Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for NAMTHEUN-21
Off-shore
10 Oct 2021 06 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone NAMTHEUN-21 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries Japan
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 76 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.4 m (10 Oct 08:30 UTC)
Vulnerability --

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 76 km/h 0.4 m 147 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 119 km/h 0.4 m 697 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

119 km/h

Up to Few people can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 10 Oct 2021 06:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormJapan172 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 10 Oct 2021 00:00 65 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 10 Oct 2021 06:00 97 -
- - - - - Japan
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
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Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 10 Oct 2021 06:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
50-100 mmMicronesia, Marshall Islands7,016
+
Micronesia27 
Marshall Islands6,988 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 10 Oct 2021 00:00 152 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 10 Oct 2021 06:00 476 -
- - - - - Micronesia, Marshall Islands




Impact estimation for the next 72h
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StormSurge

0.4 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.4m in Watari, Japan. This height is estimated for 10 Oct 2021 08:30 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 10 Oct 2021 06:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
10 Oct 2021 08:30 Watari Japan  0.4
10 Oct 2021 08:30 Hayakawa Japan  0.4
10 Oct 2021 08:30 Yamashita Japan  0.4
10 Oct 2021 08:30 Yokoyama Japan  0.4
10 Oct 2021 08:30 Shibamachi Japan  0.4
10 Oct 2021 08:30 Warabi Japan  0.4
10 Oct 2021 08:30 Kaikomba Japan  0.4
10 Oct 2021 08:30 Sangenchaya Japan  0.4
10 Oct 2021 08:30 Kasano Japan  0.4
10 Oct 2021 08:30 Sakamoto Japan  0.4
10 Oct 2021 08:30 Hanagama Japan  0.4
10 Oct 2021 08:30 Arahama Japan  0.4
10 Oct 2021 08:30 Kabasaki Japan  0.4
10 Oct 2021 08:30 Komagamine Japan  0.4
10 Oct 2021 08:30 Ninokura Japan  0.4
10 Oct 2021 08:30 Iso Japan  0.4
10 Oct 2021 08:30 Nakumura Japan  0.4
10 Oct 2021 08:30 Tsurishi Japan  0.4
10 Oct 2021 08:30 Haragama Japan  0.4
10 Oct 2021 08:30 Umekawa Japan  0.4
10 Oct 2021 08:45 Tachiya Japan  0.3
10 Oct 2021 08:45 Kashima Japan  0.3
10 Oct 2021 08:45 Takahira Japan  0.3
10 Oct 2021 08:45 Isobe Japan  0.3
10 Oct 2021 08:45 Minami-Ibi Japan  0.3
10 Oct 2021 08:15 Ono Japan  0.3
10 Oct 2021 08:15 Tsukihama Japan  0.3
10 Oct 2021 08:15 Takagi Japan  0.3
10 Oct 2021 08:15 Hamaichi Japan  0.3
10 Oct 2021 08:15 Ishinomaki Japan  0.3
10 Oct 2021 08:15 Moto-Funaba Japan  0.3
10 Oct 2021 08:15 Inai Japan  0.3
10 Oct 2021 08:15 Watanoha Japan  0.3
10 Oct 2021 08:15 Kotake Japan  0.3
10 Oct 2021 08:15 Nitoda Japan  0.3
10 Oct 2021 08:15 Odomari Japan  0.3
10 Oct 2021 08:15 Kitsunezaki Japan  0.3
