Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for TREVOR-19
in Australia

Impact

Tropical Cyclone TREVOR-19 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries Australia
Exposed population 1 thousand in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 202 km/h
Maximum storm surge 2.3 m (23 Mar 01:00 UTC)
Vulnerability Low (Australia)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 202 km/h 0.0 m 995 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 176 km/h 1.3 m 1378 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

176 km/h

Up to 1 thousand in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 20 Mar 2019 12:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
CAT. 2Australia02 
CAT. 1Australia1,001 
Tropical StormAustralia6,939 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 17 Mar 2019 18:00 140 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 18 Mar 2019 00:00 148 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 18 Mar 2019 06:00 198 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 18 Mar 2019 12:00 202 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 18 Mar 2019 18:00 198 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 19 Mar 2019 00:00 202 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 19 Mar 2019 06:00 202 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 19 Mar 2019 12:00 205 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 19 Mar 2019 18:00 205 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 20 Mar 2019 00:00 205 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 20 Mar 2019 06:00 209 - - - - - - -
GREEN 12 20 Mar 2019 12:00 202 1 thousand
- - - Australia
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h




Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 20 Mar 2019 12:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
250-500 mmPapua New Guinea, Australia11,503
+
Papua New Guinea11,333 
Australia170 
100-250 mmIndonesia, Papua New Guinea, Australia723,819
+
Indonesia183,872 
Papua New Guinea421,893 
Australia118,054 
50-100 mmIndonesia, Papua New Guinea, Australia2,393,985
+
Indonesia594,726 
Papua New Guinea1,662,492 
Other countries45 
Australia136,722 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 17 Mar 2019 18:00 534 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 18 Mar 2019 00:00 673 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 18 Mar 2019 06:00 802 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 18 Mar 2019 12:00 943 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 18 Mar 2019 18:00 807 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 19 Mar 2019 00:00 901 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 19 Mar 2019 06:00 883 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 19 Mar 2019 12:00 979 - - - - - - -
Blue 9 19 Mar 2019 18:00 1264 - - - - - - -
Blue 10 20 Mar 2019 00:00 726 - - - - - - -
Blue 11 20 Mar 2019 06:00 885 - - - - - - -
Blue 12 20 Mar 2019 12:00 995 740 thousand
- - - Indonesia, Papua New Guinea, Other countries, Australia




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

