Overall Orange alert Tropical Cyclone for VAYU-19
in , India, Pakistan

Impact

Tropical Cyclone VAYU-19 can have a medium humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries Pakistan, Iran, India
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 140 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.8 m (17 Jun 05:30 UTC)
Vulnerability --

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 140 km/h 0.8 m 254 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 194 km/h 1.4 m 1209 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 16 Jun 2019 06:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormPakistan, Iran, India25,644
+
Pakistan1,587 
Iran1,939 
India22,118 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
RED 1 10 Jun 2019 12:00 184 - - - - - - -
RED 2 10 Jun 2019 18:00 209 - - - - - - -
RED 3 11 Jun 2019 00:00 194 - - - - - - -
RED 4 11 Jun 2019 06:00 191 - - - - - - -
RED 5 11 Jun 2019 12:00 184 - - - - - - -
ORANGE 6 11 Jun 2019 18:00 176 - - - - - - -
RED 7 12 Jun 2019 00:00 162 - - - - - - -
RED 8 12 Jun 2019 06:00 169 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 12 Jun 2019 12:00 194 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 12 Jun 2019 18:00 162 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 13 Jun 2019 00:00 169 - - - - - - -
GREEN 12 13 Jun 2019 06:00 166 - - - - - - -
GREEN 13 13 Jun 2019 12:00 173 - - - - - - -
GREEN 14 13 Jun 2019 18:00 176 - - - - - - -
GREEN 15 14 Jun 2019 00:00 173 - - - - - - -
GREEN 16 14 Jun 2019 06:00 176 - - - - - - -
GREEN 17 14 Jun 2019 12:00 176 - - - - - - -
GREEN 18 14 Jun 2019 18:00 169 - - - - - - -
GREEN 19 15 Jun 2019 00:00 169 - - - - - - -
GREEN 20 15 Jun 2019 06:00 173 - - - - - - -
GREEN 21 15 Jun 2019 12:00 144 - - - - - - -
GREEN 22 15 Jun 2019 18:00 126 - - - - - - -
GREEN 23 16 Jun 2019 00:00 137 - - - - - - -
GREEN 24 16 Jun 2019 06:00 140 -
- - - - - Pakistan, Iran, India
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h

Rainfall

1209 mm

Up to 100 thousand can be affected by rain higher than 100mm (see SSHS)





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 16 Jun 2019 06:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmIndia96,101 
50-100 mmIndia, Sri Lanka29,278,245
+
India24,803,434 
Sri Lanka4,474,811 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 10 Jun 2019 12:00 229 30 thousand
- - - - India
