Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for LORNA-19
Off-shore
23 Apr 2019 12 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone LORNA-19 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source ECMWF
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 140 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.8 m (24 Apr 10:00 UTC)
Vulnerability --

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
ECMWF Current 140 km/h 0.0 m 475 mm 0.5
ECMWF Overall 137 km/h 0.9 m 559 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 23 Apr 2019 12:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 23 Apr 2019 00:00 144 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 23 Apr 2019 12:00 140 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
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Rainfall

559 mm

Up to 480 thousand can be affected by rain higher than 100mm (see SSHS)





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 23 Apr 2019 12:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmIndonesia, Cocos (Keeling) Islands476,739
+
Indonesia476,143 
Cocos (Keeling) Islands596 
50-100 mmIndonesia14,589,159 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 23 Apr 2019 00:00 702 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 23 Apr 2019 12:00 475 480 thousand
- - - - Indonesia, Cocos (Keeling) Islands




Impact estimation for the next 72h
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StormSurge

0.8 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.8m in Kiluan, Indonesia. This height is estimated for 24 Apr 2019 10:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 23 Apr 2019 12:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
24 Apr 2019 10:00 Kiluan Indonesia  0.8
24 Apr 2019 10:00 Kekatang Indonesia  0.8
24 Apr 2019 10:00 Menango Indonesia  0.8
24 Apr 2019 10:00 Tandjungkarang Indonesia  0.8
24 Apr 2019 10:00 Telukbetung Indonesia  0.8
24 Apr 2019 10:00 Tarahan Indonesia  0.8
24 Apr 2019 10:00 Umbulan Pepanggar Indonesia  0.6
24 Apr 2019 10:00 Kalianda Indonesia  0.6
24 Apr 2019 10:00 Lubuktandjung Indonesia  0.4
24 Apr 2019 10:00 Pasarkerkap Indonesia  0.4
24 Apr 2019 10:00 Kerkap Indonesia  0.4
24 Apr 2019 10:00 Bangkahulu Indonesia  0.4
24 Apr 2019 10:00 Pekansaptoe Indonesia  0.4
24 Apr 2019 09:45 Ketaun Indonesia  0.4
24 Apr 2019 09:45 Serangai Indonesia  0.4
24 Apr 2019 09:45 Penampung Indonesia  0.4
23 Apr 2019 12:00 Tjikawung Indonesia  0.4
23 Apr 2019 12:00 Sumur Indonesia  0.4
24 Apr 2019 09:45 Lais Indonesia  0.4
24 Apr 2019 09:45 Baru Indonesia  0.4
24 Apr 2019 04:30 Pondokkapoer Indonesia  0.4
24 Apr 2019 09:30 Seblat Indonesia  0.4
24 Apr 2019 09:30 Pasarseblat Indonesia  0.4
23 Apr 2019 21:00 Aerdjeruk Indonesia  0.4
23 Apr 2019 21:45 Chilachap Indonesia  0.4
23 Apr 2019 21:45 Adipala Indonesia  0.4
23 Apr 2019 21:45 Binangoen Indonesia  0.4
23 Apr 2019 21:30 Guring Indonesia  0.4
23 Apr 2019 21:30 Kota Agung Indonesia  0.4
23 Apr 2019 21:15 Waiharoe Indonesia  0.4
23 Apr 2019 21:15 Karangberak Indonesia  0.4
23 Apr 2019 21:15 Sawangbalak Indonesia  0.4
25 Apr 2019 01:45 Babakancibeber Indonesia  0.4
25 Apr 2019 01:45 Kolitjaah Indonesia  0.4
25 Apr 2019 01:45 Tjiteureup Indonesia  0.4
25 Apr 2019 01:45 Labuhan Indonesia  0.4
25 Apr 2019 01:45 Kaduperasi Indonesia  0.4
23 Apr 2019 21:30 Sindangsari Indonesia  0.3