2.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  2.3m in Bing Bong, Australia. This height is estimated for 23 Mar 2019 01:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 20 Mar 2019 12:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
23 Mar 2019 01:00 Bing Bong Australia  2.3
22 Mar 2019 17:45 Karumba Australia  1.0
23 Mar 2019 07:45 Numbulwar Australia  0.8
20 Mar 2019 12:00 Weipa Australia  0.8
20 Mar 2019 12:00 Weipa South Australia  0.8
23 Mar 2019 06:15 Alyangula Australia  0.7
20 Mar 2019 12:00 Hammond I Australia  0.6
20 Mar 2019 12:00 Port Kennedy Australia  0.6
22 Mar 2019 21:30 Kowanyama Australia  0.5
20 Mar 2019 12:45 Mapoon Australia  0.5
20 Mar 2019 12:45 Badu Australia  0.5
22 Mar 2019 22:00 Kulinchin Australia  0.4
23 Mar 2019 07:00 Jara Papua New Guinea  0.4
23 Mar 2019 07:00 Mari Papua New Guinea  0.4
23 Mar 2019 06:45 Bula Papua New Guinea  0.4
23 Mar 2019 07:15 Onggalie Indonesia  0.4
23 Mar 2019 07:15 Kumbe Indonesia  0.4
23 Mar 2019 07:15 Anansai Indonesia  0.4
23 Mar 2019 07:15 Wendu Indonesia  0.4
23 Mar 2019 07:15 Matara Indonesia  0.4
23 Mar 2019 07:15 Urum Indonesia  0.4
23 Mar 2019 07:30 Merauke Indonesia  0.4
23 Mar 2019 07:30 Sarire Indonesia  0.4
23 Mar 2019 07:30 Daub Indonesia  0.4
23 Mar 2019 07:30 Tamarike Indonesia  0.4
23 Mar 2019 07:00 Alatepi Indonesia  0.4
23 Mar 2019 07:00 Kotad Indonesia  0.4
23 Mar 2019 07:00 Dumande Indonesia  0.4
20 Mar 2019 16:45 Cowel Creek Australia  0.4
20 Mar 2019 16:45 Seisia Australia  0.4
23 Mar 2019 07:30 Tamerau Indonesia  0.4
23 Mar 2019 06:45 Alakoe Indonesia  0.4
23 Mar 2019 07:15 Barattar Indonesia  0.4
23 Mar 2019 07:15 Kondomiraf Indonesia  0.4
23 Mar 2019 08:30 Boigu Australia  0.4
23 Mar 2019 08:30 Bugi Papua New Guinea  0.4
23 Mar 2019 07:00 Moegaigare Indonesia  0.4
23 Mar 2019 08:45 Tais Papua New Guinea  0.4
23 Mar 2019 06:45 Okaba Indonesia  0.4
23 Mar 2019 07:00 Kobiem Indonesia  0.4
23 Mar 2019 06:30 Welab Indonesia  0.3
20 Mar 2019 19:00 Running Creek Australia  0.3
23 Mar 2019 09:15 Dauan Australia  0.3
23 Mar 2019 06:30 Papisote Indonesia  0.3
23 Mar 2019 09:00 Sidabadu Papua New Guinea  0.3
23 Mar 2019 09:15 Saibai Australia  0.3
23 Mar 2019 09:15 Hamlet of Togo Papua New Guinea  0.3
23 Mar 2019 09:15 Mabaduan Papua New Guinea  0.3
20 Mar 2019 17:15 Bamaga Australia  0.3
20 Mar 2019 17:15 Cape York Australia  0.3
23 Mar 2019 07:15 Caburinga Village Australia  0.3
22 Mar 2019 00:00 Soeam Indonesia  0.3
23 Mar 2019 05:00 Kandala Jawal Indonesia  0.3
23 Mar 2019 05:00 Wamal Indonesia  0.3
23 Mar 2019 05:00 Gelib Indonesia  0.3
23 Mar 2019 05:00 Dokib Indonesia  0.3
22 Mar 2019 00:00 Heits Indonesia  0.3
23 Mar 2019 05:15 Dodalim Indonesia  0.3
23 Mar 2019 05:15 Yulbabuti Indonesia  0.3
23 Mar 2019 07:00 Nhulunbuy Australia  0.3
23 Mar 2019 07:00 Gove Australia  0.3
23 Mar 2019 07:00 Yirrkala Mission Australia  0.3
23 Mar 2019 07:00 Yirrkala Australia  0.3
20 Mar 2019 21:15 Aloszville Australia  0.3
23 Mar 2019 10:30 Ture Ture Papua New Guinea  0.3
23 Mar 2019 10:30 Boze Papua New Guinea  0.3
23 Mar 2019 10:30 Ume Papua New Guinea  0.3
23 Mar 2019 10:30 Daru Papua New Guinea  0.3
23 Mar 2019 10:30 Dorogari Papua New Guinea  0.3
23 Mar 2019 05:45 Komoran Indonesia  0.2
23 Mar 2019 10:00 Waidoro Papua New Guinea  0.2
