Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for TREVOR-19
in Australia

Impact

Tropical Cyclone TREVOR-19 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries Australia
Exposed population Few people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 194 km/h
Maximum storm surge 1.2 m (23 Mar 02:15 UTC)
Vulnerability Low (Australia)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 194 km/h 0.0 m 666 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 176 km/h 1.3 m 1378 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

176 km/h

Up to Few people in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 20 Mar 2019 18:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
CAT. 1Australia23 
Tropical StormAustralia13,823 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 17 Mar 2019 18:00 140 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 18 Mar 2019 00:00 148 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 18 Mar 2019 06:00 198 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 18 Mar 2019 12:00 202 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 18 Mar 2019 18:00 198 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 19 Mar 2019 00:00 202 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 19 Mar 2019 06:00 202 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 19 Mar 2019 12:00 205 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 19 Mar 2019 18:00 205 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 20 Mar 2019 00:00 205 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 20 Mar 2019 06:00 209 - - - - - - -
GREEN 12 20 Mar 2019 12:00 202 - - - - - - -
GREEN 13 20 Mar 2019 18:00 194 Few people
- - - - Australia
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h




Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 20 Mar 2019 18:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
250-500 mmPapua New Guinea, Australia6,150
+
Papua New Guinea6,138 
Australia12 
100-250 mmIndonesia, Papua New Guinea, Australia757,077
+
Indonesia226,006 
Papua New Guinea496,111 
Australia34,960 
50-100 mmIndonesia, Papua New Guinea, Australia2,525,224
+
Indonesia711,155 
Papua New Guinea1,593,554 
Australia220,515 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 17 Mar 2019 18:00 534 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 18 Mar 2019 00:00 673 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 18 Mar 2019 06:00 802 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 18 Mar 2019 12:00 943 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 18 Mar 2019 18:00 807 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 19 Mar 2019 00:00 901 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 19 Mar 2019 06:00 883 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 19 Mar 2019 12:00 979 - - - - - - -
Blue 9 19 Mar 2019 18:00 1264 - - - - - - -
Blue 10 20 Mar 2019 00:00 726 - - - - - - -
Blue 11 20 Mar 2019 06:00 885 - - - - - - -
Blue 12 20 Mar 2019 12:00 995 - - - - - - -
Blue 13 20 Mar 2019 18:00 666 760 thousand
- - - Indonesia, Papua New Guinea, Australia




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

