Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for LORNA-19 Off-shore from 23 Apr 2019 12:00 UTC to 29 Apr 2019 12:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for LORNA-19

Off-shore

24 Apr 2019 00 UTC

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to select bulletin time

Meteorological source:

GDACS JTWC

Impact Single TC

GFS
HWRF
ECMWF

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone LORNA-19 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	ECMWF
Exposed countries
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	119 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.8 m (24 Apr 10:00 UTC)
Vulnerability	--

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
ECMWF Current	119 km/h	0.0 m	469 mm	0.5
ECMWF Overall	137 km/h	0.9 m	559 mm	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 24 Apr 2019 00:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS

Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Pop in Cat. 1 or higher	TS	Cat. 1	Cat. 2	Cat. 3	Cat. 4	Cat. 5
1	23 Apr 2019 00:00	144	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	23 Apr 2019 12:00	140	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	24 Apr 2019 00:00	119	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Download:

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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Rainfall

559 mm

Up to 8.1 million can be affected by rain higher than 100mm (see SSHS)

Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 24 Apr 2019 00:00 UTC

Level	Country	Population
250-500 mm	Indonesia	71,941
100-250 mm	Indonesia, Cocos (Keeling) Islands	8,056,115	+
	Indonesia	8,055,519
	Cocos (Keeling) Islands	596
50-100 mm	Indonesia	32,252,713

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Rainfall (mm)	Pop >100mm or higher	50-100	100-250	250-500	500-750	750-1000	>1000	Countries
1	23 Apr 2019 00:00	702	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	23 Apr 2019 12:00	475	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	24 Apr 2019 00:00	469	8.1 million				-	-	-	Indonesia, Cocos (Keeling) Islands

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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StormSurge

0.8 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.8m in Kiluan, Indonesia. This height is estimated for 24 Apr 2019 10:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 24 Apr 2019 00:00 UTC

