Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for PAINE-22 Off-shore from 03 Oct 2022 21:00 UTC to 05 Oct 2022 21:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for PAINE-22

Off-shore

04 Oct 2022 00 UTC

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Meteorological source:

GDACS NOAA

Impact Single TC

GFS
HWRF
ECMWF

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone PAINE-22 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	ECMWF
Exposed countries
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	65 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.4 m (04 Oct 14:15 UTC)
Vulnerability	--

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
ECMWF Current	65 km/h	0.4 m	203 mm	0.5
ECMWF Overall	68 km/h	0.4 m	346 mm	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

68 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above

Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 04 Oct 2022 00:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS

Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Pop in Cat. 1 or higher	TS	Cat. 1	Cat. 2	Cat. 3	Cat. 4	Cat. 5	Countries
1	03 Oct 2022 00:00	112	-		-	-	-	-	-	Mexico
2	03 Oct 2022 12:00	90	-		-	-	-	-	-	Mexico
3	04 Oct 2022 00:00	65	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Download:

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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Rainfall

Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 04 Oct 2022 00:00 UTC

Level	Country	Population
50-100 mm	Mexico	514,459

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Rainfall (mm)	Pop >100mm or higher	100-250	250-500	500-750	750-1000	>1000	Countries
1	03 Oct 2022 00:00	195	-	-	-	-	-	-	Mexico
2	03 Oct 2022 12:00	172	70 thousand		-	-	-	-	Mexico
3	04 Oct 2022 00:00	279	-	-	-	-	-	-	Mexico

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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StormSurge

0.4 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.4m in El Golfo de Santa Clara, Mexico. This height is estimated for 04 Oct 2022 14:15 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 04 Oct 2022 00:00 UTC