23 Apr 2019 21:30 Cijulang Indonesia  0.3
23 Apr 2019 21:30 Cikalong Indonesia  0.3
23 Apr 2019 21:30 Pangadaran Indonesia  0.3
24 Apr 2019 09:30 Ipun Indonesia  0.3
24 Apr 2019 09:30 Airrami Indonesia  0.3
23 Apr 2019 21:30 Bandjaragung Indonesia  0.3
23 Apr 2019 21:15 Kaliputjang Indonesia  0.3
23 Apr 2019 20:45 Tiop Indonesia  0.3
23 Apr 2019 20:45 Buriai Indonesia  0.3
25 Apr 2019 04:15 Maringgai Indonesia  0.3
23 Apr 2019 21:30 Ajah Indonesia  0.3
25 Apr 2019 04:00 Merak Indonesia  0.3
25 Apr 2019 04:00 Domas Indonesia  0.3
23 Apr 2019 20:45 Pasartalo Indonesia  0.3
23 Apr 2019 20:45 Pasaralas Indonesia  0.3
23 Apr 2019 21:00 Djagalaja Indonesia  0.3
23 Apr 2019 21:00 Bendungan Indonesia  0.3
23 Apr 2019 21:00 Galur Indonesia  0.3
23 Apr 2019 21:00 Srandakan Indonesia  0.3
25 Apr 2019 02:15 Bakau Indonesia  0.3
25 Apr 2019 02:15 Ketapang Indonesia  0.3
23 Apr 2019 21:15 Putih Indonesia  0.3
23 Apr 2019 20:30 Pasarpino Indonesia  0.3
23 Apr 2019 20:30 Mana Indonesia  0.3
23 Apr 2019 19:30 Muarabinuangeun Indonesia  0.3
23 Apr 2019 21:15 Petanahan Indonesia  0.3
23 Apr 2019 21:15 Tampang Indonesia  0.3
23 Apr 2019 21:00 Djepitoe Indonesia  0.3
23 Apr 2019 21:00 Deliugo Indonesia  0.3
24 Apr 2019 22:00 Umbulan Padulmanan Indonesia  0.3
23 Apr 2019 21:00 Kebonongan Indonesia  0.3
23 Apr 2019 21:00 Tirtohardjo Indonesia  0.3
23 Apr 2019 20:15 Ngalam Indonesia  0.3
23 Apr 2019 20:15 Pasarseluma Indonesia  0.3
23 Apr 2019 21:00 Belimbing Indonesia  0.3
24 Apr 2019 03:45 La Roche Godon French Southern and Antarctic Lands  0.3
23 Apr 2019 21:00 Popoh Indonesia  0.3
23 Apr 2019 20:30 Tandjungaur Indonesia  0.3
23 Apr 2019 21:00 Tasikmadoe Indonesia  0.3
23 Apr 2019 20:30 Belowa Indonesia  0.3
23 Apr 2019 20:30 Taoabi Indonesia  0.3
23 Apr 2019 20:30 Poelaudoea Indonesia  0.3
23 Apr 2019 21:00 Mundjungan Indonesia  0.3
23 Apr 2019 20:30 Beriang Indonesia  0.3
23 Apr 2019 20:30 Tandjungraja Indonesia  0.3
23 Apr 2019 21:00 Kalak Indonesia  0.3
23 Apr 2019 20:45 Anjer-Kidu Indonesia  0.3
23 Apr 2019 20:45 Patjitan Indonesia  0.3
23 Apr 2019 20:45 Ngadirodjo Indonesia  0.3
23 Apr 2019 20:45 Panggul Indonesia  0.3
23 Apr 2019 20:45 Karbang Indonesia  0.3
23 Apr 2019 20:45 Walur Indonesia  0.3
23 Apr 2019 20:45 Pasarpulaupisang Indonesia  0.3
23 Apr 2019 20:45 Wainapal Indonesia  0.3
23 Apr 2019 20:45 Krui Indonesia  0.3
23 Apr 2019 20:45 Kerbang Indonesia  0.3
23 Apr 2019 20:45 Padangnegeri Indonesia  0.3
23 Apr 2019 20:45 Tandjungbaringin Indonesia  0.3
23 Apr 2019 20:30 Kabue Indonesia  0.2
23 Apr 2019 21:00 Bulasat Indonesia  0.2
23 Apr 2019 20:45 Limau Indonesia  0.2
23 Apr 2019 20:45 Waibatang Indonesia  0.2
23 Apr 2019 20:45 Biha Indonesia  0.2
24 Apr 2019 09:30 Pahanuma Indonesia  0.2
24 Apr 2019 10:00 Point Marianne British Indian Ocean Territory  0.2
24 Apr 2019 10:00 East Point Plantation British Indian Ocean Territory  0.2
23 Apr 2019 20:45 Bintuhan Indonesia  0.2
24 Apr 2019 05:30 Topoali Indonesia  0.2
23 Apr 2019 20:45 Pandanganget Indonesia  0.2
23 Apr 2019 20:45 Karanganjar Indonesia  0.2
23 Apr 2019 20:45 Chikalong Indonesia  0.2
23 Apr 2019 21:00 Bandjarnegeri Indonesia  0.2
23 Apr 2019 21:00 Ngaras Indonesia  0.2
23 Apr 2019 21:00 Negeriratoe Indonesia  0.2
23 Apr 2019 21:00 Kotodjawa Indonesia  0.2
23 Apr 2019 21:00 Bandaragung Indonesia  0.2
23 Apr 2019 21:00 Tjampang Indonesia  0.2
