Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for TREVOR-19
in Australia

Impact

Tropical Cyclone TREVOR-19 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries Australia
Exposed population Few people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 198 km/h
Maximum storm surge 1.5 m (20 Mar 10:30 UTC)
Vulnerability Low (Australia)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 198 km/h 0.0 m 802 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 176 km/h 1.3 m 1378 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

176 km/h

Up to Few people in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 18 Mar 2019 06:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
CAT. 1Australia25 
Tropical StormAustralia7,104 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 17 Mar 2019 18:00 140 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 18 Mar 2019 00:00 148 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 18 Mar 2019 06:00 198 Few people
- - - - Australia
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h




Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 18 Mar 2019 06:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
500-750 mmPapua New Guinea, Australia283
+
Papua New Guinea277 
Australia06 
250-500 mmPapua New Guinea, Australia66,779
+
Papua New Guinea58,173 
Australia8,606 
100-250 mmIndonesia, Papua New Guinea, Australia1,299,643
+
Indonesia146,321 
Papua New Guinea982,806 
Australia170,516 
50-100 mmIndonesia, Papua New Guinea, Australia2,216,256
+
Indonesia460,819 
Papua New Guinea1,702,106 
Other countries45 
Australia53,286 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 17 Mar 2019 18:00 534 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 18 Mar 2019 00:00 673 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 18 Mar 2019 06:00 802 1.4 million
- - Indonesia, Papua New Guinea, Other countries, Australia




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

1.5 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  1.5m in Weipa, Australia. This height is estimated for 20 Mar 2019 10:30 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 18 Mar 2019 06:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
20 Mar 2019 10:30 Weipa Australia  1.5
20 Mar 2019 10:30 Weipa South Australia  1.5
20 Mar 2019 09:45 Mapoon Australia  0.9
21 Mar 2019 01:30 Hammond I Australia  0.8
21 Mar 2019 01:30 Port Kennedy Australia  0.8
21 Mar 2019 01:30 Badu Australia  0.6
19 Mar 2019 05:45 Running Creek Australia  0.6
21 Mar 2019 01:00 Cowel Creek Australia  0.5
21 Mar 2019 01:00 Seisia Australia  0.5
20 Mar 2019 07:45 Sarire Indonesia  0.4
20 Mar 2019 07:45 Tamarike Indonesia  0.4
20 Mar 2019 07:45 Tamerau Indonesia  0.4
21 Mar 2019 03:15 Bamaga Australia  0.4
21 Mar 2019 03:15 Cape York Australia  0.4
20 Mar 2019 07:30 Urum Indonesia  0.4
