Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for LORNA-19 Off-shore from 23 Apr 2019 12:00 UTC to 29 Apr 2019 12:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for LORNA-19

Off-shore

27 Apr 2019 12 UTC

click on

to select bulletin time

Meteorological source:

GDACS JTWC

Impact Single TC

GFS
HWRF
ECMWF

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone LORNA-19 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	ECMWF
Exposed countries
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	133 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.8 m (29 Apr 02:45 UTC)
Vulnerability	--

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
ECMWF Current	133 km/h	0.0 m	474 mm	0.5
ECMWF Overall	137 km/h	0.9 m	559 mm	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 27 Apr 2019 12:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS

Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Pop in Cat. 1 or higher	TS	Cat. 1	Cat. 2	Cat. 3	Cat. 4	Cat. 5
1	23 Apr 2019 00:00	144	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	23 Apr 2019 12:00	140	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	24 Apr 2019 00:00	119	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
4	24 Apr 2019 12:00	101	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
5	25 Apr 2019 00:00	137	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
6	25 Apr 2019 12:00	133	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
7	26 Apr 2019 00:00	122	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
8	26 Apr 2019 12:00	140	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
9	27 Apr 2019 00:00	130	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
10	27 Apr 2019 12:00	133	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Download:

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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Rainfall

559 mm

Up to 2.4 million can be affected by rain higher than 100mm (see SSHS)

Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 27 Apr 2019 12:00 UTC

Level	Country	Population
100-250 mm	Indonesia	2,379,446
50-100 mm	Indonesia	15,521,732

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Rainfall (mm)	Pop >100mm or higher	50-100	100-250	250-500	500-750	750-1000	>1000	Countries
1	23 Apr 2019 00:00	702	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	23 Apr 2019 12:00	475	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	24 Apr 2019 00:00	469	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
4	24 Apr 2019 12:00	457	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
5	25 Apr 2019 00:00	921	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
6	25 Apr 2019 12:00	496	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
7	26 Apr 2019 00:00	545	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
8	26 Apr 2019 12:00	543	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
9	27 Apr 2019 00:00	614	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
10	27 Apr 2019 12:00	474	2.4 million			-	-	-	-	Indonesia

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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StormSurge

0.8 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.8m in Kiluan, Indonesia. This height is estimated for 29 Apr 2019 02:45 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 27 Apr 2019 12:00 UTC