Blue 2 10 Jun 2019 18:00 87 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 11 Jun 2019 00:00 201 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 11 Jun 2019 06:00 113 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 11 Jun 2019 12:00 230 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 11 Jun 2019 18:00 289 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 12 Jun 2019 00:00 232 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 12 Jun 2019 06:00 264 - - - - - - -
Blue 9 12 Jun 2019 12:00 175 - - - - - - -
Blue 10 12 Jun 2019 18:00 297 - - - - - - -
Blue 11 13 Jun 2019 00:00 137 - - - - - - -
Blue 12 13 Jun 2019 06:00 272 - - - - - - -
Blue 13 13 Jun 2019 12:00 307 - - - - - - -
Blue 14 13 Jun 2019 18:00 198 - - - - - - -
Blue 15 14 Jun 2019 00:00 252 -
- - - - - India
Blue 16 14 Jun 2019 06:00 236 - - - - - - -
Blue 17 14 Jun 2019 12:00 240 - - - - - - -
Blue 18 14 Jun 2019 18:00 262 - - - - - - -
Blue 19 15 Jun 2019 00:00 288 - - - - - - -
Blue 20 15 Jun 2019 06:00 378 - - - - - - -
Blue 21 15 Jun 2019 12:00 325 -
- - - - - India
Blue 22 15 Jun 2019 18:00 273 - - - - - - -
Blue 23 16 Jun 2019 00:00 281 - - - - - - -
Blue 24 16 Jun 2019 06:00 254 100 thousand
- - - - India, Sri Lanka




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.8 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.8m in Kambhat, India. This height is estimated for 17 Jun 2019 05:30 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 16 Jun 2019 06:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
17 Jun 2019 05:30 Kambhat India  0.8
17 Jun 2019 05:30 Kavi India  0.8
17 Jun 2019 05:30 Sarod India  0.8
17 Jun 2019 05:30 Wadgam India  0.8
17 Jun 2019 02:45 Asarsa India  0.7
17 Jun 2019 02:45 Harinagar India  0.7
17 Jun 2019 02:45 Tankari India  0.7
17 Jun 2019 02:45 Muler India  0.7
19 Jun 2019 00:15 Lakhpat India  0.6
17 Jun 2019 02:45 Ghogha India  0.6
17 Jun 2019 02:30 Dahej India  0.6
17 Jun 2019 01:00 Bhagva India  0.6
17 Jun 2019 01:00 Olpad India  0.6
17 Jun 2019 01:00 Hansot India  0.6
17 Jun 2019 00:30 Damka India  0.5
17 Jun 2019 14:15 New Kandla India  0.5
17 Jun 2019 14:15 Navlakhi India  0.5
16 Jun 2019 14:30 Ghuar Mota India  0.5
17 Jun 2019 14:00 Tuna India  0.5
16 Jun 2019 11:30 Akri India  0.5
16 Jun 2019 23:30 Surat India  0.5
17 Jun 2019 14:15 Jodiya India  0.5
16 Jun 2019 23:30 Jalalpur India  0.5
16 Jun 2019 23:30 Mahuver India  0.5
16 Jun 2019 23:30 Nausari India  0.5
16 Jun 2019 23:30 Navsari India  0.5
16 Jun 2019 23:30 Dharasana India  0.5
16 Jun 2019 23:30 Bilimora India  0.5
17 Jun 2019 13:45 Jambura India  0.5
17 Jun 2019 09:30 Suthri India  0.4
17 Jun 2019 13:15 Mundra India  0.4
17 Jun 2019 00:00 Kotada India  0.4
16 Jun 2019 23:15 Valsad India  0.4
16 Jun 2019 23:15 Udvada India  0.4
17 Jun 2019 13:00 Navinal India  0.4
17 Jun 2019 13:00 Sika India  0.4
16 Jun 2019 23:15 Daman India  0.4