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	04 Oct 2022 14:15	El Golfo de Santa Clara	Mexico	0.4
	04 Oct 2022 14:00	El Tornillal	Mexico	0.3
	05 Oct 2022 05:45	La Choya	Mexico	0.3
	05 Oct 2022 05:45	Puerto Penasco	Mexico	0.3
	04 Oct 2022 21:15	San Felipe	Mexico	0.3
	04 Oct 2022 00:45	Tecomate	Mexico	0.2
	04 Oct 2022 00:45	Cabo Tepoca	Mexico	0.2
	04 Oct 2022 01:00	Cuantla	Mexico	0.2
	04 Oct 2022 01:00	Cuamecate	Mexico	0.2
	04 Oct 2022 02:00	Guaymas	Mexico	0.2
	04 Oct 2022 02:00	Empalme	Mexico	0.2
	04 Oct 2022 01:00	Novillero	Mexico	0.2
	04 Oct 2022 02:30	Guasimas	Mexico	0.2
	04 Oct 2022 01:30	Puerto Venustiano Carranza	Mexico	0.2
	04 Oct 2022 02:30	Bahia Kino	Mexico	0.2
	04 Oct 2022 01:15	Isla de Palmito del Verde	Mexico	0.2
	04 Oct 2022 02:00	San Rafael	Mexico	0.2
	04 Oct 2022 00:45	Santa Cruz	Mexico	0.2
	05 Oct 2022 01:30	Atanacio	Mexico	0.2
	05 Oct 2022 01:30	El Paredoncito	Mexico	0.2
	04 Oct 2022 00:45	La Puerta	Mexico	0.2
	04 Oct 2022 01:00	Jarilla	Mexico	0.2
	05 Oct 2022 01:15	San Ignacio	Mexico	0.2
	05 Oct 2022 01:15	Santa Rosalia	Mexico	0.2
	04 Oct 2022 02:45	Santa Rosalia	Mexico	0.2
	04 Oct 2022 02:45	San Bruno	Mexico	0.2
	06 Oct 2022 15:45	Buenaventura	Mexico	0.2
	06 Oct 2022 15:45	Agua del Coyote	Mexico	0.2
	06 Oct 2022 16:15	Signal Hill	United States	0.2
	06 Oct 2022 16:15	Belmont Shore	United States	0.2
	06 Oct 2022 16:15	Surfside	United States	0.2
	06 Oct 2022 16:15	Seal Beach	United States	0.2
	06 Oct 2022 16:15	Sunset Beach	United States	0.2
	06 Oct 2022 16:15	Huntington Beach	United States	0.2
	06 Oct 2022 16:15	Newport Beach	United States	0.2
	05 Oct 2022 01:15	San Jose	Mexico	0.1
	06 Oct 2022 17:15	Cedros	Mexico	0.1
	04 Oct 2022 01:45	Tastiota	Mexico	0.1
	06 Oct 2022 17:00	The Muirlands	United States	0.1
	06 Oct 2022 17:00	Azure Vista	United States	0.1
	06 Oct 2022 17:00	Ocean Beach	United States	0.1
	06 Oct 2022 17:00	Mission Beach	United States	0.1
	06 Oct 2022 17:00	Fort Rosecrans	United States	0.1
	06 Oct 2022 17:00	Roseville	United States	0.1
	06 Oct 2022 17:00	Campland on the Bay Trailer Park	United States	0.1
	06 Oct 2022 17:00	Loma Portal	United States	0.1
	06 Oct 2022 17:00	San Diego	United States	0.1
	06 Oct 2022 17:00	Coronado	United States	0.1
	06 Oct 2022 17:00	Imperial Beach	United States	0.1
	06 Oct 2022 17:00	Boal	United States	0.1
	04 Oct 2022 00:45	Caimanero	Mexico	0.1
	05 Oct 2022 17:00	Desembarcadero de Miller	Mexico	0.1
	04 Oct 2022 09:30	Datilito	Mexico	0.1
	04 Oct 2022 09:30	La Paz	Mexico	0.1
	06 Oct 2022 16:45	San Pedro	United States	0.1
	06 Oct 2022 16:45	Wilmington	United States	0.1
	06 Oct 2022 16:30	Clifton	United States	0.1
	06 Oct 2022 16:30	Redondo Beach	United States	0.1
	06 Oct 2022 16:30	Rancho Palos Verdes	United States	0.1
	06 Oct 2022 16:30	Rolling Hills Estates	United States	0.1
	06 Oct 2022 16:30	Rolling Hills	United States	0.1
	05 Oct 2022 01:30	Borabampo	Mexico	0.1
	04 Oct 2022 01:15	El Nuevo	Mexico	0.1
	04 Oct 2022 01:30	Las Bocas	Mexico	0.1
	04 Oct 2022 01:45	San Carlos	Mexico	0.1
	04 Oct 2022 00:15	Molino	Mexico	0.1
	04 Oct 2022 00:15	Molino Lacy	Mexico	0.1
	05 Oct 2022 01:45	Mulege	Mexico	0.1
