun 2019 13:15 Rameswaram India  0.2
14 Jun 2019 09:00 Miski Pakistan  0.1
14 Jun 2019 09:15 Pasni Pakistan  0.1
13 Jun 2019 16:30 Pudimadaka India  0.1
13 Jun 2019 16:30 Chipurupalle India  0.1
12 Jun 2019 09:00 Ras Muari Pakistan  0.1
14 Jun 2019 09:00 Naka Kharari Pakistan  0.1
14 Jun 2019 09:00 Gadani Pakistan  0.1
12 Jun 2019 16:00 Kalat Pakistan  0.1
13 Jun 2019 19:15 Mursays Oman  0.1
13 Jun 2019 19:15 Hiql Oman  0.1
13 Jun 2019 19:15 Dawwah Oman  0.1
13 Jun 2019 19:15 Maghilah Oman  0.1
13 Jun 2019 16:45 Venkatapuram India  0.1
13 Jun 2019 16:45 Pata Polvaram India  0.1
12 Jun 2019 05:45 Mulki India  0.1
14 Jun 2019 09:30 Brar Pakistan  0.1
13 Jun 2019 16:45 Pentakota India  0.1
14 Jun 2019 13:15 Vedaranyam India  0.1
14 Jun 2019 13:15 Vedaranniyam India  0.1
12 Jun 2019 15:45 Balaru Pakistan  0.1
12 Jun 2019 01:00 Malan Pakistan  0.1
13 Jun 2019 17:15 Gollapalem India  0.1
13 Jun 2019 17:15 Antarvedi India  0.1
12 Jun 2019 00:30 Al Ashkharah Oman  0.1
12 Jun 2019 00:30 Al Jumaylah Oman  0.1
13 Jun 2019 17:30 Kakinada India  0.1
12 Jun 2019 01:45 Pishukan Pakistan  0.1
12 Jun 2019 01:45 Akara Pakistan  0.1
13 Jun 2019 10:30 Dafiyat Oman  0.1
13 Jun 2019 10:30 Dhuwwah Oman  0.1
13 Jun 2019 16:45 Bandamurlanka India  0.1
12 Jun 2019 02:30 Abu 'Abali Oman  0.1
12 Jun 2019 02:30 Suwadi al Batsa' Oman  0.1
12 Jun 2019 02:30 Billa Oman  0.1
12 Jun 2019 02:30 Murayjat Oman  0.1
12 Jun 2019 02:30 Barka Oman  0.1
14 Jun 2019 18:00 Masnaah Oman  0.1
14 Jun 2019 18:00 Bu 'Abali Oman  0.1
13 Jun 2019 10:00 Nafun Oman  0.1
14 Jun 2019 17:15 Gwadar Pakistan  0.1
14 Jun 2019 18:00 Kereti Iran  0.1
14 Jun 2019 18:00 Khowr Rapch Iran  0.1
13 Jun 2019 16:45 Peddapatnam India  0.1
14 Jun 2019 17:45 Jask-e Kohneh Iran  0.1
14 Jun 2019 17:45 Jask Iran  0.1
14 Jun 2019 16:45 Baghan Iran  0.1
13 Jun 2019 20:00 Kiranchi Sri Lanka  0.1
13 Jun 2019 17:15 Konarak Iran  0.1
13 Jun 2019 17:15 Tis Iran  0.1
13 Jun 2019 17:15 Chah Bahar Iran  0.1
13 Jun 2019 17:15 Ahmadizeh Iran  0.1
14 Jun 2019 18:15 Vanak Iran  0.1
14 Jun 2019 17:00 Karap Iran  0.1
14 Jun 2019 12:00 Manamelkudi India  0.1
14 Jun 2019 12:00 Ammapatam India  0.1
12 Jun 2019 10:15 Duqm Oman  0.1
14 Jun 2019 17:30 Bayahi Iran  0.1
13 Jun 2019 17:30 Mawalis Oman  0.1
13 Jun 2019 17:30 Azaiba Oman  0.1
13 Jun 2019 17:30 Mina' al Fahl Oman  0.1
13 Jun 2019 17:30 Matrah Oman  0.1
13 Jun 2019 10:15 Shiinzi Oman  0.1
14 Jun 2019 17:45 Barambah Pakistan  0.1
14 Jun 2019 17:15 Jiwani Pakistan  0.1
14 Jun 2019 17:45 Derangu Iran  0.1
14 Jun 2019 17:45 Bir Iran  0.1
12 Jun 2019 02:00 As Sifah Oman  0.1
12 Jun 2019 16:15 Dorri Iran  0.1
12 Jun 2019 16:15 Pozm Tiab Iran  0.1
12 Jun 2019 16:15 Machan Iran  0.1
14 Jun 2019 17:00 Sam Iran  0.1
14 Jun 2019 17:00 Beris Iran  0.1
12 Jun 2019 05:30 Mangaluru India  0.1
14 Jun 2019 17:15 Pusht Iran  0.1
14 Jun 2019 17:15 Pesabandar Iran  0.1
13 Jun 2019 17:30 Kamshahr Iran  0.1
13 Jun 2019 17:30 Gurdim Iran  0.1
13 Jun 2019 17:30 Guraim Iran  0.1
12 Jun 2019 01:30 Manumah Oman  0.1
12 Jun 2019 01:30 Sib Oman  0.1
13 Jun 2019 17:45 Masqat Oman  0.1
13 Jun 2019 17:45 Al Bustan Oman  0.1
13 Jun 2019 17:45 Yiti Oman  0.1
12 Jun 2019 05:30 Manjeshwaram India  0.1
14 Jun 2019 17:00 Kachow Iran  0.1
14 Jun 2019 17:15 Ramin Iran  0.1
14 Jun 2019 17:15 Baleh Sar Iran  0.1
14 Jun 2019 17:15 Kizhdab Iran  0.1
14 Jun 2019 17:15 Guran Kosh-E Pa'in Iran  0.1
13 Jun 2019 09:15 Shuwayr Oman  0.1
14 Jun 2019 17:30 Ramlah Oman  0.1
14 Jun 2019 17:30 Quryat Oman  0.1