10 Oct 2021 08:15 Takenohama Japan  0.3
10 Oct 2021 08:15 Onagawahama Japan  0.3
10 Oct 2021 08:15 Fukkiura Japan  0.3
10 Oct 2021 08:15 Shimo-Masuda Japan  0.3
10 Oct 2021 08:15 Ainokama Japan  0.3
10 Oct 2021 08:15 Kita-Kama Japan  0.3
10 Oct 2021 08:30 Fujitsuka Japan  0.3
10 Oct 2021 08:30 Ido Japan  0.3
10 Oct 2021 08:30 Fukanuma Japan  0.3
10 Oct 2021 08:15 Koamikura Japan  0.3
10 Oct 2021 08:15 Ikenohama Japan  0.3
10 Oct 2021 08:15 Aji Japan  0.3
10 Oct 2021 08:15 Kobuchi Japan  0.3
10 Oct 2021 08:15 Ommaehama Japan  0.3
10 Oct 2021 08:15 Oharahama Japan  0.3
10 Oct 2021 08:15 Yagawa Japan  0.3
10 Oct 2021 08:15 Samenoura Japan  0.3
10 Oct 2021 08:15 Kukunari Japan  0.3
10 Oct 2021 08:15 Futawatashi Japan  0.3
10 Oct 2021 08:15 Ayukawahama Japan  0.3
10 Oct 2021 08:15 Oshika Japan  0.3
10 Oct 2021 08:15 Tatsuhama Japan  0.3
10 Oct 2021 08:15 Tomari Japan  0.3
10 Oct 2021 08:15 Izushima Japan  0.3
10 Oct 2021 08:15 Kuwahama Japan  0.3
10 Oct 2021 08:15 Yoriiso Japan  0.3
10 Oct 2021 08:15 Niiyama Japan  0.3
10 Oct 2021 08:15 Terama Japan  0.3
10 Oct 2021 08:15 Shobudahama Japan  0.3
10 Oct 2021 08:15 Takaki Japan  0.3
10 Oct 2021 08:15 Uenodai Japan  0.3
10 Oct 2021 08:45 Tago Japan  0.3
10 Oct 2021 08:45 Niida Japan  0.3
10 Oct 2021 08:45 Shinhama Japan  0.3
10 Oct 2021 08:45 Wada-Shinden Japan  0.3
10 Oct 2021 08:45 Gamo Japan  0.3
10 Oct 2021 08:45 Shiogama Japan  0.3
10 Oct 2021 08:30 Kayahama Japan  0.3
10 Oct 2021 08:15 Umenomiya-Jutaku Japan  0.3
10 Oct 2021 08:15 Schiogama Japan  0.3
10 Oct 2021 08:30 Odaka Japan  0.3
10 Oct 2021 08:30 Onaba Japan  0.3
10 Oct 2021 08:15 Aratame Japan  0.2
10 Oct 2021 08:15 Omori Japan  0.2
10 Oct 2021 08:15 Arayashik Japan  0.2
10 Oct 2021 08:15 Naraha Japan  0.2
10 Oct 2021 08:15 Yotsukura Japan  0.2
10 Oct 2021 08:15 Kami-Asamigawa Japan  0.2
10 Oct 2021 08:15 Bogoya Japan  0.2
10 Oct 2021 08:15 Kami-Shigeoka Japan  0.2
10 Oct 2021 08:15 Ide Japan  0.2
10 Oct 2021 08:15 Shimo-Kitabo Japan  0.2
10 Oct 2021 08:15 Tomioka Japan  0.2
10 Oct 2021 08:15 Oragahama Japan  0.2
10 Oct 2021 08:30 Namie Japan  0.2
10 Oct 2021 08:30 Futaba Japan  0.2
10 Oct 2021 08:30 Kiyohashi Japan  0.2
10 Oct 2021 12:00 Harmon Village Guam  0.2
10 Oct 2021 12:00 Oceanview Guam  0.2
10 Oct 2021 12:00 Dededo Guam  0.2
10 Oct 2021 12:00 South Acres Guam  0.2
10 Oct 2021 12:00 Ipapao Guam  0.2
10 Oct 2021 12:00 Potts Junction Guam  0.2
10 Oct 2021 12:00 Perez Acres Guam  0.2
10 Oct 2021 12:00 Spring Hill Subdivision Guam  0.2
10 Oct 2021 12:00 Upi Guam  0.2
10 Oct 2021 12:00 Gayinero Guam  0.2
10 Oct 2021 12:00 Asatdas Guam  0.2
10 Oct 2021 12:00 Lupog Guam  0.2
10 Oct 2021 12:00 Lockwood Terrace Guam  0.2
10 Oct 2021 12:00 Agat Guam  0.2
10 Oct 2021 12:00 Camp Bright Guam  0.2
10 Oct 2021 12:00 Umatac Guam  0.2
10 Oct 2021 12:00 Santa Rita Guam  0.2
10 Oct 2021 12:00 Merizo Guam  0.2
10 Oct 2021 12:00 Piti Guam  0.2
10 Oct 2021 12:00 Asan Guam  0.2
10 Oct 2021 12:00 Inarajan Guam  0.2
10 Oct 2021 12:00 Hagatna Guam  0.2
10 Oct 2021 12:00 Sinajana Guam  0.2
10 Oct 2021 12:00 Talofofo Guam  0.2
10 Oct 2021 12:00 Mongmong Guam  0.2
10 Oct 2021 12:00 Ylig Guam  0.2
10 Oct 2021 12:00 Yona Guam  0.2
10 Oct 2021 12:00 Tamuning Guam  0.2