17 Jun 2019 12:30 Bhadia India  0.4
16 Jun 2019 09:30 Bambu Khan Pakistan  0.4
16 Jun 2019 09:30 Goth Jumo Pakistan  0.4
17 Jun 2019 12:15 Mandvi India  0.4
17 Jun 2019 13:00 Jhankhar India  0.4
17 Jun 2019 12:45 Chudeswar India  0.4
17 Jun 2019 13:30 Salaya India  0.4
16 Jun 2019 22:00 Mahuva India  0.4
16 Jun 2019 21:30 Kathiwadar Bandar India  0.4
17 Jun 2019 12:00 Aramda India  0.4
16 Jun 2019 21:15 Jafarabad India  0.4
17 Jun 2019 11:45 Okha India  0.4
16 Jun 2019 09:15 Bada Pakistan  0.3
16 Jun 2019 09:15 Cheru Pakistan  0.3
16 Jun 2019 09:15 Sonmiani Pakistan  0.3
16 Jun 2019 23:00 Maroli India  0.3
16 Jun 2019 22:15 Umbargam India  0.3
17 Jun 2019 12:15 Gadechi India  0.3
16 Jun 2019 22:45 Kavutarimunai Sri Lanka  0.3
16 Jun 2019 22:45 Nawaladi Sri Lanka  0.3
16 Jun 2019 22:45 Pooneryn Sri Lanka  0.3
16 Jun 2019 08:00 Naka Kharari Pakistan  0.3
16 Jun 2019 08:00 Gadani Pakistan  0.3
16 Jun 2019 21:30 Rohisa India  0.3
16 Jun 2019 08:00 Goth Haji Muhammad Pakistan  0.3
16 Jun 2019 08:00 Isa Pakistan  0.3
16 Jun 2019 08:00 Goth Lashkari Pakistan  0.3
16 Jun 2019 22:30 Bordi India  0.3
16 Jun 2019 21:30 Dharabandar India  0.3
16 Jun 2019 22:45 Gholvad India  0.3
16 Jun 2019 19:45 Tarapur India  0.3
16 Jun 2019 19:45 Malyan India  0.3
16 Jun 2019 19:45 Boisar India  0.3
16 Jun 2019 19:45 Sakhare India  0.3
16 Jun 2019 08:00 Ras Muari Pakistan  0.3
17 Jun 2019 10:30 Dwarka India  0.3
16 Jun 2019 08:15 Jhol Pakistan  0.3
16 Jun 2019 08:15 Keti Pakistan  0.3
16 Jun 2019 19:30 Shirgaon India  0.3
16 Jun 2019 19:30 Palghar India  0.3
16 Jun 2019 19:30 Mahim India  0.3
16 Jun 2019 12:30 Mumbai India  0.3
16 Jun 2019 12:30 Asumumbay India  0.3
16 Jun 2019 12:30 Uran India  0.3
16 Jun 2019 12:30 Trombay India  0.3
16 Jun 2019 19:30 Nalasopara India  0.3
16 Jun 2019 19:30 Agashi India  0.3
16 Jun 2019 19:30 Vasai India  0.3
16 Jun 2019 08:15 Brar Pakistan  0.3
17 Jun 2019 03:00 Delvada India  0.3
17 Jun 2019 03:00 Nawabandar India  0.3
16 Jun 2019 19:30 Dongri India  0.3
16 Jun 2019 19:30 Mira Bhayandar India  0.3
16 Jun 2019 12:00 Mandve India  0.3
17 Jun 2019 03:30 Dangarvadi India  0.3
17 Jun 2019 03:30 Kotra Nes India  0.3
16 Jun 2019 11:00 Filim Oman  0.3
17 Jun 2019 03:00 Adodar India  0.3
17 Jun 2019 03:00 Ratia India  0.3
17 Jun 2019 03:00 Gorser India  0.3
17 Jun 2019 08:45 Porbandar India  0.3
17 Jun 2019 02:00 Madhi India  0.3
17 Jun 2019 03:30 Kodinar India  0.3
17 Jun 2019 04:00 Sutrapada India  0.3
17 Jun 2019 04:00 Lodhwa India  0.3
16 Jun 2019 11:00 Al Khaluf Oman  0.3
17 Jun 2019 09:30 Shil India  0.3
17 Jun 2019 09:30 Mangrol India  0.3
17 Jun 2019 03:15 Veraval India  0.3