20 Mar 2019 07:30 Merauke Indonesia  0.4
20 Mar 2019 07:30 Daub Indonesia  0.4
20 Mar 2019 10:00 Barattar Indonesia  0.4
21 Mar 2019 06:00 Kondomiraf Indonesia  0.4
21 Mar 2019 03:00 Jara Papua New Guinea  0.4
21 Mar 2019 03:00 Bula Papua New Guinea  0.4
21 Mar 2019 03:15 Mari Papua New Guinea  0.4
20 Mar 2019 07:15 Matara Indonesia  0.4
19 Mar 2019 06:30 Aloszville Australia  0.4
19 Mar 2019 21:15 Cooktown Australia  0.3
20 Mar 2019 07:00 Anansai Indonesia  0.3
20 Mar 2019 07:00 Wendu Indonesia  0.3
20 Mar 2019 07:30 Kumbe Indonesia  0.3
20 Mar 2019 07:00 Onggalie Indonesia  0.3
21 Mar 2019 06:00 Dumande Indonesia  0.3
19 Mar 2019 20:30 Elim Australia  0.3
21 Mar 2019 06:00 Kotad Indonesia  0.3
21 Mar 2019 06:00 Alatepi Indonesia  0.3
21 Mar 2019 06:00 Alakoe Indonesia  0.3
21 Mar 2019 06:00 Moegaigare Indonesia  0.3
21 Mar 2019 06:00 Okaba Indonesia  0.3
21 Mar 2019 06:00 Kobiem Indonesia  0.3
20 Mar 2019 07:15 Soeam Indonesia  0.3
21 Mar 2019 06:00 Welab Indonesia  0.2
21 Mar 2019 06:00 Papisote Indonesia  0.2
20 Mar 2019 07:30 Heits Indonesia  0.2
21 Mar 2019 05:30 Gelib Indonesia  0.2
21 Mar 2019 05:30 Dokib Indonesia  0.2
21 Mar 2019 05:45 Wamal Indonesia  0.2
21 Mar 2019 05:15 Dodalim Indonesia  0.2
21 Mar 2019 05:15 Yulbabuti Indonesia  0.2
21 Mar 2019 05:30 Kandala Jawal Indonesia  0.2
21 Mar 2019 03:15 Trinity Beach Australia  0.2
21 Mar 2019 03:15 Barron Falls Australia  0.2
21 Mar 2019 03:15 Freshwater Australia  0.2
21 Mar 2019 03:15 Yorkeys Knob Australia  0.2
21 Mar 2019 03:15 Stratford Australia  0.2
21 Mar 2019 03:15 Woree Australia  0.2
21 Mar 2019 03:15 Edge Hill Australia  0.2
21 Mar 2019 03:15 White Rock Australia  0.2
21 Mar 2019 03:15 Cairns Australia  0.2
21 Mar 2019 03:15 Yarrabah Aboriginal Community Australia  0.2
19 Mar 2019 19:30 Mossman Australia  0.2
19 Mar 2019 19:30 Miallo Australia  0.2
19 Mar 2019 19:30 Wonga Australia  0.2
19 Mar 2019 19:30 Port Douglas Australia  0.2
21 Mar 2019 03:30 Hockley Australia  0.2
21 Mar 2019 02:30 Pallarenda Australia  0.2
21 Mar 2019 02:30 Belgian Gardens Australia  0.2
21 Mar 2019 02:30 Townsville Australia  0.2
21 Mar 2019 02:30 Oonoonba Australia  0.2
21 Mar 2019 02:30 Cluden Australia  0.2
21 Mar 2019 02:30 Oolbun Australia  0.2
18 Mar 2019 10:00 Taroea Anim Indonesia  0.2
21 Mar 2019 05:45 Komoran Indonesia  0.2
21 Mar 2019 05:15 Rita Island Australia  0.2
19 Mar 2019 20:45 Ayton Australia  0.2
21 Mar 2019 03:30 Innisfail Australia  0.2
21 Mar 2019 05:45 Iasa Papua New Guinea  0.2
21 Mar 2019 05:45 Aibinio Papua New Guinea  0.2
21 Mar 2019 05:45 Ipisia Papua New Guinea  0.2
21 Mar 2019 05:45 Agobara Papua New Guinea  0.2
21 Mar 2019 05:45 Samari Papua New Guinea  0.2
21 Mar 2019 05:45 Gesco Papua New Guinea  0.2
21 Mar 2019 05:45 Oromosapuo Papua New Guinea  0.2
21 Mar 2019 05:45 Dameramuda Papua New Guinea  0.2