10 Oct 2021 12:00 Barrigada Guam  0.2
10 Oct 2021 12:00 Camp Quezon Guam  0.2
10 Oct 2021 12:00 Asbeco Guam  0.2
10 Oct 2021 12:00 Adacao Guam  0.2
10 Oct 2021 11:45 Afetna Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
10 Oct 2021 11:45 Susupi Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
10 Oct 2021 11:45 Laolao Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
10 Oct 2021 11:45 Garapan Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
10 Oct 2021 11:45 Mutcho Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
10 Oct 2021 11:45 Chalan Kanoa Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
10 Oct 2021 11:45 Aslito Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
10 Oct 2021 11:45 Tanapag Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
10 Oct 2021 11:45 Saipan Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
10 Oct 2021 11:45 San Roque Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
10 Oct 2021 11:45 Kagman Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
10 Oct 2021 12:00 Songsong Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
10 Oct 2021 12:00 Teteto Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
10 Oct 2021 12:00 Rota Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
10 Oct 2021 12:00 Sinapalo Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
10 Oct 2021 12:00 Sunharon Roads Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
10 Oct 2021 10:45 Higashi Japan  0.1
10 Oct 2021 12:00 Shomushon Northern Mariana Islands  0.1
10 Oct 2021 12:00 Marasu Northern Mariana Islands  0.1
10 Oct 2021 10:45 Ishinomura Japan  0.1
10 Oct 2021 08:15 Aramachi Japan  0.1
10 Oct 2021 08:15 Oritate Japan  0.1
10 Oct 2021 08:15 Shizugawa Japan  0.1
10 Oct 2021 08:15 Tsukihama Japan  0.1
10 Oct 2021 08:15 Ogatsu Japan  0.1
10 Oct 2021 08:15 Aratohama Japan  0.1
10 Oct 2021 08:15 Aikawa Japan  0.1
10 Oct 2021 08:15 Funagoshi Japan  0.1
10 Oct 2021 08:15 Terahama Japan  0.1
10 Oct 2021 08:15 Ohama Japan  0.1
10 Oct 2021 08:15 Ozashi Japan  0.1
10 Oct 2021 08:15 Kodaki Japan  0.1
10 Oct 2021 08:15 Isatomae Japan  0.1
10 Oct 2021 08:15 Kumazawa Japan  0.1
10 Oct 2021 08:15 Minato Japan  0.1
10 Oct 2021 08:15 Osu Japan  0.1
10 Oct 2021 08:15 Natari Japan  0.1
10 Oct 2021 08:15 Tomarihama Japan  0.1
10 Oct 2021 09:15 Kitakubo Japan  0.1
10 Oct 2021 09:15 Kisara Japan  0.1
10 Oct 2021 09:15 Ono-Yasashi Japan  0.1
10 Oct 2021 09:15 Isohara Japan  0.1
10 Oct 2021 09:15 Yunami Japan  0.1
10 Oct 2021 09:15 Shuku Japan  0.1
10 Oct 2021 09:15 Kubota Japan  0.1
10 Oct 2021 09:15 Ueda Japan  0.1
10 Oct 2021 09:15 Terashita Japan  0.1
10 Oct 2021 09:15 Hirakata Japan  0.1
10 Oct 2021 09:15 Soeno Japan  0.1
10 Oct 2021 09:15 Tanebe Japan  0.1
10 Oct 2021 09:15 Obama Japan  0.1
10 Oct 2021 09:15 Onahama Japan  0.1
10 Oct 2021 09:15 Sumiyoshi Japan  0.1
10 Oct 2021 09:15 Ohahama Japan  0.1
10 Oct 2021 09:15 Ena Japan  0.1
10 Oct 2021 09:15 Shimo-Takaku Japan  0.1
10 Oct 2021 09:15 Toyoma Japan  0.1
10 Oct 2021 10:45 Omura Japan  0.1
10 Oct 2021 10:45 Ogigaura Japan  0.1
10 Oct 2021 10:45 Sakaiura Japan  0.1
10 Oct 2021 10:30 Hyogidaira Japan  0.1
10 Oct 2021 10:30 Oki Japan  0.1