Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for NAMTHEUN-21
Off-shore

Impact

Tropical Cyclone NAMTHEUN-21 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 90 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.4 m (10 Oct 18:00 UTC)
Vulnerability --

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 90 km/h 0.4 m 133 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 119 km/h 0.4 m 697 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

119 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 10 Oct 2021 12:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 10 Oct 2021 00:00 65 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 10 Oct 2021 06:00 76 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 10 Oct 2021 12:00 90 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h




Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 10 Oct 2021 12:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
50-100 mmMicronesia183 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 10 Oct 2021 00:00 152 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 10 Oct 2021 06:00 147 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 10 Oct 2021 12:00 758 -
- - - - - Micronesia




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.4 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.4m in Kasano, Japan. This height is estimated for 10 Oct 2021 18:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 10 Oct 2021 12:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
10 Oct 2021 18:00 Kasano Japan  0.4
10 Oct 2021 18:00 Sakamoto Japan  0.4
10 Oct 2021 18:00 Hanagama Japan  0.4
10 Oct 2021 18:00 Komagamine Japan  0.4
10 Oct 2021 18:00 Iso Japan  0.4
10 Oct 2021 18:00 Nakumura Japan  0.4
10 Oct 2021 18:00 Tsurishi Japan  0.4
10 Oct 2021 18:00 Tachiya Japan  0.4
10 Oct 2021 18:00 Haragama Japan  0.4
10 Oct 2021 18:00 Kashima Japan  0.4
10 Oct 2021 18:00 Umekawa Japan  0.4
10 Oct 2021 18:00 Takahira Japan  0.4
10 Oct 2021 18:00 Isobe Japan  0.4
10 Oct 2021 18:00 Minami-Ibi Japan  0.4
10 Oct 2021 18:00 Watari Japan  0.2
10 Oct 2021 18:00 Hayakawa Japan  0.2
10 Oct 2021 18:00 Yamashita Japan  0.2
10 Oct 2021 18:00 Yokoyama Japan  0.2
10 Oct 2021 18:00 Shibamachi Japan  0.2
10 Oct 2021 18:00 Warabi Japan  0.2
10 Oct 2021 18:00 Kaikomba Japan  0.2
10 Oct 2021 18:00 Sangenchaya Japan  0.2
10 Oct 2021 18:00 Arahama Japan  0.2
10 Oct 2021 18:00 Kabasaki Japan  0.2
10 Oct 2021 18:00 Ninokura Japan  0.2
10 Oct 2021 12:45 Barrigada Guam  0.2
10 Oct 2021 12:45 Camp Quezon Guam  0.2
10 Oct 2021 12:45 Harmon Village Guam  0.2
10 Oct 2021 12:45 Oceanview Guam  0.2
10 Oct 2021 12:45 Dededo Guam  0.2
10 Oct 2021 12:45 South Acres Guam  0.2
10 Oct 2021 12:45 Asbeco Guam  0.2
10 Oct 2021 12:45 Adacao Guam  0.2
10 Oct 2021 12:45 Ipapao Guam  0.2
10 Oct 2021 12:45 Potts Junction Guam  0.2
10 Oct 2021 12:45 Perez Acres Guam  0.2
10 Oct 2021 12:45 Spring Hill Subdivision Guam  0.2
10 Oct 2021 12:45 Upi Guam  0.2
10 Oct 2021 12:45 Gayinero Guam  0.2
10 Oct 2021 12:45 Asatdas Guam  0.2
10 Oct 2021 12:45 Lupog Guam  0.2
10 Oct 2021 12:45 Inarajan Guam  0.2
10 Oct 2021 12:45 Umatac Guam  0.2
10 Oct 2021 12:45 Merizo Guam  0.2
10 Oct 2021 12:45 Talofofo Guam  0.2
10 Oct 2021 12:45 Agat Guam  0.2
10 Oct 2021 12:45 Camp Bright Guam  0.2
10 Oct 2021 12:45 Santa Rita Guam  0.2