21 Mar 2019 05:45 Umuda I Papua New Guinea  0.2
20 Mar 2019 03:30 Sabon Indonesia  0.2
21 Mar 2019 06:00 Daru Papua New Guinea  0.2
21 Mar 2019 06:00 Dorogari Papua New Guinea  0.2
21 Mar 2019 06:00 Katatai Papua New Guinea  0.2
21 Mar 2019 06:00 Parama Papua New Guinea  0.2
21 Mar 2019 03:15 Kamma Australia  0.2
20 Mar 2019 13:45 Lower Tully Australia  0.2
20 Mar 2019 13:45 Cardwell Australia  0.2
21 Mar 2019 03:00 Deeral Australia  0.2
21 Mar 2019 03:00 Bellenden Ker Australia  0.2
21 Mar 2019 02:00 Coolbie Australia  0.2
21 Mar 2019 02:00 Mutarnee Australia  0.2
21 Mar 2019 02:00 Moongobulla Australia  0.2
21 Mar 2019 06:00 Sui Papua New Guinea  0.2
20 Mar 2019 22:00 Edmonton Australia  0.2
21 Mar 2019 06:00 Mibu Papua New Guinea  0.2
21 Mar 2019 01:45 Rollingstone Australia  0.2
21 Mar 2019 01:45 Kinduro Australia  0.2
21 Mar 2019 03:30 South Mission Beach Australia  0.2
21 Mar 2019 06:00 Daware Papua New Guinea  0.2
20 Mar 2019 06:45 Misiki Papua New Guinea  0.1
20 Mar 2019 06:45 Giwaretore Papua New Guinea  0.1
20 Mar 2019 06:45 Gibu Papua New Guinea  0.1
20 Mar 2019 06:45 Morigio I Papua New Guinea  0.1
20 Mar 2019 06:45 Mapoi'a Papua New Guinea  0.1
21 Mar 2019 01:30 Cassady Australia  0.1
21 Mar 2019 00:45 Halifax Australia  0.1
21 Mar 2019 00:45 Lucinda Australia  0.1
21 Mar 2019 05:30 Alva Australia  0.1
18 Mar 2019 08:30 Dolatanden Indonesia  0.1
20 Mar 2019 03:45 Kladar Indonesia  0.1
20 Mar 2019 03:45 Tor Indonesia  0.1
21 Mar 2019 02:45 Merinda Australia  0.1
21 Mar 2019 02:45 Delta Australia  0.1
21 Mar 2019 02:45 Bootooloo Australia  0.1
21 Mar 2019 02:45 Inveroona Australia  0.1
21 Mar 2019 02:45 Queens Beach Australia  0.1
21 Mar 2019 02:45 Bowen Australia  0.1
21 Mar 2019 02:45 Yumbabullo Australia  0.1
21 Mar 2019 06:00 Ume Papua New Guinea  0.1
21 Mar 2019 05:00 Babiko Papua New Guinea  0.1
21 Mar 2019 05:00 Inauaia Papua New Guinea  0.1
21 Mar 2019 05:00 Pinupaka Papua New Guinea  0.1
21 Mar 2019 05:00 Kairuku Papua New Guinea  0.1
21 Mar 2019 05:00 Nicora Papua New Guinea  0.1
21 Mar 2019 02:45 Ibou Papua New Guinea  0.1
21 Mar 2019 02:45 Ekeirau Papua New Guinea  0.1
21 Mar 2019 03:30 Dibiri Papua New Guinea  0.1
21 Mar 2019 03:30 Orapoi Papua New Guinea  0.1
21 Mar 2019 03:30 Oropai Papua New Guinea  0.1
21 Mar 2019 03:30 Buniki Papua New Guinea  0.1
21 Mar 2019 03:30 Tirere Papua New Guinea  0.1
21 Mar 2019 03:30 Bina No 1 Papua New Guinea  0.1
21 Mar 2019 03:30 Maipani Papua New Guinea  0.1
21 Mar 2019 03:30 Bunigi Papua New Guinea  0.1
21 Mar 2019 04:15 Segero Papua New Guinea  0.1
21 Mar 2019 04:45 Amagoa Papua New Guinea  0.1
21 Mar 2019 04:45 Tugara Papua New Guinea  0.1
21 Mar 2019 04:30 Domara Papua New Guinea  0.1
21 Mar 2019 04:30 Badubadu Papua New Guinea  0.1
21 Mar 2019 04:30 Babauguina Plantation Papua New Guinea  0.1
21 Mar 2019 04:30 Si'ini Papua New Guinea  0.1
