Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for TREVOR-19 in Australia from 17 Mar 2019 18:00 UTC to 23 Mar 2019 00:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for TREVOR-19

in Australia

click on

to select bulletin time

Meteorological source:

GDACS JTWC

Impact Single TC

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone TREVOR-19 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	GFS
Exposed countries	Australia
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	140 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.8 m (20 Mar 18:00 UTC)
Vulnerability	Low (Australia)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
GFS Current	140 km/h	0.0 m	534 mm	0.5
GFS Overall	176 km/h	1.3 m	1378 mm	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 17 Mar 2019 18:00 UTC

Category	Country	Population
Tropical Storm	Australia	6,513

See TC classification SSHS

Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

Alert	N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Pop in Cat. 1 or higher	TS	Cat. 1	Cat. 2	Cat. 3	Cat. 4	Cat. 5	Countries
	1	17 Mar 2019 18:00	140	-		-	-	-	-	-	Australia

Download:

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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Rainfall

1378 mm

Up to 1.2 million can be affected by rain higher than 100mm (see SSHS)

Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 17 Mar 2019 18:00 UTC

Level	Country	Population
500-750 mm	Papua New Guinea	28
250-500 mm	Papua New Guinea, Australia	63,286	+
	Papua New Guinea	58,258
	Australia	5,028
100-250 mm	Indonesia, Papua New Guinea, Australia	1,098,241	+
	Indonesia	178,791
	Papua New Guinea	897,766
	Australia	21,684
50-100 mm	Indonesia, Papua New Guinea, Australia	2,747,153	+
	Indonesia	680,537
	Papua New Guinea	1,950,180
	Other countries	45
	Australia	116,391

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

Alert	N°	Date (UTC)	Max Rainfall (mm)	Pop >100mm or higher	50-100	100-250	250-500	500-750	750-1000	>1000	Countries
	1	17 Mar 2019 18:00	534	1.2 million					-	-	Indonesia, Papua New Guinea, Other countries, Australia

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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StormSurge

0.8 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.8m in Mapoon, Australia. This height is estimated for 20 Mar 2019 18:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 17 Mar 2019 18:00 UTC