1.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  1.2m in Karumba, Australia. This height is estimated for 23 Mar 2019 02:15 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 20 Mar 2019 18:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
23 Mar 2019 02:15 Karumba Australia  1.2
23 Mar 2019 10:00 Bing Bong Australia  0.9
23 Mar 2019 07:30 Alyangula Australia  0.8
23 Mar 2019 07:45 Numbulwar Australia  0.7
21 Mar 2019 00:45 Hammond I Australia  0.7
21 Mar 2019 00:45 Port Kennedy Australia  0.7
20 Mar 2019 22:45 Weipa Australia  0.6
20 Mar 2019 22:45 Weipa South Australia  0.6
20 Mar 2019 20:45 Mapoon Australia  0.6
21 Mar 2019 01:00 Badu Australia  0.5
22 Mar 2019 21:30 Kowanyama Australia  0.5
21 Mar 2019 00:00 Cowel Creek Australia  0.5
21 Mar 2019 00:00 Seisia Australia  0.5
23 Mar 2019 02:30 Kulinchin Australia  0.4
21 Mar 2019 02:00 Running Creek Australia  0.4
21 Mar 2019 07:45 Sarire Indonesia  0.4
21 Mar 2019 07:45 Tamarike Indonesia  0.4
21 Mar 2019 07:45 Tamerau Indonesia  0.4
21 Mar 2019 00:30 Bamaga Australia  0.4
21 Mar 2019 00:30 Cape York Australia  0.4
21 Mar 2019 03:00 Bula Papua New Guinea  0.4
21 Mar 2019 03:00 Jara Papua New Guinea  0.4
21 Mar 2019 02:00 Barattar Indonesia  0.4
21 Mar 2019 02:00 Kondomiraf Indonesia  0.4
21 Mar 2019 03:15 Mari Papua New Guinea  0.4
21 Mar 2019 07:30 Urum Indonesia  0.4
21 Mar 2019 07:30 Merauke Indonesia  0.4
21 Mar 2019 07:30 Daub Indonesia  0.4
23 Mar 2019 12:45 Boigu Australia  0.3
23 Mar 2019 12:45 Bugi Papua New Guinea  0.3
23 Mar 2019 03:30 Caburinga Village Australia  0.3
21 Mar 2019 07:45 Matara Indonesia  0.3
23 Mar 2019 13:00 Tais Papua New Guinea  0.3
23 Mar 2019 09:30 Onggalie Indonesia  0.3
23 Mar 2019 09:30 Kumbe Indonesia  0.3
23 Mar 2019 09:30 Anansai Indonesia  0.3
23 Mar 2019 09:30 Wendu Indonesia  0.3
21 Mar 2019 02:45 Aloszville Australia  0.3
23 Mar 2019 13:30 Dauan Australia  0.3
23 Mar 2019 13:15 Sidabadu Papua New Guinea  0.3
23 Mar 2019 13:15 Saibai Australia  0.3
23 Mar 2019 13:15 Hamlet of Togo Papua New Guinea  0.3
23 Mar 2019 13:15 Mabaduan Papua New Guinea  0.3
23 Mar 2019 09:15 Dumande Indonesia  0.3
23 Mar 2019 09:15 Alakoe Indonesia  0.3
23 Mar 2019 09:15 Alatepi Indonesia  0.3
23 Mar 2019 09:15 Kotad Indonesia  0.3
23 Mar 2019 09:15 Moegaigare Indonesia  0.3
23 Mar 2019 09:00 Okaba Indonesia  0.3
23 Mar 2019 09:00 Kobiem Indonesia  0.3
23 Mar 2019 05:00 Nhulunbuy Australia  0.3
23 Mar 2019 05:00 Gove Australia  0.3
23 Mar 2019 05:00 Yirrkala Mission Australia  0.3
23 Mar 2019 05:00 Yirrkala Australia  0.3
23 Mar 2019 10:45 Kandala Jawal Indonesia  0.3
23 Mar 2019 10:45 Wamal Indonesia  0.3
23 Mar 2019 10:45 Gelib Indonesia  0.3
23 Mar 2019 10:45 Dokib Indonesia  0.3
23 Mar 2019 14:30 Waidoro Papua New Guinea  0.3
21 Mar 2019 18:45 Cooktown Australia  0.3
23 Mar 2019 15:15 Ture Ture Papua New Guinea  0.3
23 Mar 2019 15:15 Boze Papua New Guinea  0.3
23 Mar 2019 15:15 Ume Papua New Guinea  0.3
23 Mar 2019 15:15 Daru Papua New Guinea  0.3
23 Mar 2019 15:15 Dorogari Papua New Guinea  0.3
23 Mar 2019 10:00 Welab Indonesia  0.3
23 Mar 2019 10:30 Dodalim Indonesia  0.3
23 Mar 2019 10:30 Yulbabuti Indonesia  0.3
23 Mar 2019 10:30 Papisote Indonesia  0.3
21 Mar 2019 22:45 Soeam Indonesia  0.3
23 Mar 2019 14:30 Kadawa Papua New Guinea  0.3