20 Mar 2019 21:00 Numbulwar Australia  0.1
21 Mar 2019 02:45 Pai-a Papua New Guinea  0.1
21 Mar 2019 05:00 Palathaona Papua New Guinea  0.1
21 Mar 2019 05:00 Buru Papua New Guinea  0.1
21 Mar 2019 05:00 Kupiano Papua New Guinea  0.1
21 Mar 2019 05:00 Gavuone Papua New Guinea  0.1
21 Mar 2019 05:00 Kapari Papua New Guinea  0.1
21 Mar 2019 05:45 Baramata Number 1 Papua New Guinea  0.1
21 Mar 2019 05:45 Dom Papua New Guinea  0.1
21 Mar 2019 04:15 Jarvisfield Australia  0.1
21 Mar 2019 02:45 Goari Papua New Guinea  0.1
21 Mar 2019 04:15 Manu Mana Papua New Guinea  0.1
21 Mar 2019 04:15 Kido Papua New Guinea  0.1
21 Mar 2019 04:15 Gorohu Papua New Guinea  0.1
21 Mar 2019 04:15 Lea-Lea Papua New Guinea  0.1
21 Mar 2019 04:15 Porebada Papua New Guinea  0.1
21 Mar 2019 06:00 Auti Papua New Guinea  0.1
20 Mar 2019 07:00 Namaituri Papua New Guinea  0.1
21 Mar 2019 03:30 Mookarra Australia  0.1
21 Mar 2019 02:30 Ubua Papua New Guinea  0.1
21 Mar 2019 05:15 Gemo Papua New Guinea  0.1
21 Mar 2019 05:15 Kamali Papua New Guinea  0.1
21 Mar 2019 05:15 Kalo Papua New Guinea  0.1
21 Mar 2019 05:15 Keapara Papua New Guinea  0.1
21 Mar 2019 05:15 Maopa No 1 Papua New Guinea  0.1
21 Mar 2019 05:15 Gaivakala Papua New Guinea  0.1
21 Mar 2019 05:45 Pasirputih Indonesia  0.1
21 Mar 2019 02:15 Dopima Papua New Guinea  0.1
21 Mar 2019 06:00 Sepi Papua New Guinea  0.1
21 Mar 2019 05:30 Oroi Papua New Guinea  0.1
21 Mar 2019 05:00 Kivori-Kui Papua New Guinea  0.1
21 Mar 2019 05:00 Roro-Ariara-Waima Papua New Guinea  0.1
21 Mar 2019 05:15 Biaru Papua New Guinea  0.1
21 Mar 2019 05:30 Obo Mission Papua New Guinea  0.1
21 Mar 2019 06:00 Avihara Papua New Guinea  0.1
21 Mar 2019 05:45 Hisiu Papua New Guinea  0.1
21 Mar 2019 05:45 Totoo Papua New Guinea  0.1
21 Mar 2019 05:45 Iokea Papua New Guinea  0.1
21 Mar 2019 05:45 Moru Papua New Guinea  0.1
21 Mar 2019 06:00 Uamai No 1 Papua New Guinea  0.1
21 Mar 2019 06:00 Kapuri Papua New Guinea  0.1
21 Mar 2019 05:45 Aivebadina Papua New Guinea  0.1
21 Mar 2019 05:45 Lolorua Papua New Guinea  0.1
21 Mar 2019 02:45 Cannon Valley Australia  0.1
21 Mar 2019 02:45 Windermere Australia  0.1
21 Mar 2019 02:45 Cannonvale Australia  0.1
21 Mar 2019 02:45 Airlie Australia  0.1
21 Mar 2019 04:45 Kukipi Papua New Guinea  0.1
21 Mar 2019 04:45 Terapo Mission Papua New Guinea  0.1
20 Mar 2019 06:45 Avioua Papua New Guinea  0.1
21 Mar 2019 03:00 Ok Village Australia  0.1
21 Mar 2019 05:15 Port Moresby Papua New Guinea  0.1
21 Mar 2019 05:15 Pari School Papua New Guinea  0.1
21 Mar 2019 06:00 Apiope Papua New Guinea  0.1
21 Mar 2019 05:15 Kila Kila Papua New Guinea  0.1
21 Mar 2019 06:00 Vailala Hiloi Papua New Guinea  0.1
21 Mar 2019 06:00 Vailala East Papua New Guinea  0.1
21 Mar 2019 06:00 Karokaro Papua New Guinea  0.1
21 Mar 2019 04:45 Elava Papua New Guinea  0.1
