Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for PAINE-22 Off-shore from 03 Oct 2022 21:00 UTC to 05 Oct 2022 21:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for PAINE-22

Off-shore

04 Oct 2022 12 UTC

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Meteorological source:

GDACS NOAA

Impact Single TC

GFS
HWRF
ECMWF

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone PAINE-22 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	ECMWF
Exposed countries
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	61 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.4 m (04 Oct 21:00 UTC)
Vulnerability	--

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
ECMWF Current	61 km/h	0.4 m	178 mm	0.5
ECMWF Overall	68 km/h	0.4 m	346 mm	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

68 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above

Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 04 Oct 2022 12:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS

Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Pop in Cat. 1 or higher	TS	Cat. 1	Cat. 2	Cat. 3	Cat. 4	Cat. 5	Countries
1	03 Oct 2022 00:00	112	-		-	-	-	-	-	Mexico
2	03 Oct 2022 12:00	90	-		-	-	-	-	-	Mexico
3	04 Oct 2022 00:00	65	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
4	04 Oct 2022 12:00	65	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Download:

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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Rainfall

Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 04 Oct 2022 12:00 UTC

Level	Country	Population
50-100 mm	Mexico	1,554,952

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Rainfall (mm)	Pop >100mm or higher	50-100	100-250	250-500	500-750	750-1000	>1000	Countries
1	03 Oct 2022 00:00	195	-		-	-	-	-	-	Mexico
2	03 Oct 2022 12:00	172	70 thousand			-	-	-	-	Mexico
3	04 Oct 2022 00:00	203	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
4	04 Oct 2022 12:00	342	-		-	-	-	-	-	Mexico

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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StormSurge

0.4 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.4m in El Golfo de Santa Clara, Mexico. This height is estimated for 04 Oct 2022 21:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 04 Oct 2022 12:00 UTC

