Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for LORNA-19 Off-shore from 23 Apr 2019 12:00 UTC to 29 Apr 2019 12:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for LORNA-19

Off-shore

29 Apr 2019 00 UTC

click on

to select bulletin time

Meteorological source:

GDACS JTWC

Impact Single TC

GFS
HWRF
ECMWF

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone LORNA-19 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	ECMWF
Exposed countries
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	101 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.9 m (29 Apr 02:45 UTC)
Vulnerability	--

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
ECMWF Current	101 km/h	0.0 m	196 mm	0.5
ECMWF Overall	137 km/h	0.9 m	559 mm	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

137 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above

Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 29 Apr 2019 00:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS

Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Pop in Cat. 1 or higher	TS	Cat. 1	Cat. 2	Cat. 3	Cat. 4	Cat. 5
1	23 Apr 2019 00:00	144	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	23 Apr 2019 12:00	140	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	24 Apr 2019 00:00	119	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
4	24 Apr 2019 12:00	101	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
5	25 Apr 2019 00:00	137	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
6	25 Apr 2019 12:00	133	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
7	26 Apr 2019 00:00	122	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
8	26 Apr 2019 12:00	140	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
9	27 Apr 2019 00:00	130	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
10	27 Apr 2019 12:00	133	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
11	28 Apr 2019 00:00	137	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
12	28 Apr 2019 12:00	130	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
13	29 Apr 2019 00:00	101	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Download:

Impact estimation for the next 72h

TOP

Rainfall

Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 29 Apr 2019 00:00 UTC

Level	Country	Population
100-250 mm	Indonesia	238,448
50-100 mm	Indonesia	9,507,033

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Rainfall (mm)	Pop >100mm or higher	50-100	100-250	250-500	500-750	750-1000	>1000	Countries
1	23 Apr 2019 00:00	702	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	23 Apr 2019 12:00	475	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	24 Apr 2019 00:00	469	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
4	24 Apr 2019 12:00	457	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
5	25 Apr 2019 00:00	921	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
6	25 Apr 2019 12:00	496	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
7	26 Apr 2019 00:00	545	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
8	26 Apr 2019 12:00	543	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
9	27 Apr 2019 00:00	614	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
10	27 Apr 2019 12:00	474	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
11	28 Apr 2019 00:00	390	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
12	28 Apr 2019 12:00	305	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
13	29 Apr 2019 00:00	196	240 thousand			-	-	-	-	Indonesia

Impact estimation for the next 72h

TOP

StormSurge

0.9 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.9m in Kiluan, Indonesia. This height is estimated for 29 Apr 2019 02:45 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 29 Apr 2019 00:00 UTC