10 Oct 2021 12:45 Ylig Guam  0.2
10 Oct 2021 12:45 Yona Guam  0.2
10 Oct 2021 12:45 Hagatna Guam  0.2
10 Oct 2021 12:45 Sinajana Guam  0.2
10 Oct 2021 12:45 Mongmong Guam  0.2
10 Oct 2021 12:45 Tamuning Guam  0.2
10 Oct 2021 12:45 Piti Guam  0.2
10 Oct 2021 12:45 Asan Guam  0.2
10 Oct 2021 17:30 Odaka Japan  0.2
10 Oct 2021 17:30 Onaba Japan  0.2
10 Oct 2021 17:30 Kayahama Japan  0.2
10 Oct 2021 12:30 Lockwood Terrace Guam  0.2
10 Oct 2021 12:15 Songsong Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
10 Oct 2021 12:15 Teteto Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
10 Oct 2021 12:15 Rota Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
10 Oct 2021 12:15 Sinapalo Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
10 Oct 2021 18:00 Shimo-Masuda Japan  0.2
10 Oct 2021 18:00 Ainokama Japan  0.2
10 Oct 2021 18:00 Kita-Kama Japan  0.2
10 Oct 2021 18:00 Fujitsuka Japan  0.2
10 Oct 2021 18:00 Ido Japan  0.2
10 Oct 2021 18:00 Fukanuma Japan  0.2
10 Oct 2021 17:45 Aratame Japan  0.2
10 Oct 2021 17:45 Omori Japan  0.2
10 Oct 2021 17:45 Arayashik Japan  0.2
10 Oct 2021 17:45 Naraha Japan  0.2
10 Oct 2021 17:45 Yotsukura Japan  0.2
10 Oct 2021 17:45 Kami-Asamigawa Japan  0.2
10 Oct 2021 17:45 Bogoya Japan  0.2
10 Oct 2021 17:45 Kami-Shigeoka Japan  0.2
10 Oct 2021 17:45 Ide Japan  0.2
10 Oct 2021 17:45 Shimo-Kitabo Japan  0.2
10 Oct 2021 17:45 Tomioka Japan  0.2
10 Oct 2021 17:45 Oragahama Japan  0.2
10 Oct 2021 17:45 Namie Japan  0.2
10 Oct 2021 17:45 Futaba Japan  0.2
10 Oct 2021 17:45 Kiyohashi Japan  0.2
10 Oct 2021 17:30 Aramachi Japan  0.2
10 Oct 2021 17:30 Oritate Japan  0.2
10 Oct 2021 17:30 Shizugawa Japan  0.2
10 Oct 2021 17:30 Tsukihama Japan  0.2
10 Oct 2021 17:30 Ogatsu Japan  0.2
10 Oct 2021 17:30 Aratohama Japan  0.2
10 Oct 2021 17:30 Aikawa Japan  0.2
10 Oct 2021 17:30 Funagoshi Japan  0.2
10 Oct 2021 17:30 Terahama Japan  0.2
10 Oct 2021 17:30 Ohama Japan  0.2
10 Oct 2021 17:30 Ozashi Japan  0.2
10 Oct 2021 17:30 Kodaki Japan  0.2
10 Oct 2021 17:30 Isatomae Japan  0.2
10 Oct 2021 17:30 Kumazawa Japan  0.2
10 Oct 2021 17:30 Minato Japan  0.2
10 Oct 2021 17:30 Osu Japan  0.2
10 Oct 2021 17:30 Natari Japan  0.2
10 Oct 2021 17:30 Tomarihama Japan  0.2
10 Oct 2021 12:00 Afetna Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
10 Oct 2021 12:00 Susupi Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
10 Oct 2021 12:00 Laolao Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
10 Oct 2021 12:00 Garapan Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
10 Oct 2021 12:00 Mutcho Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
10 Oct 2021 12:00 Chalan Kanoa Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
10 Oct 2021 12:00 Aslito Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
10 Oct 2021 12:00 Tanapag Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
10 Oct 2021 12:00 Saipan Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
10 Oct 2021 12:00 San Roque Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
10 Oct 2021 12:00 Kagman Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
10 Oct 2021 12:45 Tago Japan  0.2
10 Oct 2021 12:45 Niida Japan  0.2
10 Oct 2021 12:45 Shinhama Japan  0.2
10 Oct 2021 12:45 Wada-Shinden Japan  0.2
10 Oct 2021 12:45 Gamo Japan  0.2
10 Oct 2021 12:45 Shiogama Japan  0.2
10 Oct 2021 12:45 Shobudahama Japan  0.2