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	04 Oct 2022 21:00	El Golfo de Santa Clara	Mexico	0.4
	04 Oct 2022 20:45	El Tornillal	Mexico	0.3
	04 Oct 2022 21:15	San Felipe	Mexico	0.3
	05 Oct 2022 21:00	La Choya	Mexico	0.2
	05 Oct 2022 21:00	Puerto Penasco	Mexico	0.2
	04 Oct 2022 17:00	Tecomate	Mexico	0.2
	04 Oct 2022 17:00	Cabo Tepoca	Mexico	0.2
	07 Oct 2022 04:30	Puerto Venustiano Carranza	Mexico	0.2
	07 Oct 2022 10:30	La Tuza	Mexico	0.2
	07 Oct 2022 10:45	Pie Cerro	Mexico	0.2
	07 Oct 2022 10:30	Tierra Colorada	Mexico	0.2
	07 Oct 2022 10:45	Copala	Mexico	0.2
	07 Oct 2022 10:45	Marquelia	Mexico	0.2
	04 Oct 2022 17:45	Guaymas	Mexico	0.2
	04 Oct 2022 17:45	Empalme	Mexico	0.2
	06 Oct 2022 17:45	Desembarcadero de Miller	Mexico	0.2
	07 Oct 2022 10:45	Mauricio Gutierrez	Mexico	0.2
	06 Oct 2022 17:15	Cedros	Mexico	0.2
	06 Oct 2022 16:15	Signal Hill	United States	0.2
	06 Oct 2022 16:15	Belmont Shore	United States	0.2
	06 Oct 2022 16:15	Surfside	United States	0.2
	06 Oct 2022 16:15	Seal Beach	United States	0.2
	06 Oct 2022 16:15	Sunset Beach	United States	0.2
	06 Oct 2022 16:15	Huntington Beach	United States	0.2
	06 Oct 2022 16:15	Newport Beach	United States	0.2
	07 Oct 2022 04:00	The Muirlands	United States	0.2
	07 Oct 2022 04:00	Azure Vista	United States	0.2
	07 Oct 2022 04:00	Ocean Beach	United States	0.2
	07 Oct 2022 04:00	Mission Beach	United States	0.2
	07 Oct 2022 04:00	Fort Rosecrans	United States	0.2
	07 Oct 2022 04:00	Roseville	United States	0.2
	07 Oct 2022 04:00	Campland on the Bay Trailer Park	United States	0.2
	07 Oct 2022 04:00	Loma Portal	United States	0.2
	07 Oct 2022 04:00	San Diego	United States	0.2
	07 Oct 2022 04:00	Coronado	United States	0.2
	07 Oct 2022 04:00	Imperial Beach	United States	0.2
	07 Oct 2022 04:00	Boal	United States	0.2
	07 Oct 2022 11:00	Acapulco	Mexico	0.2
	07 Oct 2022 11:00	El Marques	Mexico	0.2
	05 Oct 2022 14:45	Cuantla	Mexico	0.1
	05 Oct 2022 14:45	Cuamecate	Mexico	0.1
	05 Oct 2022 01:15	San Ignacio	Mexico	0.1
	05 Oct 2022 01:15	Santa Rosalia	Mexico	0.1
	05 Oct 2022 01:30	Atanacio	Mexico	0.1
	05 Oct 2022 01:30	El Paredoncito	Mexico	0.1
	05 Oct 2022 01:15	San Jose	Mexico	0.1
	07 Oct 2022 06:30	Rancho Bahia	Mexico	0.1
	07 Oct 2022 11:00	El Papayo	Mexico	0.1
	05 Oct 2022 01:00	San Rafael	Mexico	0.1
	06 Oct 2022 15:45	Buenaventura	Mexico	0.1
	06 Oct 2022 15:45	Agua del Coyote	Mexico	0.1
	05 Oct 2022 00:45	San Juan de la Costa	Mexico	0.1
	06 Oct 2022 16:45	San Buenaventura	United States	0.1
	05 Oct 2022 01:15	Bahia Kino	Mexico	0.1
	04 Oct 2022 17:45	Datilito	Mexico	0.1
	04 Oct 2022 17:45	La Paz	Mexico	0.1
	06 Oct 2022 16:30	Clifton	United States	0.1
	06 Oct 2022 16:30	Redondo Beach	United States	0.1
	06 Oct 2022 16:30	Rancho Palos Verdes	United States	0.1
	06 Oct 2022 16:30	Rolling Hills Estates	United States	0.1
	06 Oct 2022 16:30	Rolling Hills	United States	0.1
	06 Oct 2022 16:30	San Pedro	United States	0.1
	06 Oct 2022 16:30	Wilmington	United States	0.1
	05 Oct 2022 01:15	San Bruno	Mexico	0.1
	07 Oct 2022 10:45	Coyuquillas	Mexico	0.1
	07 Oct 2022 10:45	Nuxco	Mexico	0.1
	05 Oct 2022 01:30	Santa Rosalia	Mexico	0.1
	06 Oct 2022 16:45	Hollywood By The Sea	United States	0.1
	06 Oct 2022 16:45	Channel Islands Beach	United States	0.1