17 Jun 2019 03:15 Somnath India  0.3
16 Jun 2019 19:15 Malad India  0.3
17 Jun 2019 02:00 Bhogat India  0.3
17 Jun 2019 03:30 Chorwad India  0.3
17 Jun 2019 02:00 Lamba India  0.2
17 Jun 2019 02:15 Miyani India  0.2
18 Jun 2019 12:30 Ormara Raik Pakistan  0.2
18 Jun 2019 12:30 Ormara Pakistan  0.2
16 Jun 2019 23:15 Aliavalai Sri Lanka  0.2
17 Jun 2019 10:15 Malan Pakistan  0.2
16 Jun 2019 20:15 Jaffna Sri Lanka  0.2
16 Jun 2019 20:15 Idaikkadu Sri Lanka  0.2
16 Jun 2019 20:15 Ampan Sri Lanka  0.2
18 Jun 2019 14:30 Talaimannar Sri Lanka  0.2
18 Jun 2019 14:30 Chiruttoppu Sri Lanka  0.2
18 Jun 2019 14:30 Mannar Sri Lanka  0.2
16 Jun 2019 09:45 Balaru Pakistan  0.2
17 Jun 2019 09:30 Rumra Pakistan  0.2
16 Jun 2019 12:15 Alibag India  0.2
17 Jun 2019 09:30 Miski Pakistan  0.2
16 Jun 2019 11:30 Revadanda India  0.2
17 Jun 2019 09:45 Pasni Pakistan  0.2
18 Jun 2019 14:30 Periyavilankuli Sri Lanka  0.2
16 Jun 2019 16:45 Kodigeri India  0.2
18 Jun 2019 12:00 Kalat Pakistan  0.2
18 Jun 2019 13:45 Atirampattinam India  0.2
18 Jun 2019 13:45 Kattumavadi India  0.2
18 Jun 2019 18:30 Al Kalban Oman  0.2
18 Jun 2019 18:30 Sur Masirah Oman  0.2
18 Jun 2019 18:30 'Urf Oman  0.2
16 Jun 2019 17:15 Nizampatam India  0.2
16 Jun 2019 17:15 Kottapalem India  0.2
16 Jun 2019 17:15 Lankavanidibba India  0.2
16 Jun 2019 16:45 Konarak Iran  0.2
16 Jun 2019 16:45 Tis Iran  0.2
16 Jun 2019 16:45 Chah Bahar Iran  0.2
16 Jun 2019 16:45 Ahmadizeh Iran  0.2
16 Jun 2019 08:15 As Sifah Oman  0.2
16 Jun 2019 17:15 Pozm Tiab Iran  0.2
16 Jun 2019 17:15 Machan Iran  0.2
18 Jun 2019 14:00 Silavatturai Sri Lanka  0.1
16 Jun 2019 10:15 As Sirab Oman  0.1
18 Jun 2019 10:45 Pishukan Pakistan  0.1
18 Jun 2019 10:45 Akara Pakistan  0.1
18 Jun 2019 10:45 Gwadar Pakistan  0.1
16 Jun 2019 18:30 Murud India  0.1
16 Jun 2019 17:00 Gurdim Iran  0.1
16 Jun 2019 17:00 Guraim Iran  0.1
16 Jun 2019 17:00 Dorri Iran  0.1
16 Jun 2019 10:45 Agar Panchaitan India  0.1
17 Jun 2019 10:15 Barambah Pakistan  0.1
16 Jun 2019 16:45 Abu 'Abali Oman  0.1
16 Jun 2019 16:45 Suwadi al Batsa' Oman  0.1
16 Jun 2019 16:45 Billa Oman  0.1
16 Jun 2019 16:45 Murayjat Oman  0.1
16 Jun 2019 16:45 Barka Oman  0.1
16 Jun 2019 17:00 Kereti Iran  0.1
16 Jun 2019 17:00 Khowr Rapch Iran  0.1
16 Jun 2019 16:45 Baghan Iran  0.1
16 Jun 2019 16:45 Jask-e Kohneh Iran  0.1
16 Jun 2019 16:45 Jask Iran  0.1
18 Jun 2019 19:30 Vanak Iran  0.1
16 Jun 2019 13:30 Pamban India  0.1
16 Jun 2019 13:30 Rameswaram India  0.1
16 Jun 2019 17:00 Vedaranyam India  0.1
16 Jun 2019 17:00 Vedaranniyam India  0.1
17 Jun 2019 02:15 Kakinada India  0.1
18 Jun 2019 19:00 Karap Iran  0.1