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	20 Mar 2019 18:00	Mapoon	Australia	0.8
	20 Mar 2019 13:30	Hammond I	Australia	0.5
	20 Mar 2019 13:30	Port Kennedy	Australia	0.5
	20 Mar 2019 13:45	Badu	Australia	0.5
	20 Mar 2019 14:15	Cowel Creek	Australia	0.5
	20 Mar 2019 14:15	Seisia	Australia	0.5
	19 Mar 2019 13:45	Running Creek	Australia	0.4
	20 Mar 2019 08:45	Anansai	Indonesia	0.4
	20 Mar 2019 08:45	Wendu	Indonesia	0.4
	20 Mar 2019 08:45	Matara	Indonesia	0.4
	20 Mar 2019 08:45	Urum	Indonesia	0.4
	20 Mar 2019 08:45	Merauke	Indonesia	0.4
	20 Mar 2019 08:45	Sarire	Indonesia	0.4
	20 Mar 2019 08:45	Daub	Indonesia	0.4
	19 Mar 2019 13:15	Aloszville	Australia	0.4
	20 Mar 2019 14:30	Bamaga	Australia	0.3
	20 Mar 2019 14:30	Cape York	Australia	0.3
	18 Mar 2019 01:00	Soeam	Indonesia	0.2
	20 Mar 2019 18:00	Cooktown	Australia	0.2
	20 Mar 2019 08:15	Kobiem	Indonesia	0.2
	20 Mar 2019 08:15	Okaba	Indonesia	0.2
	20 Mar 2019 08:15	Moegaigare	Indonesia	0.2
	20 Mar 2019 08:15	Alakoe	Indonesia	0.2
	20 Mar 2019 18:00	Ayton	Australia	0.2
	20 Mar 2019 18:00	Elim	Australia	0.2
	20 Mar 2019 18:00	Wonga	Australia	0.2
	20 Mar 2019 18:00	Mossman	Australia	0.2
	20 Mar 2019 18:00	Miallo	Australia	0.2
	20 Mar 2019 18:00	Port Douglas	Australia	0.2
	20 Mar 2019 18:00	Hockley	Australia	0.2
	20 Mar 2019 18:00	Trinity Beach	Australia	0.1
	20 Mar 2019 18:00	Barron Falls	Australia	0.1
	20 Mar 2019 18:00	Yorkeys Knob	Australia	0.1
	20 Mar 2019 18:00	Taroea Anim	Indonesia	0.1
	20 Mar 2019 18:00	Freshwater	Australia	0.1
	20 Mar 2019 18:00	Stratford	Australia	0.1
	20 Mar 2019 18:00	Edge Hill	Australia	0.1
	20 Mar 2019 18:00	Yarrabah Aboriginal Community	Australia	0.1
	20 Mar 2019 16:30	Lower Tully	Australia	0.1
	20 Mar 2019 16:30	South Mission Beach	Australia	0.1
	20 Mar 2019 18:00	Woree	Australia	0.1
	20 Mar 2019 18:00	White Rock	Australia	0.1
	20 Mar 2019 18:00	Cairns	Australia	0.1
	20 Mar 2019 18:00	Kamma	Australia	0.1
	20 Mar 2019 18:00	Deeral	Australia	0.1
	18 Mar 2019 02:00	Mutarnee	Australia	0.1
	18 Mar 2019 02:00	Moongobulla	Australia	0.1
	18 Mar 2019 02:00	Rollingstone	Australia	0.1
	18 Mar 2019 02:00	Kinduro	Australia	0.1
	20 Mar 2019 18:00	Bellenden Ker	Australia	0.1
	20 Mar 2019 17:00	Halifax	Australia	0.1
	20 Mar 2019 17:00	Cassady	Australia	0.1
	20 Mar 2019 17:00	Lucinda	Australia	0.1
	20 Mar 2019 17:30	Pallarenda	Australia	0.1
	20 Mar 2019 17:30	Belgian Gardens	Australia	0.1
	20 Mar 2019 17:30	Townsville	Australia	0.1
	20 Mar 2019 17:30	Oonoonba	Australia	0.1
	20 Mar 2019 17:30	Cluden	Australia	0.1
	20 Mar 2019 17:30	Oolbun	Australia	0.1
	20 Mar 2019 16:45	Innisfail	Australia	0.1
	19 Mar 2019 09:15	New Garara	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Mar 2019 09:15	Buna	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Mar 2019 09:15	Boreo	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Mar 2019 09:15	Embogo Training Centre	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Mar 2019 09:15	Garuro	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	20 Mar 2019 08:15	Daru	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	20 Mar 2019 09:15	Agobara	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	20 Mar 2019 09:15	Samari	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	20 Mar 2019 09:15	Oromosapuo	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	20 Mar 2019 10:00	Ibou	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	20 Mar 2019 08:15	Parama	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	20 Mar 2019 08:45	Daware	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	20 Mar 2019 08:45	Sui	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	20 Mar 2019 08:45	Mibu	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	20 Mar 2019 08:45	Iasa	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	20 Mar 2019 08:45	Ipisia	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	20 Mar 2019 10:00	Mapoi'a	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	20 Mar 2019 09:30	Umuda I	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	20 Mar 2019 09:30	Aibinio	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	20 Mar 2019 09:30	Gesco	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	20 Mar 2019 09:30	Dameramuda	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	20 Mar 2019 09:45	Giwaretore	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	20 Mar 2019 08:15	Katatai	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	20 Mar 2019 05:45	Komoran	Indonesia	0.1
	20 Mar 2019 09:45	Gibu	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	20 Mar 2019 10:30	Goari	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	20 Mar 2019 17:45	Jarvisfield	Australia	0.1
	20 Mar 2019 17:45	Alva	Australia	0.1
	20 Mar 2019 17:45	Rita Island	Australia	0.1
	20 Mar 2019 10:30	Ekeirau	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	20 Mar 2019 10:30	Namaituri	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	20 Mar 2019 10:30	Dopima	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	20 Mar 2019 08:15	Morigio I	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	20 Mar 2019 08:15	Pai-a	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	20 Mar 2019 10:15	Avioua	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	20 Mar 2019 10:15	Ubua	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	20 Mar 2019 09:45	Babai	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	20 Mar 2019 09:45	Veraibari	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	20 Mar 2019 10:00	Mirimairau	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	20 Mar 2019 10:00	Uramu I	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	20 Mar 2019 10:00	Kaivu	Papua New Guinea	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.