21 Mar 2019 19:30 Elim Australia  0.2
21 Mar 2019 22:15 Heits Indonesia  0.2
22 Mar 2019 14:15 Coolbie Australia  0.2
22 Mar 2019 14:15 Mutarnee Australia  0.2
22 Mar 2019 14:15 Moongobulla Australia  0.2
22 Mar 2019 07:45 Aibinio Papua New Guinea  0.2
22 Mar 2019 07:45 Gesco Papua New Guinea  0.2
22 Mar 2019 07:45 Dameramuda Papua New Guinea  0.2
22 Mar 2019 07:45 Umuda I Papua New Guinea  0.2
22 Mar 2019 08:00 Segero Papua New Guinea  0.2
22 Mar 2019 08:00 Dibiri Papua New Guinea  0.2
22 Mar 2019 08:00 Oropai Papua New Guinea  0.2
22 Mar 2019 08:00 Tirere Papua New Guinea  0.2
22 Mar 2019 08:00 Maipani Papua New Guinea  0.2
22 Mar 2019 07:30 Amagoa Papua New Guinea  0.2
22 Mar 2019 07:30 Tugara Papua New Guinea  0.2
22 Mar 2019 07:30 Bina No 1 Papua New Guinea  0.2
22 Mar 2019 11:30 Auti Papua New Guinea  0.2
22 Mar 2019 11:30 Daware Papua New Guinea  0.2
22 Mar 2019 11:30 Mibu Papua New Guinea  0.2
22 Mar 2019 11:30 Iasa Papua New Guinea  0.2
22 Mar 2019 11:15 Sepi Papua New Guinea  0.2
22 Mar 2019 14:00 Rollingstone Australia  0.2
22 Mar 2019 14:00 Kinduro Australia  0.2
22 Mar 2019 14:30 Cassady Australia  0.2
21 Mar 2019 19:00 Mossman Australia  0.2
21 Mar 2019 19:00 Miallo Australia  0.2
21 Mar 2019 19:00 Wonga Australia  0.2
21 Mar 2019 19:00 Port Douglas Australia  0.2
22 Mar 2019 07:30 Orapoi Papua New Guinea  0.2
22 Mar 2019 07:30 Bunigi Papua New Guinea  0.2
22 Mar 2019 14:00 Halifax Australia  0.2
22 Mar 2019 14:00 Lucinda Australia  0.2
22 Mar 2019 00:00 Trinity Beach Australia  0.2
22 Mar 2019 00:00 Barron Falls Australia  0.2
22 Mar 2019 00:00 Freshwater Australia  0.2
22 Mar 2019 00:00 Yorkeys Knob Australia  0.2
22 Mar 2019 00:00 Stratford Australia  0.2
22 Mar 2019 00:00 Woree Australia  0.2
22 Mar 2019 00:00 Edge Hill Australia  0.2
22 Mar 2019 00:00 White Rock Australia  0.2
22 Mar 2019 00:00 Cairns Australia  0.2
22 Mar 2019 00:00 Yarrabah Aboriginal Community Australia  0.2
22 Mar 2019 17:15 Rita Island Australia  0.2
21 Mar 2019 19:30 Hockley Australia  0.2
22 Mar 2019 13:30 Pallarenda Australia  0.2
22 Mar 2019 13:30 Belgian Gardens Australia  0.2
22 Mar 2019 13:30 Townsville Australia  0.2
22 Mar 2019 13:30 Oonoonba Australia  0.2
22 Mar 2019 13:30 Cluden Australia  0.2
22 Mar 2019 13:30 Oolbun Australia  0.2
22 Mar 2019 11:15 Ipisia Papua New Guinea  0.2
22 Mar 2019 06:45 Buniki Papua New Guinea  0.2
22 Mar 2019 06:45 Giwaretore Papua New Guinea  0.2
22 Mar 2019 06:45 Ibou Papua New Guinea  0.2
22 Mar 2019 06:45 Mapoi'a Papua New Guinea  0.2
22 Mar 2019 11:00 Katatai Papua New Guinea  0.2
22 Mar 2019 11:00 Sui Papua New Guinea  0.2
22 Mar 2019 11:00 Parama Papua New Guinea  0.2
23 Mar 2019 12:30 Ok Village Australia  0.2
21 Mar 2019 14:30 Ayton Australia  0.2
22 Mar 2019 09:45 Agobara Papua New Guinea  0.2
22 Mar 2019 09:45 Samari Papua New Guinea  0.2
22 Mar 2019 09:45 Oromosapuo Papua New Guinea  0.2
23 Mar 2019 01:00 Lower Tully Australia  0.2
23 Mar 2019 01:00 Cardwell Australia  0.2
22 Mar 2019 07:00 Misiki Papua New Guinea  0.2
22 Mar 2019 07:00 Gibu Papua New Guinea  0.2
22 Mar 2019 07:00 Morigio I Papua New Guinea  0.2
23 Mar 2019 09:15 Komoran Indonesia  0.2
21 Mar 2019 21:30 Taroea Anim Indonesia  0.2