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	29 Apr 2019 02:45	Kiluan	Indonesia	0.8
	29 Apr 2019 02:45	Kekatang	Indonesia	0.8
	29 Apr 2019 02:45	Menango	Indonesia	0.8
	29 Apr 2019 02:45	Tandjungkarang	Indonesia	0.8
	29 Apr 2019 02:45	Telukbetung	Indonesia	0.8
	29 Apr 2019 02:45	Tarahan	Indonesia	0.8
	29 Apr 2019 02:30	Umbulan Pepanggar	Indonesia	0.5
	29 Apr 2019 02:30	Kalianda	Indonesia	0.5
	28 Apr 2019 18:30	Tjikawung	Indonesia	0.5
	28 Apr 2019 18:30	Sumur	Indonesia	0.5
	28 Apr 2019 09:00	Aerdjeruk	Indonesia	0.5
	28 Apr 2019 09:00	Babakancibeber	Indonesia	0.5
	28 Apr 2019 08:30	Lubuktandjung	Indonesia	0.5
	28 Apr 2019 08:30	Pasarkerkap	Indonesia	0.5
	28 Apr 2019 08:30	Kerkap	Indonesia	0.5
	28 Apr 2019 08:30	Bangkahulu	Indonesia	0.5
	28 Apr 2019 08:30	Pekansaptoe	Indonesia	0.5
	28 Apr 2019 08:45	Serangai	Indonesia	0.4
	28 Apr 2019 08:45	Penampung	Indonesia	0.4
	28 Apr 2019 08:45	Lais	Indonesia	0.4
	28 Apr 2019 08:45	Baru	Indonesia	0.4
	28 Apr 2019 08:45	Ketaun	Indonesia	0.4
	28 Apr 2019 08:30	Pondokkapoer	Indonesia	0.4
	28 Apr 2019 09:00	Seblat	Indonesia	0.4
	28 Apr 2019 09:00	Pasarseblat	Indonesia	0.4
	28 Apr 2019 18:15	Tjiteureup	Indonesia	0.4
	28 Apr 2019 08:45	Ipun	Indonesia	0.4
	28 Apr 2019 08:45	Airrami	Indonesia	0.4
	28 Apr 2019 18:15	Kolitjaah	Indonesia	0.4
	28 Apr 2019 18:15	Labuhan	Indonesia	0.4
	28 Apr 2019 18:15	Kaduperasi	Indonesia	0.4
	28 Apr 2019 09:15	Tiop	Indonesia	0.4
	28 Apr 2019 09:15	Buriai	Indonesia	0.4
	28 Apr 2019 21:15	Binangoen	Indonesia	0.4
	28 Apr 2019 21:15	Ajah	Indonesia	0.4
	29 Apr 2019 00:00	Merak	Indonesia	0.4
	29 Apr 2019 00:00	Domas	Indonesia	0.4
	27 Apr 2019 12:00	Umbulan Padulmanan	Indonesia	0.3
	28 Apr 2019 23:30	Maringgai	Indonesia	0.3
	28 Apr 2019 08:45	Pasartalo	Indonesia	0.3
	28 Apr 2019 08:45	Pasaralas	Indonesia	0.3
	27 Apr 2019 20:45	Pasarpino	Indonesia	0.3
	27 Apr 2019 20:45	Mana	Indonesia	0.3
	27 Apr 2019 20:45	Tandjungaur	Indonesia	0.3
	27 Apr 2019 20:45	Beriang	Indonesia	0.3
	29 Apr 2019 12:15	Adipala	Indonesia	0.3
	28 Apr 2019 08:30	Ngalam	Indonesia	0.3
	28 Apr 2019 08:30	Pasarseluma	Indonesia	0.3
	28 Apr 2019 22:15	Bakau	Indonesia	0.3
	28 Apr 2019 22:15	Ketapang	Indonesia	0.3
	28 Apr 2019 21:30	Chilachap	Indonesia	0.3
	28 Apr 2019 18:30	Tasikmadoe	Indonesia	0.3
	28 Apr 2019 18:30	Popoh	Indonesia	0.3
	27 Apr 2019 20:30	Belowa	Indonesia	0.3
	27 Apr 2019 20:30	Taoabi	Indonesia	0.3
	27 Apr 2019 20:30	Poelaudoea	Indonesia	0.3
	28 Apr 2019 08:30	Kabue	Indonesia	0.3
	27 Apr 2019 19:15	Djagalaja	Indonesia	0.3
	27 Apr 2019 20:30	Guring	Indonesia	0.3
	27 Apr 2019 20:30	Kota Agung	Indonesia	0.3
	27 Apr 2019 16:15	Point Marianne	British Indian Ocean Territory	0.3
	27 Apr 2019 16:15	East Point Plantation	British Indian Ocean Territory	0.3
	28 Apr 2019 08:00	Belimbing	Indonesia	0.3
	30 Apr 2019 03:15	La Roche Godon	French Southern and Antarctic Lands	0.3
	29 Apr 2019 03:30	Anjer-Kidu	Indonesia	0.3