21 Mar 2019 16:00 Cooktown Australia  0.2
21 Mar 2019 21:45 Taroea Anim Indonesia  0.2
23 Mar 2019 10:30 Kadawa Papua New Guinea  0.2
21 Mar 2019 17:15 Elim Australia  0.2
22 Mar 2019 12:45 Ok Village Australia  0.2
22 Mar 2019 10:30 Aibinio Papua New Guinea  0.2
22 Mar 2019 10:30 Gesco Papua New Guinea  0.2
22 Mar 2019 10:30 Dameramuda Papua New Guinea  0.2
22 Mar 2019 10:30 Umuda I Papua New Guinea  0.2
21 Mar 2019 22:00 Dolatanden Indonesia  0.2
22 Mar 2019 11:30 Auti Papua New Guinea  0.2
22 Mar 2019 11:30 Daware Papua New Guinea  0.2
22 Mar 2019 11:30 Mibu Papua New Guinea  0.2
22 Mar 2019 11:30 Iasa Papua New Guinea  0.2
22 Mar 2019 09:45 Ipisia Papua New Guinea  0.2
22 Mar 2019 09:45 Agobara Papua New Guinea  0.2
22 Mar 2019 09:45 Samari Papua New Guinea  0.2
22 Mar 2019 09:45 Oromosapuo Papua New Guinea  0.2
23 Mar 2019 09:30 Katatai Papua New Guinea  0.2
23 Mar 2019 09:30 Parama Papua New Guinea  0.2
22 Mar 2019 11:00 Segero Papua New Guinea  0.2
22 Mar 2019 11:00 Dibiri Papua New Guinea  0.2
22 Mar 2019 11:00 Oropai Papua New Guinea  0.2
22 Mar 2019 11:00 Tirere Papua New Guinea  0.2
22 Mar 2019 11:00 Maipani Papua New Guinea  0.2
22 Mar 2019 11:45 Sepi Papua New Guinea  0.2
22 Mar 2019 10:15 Amagoa Papua New Guinea  0.2
22 Mar 2019 10:15 Tugara Papua New Guinea  0.2
22 Mar 2019 10:15 Bina No 1 Papua New Guinea  0.2
22 Mar 2019 22:30 Coolbie Australia  0.2
22 Mar 2019 22:30 Mutarnee Australia  0.2
22 Mar 2019 22:30 Moongobulla Australia  0.2
22 Mar 2019 22:30 Rollingstone Australia  0.2
22 Mar 2019 22:30 Kinduro Australia  0.2
22 Mar 2019 10:45 Sui Papua New Guinea  0.2
22 Mar 2019 22:30 Cassady Australia  0.2
22 Mar 2019 22:45 Halifax Australia  0.2
22 Mar 2019 22:45 Lucinda Australia  0.2
21 Mar 2019 21:30 Sabon Indonesia  0.2
23 Mar 2019 07:00 Pallarenda Australia  0.2
23 Mar 2019 07:00 Belgian Gardens Australia  0.2
23 Mar 2019 07:00 Townsville Australia  0.2
23 Mar 2019 07:00 Oonoonba Australia  0.2
23 Mar 2019 07:00 Cluden Australia  0.2
23 Mar 2019 07:00 Oolbun Australia  0.2
22 Mar 2019 09:45 Orapoi Papua New Guinea  0.2
22 Mar 2019 09:45 Bunigi Papua New Guinea  0.2
22 Mar 2019 07:00 Misiki Papua New Guinea  0.2
22 Mar 2019 07:00 Giwaretore Papua New Guinea  0.2
22 Mar 2019 07:00 Gibu Papua New Guinea  0.2
22 Mar 2019 07:00 Morigio I Papua New Guinea  0.2
22 Mar 2019 07:00 Mapoi'a Papua New Guinea  0.2
21 Mar 2019 18:00 Ayton Australia  0.2
22 Mar 2019 16:45 Rita Island Australia  0.2
21 Mar 2019 23:15 Mossman Australia  0.2
21 Mar 2019 23:15 Miallo Australia  0.2
21 Mar 2019 23:15 Wonga Australia  0.2
21 Mar 2019 23:15 Port Douglas Australia  0.2
21 Mar 2019 23:15 Hockley Australia  0.2
22 Mar 2019 15:45 Buniki Papua New Guinea  0.2
22 Mar 2019 15:45 Ibou Papua New Guinea  0.2
23 Mar 2019 02:30 Lower Tully Australia  0.2
23 Mar 2019 02:30 Cardwell Australia  0.2
22 Mar 2019 00:00 Trinity Beach Australia  0.2
22 Mar 2019 00:00 Barron Falls Australia  0.2
22 Mar 2019 00:00 Freshwater Australia  0.2
22 Mar 2019 00:00 Yorkeys Knob Australia  0.2
22 Mar 2019 00:00 Stratford Australia  0.2
22 Mar 2019 00:00 Woree Australia  0.2
22 Mar 2019 00:00 Edge Hill Australia  0.2
22 Mar 2019 00:00 White Rock Australia  0.2
22 Mar 2019 00:00 Cairns Australia  0.2