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	24 Apr 2019 10:00	Kiluan	Indonesia	0.8
	24 Apr 2019 10:00	Kekatang	Indonesia	0.8
	24 Apr 2019 10:00	Menango	Indonesia	0.8
	24 Apr 2019 10:00	Tandjungkarang	Indonesia	0.8
	24 Apr 2019 10:00	Telukbetung	Indonesia	0.8
	24 Apr 2019 10:00	Tarahan	Indonesia	0.8
	24 Apr 2019 10:00	Umbulan Pepanggar	Indonesia	0.6
	24 Apr 2019 10:00	Kalianda	Indonesia	0.6
	24 Apr 2019 09:45	Lubuktandjung	Indonesia	0.4
	24 Apr 2019 09:45	Pasarkerkap	Indonesia	0.4
	24 Apr 2019 09:45	Kerkap	Indonesia	0.4
	24 Apr 2019 09:45	Bangkahulu	Indonesia	0.4
	24 Apr 2019 09:45	Pekansaptoe	Indonesia	0.4
	24 Apr 2019 04:30	Pondokkapoer	Indonesia	0.4
	24 Apr 2019 09:45	Ketaun	Indonesia	0.4
	24 Apr 2019 09:45	Serangai	Indonesia	0.4
	24 Apr 2019 09:45	Penampung	Indonesia	0.4
	24 Apr 2019 10:00	Lais	Indonesia	0.4
	24 Apr 2019 10:00	Baru	Indonesia	0.4
	26 Apr 2019 18:30	Tjikawung	Indonesia	0.4
	26 Apr 2019 18:30	Sumur	Indonesia	0.4
	26 Apr 2019 18:30	Aerdjeruk	Indonesia	0.4
	26 Apr 2019 18:30	Babakancibeber	Indonesia	0.4
	25 Apr 2019 13:45	Chilachap	Indonesia	0.4
	25 Apr 2019 13:45	Adipala	Indonesia	0.4
	25 Apr 2019 13:45	Binangoen	Indonesia	0.4
	24 Apr 2019 09:30	Seblat	Indonesia	0.4
	24 Apr 2019 09:30	Pasarseblat	Indonesia	0.4
	25 Apr 2019 04:00	Merak	Indonesia	0.4
	25 Apr 2019 04:00	Domas	Indonesia	0.4
	25 Apr 2019 01:45	Kolitjaah	Indonesia	0.4
	25 Apr 2019 01:45	Tjiteureup	Indonesia	0.4
	25 Apr 2019 01:45	Labuhan	Indonesia	0.4
	25 Apr 2019 01:45	Kaduperasi	Indonesia	0.4
	25 Apr 2019 04:15	Maringgai	Indonesia	0.4
	24 Apr 2019 22:00	Umbulan Padulmanan	Indonesia	0.4
	24 Apr 2019 09:15	Ipun	Indonesia	0.3
	24 Apr 2019 09:15	Airrami	Indonesia	0.3
	26 Apr 2019 18:00	Sindangsari	Indonesia	0.3
	26 Apr 2019 18:00	Cijulang	Indonesia	0.3
	26 Apr 2019 18:00	Cikalong	Indonesia	0.3
	26 Apr 2019 18:00	Pangadaran	Indonesia	0.3
	26 Apr 2019 17:45	Ajah	Indonesia	0.3
	26 Apr 2019 17:45	Tasikmadoe	Indonesia	0.3
	26 Apr 2019 17:45	Popoh	Indonesia	0.3
	24 Apr 2019 09:45	Tiop	Indonesia	0.3
	24 Apr 2019 09:45	Buriai	Indonesia	0.3
	25 Apr 2019 02:15	Bakau	Indonesia	0.3
	25 Apr 2019 02:15	Ketapang	Indonesia	0.3
	26 Apr 2019 17:45	Petanahan	Indonesia	0.3
	25 Apr 2019 21:15	Guring	Indonesia	0.3
	25 Apr 2019 21:15	Kota Agung	Indonesia	0.3
	26 Apr 2019 17:45	Mundjungan	Indonesia	0.3
	24 Apr 2019 09:15	Ngalam	Indonesia	0.3
	26 Apr 2019 17:45	Djepitoe	Indonesia	0.3
	24 Apr 2019 09:45	Pasartalo	Indonesia	0.3
	24 Apr 2019 09:45	Pasaralas	Indonesia	0.3
	24 Apr 2019 09:45	Pasarpino	Indonesia	0.3
	24 Apr 2019 09:45	Mana	Indonesia	0.3
	24 Apr 2019 03:45	La Roche Godon	French Southern and Antarctic Lands	0.3
	26 Apr 2019 17:45	Deliugo	Indonesia	0.3
	26 Apr 2019 17:45	Kalak	Indonesia	0.3
	26 Apr 2019 17:45	Patjitan	Indonesia	0.3
	26 Apr 2019 18:00	Kaliputjang	Indonesia	0.3
	26 Apr 2019 03:45	Anjer-Kidu	Indonesia	0.3