	05 Oct 2022 01:45	Los Dolores	Mexico	0.1
	05 Oct 2022 01:30	Liliba	Mexico	0.1
	05 Oct 2022 00:45	Loreto	Mexico	0.1
	05 Oct 2022 00:45	Ligui	Mexico	0.1
	05 Oct 2022 00:45	Tripui	Mexico	0.1
	05 Oct 2022 00:45	San Juan de la Costa	Mexico	0.1
	04 Oct 2022 00:15	Puertecitos	Mexico	0.1
	04 Oct 2022 00:45	El Desemboque	Mexico	0.1
	06 Oct 2022 16:30	San Buenaventura	United States	0.1
	06 Oct 2022 16:30	Hollywood By The Sea	United States	0.1
	06 Oct 2022 16:30	Channel Islands Beach	United States	0.1
	06 Oct 2022 16:30	Oxnard	United States	0.1
	04 Oct 2022 02:15	El Barril	Mexico	0.1
	05 Oct 2022 01:00	El Aquajito	Mexico	0.1
	04 Oct 2022 10:00	Topolobampo	Mexico	0.1
	04 Oct 2022 10:00	Cachoana	Mexico	0.1
	05 Oct 2022 01:30	Camahuiroa	Mexico	0.1
	04 Oct 2022 10:15	San Cosme	Mexico	0.1
	05 Oct 2022 01:00	Rosario	Mexico	0.1
	04 Oct 2022 01:00	Puerto Libertad	Mexico	0.1
	05 Oct 2022 17:30	San Juanico	Mexico	0.1
	05 Oct 2022 17:30	Boca del Melgoita	Mexico	0.1
	04 Oct 2022 06:30	Las Tinajas	Mexico	0.1
	05 Oct 2022 01:15	San Bruno	Mexico	0.1
	05 Oct 2022 01:15	San Juanico	Mexico	0.1
	04 Oct 2022 00:30	Rancho Bahia	Mexico	0.1
	06 Oct 2022 10:45	Copala	Mexico	0.1
	06 Oct 2022 10:45	Marquelia	Mexico	0.1
	06 Oct 2022 10:45	Tierra Colorada	Mexico	0.1
	06 Oct 2022 11:30	La Tuza	Mexico	0.1
	04 Oct 2022 00:45	Agua de las Flores	Mexico	0.1
	06 Oct 2022 16:30	Two Harbors	United States	0.1
	06 Oct 2022 16:30	Avalon	United States	0.1
	05 Oct 2022 15:15	Perihuete	Mexico	0.1
	05 Oct 2022 01:00	Santa Marta	Mexico	0.1
	05 Oct 2022 01:00	Tambobiche	Mexico	0.1
	06 Oct 2022 11:15	Pie Cerro	Mexico	0.1
	05 Oct 2022 14:45	Toro Mocho	Mexico	0.1
	06 Oct 2022 16:30	Las Flores	United States	0.1
	06 Oct 2022 16:30	Castellammare	United States	0.1
	06 Oct 2022 16:30	Pacific Palisades	United States	0.1
	06 Oct 2022 16:30	Santa Monica	United States	0.1
	06 Oct 2022 16:30	Sawtelle	United States	0.1
	06 Oct 2022 16:30	Marina del Rey	United States	0.1
	06 Oct 2022 16:30	Playa del Rey	United States	0.1
	06 Oct 2022 16:30	Alsace	United States	0.1
	06 Oct 2022 16:30	El Segundo	United States	0.1
	06 Oct 2022 16:30	Manhattan Beach	United States	0.1
	06 Oct 2022 16:30	Hermosa Beach	United States	0.1
	06 Oct 2022 16:30	Palos Verdes Estates	United States	0.1
	06 Oct 2022 16:15	Cardiff-by-the-Sea	United States	0.1
	06 Oct 2022 16:15	La Jolla	United States	0.1
	06 Oct 2022 16:15	Solana Beach	United States	0.1
	06 Oct 2022 16:15	Del Mar	United States	0.1
	06 Oct 2022 16:15	Easter Cross	United States	0.1
	06 Oct 2022 16:15	Sorrento	United States	0.1
	06 Oct 2022 00:30	El Castillo	Mexico	0.1
	06 Oct 2022 00:30	Las Arenitas	Mexico	0.1
	06 Oct 2022 10:45	Mauricio Gutierrez	Mexico	0.1
	06 Oct 2022 16:30	Cliff Haven	United States	0.1
	06 Oct 2022 16:30	Bay Shores	United States	0.1
	06 Oct 2022 16:30	Balboa	United States	0.1
	06 Oct 2022 16:30	Corona del Mar	United States	0.1
	06 Oct 2022 16:30	Crystal Cove	United States	0.1
	06 Oct 2022 16:30	San Joaquin Hills	United States	0.1
	06 Oct 2022 16:30	Emerald Bay	United States	0.1
	06 Oct 2022 16:30	Laguna Beach	United States	0.1
	06 Oct 2022 16:30	Canyon Acres	United States	0.1
	06 Oct 2022 16:30	Top of the World	United States	0.1