22 Mar 2019 00:00 Yarrabah Aboriginal Community Australia  0.2
22 Mar 2019 15:00 Ekeirau Papua New Guinea  0.2
22 Mar 2019 05:45 Mirimairau Papua New Guinea  0.2
22 Mar 2019 05:45 Uramu I Papua New Guinea  0.2
22 Mar 2019 05:45 Kaivu Papua New Guinea  0.2
22 Mar 2019 05:45 Mairipepea Papua New Guinea  0.2
22 Mar 2019 05:45 Moravamu Papua New Guinea  0.2
22 Mar 2019 05:45 Kamaua Papua New Guinea  0.2
22 Mar 2019 05:45 Mira Papua New Guinea  0.2
22 Mar 2019 15:00 Pai-a Papua New Guinea  0.2
23 Mar 2019 01:45 South Mission Beach Australia  0.2
22 Mar 2019 05:45 Avioua Papua New Guinea  0.2
22 Mar 2019 05:45 Veraibari Papua New Guinea  0.2
22 Mar 2019 15:15 Namaituri Papua New Guinea  0.2
22 Mar 2019 15:15 Goari Papua New Guinea  0.2
22 Mar 2019 15:15 Ubua Papua New Guinea  0.2
22 Mar 2019 05:30 Koravaki Papua New Guinea  0.2
22 Mar 2019 05:30 Mariki Papua New Guinea  0.2
22 Mar 2019 15:15 Alva Australia  0.2
22 Mar 2019 14:30 Moinamu Papua New Guinea  0.2
22 Mar 2019 14:30 Dopima Papua New Guinea  0.2
22 Mar 2019 14:30 Babai Papua New Guinea  0.2
22 Mar 2019 05:00 Domara Papua New Guinea  0.2
22 Mar 2019 05:00 Badubadu Papua New Guinea  0.2
22 Mar 2019 05:00 Babauguina Plantation Papua New Guinea  0.2
22 Mar 2019 05:00 Si'ini Papua New Guinea  0.2
21 Mar 2019 21:45 Kladar Indonesia  0.2
21 Mar 2019 21:45 Tor Indonesia  0.2
22 Mar 2019 05:00 Kapari Papua New Guinea  0.2
22 Mar 2019 05:00 Baramata Number 1 Papua New Guinea  0.2
22 Mar 2019 05:00 Dom Papua New Guinea  0.2
22 Mar 2019 16:00 Jarvisfield Australia  0.2
23 Mar 2019 02:15 Merinda Australia  0.2
23 Mar 2019 02:15 Delta Australia  0.2
23 Mar 2019 02:15 Bootooloo Australia  0.2
23 Mar 2019 02:15 Inveroona Australia  0.2
23 Mar 2019 02:15 Queens Beach Australia  0.2
23 Mar 2019 02:15 Bowen Australia  0.2
23 Mar 2019 02:15 Yumbabullo Australia  0.2
23 Mar 2019 05:45 Pasirputih Indonesia  0.2
22 Mar 2019 04:30 Palathaona Papua New Guinea  0.2
22 Mar 2019 04:30 Buru Papua New Guinea  0.2
22 Mar 2019 04:30 Kupiano Papua New Guinea  0.2
22 Mar 2019 04:30 Gavuone Papua New Guinea  0.2
22 Mar 2019 06:30 Babiko Papua New Guinea  0.2
22 Mar 2019 06:30 Inauaia Papua New Guinea  0.2
22 Mar 2019 06:30 Pinupaka Papua New Guinea  0.2
22 Mar 2019 06:30 Kairuku Papua New Guinea  0.2
22 Mar 2019 06:30 Nicora Papua New Guinea  0.2
21 Mar 2019 23:30 Edmonton Australia  0.2
21 Mar 2019 23:30 Kamma Australia  0.2
22 Mar 2019 04:00 Gemo Papua New Guinea  0.2
22 Mar 2019 04:00 Kamali Papua New Guinea  0.2
22 Mar 2019 04:00 Kalo Papua New Guinea  0.2
22 Mar 2019 04:00 Keapara Papua New Guinea  0.2
22 Mar 2019 04:00 Maopa No 1 Papua New Guinea  0.2
22 Mar 2019 04:00 Gaivakala Papua New Guinea  0.2
22 Mar 2019 04:15 Manu Mana Papua New Guinea  0.2
22 Mar 2019 04:15 Kido Papua New Guinea  0.2
22 Mar 2019 04:15 Gorohu Papua New Guinea  0.2
22 Mar 2019 04:15 Lea-Lea Papua New Guinea  0.2
22 Mar 2019 04:15 Porebada Papua New Guinea  0.2
22 Mar 2019 03:45 Uamai No 1 Papua New Guinea  0.2
22 Mar 2019 03:45 Elava Papua New Guinea  0.2
22 Mar 2019 03:45 Kukipi Papua New Guinea  0.2
22 Mar 2019 03:45 Malalaua Papua New Guinea  0.2
22 Mar 2019 03:15 Terapo Mission Papua New Guinea  0.2
22 Mar 2019 03:15 Kapuri Papua New Guinea  0.2