22 Mar 2019 06:45 Ekeirau Papua New Guinea  0.2
21 Mar 2019 21:15 Sabon Indonesia  0.2
22 Mar 2019 06:30 Pai-a Papua New Guinea  0.2
21 Mar 2019 22:45 Innisfail Australia  0.2
21 Mar 2019 23:15 Edmonton Australia  0.2
21 Mar 2019 23:15 Kamma Australia  0.2
22 Mar 2019 00:30 South Mission Beach Australia  0.2
23 Mar 2019 03:30 Alva Australia  0.2
22 Mar 2019 06:15 Namaituri Papua New Guinea  0.2
22 Mar 2019 06:15 Goari Papua New Guinea  0.2
22 Mar 2019 06:15 Ubua Papua New Guinea  0.2
21 Mar 2019 22:15 Deeral Australia  0.2
21 Mar 2019 23:15 Bellenden Ker Australia  0.2
22 Mar 2019 09:15 Moinamu Papua New Guinea  0.2
22 Mar 2019 09:15 Dopima Papua New Guinea  0.2
22 Mar 2019 09:15 Babai Papua New Guinea  0.2
22 Mar 2019 08:45 Avioua Papua New Guinea  0.2
22 Mar 2019 08:45 Veraibari Papua New Guinea  0.2
22 Mar 2019 08:45 Mirimairau Papua New Guinea  0.2
22 Mar 2019 08:45 Uramu I Papua New Guinea  0.2
22 Mar 2019 08:45 Kaivu Papua New Guinea  0.2
22 Mar 2019 16:00 Merinda Australia  0.2
22 Mar 2019 16:00 Delta Australia  0.2
22 Mar 2019 16:00 Bootooloo Australia  0.2
22 Mar 2019 16:00 Inveroona Australia  0.2
22 Mar 2019 16:00 Queens Beach Australia  0.2
22 Mar 2019 16:00 Bowen Australia  0.2
22 Mar 2019 16:00 Yumbabullo Australia  0.2
23 Mar 2019 03:15 Jarvisfield Australia  0.2
22 Mar 2019 09:00 Moravamu Papua New Guinea  0.2
22 Mar 2019 09:00 Kamaua Papua New Guinea  0.2
22 Mar 2019 09:30 Mairipepea Papua New Guinea  0.2
23 Mar 2019 05:30 Domara Papua New Guinea  0.2
23 Mar 2019 05:30 Badubadu Papua New Guinea  0.2
23 Mar 2019 05:30 Babauguina Plantation Papua New Guinea  0.2
23 Mar 2019 05:30 Si'ini Papua New Guinea  0.2
22 Mar 2019 09:15 Mira Papua New Guinea  0.2
22 Mar 2019 16:15 Mookarra Australia  0.2
22 Mar 2019 03:30 Buru Papua New Guinea  0.2
22 Mar 2019 03:30 Kupiano Papua New Guinea  0.2
22 Mar 2019 03:30 Gavuone Papua New Guinea  0.2
22 Mar 2019 03:30 Kapari Papua New Guinea  0.2
22 Mar 2019 03:30 Baramata Number 1 Papua New Guinea  0.2
22 Mar 2019 03:30 Dom Papua New Guinea  0.2
22 Mar 2019 09:15 Mariki Papua New Guinea  0.2
21 Mar 2019 22:00 Dolatanden Indonesia  0.2
22 Mar 2019 09:15 Koravaki Papua New Guinea  0.2
22 Mar 2019 19:30 Babiko Papua New Guinea  0.2
22 Mar 2019 19:30 Inauaia Papua New Guinea  0.2
22 Mar 2019 19:30 Pinupaka Papua New Guinea  0.2
22 Mar 2019 19:30 Kairuku Papua New Guinea  0.2
22 Mar 2019 19:30 Nicora Papua New Guinea  0.2
22 Mar 2019 03:15 Elava Papua New Guinea  0.2
22 Mar 2019 03:15 Kukipi Papua New Guinea  0.2
22 Mar 2019 03:15 Malalaua Papua New Guinea  0.2
22 Mar 2019 03:15 Terapo Mission Papua New Guinea  0.2
22 Mar 2019 03:15 Kapuri Papua New Guinea  0.2
22 Mar 2019 17:00 Cannon Valley Australia  0.2
22 Mar 2019 17:00 Windermere Australia  0.2
22 Mar 2019 17:00 Cannonvale Australia  0.2
22 Mar 2019 17:00 Airlie Australia  0.2
22 Mar 2019 04:30 Palathaona Papua New Guinea  0.2
23 Mar 2019 03:30 Manu Mana Papua New Guinea  0.2
23 Mar 2019 03:30 Kido Papua New Guinea  0.2
23 Mar 2019 03:30 Gorohu Papua New Guinea  0.2
23 Mar 2019 03:30 Lea-Lea Papua New Guinea  0.2
23 Mar 2019 03:30 Porebada Papua New Guinea  0.2
22 Mar 2019 04:00 Gemo Papua New Guinea  0.2
22 Mar 2019 04:00 Kamali Papua New Guinea  0.2