	26 Apr 2019 18:00	Muarabinuangeun	Indonesia	0.3
	26 Apr 2019 18:00	Ngadirodjo	Indonesia	0.3
	26 Apr 2019 18:00	Panggul	Indonesia	0.3
	26 Apr 2019 17:45	Djagalaja	Indonesia	0.3
	26 Apr 2019 18:15	Bendungan	Indonesia	0.3
	26 Apr 2019 18:15	Galur	Indonesia	0.3
	26 Apr 2019 18:15	Srandakan	Indonesia	0.3
	26 Apr 2019 18:15	Kebonongan	Indonesia	0.3
	26 Apr 2019 18:15	Tirtohardjo	Indonesia	0.3
	24 Apr 2019 09:30	Pahanuma	Indonesia	0.3
	24 Apr 2019 09:30	Belowa	Indonesia	0.3
	24 Apr 2019 10:00	Point Marianne	British Indian Ocean Territory	0.2
	24 Apr 2019 10:00	East Point Plantation	British Indian Ocean Territory	0.2
	24 Apr 2019 08:45	Bandjaragung	Indonesia	0.2
	24 Apr 2019 23:45	Topoali	Indonesia	0.2
	24 Apr 2019 09:45	Taoabi	Indonesia	0.2
	24 Apr 2019 09:45	Poelaudoea	Indonesia	0.2
	24 Apr 2019 08:45	Waiharoe	Indonesia	0.2
	24 Apr 2019 08:45	Karangberak	Indonesia	0.2
	24 Apr 2019 08:45	Sawangbalak	Indonesia	0.2
	24 Apr 2019 09:00	Pasarseluma	Indonesia	0.2
	26 Apr 2019 18:15	Kalapagenep	Indonesia	0.2
	25 Apr 2019 01:45	Pangkal Dudat	Indonesia	0.2
	25 Apr 2019 01:45	Tandjungkiras	Indonesia	0.2
	25 Apr 2019 01:45	Membalong	Indonesia	0.2
	24 Apr 2019 09:45	Tandjungaur	Indonesia	0.2
	24 Apr 2019 09:45	Beriang	Indonesia	0.2
	25 Apr 2019 00:30	Gunung	Indonesia	0.2
	24 Apr 2019 21:30	Tipar	Indonesia	0.2
	24 Apr 2019 21:30	Balubuk	Indonesia	0.2
	26 Apr 2019 03:00	Putih	Indonesia	0.2
	26 Apr 2019 03:00	Tampang	Indonesia	0.2
	24 Apr 2019 09:00	Bulasat	Indonesia	0.2
	24 Apr 2019 21:15	Kramat	Indonesia	0.2
	24 Apr 2019 21:15	Cengkarengbelakang	Indonesia	0.2
	26 Apr 2019 18:15	Karanganjar	Indonesia	0.2
	26 Apr 2019 18:15	Chikalong	Indonesia	0.2
	26 Apr 2019 03:15	Belimbing	Indonesia	0.2
	25 Apr 2019 06:00	Tanara	Indonesia	0.2
	25 Apr 2019 06:00	Ketapang	Indonesia	0.2
	24 Apr 2019 09:00	Kabue	Indonesia	0.2
	24 Apr 2019 08:30	Waibatang	Indonesia	0.2
	24 Apr 2019 08:30	Karbang	Indonesia	0.2
	24 Apr 2019 08:30	Walur	Indonesia	0.2
	24 Apr 2019 09:30	Tandjungraja	Indonesia	0.2
	24 Apr 2019 09:30	Pandanganget	Indonesia	0.2
	24 Apr 2019 09:30	Bintuhan	Indonesia	0.2
	24 Apr 2019 09:30	Limau	Indonesia	0.2
	24 Apr 2019 09:45	Pasarpulaupisang	Indonesia	0.2
	24 Apr 2019 09:45	Wainapal	Indonesia	0.2
	24 Apr 2019 09:45	Krui	Indonesia	0.2
	24 Apr 2019 09:45	Kerbang	Indonesia	0.2
	24 Apr 2019 09:45	Padangnegeri	Indonesia	0.2
	24 Apr 2019 09:45	Tandjungbaringin	Indonesia	0.2
	24 Apr 2019 23:00	Djepuh	Indonesia	0.2
	24 Apr 2019 23:00	Tangjungrusa	Indonesia	0.2
	24 Apr 2019 23:00	Dendang	Indonesia	0.2
	24 Apr 2019 23:00	Simnangpesa	Indonesia	0.2
	24 Apr 2019 23:00	Tandjungklumpang	Indonesia	0.2
	25 Apr 2019 21:30	Karanghawu	Indonesia	0.2
	25 Apr 2019 21:30	Tjimadja	Indonesia	0.2
	25 Apr 2019 21:30	Tjiateul	Indonesia	0.2
	26 Apr 2019 18:00	Pameungpeuk	Indonesia	0.2
	26 Apr 2019 18:00	Bangbajang	Indonesia	0.2