22 Mar 2019 04:30 Avihara Papua New Guinea  0.2
22 Mar 2019 04:30 Iokea Papua New Guinea  0.2
22 Mar 2019 04:30 Moru Papua New Guinea  0.2
22 Mar 2019 04:45 Kaparaka Papua New Guinea  0.2
22 Mar 2019 03:45 Murua Papua New Guinea  0.2
22 Mar 2019 03:45 Kerema Papua New Guinea  0.2
22 Mar 2019 04:00 Hisiu Papua New Guinea  0.1
22 Mar 2019 04:00 Totoo Papua New Guinea  0.1
22 Mar 2019 04:00 Aivebadina Papua New Guinea  0.1
22 Mar 2019 04:00 Lolorua Papua New Guinea  0.1
22 Mar 2019 04:15 Gabone Papua New Guinea  0.1
22 Mar 2019 06:15 Kivori-Kui Papua New Guinea  0.1
22 Mar 2019 06:15 Roro-Ariara-Waima Papua New Guinea  0.1
22 Mar 2019 04:15 Gabagaba Papua New Guinea  0.1
22 Mar 2019 04:15 Umugau Papua New Guinea  0.1
22 Mar 2019 03:30 Biaru Papua New Guinea  0.1
22 Mar 2019 04:15 Gaire No 1 Papua New Guinea  0.1
22 Mar 2019 04:15 Sabuia Papua New Guinea  0.1
22 Mar 2019 04:15 Manugoro Papua New Guinea  0.1
22 Mar 2019 17:00 Mookarra Australia  0.1
22 Mar 2019 20:45 Innisfail Australia  0.1
22 Mar 2019 04:15 Pari School Papua New Guinea  0.1
22 Mar 2019 04:15 Tubusereia Papua New Guinea  0.1
22 Mar 2019 04:15 Rabuka Papua New Guinea  0.1
22 Mar 2019 04:15 Barakau Papua New Guinea  0.1
22 Mar 2019 04:15 Dabunari Papua New Guinea  0.1
22 Mar 2019 04:15 Dagoda Papua New Guinea  0.1
22 Mar 2019 05:45 Ara'ava Papua New Guinea  0.1
22 Mar 2019 05:45 Kinipo Papua New Guinea  0.1
22 Mar 2019 04:00 Oroi Papua New Guinea  0.1
22 Mar 2019 04:00 Obo Mission Papua New Guinea  0.1
22 Mar 2019 04:30 Port Moresby Papua New Guinea  0.1
22 Mar 2019 04:30 Kila Kila Papua New Guinea  0.1
21 Mar 2019 21:30 Birab Indonesia  0.1
22 Mar 2019 04:00 Petoe Papua New Guinea  0.1
22 Mar 2019 04:00 Aivau Papua New Guinea  0.1
22 Mar 2019 04:00 Kapide Papua New Guinea  0.1
22 Mar 2019 04:00 Mamura Papua New Guinea  0.1
21 Mar 2019 23:45 Deeral Australia  0.1
21 Mar 2019 23:45 Bellenden Ker Australia  0.1
22 Mar 2019 04:15 Belepa Papua New Guinea  0.1
22 Mar 2019 04:15 Kea Kea Papua New Guinea  0.1
22 Mar 2019 04:15 Ovahuhu Papua New Guinea  0.1
22 Mar 2019 07:30 Apiope Papua New Guinea  0.1
22 Mar 2019 07:30 Marea Papua New Guinea  0.1
22 Mar 2019 07:30 Iuku Papua New Guinea  0.1
22 Mar 2019 04:00 Kapai Papua New Guinea  0.1
22 Mar 2019 04:00 Ravi-kevau Papua New Guinea  0.1
22 Mar 2019 04:00 Herekera Papua New Guinea  0.1
22 Mar 2019 04:00 Haiara Papua New Guinea  0.1
22 Mar 2019 07:30 Akoma Papua New Guinea  0.1
22 Mar 2019 07:00 Ihu Papua New Guinea  0.1
22 Mar 2019 07:00 Vailala Hiloi Papua New Guinea  0.1
22 Mar 2019 07:00 Iori Papua New Guinea  0.1
22 Mar 2019 07:00 Vailala East Papua New Guinea  0.1
22 Mar 2019 07:00 Karokaro Papua New Guinea  0.1
22 Mar 2019 07:00 Opa Papua New Guinea  0.1
23 Mar 2019 02:30 Cannon Valley Australia  0.1
23 Mar 2019 02:30 Windermere Australia  0.1
23 Mar 2019 02:30 Cannonvale Australia  0.1
23 Mar 2019 02:30 Airlie Australia  0.1
21 Mar 2019 21:00 Jow Indonesia  0.1
21 Mar 2019 21:00 Otsjanep Indonesia  0.1
21 Mar 2019 20:00 Biwarlaut Indonesia  0.1
23 Mar 2019 06:00 Selemit Indonesia  0.1
23 Mar 2019 06:15 Konerau Indonesia  0.1
21 Mar 2019 19:30 Per Indonesia  0.1
21 Mar 2019 19:30 Amborip Indonesia  0.1
23 Mar 2019 02:45 Wan Indonesia  0.1