Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for NAMTHEUN-21
Off-shore

Impact

Tropical Cyclone NAMTHEUN-21 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 90 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.4 m (10 Oct 18:00 UTC)
Vulnerability --

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 90 km/h 0.4 m 175 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 119 km/h 0.4 m 697 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

119 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 10 Oct 2021 18:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 10 Oct 2021 00:00 65 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 10 Oct 2021 06:00 76 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 10 Oct 2021 12:00 90 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 10 Oct 2021 18:00 94 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h




Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 10 Oct 2021 18:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
50-100 mmMicronesia159 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 10 Oct 2021 00:00 152 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 10 Oct 2021 06:00 147 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 10 Oct 2021 12:00 133 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 10 Oct 2021 18:00 551 -
- - - - - Micronesia




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.4 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.4m in Kasano, Japan. This height is estimated for 10 Oct 2021 18:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 10 Oct 2021 18:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
10 Oct 2021 18:00 Kasano Japan  0.4
10 Oct 2021 18:00 Sakamoto Japan  0.4
10 Oct 2021 18:00 Hanagama Japan  0.4
10 Oct 2021 18:00 Komagamine Japan  0.4
10 Oct 2021 18:00 Iso Japan  0.4
10 Oct 2021 18:00 Nakumura Japan  0.4
10 Oct 2021 18:00 Tsurishi Japan  0.4
10 Oct 2021 18:00 Tachiya Japan  0.4
10 Oct 2021 18:00 Haragama Japan  0.4
10 Oct 2021 18:00 Kashima Japan  0.4
10 Oct 2021 18:00 Umekawa Japan  0.4
10 Oct 2021 18:00 Takahira Japan  0.4
10 Oct 2021 18:00 Isobe Japan  0.4
10 Oct 2021 18:00 Minami-Ibi Japan  0.4
10 Oct 2021 21:00 Ono Japan  0.3
10 Oct 2021 21:00 Tsukihama Japan  0.3
10 Oct 2021 21:00 Takagi Japan  0.3
10 Oct 2021 21:00 Hamaichi Japan  0.3
10 Oct 2021 21:00 Ishinomaki Japan  0.3
10 Oct 2021 21:00 Moto-Funaba Japan  0.3
10 Oct 2021 21:00 Inai Japan  0.3
10 Oct 2021 21:00 Watanoha Japan  0.3
10 Oct 2021 21:00 Kotake Japan  0.3
10 Oct 2021 21:00 Nitoda Japan  0.3
10 Oct 2021 21:00 Odomari Japan  0.3
10 Oct 2021 21:00 Kitsunezaki Japan  0.3
10 Oct 2021 21:00 Takenohama Japan  0.3
10 Oct 2021 21:00 Onagawahama Japan  0.3
10 Oct 2021 21:00 Fukkiura Japan  0.3
10 Oct 2021 21:15 Watari Japan  0.3
10 Oct 2021 21:15 Hayakawa Japan  0.3
10 Oct 2021 21:15 Yamashita Japan  0.3
10 Oct 2021 21:15 Yokoyama Japan  0.3
10 Oct 2021 21:15 Shibamachi Japan  0.3
10 Oct 2021 21:15 Warabi Japan  0.3
10 Oct 2021 21:15 Kaikomba Japan  0.3
10 Oct 2021 21:15 Shimo-Masuda Japan  0.3
10 Oct 2021 21:15 Sangenchaya Japan  0.3
10 Oct 2021 21:15 Arahama Japan  0.3