22 Mar 2019 04:00 Kalo Papua New Guinea  0.2
22 Mar 2019 04:00 Keapara Papua New Guinea  0.2
22 Mar 2019 04:00 Maopa No 1 Papua New Guinea  0.2
22 Mar 2019 04:00 Gaivakala Papua New Guinea  0.2
22 Mar 2019 03:30 Uamai No 1 Papua New Guinea  0.2
22 Mar 2019 09:30 Kinipo Papua New Guinea  0.2
22 Mar 2019 03:00 Avihara Papua New Guinea  0.2
22 Mar 2019 03:00 Iokea Papua New Guinea  0.2
22 Mar 2019 03:00 Moru Papua New Guinea  0.2
23 Mar 2019 09:00 Pasirputih Indonesia  0.2
22 Mar 2019 09:15 Ara'ava Papua New Guinea  0.2
23 Mar 2019 03:30 Kaparaka Papua New Guinea  0.2
22 Mar 2019 07:30 Apiope Papua New Guinea  0.2
22 Mar 2019 07:30 Akoma Papua New Guinea  0.2
23 Mar 2019 04:00 Oroi Papua New Guinea  0.2
23 Mar 2019 04:00 Obo Mission Papua New Guinea  0.2
23 Mar 2019 04:00 Hisiu Papua New Guinea  0.2
23 Mar 2019 04:00 Totoo Papua New Guinea  0.2
23 Mar 2019 04:45 Kivori-Kui Papua New Guinea  0.2
23 Mar 2019 04:45 Roro-Ariara-Waima Papua New Guinea  0.2
23 Mar 2019 03:45 Gabone Papua New Guinea  0.2
22 Mar 2019 08:00 Vailala Hiloi Papua New Guinea  0.2
22 Mar 2019 08:00 Vailala East Papua New Guinea  0.2
22 Mar 2019 08:00 Karokaro Papua New Guinea  0.2
22 Mar 2019 03:30 Biaru Papua New Guinea  0.2
22 Mar 2019 07:30 Kapai Papua New Guinea  0.2
23 Mar 2019 03:30 Gabagaba Papua New Guinea  0.2
23 Mar 2019 03:30 Umugau Papua New Guinea  0.2
21 Mar 2019 21:15 Kladar Indonesia  0.2
21 Mar 2019 21:15 Tor Indonesia  0.2
23 Mar 2019 03:45 Gaire No 1 Papua New Guinea  0.2
23 Mar 2019 03:45 Sabuia Papua New Guinea  0.2
23 Mar 2019 03:45 Manugoro Papua New Guinea  0.2
22 Mar 2019 08:00 Marea Papua New Guinea  0.2
22 Mar 2019 08:00 Iuku Papua New Guinea  0.2
23 Mar 2019 05:00 Kila Kila Papua New Guinea  0.2
23 Mar 2019 05:00 Pari School Papua New Guinea  0.2
23 Mar 2019 05:00 Tubusereia Papua New Guinea  0.2
23 Mar 2019 05:00 Rabuka Papua New Guinea  0.2
23 Mar 2019 05:00 Barakau Papua New Guinea  0.2
23 Mar 2019 05:00 Dabunari Papua New Guinea  0.2
23 Mar 2019 05:00 Dagoda Papua New Guinea  0.2
22 Mar 2019 03:30 Port Moresby Papua New Guinea  0.2
23 Mar 2019 04:00 Aivebadina Papua New Guinea  0.2
23 Mar 2019 04:00 Lolorua Papua New Guinea  0.2
22 Mar 2019 03:30 Murua Papua New Guinea  0.2
22 Mar 2019 03:30 Kerema Papua New Guinea  0.2
22 Mar 2019 08:00 Herekera Papua New Guinea  0.2
22 Mar 2019 08:00 Haiara Papua New Guinea  0.2
22 Mar 2019 07:30 Ravi-kevau Papua New Guinea  0.2
22 Mar 2019 08:30 Ihu Papua New Guinea  0.2
22 Mar 2019 08:30 Iori Papua New Guinea  0.2
22 Mar 2019 08:30 Opa Papua New Guinea  0.2
22 Mar 2019 07:45 Kea Kea Papua New Guinea  0.2
22 Mar 2019 03:30 Petoe Papua New Guinea  0.1
22 Mar 2019 08:30 Belepa Papua New Guinea  0.1
22 Mar 2019 08:30 Ovahuhu Papua New Guinea  0.1
22 Mar 2019 08:30 Aivau Papua New Guinea  0.1
22 Mar 2019 08:30 Kapide Papua New Guinea  0.1
22 Mar 2019 03:15 Mamura Papua New Guinea  0.1
23 Mar 2019 09:00 Selemit Indonesia  0.1
23 Mar 2019 09:00 Konerau Indonesia  0.1
22 Mar 2019 00:00 Biwarlaut Indonesia  0.1
22 Mar 2019 00:00 Jow Indonesia  0.1
22 Mar 2019 00:00 Otsjanep Indonesia  0.1
23 Mar 2019 09:00 Wan Indonesia  0.1
21 Mar 2019 20:00 Birab Indonesia  0.1
21 Mar 2019 23:45 Per Indonesia  0.1
21 Mar 2019 23:45 Amborip Indonesia  0.1