	28 Apr 2019 20:45	Bulasat	Indonesia	0.3
	28 Apr 2019 21:00	Sindangsari	Indonesia	0.3
	28 Apr 2019 21:00	Cijulang	Indonesia	0.3
	28 Apr 2019 21:00	Cikalong	Indonesia	0.3
	28 Apr 2019 21:00	Pangadaran	Indonesia	0.3
	28 Apr 2019 08:00	Karanghawu	Indonesia	0.3
	28 Apr 2019 08:00	Tjimadja	Indonesia	0.3
	28 Apr 2019 08:00	Tjiateul	Indonesia	0.3
	29 Apr 2019 10:15	Pahanuma	Indonesia	0.3
	27 Apr 2019 19:45	Chikalong	Indonesia	0.3
	27 Apr 2019 19:45	Kalapagenep	Indonesia	0.3
	28 Apr 2019 21:00	Petanahan	Indonesia	0.3
	28 Apr 2019 08:15	Tampang	Indonesia	0.3
	27 Apr 2019 21:15	Panggul	Indonesia	0.3
	27 Apr 2019 21:15	Mundjungan	Indonesia	0.3
	30 Apr 2019 10:45	Waiharoe	Indonesia	0.3
	30 Apr 2019 10:45	Karangberak	Indonesia	0.3
	30 Apr 2019 10:45	Sawangbalak	Indonesia	0.3
	27 Apr 2019 21:15	Patjitan	Indonesia	0.3
	27 Apr 2019 21:15	Ngadirodjo	Indonesia	0.3
	27 Apr 2019 20:15	Kaliputjang	Indonesia	0.3
	29 Apr 2019 10:00	Muarabinuangeun	Indonesia	0.3
	27 Apr 2019 19:45	Plotot	Indonesia	0.3
	28 Apr 2019 06:45	Karanganjar	Indonesia	0.3
	28 Apr 2019 08:00	Bendungan	Indonesia	0.3
	28 Apr 2019 08:00	Galur	Indonesia	0.3
	28 Apr 2019 08:00	Srandakan	Indonesia	0.3
	28 Apr 2019 08:00	Kebonongan	Indonesia	0.3
	28 Apr 2019 08:00	Tirtohardjo	Indonesia	0.3
	27 Apr 2019 19:45	Djepitoe	Indonesia	0.3
	29 Apr 2019 10:15	Waibatang	Indonesia	0.3
	29 Apr 2019 10:15	Karbang	Indonesia	0.3
	29 Apr 2019 10:15	Walur	Indonesia	0.3
	28 Apr 2019 08:15	Pasarpulaupisang	Indonesia	0.3
	28 Apr 2019 08:15	Wainapal	Indonesia	0.3
	28 Apr 2019 08:15	Krui	Indonesia	0.3
	28 Apr 2019 08:15	Kerbang	Indonesia	0.3
	28 Apr 2019 21:30	Tandjungraja	Indonesia	0.2
	28 Apr 2019 13:30	Tanara	Indonesia	0.2
	28 Apr 2019 13:30	Ketapang	Indonesia	0.2
	28 Apr 2019 21:00	Chihara	Indonesia	0.2
	28 Apr 2019 21:00	Bajah	Indonesia	0.2
	29 Apr 2019 03:15	Bandjaragung	Indonesia	0.2
	27 Apr 2019 21:00	Deliugo	Indonesia	0.2
	29 Apr 2019 02:30	Topoali	Indonesia	0.2
	27 Apr 2019 20:15	Padangnegeri	Indonesia	0.2
	27 Apr 2019 20:15	Tandjungbaringin	Indonesia	0.2
	28 Apr 2019 21:30	Bandaragung	Indonesia	0.2
	28 Apr 2019 21:30	Tjampang	Indonesia	0.2
	28 Apr 2019 08:00	Kalak	Indonesia	0.2
	28 Apr 2019 21:00	Putih	Indonesia	0.2
	28 Apr 2019 13:30	Kramat	Indonesia	0.2
	28 Apr 2019 13:30	Cengkarengbelakang	Indonesia	0.2
	28 Apr 2019 01:30	Mangkang-Kulan	Indonesia	0.2
	28 Apr 2019 01:30	Djomblang	Indonesia	0.2
	28 Apr 2019 01:30	Semarang	Indonesia	0.2
	28 Apr 2019 01:30	Karangroto	Indonesia	0.2
	29 Apr 2019 00:45	Tipar	Indonesia	0.2
	29 Apr 2019 00:45	Balubuk	Indonesia	0.2
	27 Apr 2019 20:45	Pandanganget	Indonesia	0.2
	27 Apr 2019 20:45	Bintuhan	Indonesia	0.2
	28 Apr 2019 07:30	South Point	Christmas Island	0.2
	28 Apr 2019 07:30	The Settlement	Christmas Island	0.2
	28 Apr 2019 13:30	Mutua	Indonesia	0.2
	28 Apr 2019 13:30	Tandjoengselaka	Indonesia	0.2
	28 Apr 2019 10:45	Cilancang	Indonesia	0.2
	28 Apr 2019 10:45	Cirebon	Indonesia	0.2