10 Oct 2021 21:15 Kabasaki Japan  0.3
10 Oct 2021 21:15 Ninokura Japan  0.3
10 Oct 2021 21:15 Ainokama Japan  0.3
10 Oct 2021 21:15 Kita-Kama Japan  0.3
10 Oct 2021 21:15 Fujitsuka Japan  0.3
10 Oct 2021 21:15 Tago Japan  0.3
10 Oct 2021 21:15 Niida Japan  0.3
10 Oct 2021 21:15 Ido Japan  0.3
10 Oct 2021 21:15 Fukanuma Japan  0.3
10 Oct 2021 21:15 Shinhama Japan  0.3
10 Oct 2021 21:15 Wada-Shinden Japan  0.3
10 Oct 2021 21:15 Gamo Japan  0.3
10 Oct 2021 21:15 Shiogama Japan  0.3
10 Oct 2021 21:15 Shobudahama Japan  0.3
10 Oct 2021 18:30 Umenomiya-Jutaku Japan  0.3
10 Oct 2021 18:30 Schiogama Japan  0.3
10 Oct 2021 18:30 Takaki Japan  0.3
10 Oct 2021 18:30 Uenodai Japan  0.3
10 Oct 2021 20:45 Koamikura Japan  0.2
10 Oct 2021 20:45 Ikenohama Japan  0.2
10 Oct 2021 20:45 Aji Japan  0.2
10 Oct 2021 20:45 Kobuchi Japan  0.2
10 Oct 2021 20:45 Ommaehama Japan  0.2
10 Oct 2021 20:45 Oharahama Japan  0.2
10 Oct 2021 20:45 Yagawa Japan  0.2
10 Oct 2021 20:45 Samenoura Japan  0.2
10 Oct 2021 20:45 Kukunari Japan  0.2
10 Oct 2021 20:45 Futawatashi Japan  0.2
10 Oct 2021 20:45 Ayukawahama Japan  0.2
10 Oct 2021 20:45 Oshika Japan  0.2
10 Oct 2021 20:45 Tatsuhama Japan  0.2
10 Oct 2021 20:45 Tomari Japan  0.2
10 Oct 2021 20:45 Izushima Japan  0.2
10 Oct 2021 20:45 Kuwahama Japan  0.2
10 Oct 2021 20:45 Yoriiso Japan  0.2
10 Oct 2021 20:45 Niiyama Japan  0.2
10 Oct 2021 20:45 Terama Japan  0.2
10 Oct 2021 18:00 Odaka Japan  0.2
10 Oct 2021 18:00 Namie Japan  0.2
10 Oct 2021 18:00 Bogoya Japan  0.2
10 Oct 2021 18:00 Tomioka Japan  0.2
10 Oct 2021 18:00 Futaba Japan  0.2
10 Oct 2021 18:00 Onaba Japan  0.2
10 Oct 2021 18:00 Kayahama Japan  0.2
10 Oct 2021 18:00 Kiyohashi Japan  0.2
10 Oct 2021 18:00 Oragahama Japan  0.2
10 Oct 2021 20:30 Harmon Village Guam  0.2
10 Oct 2021 20:30 Oceanview Guam  0.2
10 Oct 2021 20:30 Dededo Guam  0.2
10 Oct 2021 20:30 South Acres Guam  0.2
10 Oct 2021 20:30 Ipapao Guam  0.2
10 Oct 2021 20:30 Potts Junction Guam  0.2
10 Oct 2021 20:30 Perez Acres Guam  0.2
10 Oct 2021 20:30 Spring Hill Subdivision Guam  0.2
10 Oct 2021 20:30 Upi Guam  0.2
10 Oct 2021 20:30 Gayinero Guam  0.2
10 Oct 2021 20:30 Asatdas Guam  0.2
10 Oct 2021 20:30 Lupog Guam  0.2
10 Oct 2021 20:30 Songsong Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
10 Oct 2021 20:30 Teteto Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
10 Oct 2021 20:30 Rota Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
10 Oct 2021 20:30 Sinapalo Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
10 Oct 2021 21:15 Inarajan Guam  0.2
10 Oct 2021 21:15 Umatac Guam  0.2
10 Oct 2021 21:15 Merizo Guam  0.2
10 Oct 2021 21:15 Talofofo Guam  0.2
10 Oct 2021 20:00 Aramachi Japan  0.2
10 Oct 2021 20:00 Oritate Japan  0.2
10 Oct 2021 20:00 Shizugawa Japan  0.2
10 Oct 2021 20:00 Tsukihama Japan  0.2
10 Oct 2021 20:00 Ogatsu Japan  0.2
10 Oct 2021 20:00 Aratohama Japan  0.2
10 Oct 2021 20:00 Aikawa Japan  0.2
10 Oct 2021 20:00 Funagoshi Japan  0.2
10 Oct 2021 20:00 Terahama Japan  0.2
10 Oct 2021 20:00 Ohama Japan  0.2
10 Oct 2021 20:00 Ozashi Japan  0.2
10 Oct 2021 20:00 Kodaki Japan  0.2
10 Oct 2021 20:00 Isatomae Japan  0.2