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	29 Apr 2019 02:45	Kiluan	Indonesia	0.9
	29 Apr 2019 02:45	Kekatang	Indonesia	0.9
	29 Apr 2019 02:45	Menango	Indonesia	0.9
	29 Apr 2019 02:45	Tandjungkarang	Indonesia	0.8
	29 Apr 2019 02:45	Telukbetung	Indonesia	0.8
	29 Apr 2019 02:45	Tarahan	Indonesia	0.8
	29 Apr 2019 02:30	Umbulan Pepanggar	Indonesia	0.6
	29 Apr 2019 02:30	Kalianda	Indonesia	0.6
	01 May 2019 02:15	Lubuktandjung	Indonesia	0.5
	01 May 2019 02:15	Pasarkerkap	Indonesia	0.5
	01 May 2019 02:15	Kerkap	Indonesia	0.5
	01 May 2019 02:15	Bangkahulu	Indonesia	0.5
	01 May 2019 02:15	Pekansaptoe	Indonesia	0.5
	01 May 2019 02:00	Serangai	Indonesia	0.4
	01 May 2019 02:00	Penampung	Indonesia	0.4
	01 May 2019 02:00	Lais	Indonesia	0.4
	01 May 2019 02:00	Baru	Indonesia	0.4
	01 May 2019 02:15	Ketaun	Indonesia	0.4
	30 Apr 2019 11:00	Tjikawung	Indonesia	0.4
	30 Apr 2019 11:00	Sumur	Indonesia	0.4
	01 May 2019 02:30	Pondokkapoer	Indonesia	0.4
	29 Apr 2019 10:00	Aerdjeruk	Indonesia	0.3
	29 Apr 2019 10:45	Babakancibeber	Indonesia	0.3
	29 Apr 2019 10:15	Kolitjaah	Indonesia	0.3
	29 Apr 2019 10:15	Tjiteureup	Indonesia	0.3
	29 Apr 2019 10:15	Labuhan	Indonesia	0.3
	29 Apr 2019 10:15	Kaduperasi	Indonesia	0.3
	29 Apr 2019 12:15	Adipala	Indonesia	0.3
	29 Apr 2019 12:15	Binangoen	Indonesia	0.3
	01 May 2019 02:30	Guring	Indonesia	0.3
	01 May 2019 02:30	Kota Agung	Indonesia	0.3
	29 Apr 2019 05:15	Umbulan Padulmanan	Indonesia	0.3
	29 Apr 2019 00:00	Merak	Indonesia	0.3
	29 Apr 2019 00:00	Domas	Indonesia	0.3
	29 Apr 2019 09:15	Seblat	Indonesia	0.3
	29 Apr 2019 09:15	Pasarseblat	Indonesia	0.3
	29 Apr 2019 10:15	Pasartalo	Indonesia	0.3
	29 Apr 2019 10:15	Pasaralas	Indonesia	0.3
	29 Apr 2019 10:15	Pasarpino	Indonesia	0.3
	29 Apr 2019 10:15	Mana	Indonesia	0.3
	01 May 2019 02:30	Chilachap	Indonesia	0.3
	29 Apr 2019 10:00	Airrami	Indonesia	0.3
	29 Apr 2019 22:30	Ipun	Indonesia	0.3
	29 Apr 2019 09:45	Pahanuma	Indonesia	0.3
	29 Apr 2019 09:45	Belowa	Indonesia	0.3
	29 Apr 2019 09:45	Taoabi	Indonesia	0.3
	29 Apr 2019 12:15	Cikalong	Indonesia	0.3
	29 Apr 2019 12:15	Pangadaran	Indonesia	0.3
	29 Apr 2019 12:15	Kaliputjang	Indonesia	0.3
	29 Apr 2019 10:00	Tiop	Indonesia	0.3
	29 Apr 2019 10:00	Buriai	Indonesia	0.3
	01 May 2019 03:30	Bakau	Indonesia	0.3
	01 May 2019 03:30	Ketapang	Indonesia	0.3
	30 Apr 2019 03:30	La Roche Godon	French Southern and Antarctic Lands	0.3
	01 May 2019 03:00	Anjer-Kidu	Indonesia	0.3
	29 Apr 2019 10:00	Belimbing	Indonesia	0.3
	29 Apr 2019 10:00	Tampang	Indonesia	0.3
	01 May 2019 13:30	Batangan	Indonesia	0.3
	01 May 2019 13:30	Rembang	Indonesia	0.3
	29 Apr 2019 02:45	Djagalaja	Indonesia	0.3
	01 May 2019 04:45	Ngalam	Indonesia	0.3
	29 Apr 2019 14:15	Ajah	Indonesia	0.3
	29 Apr 2019 14:15	Petanahan	Indonesia	0.3
	29 Apr 2019 21:00	Sindangsari	Indonesia	0.3
	29 Apr 2019 21:00	Cijulang	Indonesia	0.3
	29 Apr 2019 10:00	Tandjungaur	Indonesia	0.3