	06 Oct 2022 16:45	Oxnard	United States	0.1
	05 Oct 2022 14:45	Santa Cruz	Mexico	0.1
	05 Oct 2022 14:45	El Nuevo	Mexico	0.1
	05 Oct 2022 14:45	Toro Mocho	Mexico	0.1
	07 Oct 2022 03:45	Rosarito	Mexico	0.1
	05 Oct 2022 00:45	Loreto	Mexico	0.1
	05 Oct 2022 00:45	Ligui	Mexico	0.1
	05 Oct 2022 00:45	Tripui	Mexico	0.1
	07 Oct 2022 11:15	Calvario	Mexico	0.1
	05 Oct 2022 01:15	Borabampo	Mexico	0.1
	05 Oct 2022 01:15	San Carlos	Mexico	0.1
	06 Oct 2022 01:00	Guasimas	Mexico	0.1
	07 Oct 2022 07:00	Puerto Libertad	Mexico	0.1
	05 Oct 2022 01:15	Tastiota	Mexico	0.1
	05 Oct 2022 01:00	Rosario	Mexico	0.1
	07 Oct 2022 08:00	Puertecitos	Mexico	0.1
	05 Oct 2022 01:30	Liliba	Mexico	0.1
	05 Oct 2022 01:45	Mulege	Mexico	0.1
	05 Oct 2022 01:45	Los Dolores	Mexico	0.1
	07 Oct 2022 10:30	Barrio Nuevo	Mexico	0.1
	07 Oct 2022 10:30	Zihuatanejo	Mexico	0.1
	07 Oct 2022 04:00	Sycamore	United States	0.1
	07 Oct 2022 04:00	Solromar	United States	0.1
	05 Oct 2022 01:00	El Aquajito	Mexico	0.1
	05 Oct 2022 01:30	Las Bocas	Mexico	0.1
	05 Oct 2022 01:30	Camahuiroa	Mexico	0.1
	07 Oct 2022 03:15	Cardiff-by-the-Sea	United States	0.1
	07 Oct 2022 03:15	La Jolla	United States	0.1
	07 Oct 2022 03:15	Solana Beach	United States	0.1
	07 Oct 2022 03:15	Del Mar	United States	0.1
	07 Oct 2022 03:15	Easter Cross	United States	0.1
	07 Oct 2022 03:15	Sorrento	United States	0.1
	07 Oct 2022 10:30	Las Pinas	Mexico	0.1
	07 Oct 2022 10:30	Playa Azul	Mexico	0.1
	07 Oct 2022 03:15	Leucadia	United States	0.1
	07 Oct 2022 03:15	Encinitas	United States	0.1
	07 Oct 2022 03:15	Green Valley Mobile Estates	United States	0.1
	07 Oct 2022 07:30	Molino	Mexico	0.1
	07 Oct 2022 07:30	Molino Lacy	Mexico	0.1
	05 Oct 2022 01:00	San Bruno	Mexico	0.1
	05 Oct 2022 01:15	San Juanico	Mexico	0.1
	05 Oct 2022 00:45	San Cosme	Mexico	0.1
	07 Oct 2022 10:30	Chula	Mexico	0.1
	07 Oct 2022 03:30	Malibu Vista	United States	0.1
	07 Oct 2022 03:30	El Nido	United States	0.1
	07 Oct 2022 03:30	Malibu Bowl	United States	0.1
	07 Oct 2022 03:30	Malibu	United States	0.1
	07 Oct 2022 03:30	Monte Nido	United States	0.1
	07 Oct 2022 03:30	Las Flores	United States	0.1
	07 Oct 2022 03:30	Castellammare	United States	0.1
	07 Oct 2022 03:30	Pacific Palisades	United States	0.1
	07 Oct 2022 03:30	Santa Monica	United States	0.1
	07 Oct 2022 03:30	Sawtelle	United States	0.1
	07 Oct 2022 03:30	Marina del Rey	United States	0.1
	07 Oct 2022 11:15	Lagunillas	Mexico	0.1
	07 Oct 2022 03:30	Santa Catarina	Mexico	0.1
	07 Oct 2022 03:15	Playa del Rey	United States	0.1
	07 Oct 2022 03:15	Alsace	United States	0.1
	07 Oct 2022 03:15	El Segundo	United States	0.1
	07 Oct 2022 03:15	Manhattan Beach	United States	0.1
	07 Oct 2022 03:15	Hermosa Beach	United States	0.1
	07 Oct 2022 03:15	Palos Verdes Estates	United States	0.1
	05 Oct 2022 17:30	Las Tinajas	Mexico	0.1
	07 Oct 2022 03:00	Rancho Boca de San Jose	Mexico	0.1
	07 Oct 2022 03:00	Erendria	Mexico	0.1
	05 Oct 2022 00:45	Santa Marta	Mexico	0.1
	07 Oct 2022 03:15	Rancho Cepeda	Mexico	0.1
	07 Oct 2022 03:15	Rancho San Francisco	Mexico	0.1
	07 Oct 2022 03:15	Colonia Camalu	Mexico	0.1
	07 Oct 2022 11:00	Melchor Ocampo	Mexico	0.1
	07 Oct 2022 04:00	Malibu West	United States	0.1