18 Jun 2019 19:00 Bayahi Iran  0.1
16 Jun 2019 16:30 Masnaah Oman  0.1
16 Jun 2019 16:30 Bu 'Abali Oman  0.1
16 Jun 2019 16:45 Kamshahr Iran  0.1
18 Jun 2019 18:45 Derangu Iran  0.1
18 Jun 2019 18:45 Bir Iran  0.1
18 Jun 2019 19:00 Mursays Oman  0.1
18 Jun 2019 19:00 Hiql Oman  0.1
18 Jun 2019 19:00 Dawwah Oman  0.1
18 Jun 2019 19:00 Maghilah Oman  0.1
18 Jun 2019 18:45 Sam Iran  0.1
18 Jun 2019 18:45 Beris Iran  0.1
18 Jun 2019 18:30 Ramin Iran  0.1
16 Jun 2019 16:30 Masqat Oman  0.1
16 Jun 2019 16:30 Al Bustan Oman  0.1
16 Jun 2019 16:30 Yiti Oman  0.1
18 Jun 2019 18:30 Baleh Sar Iran  0.1
18 Jun 2019 18:30 Kizhdab Iran  0.1
18 Jun 2019 18:30 Kachow Iran  0.1
18 Jun 2019 18:15 Jiwani Pakistan  0.1
18 Jun 2019 18:30 Guran Kosh-E Pa'in Iran  0.1
18 Jun 2019 19:15 Srivardhan India  0.1
18 Jun 2019 18:30 Pusht Iran  0.1
18 Jun 2019 18:30 Pesabandar Iran  0.1
18 Jun 2019 18:30 Al Ashkharah Oman  0.1
18 Jun 2019 18:30 Al Jumaylah Oman  0.1
18 Jun 2019 15:30 Manamelkudi India  0.1
18 Jun 2019 15:30 Ammapatam India  0.1
16 Jun 2019 18:00 Bankot India  0.1
16 Jun 2019 18:00 Kelshi India  0.1
16 Jun 2019 17:00 Manumah Oman  0.1
16 Jun 2019 17:00 Sib Oman  0.1
16 Jun 2019 17:00 Mawalis Oman  0.1
17 Jun 2019 05:30 Anaippapan Sri Lanka  0.1
18 Jun 2019 18:30 Mina' al Fahl Oman  0.1
18 Jun 2019 18:30 Matrah Oman  0.1
16 Jun 2019 17:45 Sharkh Oman  0.1
17 Jun 2019 01:45 Pentakota India  0.1
18 Jun 2019 18:30 Azaiba Oman  0.1
16 Jun 2019 17:00 Kottapatnam India  0.1
18 Jun 2019 18:30 Ramlah Oman  0.1
18 Jun 2019 18:30 Quryat Oman  0.1
18 Jun 2019 18:30 Daghmar Oman  0.1
18 Jun 2019 18:30 Dibab Oman  0.1
17 Jun 2019 02:15 Venkatapuram India  0.1
17 Jun 2019 02:15 Pata Polvaram India  0.1
16 Jun 2019 18:30 Duqm Oman  0.1
16 Jun 2019 18:30 Nafun Oman  0.1
18 Jun 2019 18:30 Bimmah Oman  0.1
17 Jun 2019 02:00 Pudimadaka India  0.1
17 Jun 2019 02:00 Chipurupalle India  0.1
18 Jun 2019 18:30 Fins Oman  0.1
18 Jun 2019 18:30 Tiwi Oman  0.1
16 Jun 2019 09:30 Peddapatnam India  0.1
16 Jun 2019 09:45 Gollapalem India  0.1
18 Jun 2019 18:30 Qalhat Oman  0.1
17 Jun 2019 02:15 Antarvedi India  0.1
18 Jun 2019 18:30 Bi'r Bira' Oman  0.1
18 Jun 2019 18:30 Had Oman  0.1
18 Jun 2019 18:30 Sur Oman  0.1
18 Jun 2019 18:30 Bilad as Sur Oman  0.1
16 Jun 2019 21:00 Kiranchi Sri Lanka  0.1
16 Jun 2019 09:00 Dafiyat Oman  0.1
16 Jun 2019 09:00 Dhuwwah Oman  0.1
16 Jun 2019 09:00 Shiinzi Oman  0.1
18 Jun 2019 15:15 Kottaippattanam India  0.1
18 Jun 2019 18:30 Ra's ar Ru'ays Oman  0.1
16 Jun 2019 11:15 Bandamurlanka India  0.1
16 Jun 2019 17:30 Ghalat Oman  0.1
16 Jun 2019 09:45 Durgarajupatnam India  0.1
18 Jun 2019 18:30 Anjanwel India  0.1