	01 May 2019 02:15	Waiharoe	Indonesia	0.3
	01 May 2019 02:15	Karangberak	Indonesia	0.3
	01 May 2019 02:15	Sawangbalak	Indonesia	0.3
	29 Apr 2019 03:00	Chikalong	Indonesia	0.3
	29 Apr 2019 03:00	Kalapagenep	Indonesia	0.3
	29 Apr 2019 10:00	Pasarseluma	Indonesia	0.3
	29 Apr 2019 10:00	Beriang	Indonesia	0.3
	01 May 2019 13:30	Lasem	Indonesia	0.3
	29 Apr 2019 09:30	Poelaudoea	Indonesia	0.3
	29 Apr 2019 10:00	Waibatang	Indonesia	0.3
	29 Apr 2019 10:00	Karbang	Indonesia	0.3
	29 Apr 2019 10:00	Walur	Indonesia	0.3
	30 Apr 2019 09:30	Muarabinuangeun	Indonesia	0.3
	29 Apr 2019 22:45	Kabue	Indonesia	0.3
	29 Apr 2019 20:45	Mundjungan	Indonesia	0.3
	29 Apr 2019 20:45	Tasikmadoe	Indonesia	0.3
	01 May 2019 13:45	Padangan-wetan	Indonesia	0.3
	01 May 2019 19:15	Mutua	Indonesia	0.3
	01 May 2019 13:45	Kalipang	Indonesia	0.3
	01 May 2019 13:45	Lemanbang	Indonesia	0.3
	01 May 2019 13:45	Tambakbaja	Indonesia	0.3
	29 Apr 2019 20:30	Popoh	Indonesia	0.3
	29 Apr 2019 02:45	Bandaragung	Indonesia	0.3
	29 Apr 2019 02:45	Tjampang	Indonesia	0.3
	01 May 2019 19:15	Tandjoengselaka	Indonesia	0.3
	29 Apr 2019 03:15	Bandjaragung	Indonesia	0.3
	01 May 2019 13:15	Remen	Indonesia	0.2
	29 Apr 2019 00:00	Maringgai	Indonesia	0.2
	29 Apr 2019 20:30	Ngadirodjo	Indonesia	0.2
	29 Apr 2019 20:30	Panggul	Indonesia	0.2
	29 Apr 2019 09:30	Tandjungraja	Indonesia	0.2
	29 Apr 2019 09:45	Bulasat	Indonesia	0.2
	29 Apr 2019 02:30	Topoali	Indonesia	0.2
	29 Apr 2019 02:45	Djepitoe	Indonesia	0.2
	29 Apr 2019 02:45	Deliugo	Indonesia	0.2
	01 May 2019 02:30	Putih	Indonesia	0.2
	29 Apr 2019 04:00	Karanganjar	Indonesia	0.2
	30 Apr 2019 09:30	Pasarpulaupisang	Indonesia	0.2
	30 Apr 2019 09:30	Wainapal	Indonesia	0.2
	30 Apr 2019 09:30	Krui	Indonesia	0.2
	30 Apr 2019 09:30	Kerbang	Indonesia	0.2
	30 Apr 2019 09:30	Padangnegeri	Indonesia	0.2
	30 Apr 2019 09:30	Tandjungbaringin	Indonesia	0.2
	01 May 2019 02:45	Kalak	Indonesia	0.2
	01 May 2019 02:00	Bendungan	Indonesia	0.2
	01 May 2019 02:00	Galur	Indonesia	0.2
	01 May 2019 02:00	Srandakan	Indonesia	0.2
	01 May 2019 14:45	Taju	Indonesia	0.2
	01 May 2019 14:45	Bulumanis	Indonesia	0.2
	29 Apr 2019 12:00	Kebonongan	Indonesia	0.2
	29 Apr 2019 12:00	Tirtohardjo	Indonesia	0.2
	29 Apr 2019 21:00	South Point	Christmas Island	0.2
	29 Apr 2019 21:00	The Settlement	Christmas Island	0.2
	30 Apr 2019 10:15	Bandjarnegeri	Indonesia	0.2
	30 Apr 2019 10:15	Ngaras	Indonesia	0.2
	30 Apr 2019 10:15	Negeriratoe	Indonesia	0.2
	30 Apr 2019 10:15	Kotodjawa	Indonesia	0.2
	29 Apr 2019 02:00	Gunung	Indonesia	0.2
	01 May 2019 14:00	Karangsari	Indonesia	0.2
	29 Apr 2019 08:00	Pasirputih	Indonesia	0.2
	29 Apr 2019 08:00	Muaratjilamaja	Indonesia	0.2
	01 May 2019 02:30	Patjitan	Indonesia	0.2
	30 Apr 2019 10:00	Limau	Indonesia	0.2
	01 May 2019 15:45	Point Marianne	British Indian Ocean Territory	0.2
	01 May 2019 15:45	East Point Plantation	British Indian Ocean Territory	0.2
	01 May 2019 06:15	Mangkang-Kulan	Indonesia	0.2
