Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for LORNA-19
Off-shore
23 Apr 2019 00 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone LORNA-19 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source ECMWF
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 144 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.8 m (24 Apr 10:00 UTC)
Vulnerability --

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
ECMWF Current 144 km/h 0.0 m 702 mm 0.5
ECMWF Overall 137 km/h 0.9 m 559 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 23 Apr 2019 00:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 23 Apr 2019 00:00 144 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
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Rainfall

559 mm

Up to 1.2 million can be affected by rain higher than 100mm (see SSHS)





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 23 Apr 2019 00:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmIndonesia, Cocos (Keeling) Islands1,218,596
+
Indonesia1,218,000 
Cocos (Keeling) Islands596 
50-100 mmIndonesia13,745,900 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 23 Apr 2019 00:00 702 1.2 million
- - - - Indonesia, Cocos (Keeling) Islands




Impact estimation for the next 72h
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StormSurge

0.8 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.8m in Kiluan, Indonesia. This height is estimated for 24 Apr 2019 10:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 23 Apr 2019 00:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
24 Apr 2019 10:00 Kiluan Indonesia  0.8
24 Apr 2019 10:00 Kekatang Indonesia  0.8
24 Apr 2019 10:00 Menango Indonesia  0.8
24 Apr 2019 10:00 Tandjungkarang Indonesia  0.8
24 Apr 2019 10:00 Telukbetung Indonesia  0.8
24 Apr 2019 10:00 Tarahan Indonesia  0.8
24 Apr 2019 10:00 Umbulan Pepanggar Indonesia  0.6
24 Apr 2019 10:00 Kalianda Indonesia  0.6
23 Apr 2019 08:00 Serangai Indonesia  0.6
23 Apr 2019 08:00 Penampung Indonesia  0.6
23 Apr 2019 08:00 Lais Indonesia  0.6
23 Apr 2019 08:00 Baru Indonesia  0.6
23 Apr 2019 08:00 Lubuktandjung Indonesia  0.6
23 Apr 2019 08:00 Pasarkerkap Indonesia  0.6
23 Apr 2019 07:45 Ketaun Indonesia  0.6
23 Apr 2019 08:00 Kerkap Indonesia  0.5
23 Apr 2019 08:00 Bangkahulu Indonesia  0.5
23 Apr 2019 08:00 Pekansaptoe Indonesia  0.5
23 Apr 2019 07:30 Tjikawung Indonesia  0.5
23 Apr 2019 07:30 Sumur Indonesia  0.5
23 Apr 2019 07:45 Seblat Indonesia  0.5
23 Apr 2019 07:30 Aerdjeruk Indonesia  0.4
23 Apr 2019 07:30 Babakancibeber Indonesia  0.4
23 Apr 2019 07:45 Kolitjaah Indonesia  0.4
23 Apr 2019 07:45 Tjiteureup Indonesia  0.4
23 Apr 2019 07:45 Labuhan Indonesia  0.4
23 Apr 2019 07:45 Kaduperasi Indonesia  0.4
23 Apr 2019 08:45 Guring Indonesia  0.4
23 Apr 2019 08:45 Kota Agung Indonesia  0.4
23 Apr 2019 07:45 Pasarseblat Indonesia  0.4
23 Apr 2019 21:45 Chilachap Indonesia  0.4
23 Apr 2019 21:45 Adipala Indonesia  0.4
23 Apr 2019 21:45 Binangoen Indonesia  0.4
23 Apr 2019 07:45 Ipun Indonesia  0.4
23 Apr 2019 07:45 Airrami Indonesia  0.4
23 Apr 2019 09:00 Waiharoe Indonesia  0.4
23 Apr 2019 09:00 Karangberak Indonesia  0.4
23 Apr 2019 09:00 Sawangbalak Indonesia  0.4
23 Apr 2019 11:00 Pondokkapoer Indonesia  0.4
24 Apr 2019 11:30 Maringgai Indonesia  0.4
23 Apr 2019 09:00 Bandjaragung Indonesia  0.4