	07 Oct 2022 04:00	Point Dume	United States	0.1
	06 Oct 2022 01:00	El Castillo	Mexico	0.1
	06 Oct 2022 01:00	Las Arenitas	Mexico	0.1
	07 Oct 2022 10:30	Calla de Campos	Mexico	0.1
	05 Oct 2022 01:00	Tambobiche	Mexico	0.1
	05 Oct 2022 15:15	Perihuete	Mexico	0.1
	07 Oct 2022 12:00	Novillero	Mexico	0.1
	06 Oct 2022 16:15	Two Harbors	United States	0.1
	04 Oct 2022 17:15	El Desemboque	Mexico	0.1
	06 Oct 2022 16:30	Avalon	United States	0.1
	04 Oct 2022 17:15	Punta Arena	Mexico	0.1
	04 Oct 2022 17:15	Los Tesos	Mexico	0.1
	04 Oct 2022 17:15	Los Frailes	Mexico	0.1
	06 Oct 2022 16:15	Cliff Haven	United States	0.1
	06 Oct 2022 16:15	Bay Shores	United States	0.1
	06 Oct 2022 16:15	Balboa	United States	0.1
	06 Oct 2022 16:15	Corona del Mar	United States	0.1
	05 Oct 2022 00:30	Marmol	Mexico	0.1
	05 Oct 2022 00:30	Florida	Mexico	0.1
	07 Oct 2022 10:30	Joluta	Mexico	0.1
	04 Oct 2022 17:30	El Barril	Mexico	0.1
	07 Oct 2022 03:45	Crystal Cove	United States	0.1
	07 Oct 2022 03:45	San Joaquin Hills	United States	0.1
	07 Oct 2022 03:45	Emerald Bay	United States	0.1
	05 Oct 2022 01:00	Los Burros	Mexico	0.1
	06 Oct 2022 16:30	Laguna Beach	United States	0.1
	06 Oct 2022 16:30	Canyon Acres	United States	0.1
	06 Oct 2022 16:30	Top of the World	United States	0.1
	06 Oct 2022 16:30	South Laguna	United States	0.1
	06 Oct 2022 16:30	Capistrano Beach	United States	0.1
	06 Oct 2022 16:30	San Clemente	United States	0.1
	06 Oct 2022 16:30	Agra	United States	0.1
	06 Oct 2022 16:30	Las Flores	United States	0.1
	06 Oct 2022 16:30	Stuart	United States	0.1
	06 Oct 2022 16:30	Fallbrook Junction	United States	0.1
	05 Oct 2022 17:30	San Juanico	Mexico	0.1
	05 Oct 2022 17:30	Boca del Melgoita	Mexico	0.1
	07 Oct 2022 03:30	Encino Solo	Mexico	0.1
	07 Oct 2022 03:30	El Sauzal	Mexico	0.1
	07 Oct 2022 03:30	Cabo Punta Banda	Mexico	0.1
	07 Oct 2022 03:30	Ensenada	Mexico	0.1
	06 Oct 2022 16:45	Camp Pendleton South	United States	0.1
	06 Oct 2022 16:45	Escondido Junction	United States	0.1
	06 Oct 2022 16:45	Oceanside	United States	0.1
	06 Oct 2022 16:45	Carlsbad	United States	0.1
	06 Oct 2022 16:45	Ponto	United States	0.1
	05 Oct 2022 01:45	Topolobampo	Mexico	0.1
	05 Oct 2022 01:45	Cachoana	Mexico	0.1
	05 Oct 2022 16:15	La Boca	Mexico	0.1
	05 Oct 2022 00:45	La Playa Colorada	Mexico	0.1
	06 Oct 2022 17:45	Isla Natividad	Mexico	0.1
	07 Oct 2022 10:15	Las Trojitas	Mexico	0.1
	05 Oct 2022 15:30	Dimas	Mexico	0.1
	06 Oct 2022 16:00	Adolfo Lopez Mateos	Mexico	0.1
	06 Oct 2022 16:00	Queretaro	Mexico	0.1
	06 Oct 2022 16:45	El Descanso	Mexico	0.1
	06 Oct 2022 16:45	La Mision	Mexico	0.1
	04 Oct 2022 16:30	Altata	Mexico	0.1
	07 Oct 2022 04:00	El Rosario	Mexico	0.1
	06 Oct 2022 00:00	San Blas	Mexico	0.1
	06 Oct 2022 00:00	Santa Cruz	Mexico	0.1
	05 Oct 2022 10:15	La Ribera	Mexico	0.1
	05 Oct 2022 10:15	Punta Colorada	Mexico	0.1
	07 Oct 2022 10:45	Maruata	Mexico	0.1
	04 Oct 2022 17:00	Agua de las Flores	Mexico	0.1
	07 Oct 2022 03:30	Playa Oceano Pacifico	Mexico	0.1
	07 Oct 2022 11:15	Chupadero	Mexico	0.1
	07 Oct 2022 11:15	Apisa	Mexico	0.1
	07 Oct 2022 11:15	Cayaca	Mexico	0.1
	07 Oct 2022 11:15	San Telmo	Mexico	0.1
	07 Oct 2022 04:15	Santa Marie	Mexico	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.