23 Apr 2019 20:45 Marang Indonesia  0.2
23 Apr 2019 21:30 Babadan Indonesia  0.2
23 Apr 2019 21:30 Lingkungsari Indonesia  0.2
23 Apr 2019 21:30 Tjiagra Indonesia  0.2
23 Apr 2019 21:00 Kalapagenep Indonesia  0.2
23 Apr 2019 21:00 Chihara Indonesia  0.2
23 Apr 2019 21:00 Bajah Indonesia  0.2
23 Apr 2019 20:45 Plotot Indonesia  0.2
23 Apr 2019 20:45 Tjikaret Indonesia  0.2
23 Apr 2019 21:00 Tjibeber Indonesia  0.2
23 Apr 2019 21:00 Karanghawu Indonesia  0.2
23 Apr 2019 21:00 Tjimadja Indonesia  0.2
23 Apr 2019 21:00 Tjiateul Indonesia  0.2
23 Apr 2019 21:15 Bangbajang Indonesia  0.2
23 Apr 2019 12:00 Tanara Indonesia  0.2
23 Apr 2019 12:00 Ketapang Indonesia  0.2
23 Apr 2019 21:15 Pameungpeuk Indonesia  0.2
23 Apr 2019 21:15 Tjimari Indonesia  0.2
24 Apr 2019 00:30 Kramat Indonesia  0.2
24 Apr 2019 00:30 Cengkarengbelakang Indonesia  0.2
23 Apr 2019 21:00 Cidora Indonesia  0.2
24 Apr 2019 01:00 Tipar Indonesia  0.2
23 Apr 2019 21:00 Sindangbarang Indonesia  0.2
23 Apr 2019 21:00 Gardu Indonesia  0.2
23 Apr 2019 21:00 Tjiaun Indonesia  0.2
24 Apr 2019 22:00 Pangkal Dudat Indonesia  0.2
24 Apr 2019 22:00 Tandjungkiras Indonesia  0.2
24 Apr 2019 22:00 Membalong Indonesia  0.2
25 Apr 2019 20:15 Gunung Indonesia  0.2
24 Apr 2019 04:30 Balubuk Indonesia  0.2
23 Apr 2019 21:15 South Point Christmas Island  0.2
23 Apr 2019 21:15 The Settlement Christmas Island  0.2
24 Apr 2019 14:45 Patrol Indonesia  0.2
24 Apr 2019 14:45 Kandanghaur Indonesia  0.2
24 Apr 2019 23:45 Pasirputih Indonesia  0.2
24 Apr 2019 23:45 Muaratjilamaja Indonesia  0.2
24 Apr 2019 22:45 Djepuh Indonesia  0.2
24 Apr 2019 22:45 Tangjungrusa Indonesia  0.2
24 Apr 2019 22:45 Dendang Indonesia  0.2
24 Apr 2019 22:45 Simnangpesa Indonesia  0.2
24 Apr 2019 22:45 Tandjungklumpang Indonesia  0.2
26 Apr 2019 04:00 Cilancang Indonesia  0.2
26 Apr 2019 04:00 Cirebon Indonesia  0.2
23 Apr 2019 21:45 West Island Cocos (Keeling) Islands  0.2
25 Apr 2019 03:30 Tandjungbatuaajer Indonesia  0.2
24 Apr 2019 05:00 Losan Indonesia  0.2
24 Apr 2019 05:00 Bulakamba Indonesia  0.2
24 Apr 2019 14:30 Cangkring Indonesia  0.2
23 Apr 2019 23:45 Pedes Indonesia  0.2
24 Apr 2019 05:00 Klampok Indonesia  0.2
24 Apr 2019 16:45 Batangan Indonesia  0.1
24 Apr 2019 16:45 Rembang Indonesia  0.1
24 Apr 2019 14:45 Indramaju Indonesia  0.1
23 Apr 2019 23:45 Sungaibuntu Indonesia  0.1
25 Apr 2019 11:30 Karangampel Indonesia  0.1
24 Apr 2019 21:15 Tandjoengselaka Indonesia  0.1
24 Apr 2019 16:45 Lasem Indonesia  0.1
24 Apr 2019 16:45 Lemanbang Indonesia  0.1
24 Apr 2019 16:45 Tambakbaja Indonesia  0.1
24 Apr 2019 16:45 Remen Indonesia  0.1
25 Apr 2019 08:15 Mutua Indonesia  0.1
24 Apr 2019 16:45 Kalipang Indonesia  0.1
24 Apr 2019 15:00 Mangkang-Kulan Indonesia  0.1
24 Apr 2019 15:00 Djomblang Indonesia  0.1
24 Apr 2019 15:00 Semarang Indonesia  0.1
24 Apr 2019 15:00 Karangroto Indonesia  0.1
25 Apr 2019 01:45 Tegal Indonesia  0.1
25 Apr 2019 01:45 Wanasari Indonesia  0.1
24 Apr 2019 17:00 Karangsari Indonesia  0.1
24 Apr 2019 17:00 Taju Indonesia  0.1
24 Apr 2019 17:00 Bulumanis Indonesia  0.1
24 Apr 2019 17:15 Padangan-wetan Indonesia  0.1
25 Apr 2019 01:15 Kendal Indonesia  0.1
25 Apr 2019 02:15 Petaroekan Indonesia  0.1
25 Apr 2019 02:15 Sigedang Indonesia  0.1
25 Apr 2019 02:15 Pekalongan Indonesia  0.1
25 Apr 2019 10:30 Sidja Indonesia  0.1
25 Apr 2019 01:30 Pemalang Indonesia  0.1