	26 Apr 2019 17:45	Lingkungsari	Indonesia	0.2
	26 Apr 2019 17:45	Tjiagra	Indonesia	0.2
	24 Apr 2019 08:45	Chihara	Indonesia	0.2
	24 Apr 2019 08:45	Bajah	Indonesia	0.2
	25 Apr 2019 13:15	Plotot	Indonesia	0.2
	26 Apr 2019 18:00	Tjimari	Indonesia	0.2
	26 Apr 2019 18:00	Cidora	Indonesia	0.2
	24 Apr 2019 02:00	Patrol	Indonesia	0.2
	24 Apr 2019 02:00	Kandanghaur	Indonesia	0.2
	24 Apr 2019 08:15	Kotodjawa	Indonesia	0.2
	24 Apr 2019 08:15	Bandaragung	Indonesia	0.2
	24 Apr 2019 08:15	Tjampang	Indonesia	0.2
	26 Apr 2019 18:00	Sindangbarang	Indonesia	0.2
	26 Apr 2019 18:00	Gardu	Indonesia	0.2
	26 Apr 2019 18:00	Tjiaun	Indonesia	0.2
	26 Apr 2019 18:00	South Point	Christmas Island	0.2
	26 Apr 2019 18:00	The Settlement	Christmas Island	0.2
	26 Apr 2019 18:00	Tjikaret	Indonesia	0.2
	26 Apr 2019 18:00	Babadan	Indonesia	0.2
	25 Apr 2019 03:30	Tandjungbatuaajer	Indonesia	0.2
	25 Apr 2019 05:15	Pedes	Indonesia	0.2
	24 Apr 2019 05:15	Cilancang	Indonesia	0.2
	24 Apr 2019 05:15	Cirebon	Indonesia	0.2
	24 Apr 2019 19:30	Pasirputih	Indonesia	0.2
	24 Apr 2019 19:30	Muaratjilamaja	Indonesia	0.2
	24 Apr 2019 09:30	Biha	Indonesia	0.2
	25 Apr 2019 05:15	Sungaibuntu	Indonesia	0.2
	24 Apr 2019 08:15	Marang	Indonesia	0.2
	24 Apr 2019 09:15	Bandjarnegeri	Indonesia	0.2
	24 Apr 2019 09:15	Ngaras	Indonesia	0.2
	24 Apr 2019 09:15	Negeriratoe	Indonesia	0.2
	24 Apr 2019 08:30	Tjibeber	Indonesia	0.2
	24 Apr 2019 05:00	Losan	Indonesia	0.2
	24 Apr 2019 05:00	Bulakamba	Indonesia	0.2
	24 Apr 2019 05:00	Klampok	Indonesia	0.1
	26 Apr 2019 10:15	Tandjoengselaka	Indonesia	0.1
	24 Apr 2019 06:00	Karangampel	Indonesia	0.1
	24 Apr 2019 07:00	Cangkring	Indonesia	0.1
	24 Apr 2019 07:00	Indramaju	Indonesia	0.1
	24 Apr 2019 08:15	West Island	Cocos (Keeling) Islands	0.1
	26 Apr 2019 01:15	Mutua	Indonesia	0.1
	24 Apr 2019 14:45	Mangkang-Kulan	Indonesia	0.1
	24 Apr 2019 14:45	Djomblang	Indonesia	0.1
	24 Apr 2019 14:45	Semarang	Indonesia	0.1
	24 Apr 2019 14:45	Karangroto	Indonesia	0.1
	24 Apr 2019 13:15	Tegal	Indonesia	0.1
	24 Apr 2019 13:15	Wanasari	Indonesia	0.1
	26 Apr 2019 18:00	Kendal	Indonesia	0.1
	26 Apr 2019 07:15	Batangan	Indonesia	0.1
	26 Apr 2019 07:15	Rembang	Indonesia	0.1
	26 Apr 2019 07:15	Lasem	Indonesia	0.1
	24 Apr 2019 13:45	Petaroekan	Indonesia	0.1
	24 Apr 2019 13:45	Sigedang	Indonesia	0.1
	24 Apr 2019 13:45	Pekalongan	Indonesia	0.1
	25 Apr 2019 10:30	Sidja	Indonesia	0.1
	26 Apr 2019 08:15	Taju	Indonesia	0.1
	26 Apr 2019 08:15	Bulumanis	Indonesia	0.1
	24 Apr 2019 13:30	Padangan-wetan	Indonesia	0.1
	26 Apr 2019 06:45	Kalipang	Indonesia	0.1
	26 Apr 2019 06:45	Lemanbang	Indonesia	0.1
	26 Apr 2019 06:45	Tambakbaja	Indonesia	0.1
	26 Apr 2019 06:45	Remen	Indonesia	0.1
	26 Apr 2019 07:30	Karangsari	Indonesia	0.1
	24 Apr 2019 14:30	Wedung	Indonesia	0.1
	24 Apr 2019 14:30	Kedungmalang	Indonesia	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.