24 Apr 2019 11:30 Merak Indonesia  0.4
24 Apr 2019 11:30 Domas Indonesia  0.4
23 Apr 2019 07:30 Tiop Indonesia  0.4
23 Apr 2019 07:30 Buriai Indonesia  0.4
23 Apr 2019 21:15 Sindangsari Indonesia  0.3
23 Apr 2019 21:15 Cijulang Indonesia  0.3
23 Apr 2019 21:15 Cikalong Indonesia  0.3
23 Apr 2019 21:15 Pangadaran Indonesia  0.3
23 Apr 2019 21:30 Ajah Indonesia  0.3
23 Apr 2019 21:15 Kaliputjang Indonesia  0.3
23 Apr 2019 20:45 Pasartalo Indonesia  0.3
23 Apr 2019 20:45 Pasaralas Indonesia  0.3
24 Apr 2019 05:30 Umbulan Padulmanan Indonesia  0.3
23 Apr 2019 09:00 Putih Indonesia  0.3
23 Apr 2019 21:30 Petanahan Indonesia  0.3
23 Apr 2019 09:00 Tampang Indonesia  0.3
23 Apr 2019 10:45 Ngalam Indonesia  0.3
23 Apr 2019 20:45 Muarabinuangeun Indonesia  0.3
23 Apr 2019 21:00 Djagalaja Indonesia  0.3
23 Apr 2019 21:00 Bendungan Indonesia  0.3
23 Apr 2019 21:00 Galur Indonesia  0.3
23 Apr 2019 21:00 Srandakan Indonesia  0.3
24 Apr 2019 09:45 Pasarpino Indonesia  0.3
24 Apr 2019 09:45 Mana Indonesia  0.3
23 Apr 2019 21:00 Bakau Indonesia  0.3
23 Apr 2019 21:00 Ketapang Indonesia  0.3
23 Apr 2019 20:15 Pasarseluma Indonesia  0.3
23 Apr 2019 08:00 Anjer-Kidu Indonesia  0.3
23 Apr 2019 21:00 Djepitoe Indonesia  0.3
23 Apr 2019 21:00 Deliugo Indonesia  0.3
24 Apr 2019 03:45 La Roche Godon French Southern and Antarctic Lands  0.3
23 Apr 2019 21:15 Kebonongan Indonesia  0.3
23 Apr 2019 21:15 Tirtohardjo Indonesia  0.3
24 Apr 2019 05:30 Topoali Indonesia  0.3
23 Apr 2019 21:00 Popoh Indonesia  0.3
23 Apr 2019 09:00 Belimbing Indonesia  0.3
23 Apr 2019 21:00 Tasikmadoe Indonesia  0.3
23 Apr 2019 20:30 Tandjungaur Indonesia  0.3
23 Apr 2019 20:30 Beriang Indonesia  0.3
23 Apr 2019 20:30 Tandjungraja Indonesia  0.3
23 Apr 2019 20:30 Kabue Indonesia  0.3
23 Apr 2019 20:30 Belowa Indonesia  0.3
23 Apr 2019 20:30 Taoabi Indonesia  0.3
23 Apr 2019 20:30 Poelaudoea Indonesia  0.3
23 Apr 2019 21:00 Mundjungan Indonesia  0.3
23 Apr 2019 21:00 Kalak Indonesia  0.2
23 Apr 2019 21:15 Patjitan Indonesia  0.2
23 Apr 2019 21:00 Bulasat Indonesia  0.2
24 Apr 2019 10:00 Point Marianne British Indian Ocean Territory  0.2
24 Apr 2019 10:00 East Point Plantation British Indian Ocean Territory  0.2
23 Apr 2019 20:45 Karbang Indonesia  0.2
23 Apr 2019 20:45 Walur Indonesia  0.2
23 Apr 2019 20:45 Pasarpulaupisang Indonesia  0.2
23 Apr 2019 20:45 Wainapal Indonesia  0.2
23 Apr 2019 20:45 Krui Indonesia  0.2
23 Apr 2019 20:45 Kerbang Indonesia  0.2
23 Apr 2019 20:45 Padangnegeri Indonesia  0.2
23 Apr 2019 20:45 Tandjungbaringin Indonesia  0.2
23 Apr 2019 21:00 Ngadirodjo Indonesia  0.2
23 Apr 2019 21:00 Panggul Indonesia  0.2
23 Apr 2019 20:30 Pahanuma Indonesia  0.2
23 Apr 2019 21:00 Pandanganget Indonesia  0.2
23 Apr 2019 21:00 Bintuhan Indonesia  0.2
23 Apr 2019 21:00 Limau Indonesia  0.2
23 Apr 2019 20:45 Waibatang Indonesia  0.2
23 Apr 2019 20:45 Biha Indonesia  0.2
23 Apr 2019 20:30 Bandaragung Indonesia  0.2
23 Apr 2019 20:30 Tjampang Indonesia  0.2
23 Apr 2019 20:45 Plotot Indonesia  0.2
23 Apr 2019 20:45 Tjikaret Indonesia  0.2
23 Apr 2019 20:45 Babadan Indonesia  0.2
23 Apr 2019 20:45 Lingkungsari Indonesia  0.2
23 Apr 2019 20:45 Marang Indonesia  0.2
23 Apr 2019 20:45 Bandjarnegeri Indonesia  0.2
23 Apr 2019 20:30 Ngaras Indonesia  0.2
23 Apr 2019 20:30 Negeriratoe Indonesia  0.2