	01 May 2019 06:15	Djomblang	Indonesia	0.2
	01 May 2019 06:15	Semarang	Indonesia	0.2
	01 May 2019 06:15	Karangroto	Indonesia	0.2
	30 Apr 2019 10:30	Pandanganget	Indonesia	0.2
	30 Apr 2019 10:30	Bintuhan	Indonesia	0.2
	29 Apr 2019 09:30	Chihara	Indonesia	0.2
	29 Apr 2019 09:30	Bajah	Indonesia	0.2
	29 Apr 2019 02:15	Karanghawu	Indonesia	0.2
	29 Apr 2019 02:15	Tjimadja	Indonesia	0.2
	29 Apr 2019 02:15	Tjiateul	Indonesia	0.2
	01 May 2019 02:00	Kendal	Indonesia	0.2
	30 Apr 2019 10:15	Plotot	Indonesia	0.2
	01 May 2019 21:30	Cilancang	Indonesia	0.2
	01 May 2019 21:30	Cirebon	Indonesia	0.2
	02 May 2019 00:00	Pekalongan	Indonesia	0.2
	02 May 2019 00:00	Sidja	Indonesia	0.2
	01 May 2019 02:30	Babadan	Indonesia	0.2
	01 May 2019 02:30	Lingkungsari	Indonesia	0.2
	29 Apr 2019 10:30	West Island	Cocos (Keeling) Islands	0.2
	30 Apr 2019 10:15	Biha	Indonesia	0.2
	30 Apr 2019 09:45	Marang	Indonesia	0.2
	29 Apr 2019 08:15	Patrol	Indonesia	0.2
	29 Apr 2019 08:15	Kandanghaur	Indonesia	0.2
	29 Apr 2019 00:00	Kramat	Indonesia	0.2
	29 Apr 2019 00:00	Cengkarengbelakang	Indonesia	0.2
	29 Apr 2019 00:00	Tipar	Indonesia	0.2
	29 Apr 2019 05:45	Pangkal Dudat	Indonesia	0.2
	29 Apr 2019 05:45	Tandjungkiras	Indonesia	0.2
	29 Apr 2019 05:45	Membalong	Indonesia	0.2
	01 May 2019 02:30	Tjikaret	Indonesia	0.2
	01 May 2019 01:15	Wedung	Indonesia	0.2
	01 May 2019 01:15	Kedungmalang	Indonesia	0.2
	29 Apr 2019 00:45	Balubuk	Indonesia	0.2
	01 May 2019 02:15	Tjibeber	Indonesia	0.2
	01 May 2019 23:45	Sigedang	Indonesia	0.2
	29 Apr 2019 07:30	Sungaibuntu	Indonesia	0.2
	30 Apr 2019 10:00	Bangbajang	Indonesia	0.2
	02 May 2019 00:00	Pemalang	Indonesia	0.2
	02 May 2019 00:00	Petaroekan	Indonesia	0.2
	30 Apr 2019 10:30	Tjiagra	Indonesia	0.2
	01 May 2019 21:45	Losan	Indonesia	0.2
	01 May 2019 21:45	Bulakamba	Indonesia	0.2
	29 Apr 2019 04:45	Djepuh	Indonesia	0.2
	29 Apr 2019 04:45	Tangjungrusa	Indonesia	0.2
	29 Apr 2019 04:45	Dendang	Indonesia	0.2
	29 Apr 2019 04:45	Simnangpesa	Indonesia	0.2
	29 Apr 2019 04:45	Tandjungklumpang	Indonesia	0.2
	29 Apr 2019 08:00	Cangkring	Indonesia	0.2
	02 May 2019 00:00	Wanasari	Indonesia	0.2
	01 May 2019 02:30	Pameungpeuk	Indonesia	0.2
	01 May 2019 22:30	Karangampel	Indonesia	0.2
	02 May 2019 00:00	Jepara	Indonesia	0.2
	02 May 2019 00:00	Bugel	Indonesia	0.2
	02 May 2019 00:00	Karanggondang	Indonesia	0.2
	29 Apr 2019 08:00	Indramaju	Indonesia	0.2
	29 Apr 2019 07:15	Pedes	Indonesia	0.2
	01 May 2019 22:45	Tandjungbatuaajer	Indonesia	0.2
	01 May 2019 22:00	Klampok	Indonesia	0.2
	01 May 2019 02:15	Tjimari	Indonesia	0.2
	30 Apr 2019 10:15	Sindangbarang	Indonesia	0.2
	30 Apr 2019 10:15	Gardu	Indonesia	0.2
	01 May 2019 02:30	Cidora	Indonesia	0.2
	02 May 2019 00:00	Tegal	Indonesia	0.2
	01 May 2019 02:30	Tjiaun	Indonesia	0.2
	01 May 2019 07:30	Ketapang	Indonesia	0.2
	01 May 2019 17:15	Tanara	Indonesia	0.2

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.