10 Oct 2021 12:00 Sunharon Roads Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
10 Oct 2021 17:15 Onagawahama Japan  0.2
10 Oct 2021 17:15 Ommaehama Japan  0.2
10 Oct 2021 17:15 Samenoura Japan  0.2
10 Oct 2021 17:15 Tatsuhama Japan  0.2
10 Oct 2021 17:15 Izushima Japan  0.2
10 Oct 2021 17:15 Kuwahama Japan  0.2
10 Oct 2021 17:15 Yoriiso Japan  0.2
10 Oct 2021 17:15 Terama Japan  0.2
10 Oct 2021 17:30 Natsumi Japan  0.2
10 Oct 2021 17:30 Kamigama Japan  0.2
10 Oct 2021 17:30 Nagasuna Japan  0.2
10 Oct 2021 17:30 Shirane Japan  0.2
10 Oct 2021 17:30 Toyooka Japan  0.2
10 Oct 2021 17:30 Kuji Japan  0.2
10 Oct 2021 17:30 Nakaminato Japan  0.2
10 Oct 2021 17:30 Narusawa Japan  0.2
10 Oct 2021 17:30 Mizuki Japan  0.2
10 Oct 2021 17:30 Moto-Kawarago Japan  0.2
10 Oct 2021 17:30 Hitachi Japan  0.2
10 Oct 2021 17:30 Ogitsu Japan  0.2
10 Oct 2021 17:30 Tajirihama Japan  0.2
10 Oct 2021 17:30 Sumiyoshi Japan  0.2
10 Oct 2021 17:30 Ena Japan  0.2
10 Oct 2021 17:30 Shimo-Takaku Japan  0.2
10 Oct 2021 17:30 Toyoma Japan  0.2
10 Oct 2021 13:00 Umenomiya-Jutaku Japan  0.2
10 Oct 2021 13:00 Schiogama Japan  0.2
10 Oct 2021 13:00 Uenodai Japan  0.2
10 Oct 2021 13:00 Tsukihama Japan  0.2
10 Oct 2021 17:30 Nitoda Japan  0.2
10 Oct 2021 17:30 Odomari Japan  0.2
10 Oct 2021 17:30 Kitsunezaki Japan  0.2
10 Oct 2021 17:30 Takenohama Japan  0.2
10 Oct 2021 17:30 Fukkiura Japan  0.2
10 Oct 2021 17:30 Koamikura Japan  0.2
10 Oct 2021 17:30 Ikenohama Japan  0.2
10 Oct 2021 17:30 Aji Japan  0.2
10 Oct 2021 17:30 Kobuchi Japan  0.2
10 Oct 2021 17:30 Oharahama Japan  0.2
10 Oct 2021 17:30 Yagawa Japan  0.2
10 Oct 2021 17:30 Kukunari Japan  0.2
10 Oct 2021 17:30 Futawatashi Japan  0.2
10 Oct 2021 17:30 Ayukawahama Japan  0.2
10 Oct 2021 17:30 Oshika Japan  0.2
10 Oct 2021 17:30 Tomari Japan  0.2
10 Oct 2021 17:30 Niiyama Japan  0.2
10 Oct 2021 12:45 Takaki Japan  0.2
10 Oct 2021 12:45 Ono Japan  0.2
10 Oct 2021 12:45 Takagi Japan  0.2
10 Oct 2021 12:45 Hamaichi Japan  0.2
10 Oct 2021 12:00 Shomushon Northern Mariana Islands  0.1
10 Oct 2021 12:00 Marasu Northern Mariana Islands  0.1
10 Oct 2021 17:30 Tomobe Japan  0.1
10 Oct 2021 17:30 Kawaziri Japan  0.1
10 Oct 2021 17:30 Kawajiri Japan  0.1
10 Oct 2021 17:30 Kitakubo Japan  0.1
10 Oct 2021 17:30 Hama Japan  0.1
10 Oct 2021 17:30 Kisara Japan  0.1
10 Oct 2021 17:30 Ono-Yasashi Japan  0.1
10 Oct 2021 17:30 Isohara Japan  0.1
10 Oct 2021 17:30 Yunami Japan  0.1
10 Oct 2021 17:30 Shuku Japan  0.1
10 Oct 2021 17:30 Kubota Japan  0.1
10 Oct 2021 17:30 Ueda Japan  0.1
10 Oct 2021 17:30 Terashita Japan  0.1
10 Oct 2021 17:30 Hirakata Japan  0.1
10 Oct 2021 17:30 Hokota Japan  0.1
10 Oct 2021 17:30 Noda Japan  0.1
10 Oct 2021 17:30 Katsuori Japan  0.1
10 Oct 2021 17:30 Otake Japan  0.1
10 Oct 2021 17:30 Dainigorisawa Japan  0.1
10 Oct 2021 17:30 Muyokama Japan  0.1
10 Oct 2021 17:30 Taiyo Japan  0.1
10 Oct 2021 17:30 Kyochikama Japan  0.1
10 Oct 2021 17:30 Hamatsuga Japan  0.1
10 Oct 2021 17:30 Aotsuka Japan  0.1
10 Oct 2021 13:00 Ishinomaki Japan  0.1
10 Oct 2021 17:30 Soeno Japan  0.1
10 Oct 2021 17:30 Tanebe Japan  0.1
10 Oct 2021 17:30 Obama Japan  0.1
10 Oct 2021 17:30 Onahama Japan  0.1
10 Oct 2021 17:30 Ohahama Japan  0.1
10 Oct 2021 17:30 Asahi Yokaichiba Japan  0.1
10 Oct 2021 17:30 Okunoya Japan  0.1
10 Oct 2021 17:30 Yatabe Japan  0.1
10 Oct 2021 17:30 Choshi Japan  0.1