23 Apr 2019 20:30 Kotodjawa Indonesia  0.2
23 Apr 2019 21:00 Tjiagra Indonesia  0.2
23 Apr 2019 20:45 Karanganjar Indonesia  0.2
23 Apr 2019 20:45 Chikalong Indonesia  0.2
23 Apr 2019 21:00 Kalapagenep Indonesia  0.2
24 Apr 2019 11:00 Tanara Indonesia  0.2
23 Apr 2019 21:00 Chihara Indonesia  0.2
23 Apr 2019 21:00 Bajah Indonesia  0.2
24 Apr 2019 17:30 Pangkal Dudat Indonesia  0.2
24 Apr 2019 17:30 Tandjungkiras Indonesia  0.2
24 Apr 2019 17:30 Membalong Indonesia  0.2
24 Apr 2019 04:00 Gunung Indonesia  0.2
23 Apr 2019 11:45 Ketapang Indonesia  0.2
23 Apr 2019 21:00 Tjibeber Indonesia  0.2
23 Apr 2019 20:45 Tjiateul Indonesia  0.2
23 Apr 2019 20:45 Karanghawu Indonesia  0.2
23 Apr 2019 20:45 Tjimadja Indonesia  0.2
23 Apr 2019 10:45 Tipar Indonesia  0.2
23 Apr 2019 10:45 Balubuk Indonesia  0.2
23 Apr 2019 11:45 Kramat Indonesia  0.2
23 Apr 2019 09:30 Cengkarengbelakang Indonesia  0.2
23 Apr 2019 20:45 Sindangbarang Indonesia  0.2
23 Apr 2019 20:45 Gardu Indonesia  0.2
23 Apr 2019 20:45 Tjiaun Indonesia  0.2
23 Apr 2019 20:45 Cidora Indonesia  0.2
23 Apr 2019 20:45 Tjimari Indonesia  0.2
23 Apr 2019 20:45 Pameungpeuk Indonesia  0.2
23 Apr 2019 21:00 Bangbajang Indonesia  0.2
25 Apr 2019 07:15 Tandjoengselaka Indonesia  0.2
24 Apr 2019 02:15 Patrol Indonesia  0.2
24 Apr 2019 02:15 Kandanghaur Indonesia  0.2
24 Apr 2019 15:00 Cilancang Indonesia  0.2
24 Apr 2019 15:00 Cirebon Indonesia  0.2
23 Apr 2019 21:15 South Point Christmas Island  0.2
23 Apr 2019 21:15 The Settlement Christmas Island  0.2
25 Apr 2019 07:15 Mutua Indonesia  0.2
24 Apr 2019 14:15 Karangampel Indonesia  0.2
23 Apr 2019 21:45 West Island Cocos (Keeling) Islands  0.2
24 Apr 2019 03:00 Pasirputih Indonesia  0.2
24 Apr 2019 03:00 Muaratjilamaja Indonesia  0.2
25 Apr 2019 03:30 Tandjungbatuaajer Indonesia  0.2
25 Apr 2019 03:30 Simnangpesa Indonesia  0.2
25 Apr 2019 03:30 Tandjungklumpang Indonesia  0.2
25 Apr 2019 02:15 Djepuh Indonesia  0.2
23 Apr 2019 23:45 Pedes Indonesia  0.2
25 Apr 2019 11:45 Mangkang-Kulan Indonesia  0.2
25 Apr 2019 11:45 Djomblang Indonesia  0.2
25 Apr 2019 11:45 Semarang Indonesia  0.2
25 Apr 2019 11:45 Karangroto Indonesia  0.2
24 Apr 2019 02:15 Cangkring Indonesia  0.2
25 Apr 2019 02:15 Tangjungrusa Indonesia  0.2
23 Apr 2019 23:45 Sungaibuntu Indonesia  0.1
24 Apr 2019 02:15 Indramaju Indonesia  0.1
25 Apr 2019 02:45 Dendang Indonesia  0.1
24 Apr 2019 14:45 Losan Indonesia  0.1
24 Apr 2019 15:15 Bulakamba Indonesia  0.1
24 Apr 2019 15:00 Klampok Indonesia  0.1
25 Apr 2019 01:15 Kendal Indonesia  0.1
25 Apr 2019 02:45 Batangan Indonesia  0.1
25 Apr 2019 02:45 Rembang Indonesia  0.1
24 Apr 2019 13:45 Petaroekan Indonesia  0.1
24 Apr 2019 13:45 Sigedang Indonesia  0.1
24 Apr 2019 13:45 Pekalongan Indonesia  0.1
25 Apr 2019 03:00 Karangsari Indonesia  0.1
25 Apr 2019 03:00 Taju Indonesia  0.1
25 Apr 2019 03:00 Bulumanis Indonesia  0.1
24 Apr 2019 12:45 Sidja Indonesia  0.1
25 Apr 2019 00:15 Wedung Indonesia  0.1
25 Apr 2019 00:15 Kedungmalang Indonesia  0.1
25 Apr 2019 02:30 Lasem Indonesia  0.1
24 Apr 2019 14:00 Tegal Indonesia  0.1
24 Apr 2019 14:00 Wanasari Indonesia  0.1
24 Apr 2019 13:00 Pemalang Indonesia  0.1
25 Apr 2019 02:15 Padangan-wetan Indonesia  0.1
25 Apr 2019 11:45 Jepara Indonesia  0.1
25 Apr 2019 11:45 Bugel Indonesia  0.1
25 Apr 2019 11:45 Karanggondang Indonesia  0.1