	29 Apr 2019 08:00	Pasirputih	Indonesia	0.2
	29 Apr 2019 08:00	Muaratjilamaja	Indonesia	0.2
	27 Apr 2019 21:00	Lingkungsari	Indonesia	0.2
	27 Apr 2019 21:00	Tjiagra	Indonesia	0.2
	28 Apr 2019 21:00	Biha	Indonesia	0.2
	28 Apr 2019 12:15	Kendal	Indonesia	0.2
	29 Apr 2019 02:00	Gunung	Indonesia	0.2
	28 Apr 2019 19:45	Patrol	Indonesia	0.2
	28 Apr 2019 19:45	Kandanghaur	Indonesia	0.2
	28 Apr 2019 08:15	Limau	Indonesia	0.2
	28 Apr 2019 08:15	Babadan	Indonesia	0.2
	28 Apr 2019 14:15	Batangan	Indonesia	0.2
	28 Apr 2019 14:15	Rembang	Indonesia	0.2
	28 Apr 2019 08:00	Tjibeber	Indonesia	0.2
	28 Apr 2019 08:00	Tjikaret	Indonesia	0.2
	29 Apr 2019 10:30	West Island	Cocos (Keeling) Islands	0.2
	28 Apr 2019 05:00	Pedes	Indonesia	0.2
	27 Apr 2019 20:30	Marang	Indonesia	0.2
	28 Apr 2019 10:45	Losan	Indonesia	0.2
	28 Apr 2019 10:45	Bulakamba	Indonesia	0.2
	28 Apr 2019 21:30	Bandjarnegeri	Indonesia	0.2
	28 Apr 2019 21:30	Ngaras	Indonesia	0.2
	28 Apr 2019 21:30	Negeriratoe	Indonesia	0.2
	28 Apr 2019 21:30	Kotodjawa	Indonesia	0.2
	29 Apr 2019 05:30	Pangkal Dudat	Indonesia	0.2
	29 Apr 2019 05:30	Tandjungkiras	Indonesia	0.2
	29 Apr 2019 05:30	Membalong	Indonesia	0.2
	28 Apr 2019 11:15	Wedung	Indonesia	0.2
	28 Apr 2019 11:15	Kedungmalang	Indonesia	0.2
	28 Apr 2019 10:30	Klampok	Indonesia	0.2
	28 Apr 2019 14:30	Kalipang	Indonesia	0.2
	28 Apr 2019 14:30	Lemanbang	Indonesia	0.2
	28 Apr 2019 14:30	Tambakbaja	Indonesia	0.2
	28 Apr 2019 15:00	Taju	Indonesia	0.2
	28 Apr 2019 15:00	Bulumanis	Indonesia	0.2
	28 Apr 2019 08:00	Tjiaun	Indonesia	0.2
	28 Apr 2019 08:00	Cidora	Indonesia	0.2
	28 Apr 2019 05:45	Tandjungbatuaajer	Indonesia	0.2
	28 Apr 2019 05:15	Sungaibuntu	Indonesia	0.2
	28 Apr 2019 14:15	Karangsari	Indonesia	0.2
	28 Apr 2019 07:45	Pameungpeuk	Indonesia	0.2
	28 Apr 2019 07:45	Bangbajang	Indonesia	0.2
	28 Apr 2019 14:00	Lasem	Indonesia	0.2
	28 Apr 2019 08:00	Gardu	Indonesia	0.2
	28 Apr 2019 11:15	Karangampel	Indonesia	0.2
	28 Apr 2019 14:45	Remen	Indonesia	0.2
	28 Apr 2019 08:00	Sindangbarang	Indonesia	0.2
	28 Apr 2019 08:15	Tjimari	Indonesia	0.2
	28 Apr 2019 14:30	Padangan-wetan	Indonesia	0.2
	28 Apr 2019 19:45	Cangkring	Indonesia	0.2
	28 Apr 2019 23:30	Djepuh	Indonesia	0.2
	28 Apr 2019 23:30	Tangjungrusa	Indonesia	0.2
	28 Apr 2019 23:30	Dendang	Indonesia	0.2
	28 Apr 2019 23:30	Simnangpesa	Indonesia	0.2
	28 Apr 2019 23:30	Tandjungklumpang	Indonesia	0.2
	28 Apr 2019 20:00	Indramaju	Indonesia	0.2
	28 Apr 2019 11:15	Jepara	Indonesia	0.2
	28 Apr 2019 11:15	Bugel	Indonesia	0.2
	28 Apr 2019 11:15	Karanggondang	Indonesia	0.2
	28 Apr 2019 12:00	Sidja	Indonesia	0.2
	28 Apr 2019 12:00	Pekalongan	Indonesia	0.2
	28 Apr 2019 12:00	Sigedang	Indonesia	0.2
	28 Apr 2019 09:30	Tegal	Indonesia	0.2
	28 Apr 2019 09:30	Wanasari	Indonesia	0.2
	28 Apr 2019 12:30	Pemalang	Indonesia	0.1
	28 Apr 2019 12:30	Petaroekan	Indonesia	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.