21 Mar 2019 04:45 Malalaua Papua New Guinea  0.1
21 Mar 2019 05:30 Barakau Papua New Guinea  0.1
21 Mar 2019 05:30 Dabunari Papua New Guinea  0.1
21 Mar 2019 05:30 Gabagaba Papua New Guinea  0.1
21 Mar 2019 05:30 Gaire No 1 Papua New Guinea  0.1
21 Mar 2019 05:30 Sabuia Papua New Guinea  0.1
21 Mar 2019 05:30 Manugoro Papua New Guinea  0.1
21 Mar 2019 05:30 Umugau Papua New Guinea  0.1
21 Mar 2019 05:30 Gabone Papua New Guinea  0.1
21 Mar 2019 05:45 Mariki Papua New Guinea  0.1
21 Mar 2019 05:45 Akoma Papua New Guinea  0.1
21 Mar 2019 05:45 Kapai Papua New Guinea  0.1
21 Mar 2019 05:15 Kaparaka Papua New Guinea  0.1
21 Mar 2019 05:30 Tubusereia Papua New Guinea  0.1
21 Mar 2019 05:30 Rabuka Papua New Guinea  0.1
21 Mar 2019 05:30 Dagoda Papua New Guinea  0.1
21 Mar 2019 06:00 Moinamu Papua New Guinea  0.1
21 Mar 2019 06:00 Babai Papua New Guinea  0.1
21 Mar 2019 05:30 Marea Papua New Guinea  0.1
21 Mar 2019 05:30 Iuku Papua New Guinea  0.1
21 Mar 2019 01:00 Moravamu Papua New Guinea  0.1
21 Mar 2019 01:00 Kamaua Papua New Guinea  0.1
21 Mar 2019 01:00 Mira Papua New Guinea  0.1
21 Mar 2019 01:00 Ara'ava Papua New Guinea  0.1
21 Mar 2019 01:00 Kinipo Papua New Guinea  0.1
20 Mar 2019 06:30 Veraibari Papua New Guinea  0.1
20 Mar 2019 06:30 Mirimairau Papua New Guinea  0.1
20 Mar 2019 06:30 Uramu I Papua New Guinea  0.1
20 Mar 2019 06:30 Kaivu Papua New Guinea  0.1
21 Mar 2019 06:00 Herekera Papua New Guinea  0.1
21 Mar 2019 06:00 Haiara Papua New Guinea  0.1
18 Mar 2019 09:15 Birab Indonesia  0.1
21 Mar 2019 06:00 Aivau Papua New Guinea  0.1
21 Mar 2019 06:00 Petoe Papua New Guinea  0.1
21 Mar 2019 06:00 Murua Papua New Guinea  0.1
21 Mar 2019 06:00 Kerema Papua New Guinea  0.1
21 Mar 2019 06:00 Kea Kea Papua New Guinea  0.1
21 Mar 2019 06:00 Ihu Papua New Guinea  0.1
21 Mar 2019 06:00 Iori Papua New Guinea  0.1
21 Mar 2019 06:00 Opa Papua New Guinea  0.1
21 Mar 2019 06:00 Ovahuhu Papua New Guinea  0.1
21 Mar 2019 06:00 Kapide Papua New Guinea  0.1
21 Mar 2019 06:00 Mamura Papua New Guinea  0.1
21 Mar 2019 06:00 Belepa Papua New Guinea  0.1
21 Mar 2019 06:00 Ravi-kevau Papua New Guinea  0.1
20 Mar 2019 06:15 Mairipepea Papua New Guinea  0.1
21 Mar 2019 06:00 Tais Papua New Guinea  0.1
21 Mar 2019 01:45 Koravaki Papua New Guinea  0.1
21 Mar 2019 05:45 Selemit Indonesia  0.1
19 Mar 2019 05:00 New Garara Papua New Guinea  0.1
19 Mar 2019 05:00 Buna Papua New Guinea  0.1
19 Mar 2019 05:00 Boreo Papua New Guinea  0.1
19 Mar 2019 05:00 Embogo Training Centre Papua New Guinea  0.1
19 Mar 2019 05:00 Garuro Papua New Guinea  0.1
18 Mar 2019 09:00 Jow Indonesia  0.1
18 Mar 2019 09:00 Otsjanep Indonesia  0.1
21 Mar 2019 00:45 Caburinga Village Australia  0.1
18 Mar 2019 10:15 Biwarlaut Indonesia  0.1
21 Mar 2019 06:00 Konerau Indonesia  0.1
20 Mar 2019 20:00 Bing Bong Australia  0.1
21 Mar 2019 06:00 Wan Indonesia  0.1