	06 Oct 2022 16:30	South Laguna	United States	0.1
	04 Oct 2022 02:45	Los Burros	Mexico	0.1
	06 Oct 2022 16:30	Rosarito	Mexico	0.1
	06 Oct 2022 16:30	Capistrano Beach	United States	0.1
	06 Oct 2022 16:30	San Clemente	United States	0.1
	06 Oct 2022 16:15	Las Flores	United States	0.1
	06 Oct 2022 16:15	Stuart	United States	0.1
	06 Oct 2022 16:15	Fallbrook Junction	United States	0.1
	06 Oct 2022 16:15	Camp Pendleton South	United States	0.1
	06 Oct 2022 16:15	Escondido Junction	United States	0.1
	06 Oct 2022 16:15	Oceanside	United States	0.1
	06 Oct 2022 16:15	Carlsbad	United States	0.1
	06 Oct 2022 16:15	Ponto	United States	0.1
	06 Oct 2022 16:15	Leucadia	United States	0.1
	06 Oct 2022 16:15	Encinitas	United States	0.1
	06 Oct 2022 16:15	Green Valley Mobile Estates	United States	0.1
	05 Oct 2022 00:45	La Playa Colorada	Mexico	0.1
	06 Oct 2022 10:45	El Marques	Mexico	0.1
	06 Oct 2022 16:30	Agra	United States	0.1
	06 Oct 2022 16:30	Sycamore	United States	0.1
	06 Oct 2022 16:30	Solromar	United States	0.1
	06 Oct 2022 16:30	Malibu West	United States	0.1
	06 Oct 2022 16:30	Point Dume	United States	0.1
	04 Oct 2022 16:30	Punta Arena	Mexico	0.1
	04 Oct 2022 16:30	Los Tesos	Mexico	0.1
	04 Oct 2022 16:30	Los Frailes	Mexico	0.1
	05 Oct 2022 01:00	La Boca	Mexico	0.1
	06 Oct 2022 16:30	Malibu Vista	United States	0.1
	06 Oct 2022 16:30	El Nido	United States	0.1
	06 Oct 2022 16:30	Malibu Bowl	United States	0.1
	06 Oct 2022 16:30	Malibu	United States	0.1
	06 Oct 2022 16:30	Monte Nido	United States	0.1
	04 Oct 2022 02:45	Santo Domingo	Mexico	0.1
	04 Oct 2022 02:30	Boca del Rio	Mexico	0.1
	05 Oct 2022 00:30	Marmol	Mexico	0.1
	05 Oct 2022 00:30	Florida	Mexico	0.1
	06 Oct 2022 11:00	Acapulco	Mexico	0.1
	06 Oct 2022 16:45	El Descanso	Mexico	0.1
	06 Oct 2022 16:45	La Mision	Mexico	0.1
	06 Oct 2022 16:00	Erendria	Mexico	0.1
	06 Oct 2022 11:30	Barrio Nuevo	Mexico	0.1
	06 Oct 2022 11:30	Zihuatanejo	Mexico	0.1
	04 Oct 2022 01:45	La Ribera	Mexico	0.1
	04 Oct 2022 01:45	Punta Colorada	Mexico	0.1
	06 Oct 2022 16:30	El Sauzal	Mexico	0.1
	06 Oct 2022 16:30	Cabo Punta Banda	Mexico	0.1
	06 Oct 2022 16:30	Ensenada	Mexico	0.1
	06 Oct 2022 16:30	Rancho San Francisco	Mexico	0.1
	06 Oct 2022 16:30	Colonia Camalu	Mexico	0.1
	06 Oct 2022 11:00	El Papayo	Mexico	0.1
	06 Oct 2022 11:15	Coyuquillas	Mexico	0.1
	06 Oct 2022 11:15	Nuxco	Mexico	0.1
	06 Oct 2022 10:45	Melchor Ocampo	Mexico	0.1
	06 Oct 2022 10:45	Joluta	Mexico	0.1
	06 Oct 2022 11:00	Lagunillas	Mexico	0.1
	04 Oct 2022 02:15	La Ventana	Mexico	0.1
	04 Oct 2022 02:15	Ensenada de los Muertos	Mexico	0.1
	06 Oct 2022 16:30	Encino Solo	Mexico	0.1
	06 Oct 2022 16:00	Rancho Boca de San Jose	Mexico	0.1
	04 Oct 2022 16:45	La Palmita	Mexico	0.1
	06 Oct 2022 16:00	Adolfo Lopez Mateos	Mexico	0.1
	06 Oct 2022 16:00	Queretaro	Mexico	0.1
	06 Oct 2022 17:00	Rancho Cepeda	Mexico	0.1
	05 Oct 2022 00:30	Dimas	Mexico	0.1
	04 Oct 2022 02:45	Altata	Mexico	0.1
	06 Oct 2022 01:15	San Blas	Mexico	0.1
	06 Oct 2022 01:15	Santa Cruz	Mexico	0.1
	06 Oct 2022 10:45	Calvario	Mexico	0.1
	06 Oct 2022 22:30	Playa Azul	Mexico	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.