10 Oct 2021 20:00 Kumazawa Japan  0.2
10 Oct 2021 20:00 Minato Japan  0.2
10 Oct 2021 20:00 Osu Japan  0.2
10 Oct 2021 20:00 Natari Japan  0.2
10 Oct 2021 20:00 Tomarihama Japan  0.2
10 Oct 2021 21:15 Adacao Guam  0.2
10 Oct 2021 21:15 Ylig Guam  0.2
10 Oct 2021 21:15 Yona Guam  0.2
10 Oct 2021 21:15 Barrigada Guam  0.2
10 Oct 2021 21:15 Camp Quezon Guam  0.2
10 Oct 2021 21:15 Asbeco Guam  0.2
10 Oct 2021 21:15 Hagatna Guam  0.2
10 Oct 2021 21:15 Sinajana Guam  0.2
10 Oct 2021 21:15 Mongmong Guam  0.2
10 Oct 2021 21:15 Tamuning Guam  0.2
10 Oct 2021 21:30 Agat Guam  0.2
10 Oct 2021 21:30 Camp Bright Guam  0.2
10 Oct 2021 21:30 Santa Rita Guam  0.2
10 Oct 2021 21:30 Piti Guam  0.2
10 Oct 2021 21:30 Asan Guam  0.2
10 Oct 2021 20:30 Lockwood Terrace Guam  0.2
10 Oct 2021 20:30 Sunharon Roads Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
10 Oct 2021 20:30 Afetna Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
10 Oct 2021 20:30 Susupi Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
10 Oct 2021 20:30 Chalan Kanoa Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
10 Oct 2021 20:30 Aslito Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
10 Oct 2021 20:30 Laolao Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
10 Oct 2021 20:30 Garapan Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
10 Oct 2021 20:30 Mutcho Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
10 Oct 2021 20:30 Tanapag Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
10 Oct 2021 20:30 Saipan Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
10 Oct 2021 20:30 San Roque Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
10 Oct 2021 20:30 Kagman Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
10 Oct 2021 20:00 Shirane Japan  0.1
10 Oct 2021 20:00 Toyooka Japan  0.1
10 Oct 2021 20:00 Kuji Japan  0.1
10 Oct 2021 20:00 Narusawa Japan  0.1
10 Oct 2021 20:00 Mizuki Japan  0.1
10 Oct 2021 20:00 Moto-Kawarago Japan  0.1
10 Oct 2021 20:00 Hitachi Japan  0.1
10 Oct 2021 20:00 Ogitsu Japan  0.1
10 Oct 2021 20:00 Tomobe Japan  0.1
10 Oct 2021 20:00 Tajirihama Japan  0.1
10 Oct 2021 20:00 Kawaziri Japan  0.1
10 Oct 2021 20:00 Kawajiri Japan  0.1
10 Oct 2021 20:00 Kitakubo Japan  0.1
10 Oct 2021 20:00 Hama Japan  0.1
10 Oct 2021 20:00 Ono-Yasashi Japan  0.1
10 Oct 2021 19:45 Aratame Japan  0.1
10 Oct 2021 19:45 Omori Japan  0.1
10 Oct 2021 19:45 Arayashik Japan  0.1
10 Oct 2021 19:45 Naraha Japan  0.1
10 Oct 2021 19:45 Yotsukura Japan  0.1
10 Oct 2021 19:45 Kami-Asamigawa Japan  0.1
10 Oct 2021 19:45 Kami-Shigeoka Japan  0.1
10 Oct 2021 19:45 Ide Japan  0.1
10 Oct 2021 19:45 Shimo-Kitabo Japan  0.1
10 Oct 2021 19:30 Higashi Japan  0.1
10 Oct 2021 20:15 Asahi Yokaichiba Japan  0.1
10 Oct 2021 20:15 Yatabe Japan  0.1
10 Oct 2021 20:15 Choshi Japan  0.1
10 Oct 2021 19:30 Ishinomura Japan  0.1
10 Oct 2021 20:15 Shomushon Northern Mariana Islands  0.1
10 Oct 2021 20:15 Marasu Northern Mariana Islands  0.1
10 Oct 2021 19:00 Oki Japan  0.1
10 Oct 2021 19:00 Hyogidaira Japan  0.1
10 Oct 2021 19:00 Omura Japan  0.1
10 Oct 2021 19:00 Ogigaura Japan  0.1
10 Oct 2021 19:00 Sakaiura Japan  0.1