Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for NAMTHEUN-21
Off-shore

Impact

Tropical Cyclone NAMTHEUN-21 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 79 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.2 m (11 Oct 00:45 UTC)
Vulnerability --

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 79 km/h 0.2 m 139 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 119 km/h 0.4 m 697 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

119 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 11 Oct 2021 00:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 10 Oct 2021 00:00 65 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 10 Oct 2021 06:00 76 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 10 Oct 2021 12:00 90 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 10 Oct 2021 18:00 90 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 11 Oct 2021 00:00 104 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h




Rain exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (greater than 50mm) based on the bulletin of 11 Oct 2021 00:00 UTC

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 10 Oct 2021 00:00 152 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 10 Oct 2021 06:00 147 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 10 Oct 2021 12:00 133 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 10 Oct 2021 18:00 175 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 11 Oct 2021 00:00 314 - - - - - - -




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.2m in Watari, Japan. This height is estimated for 11 Oct 2021 00:45 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 11 Oct 2021 00:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
11 Oct 2021 00:45 Watari Japan  0.2
11 Oct 2021 00:45 Hayakawa Japan  0.2
11 Oct 2021 00:45 Yamashita Japan  0.2
11 Oct 2021 00:45 Yokoyama Japan  0.2
11 Oct 2021 00:45 Shibamachi Japan  0.2
11 Oct 2021 00:45 Warabi Japan  0.2
11 Oct 2021 00:45 Kaikomba Japan  0.2
11 Oct 2021 00:45 Shimo-Masuda Japan  0.2
11 Oct 2021 00:45 Sangenchaya Japan  0.2
11 Oct 2021 00:45 Arahama Japan  0.2
11 Oct 2021 00:45 Kabasaki Japan  0.2
11 Oct 2021 00:45 Ninokura Japan  0.2
11 Oct 2021 00:45 Ainokama Japan  0.2
11 Oct 2021 00:45 Kita-Kama Japan  0.2
11 Oct 2021 00:45 Fujitsuka Japan  0.2
11 Oct 2021 00:45 Tago Japan  0.2
11 Oct 2021 00:45 Niida Japan  0.2
11 Oct 2021 00:45 Ido Japan  0.2
11 Oct 2021 00:45 Fukanuma Japan  0.2
11 Oct 2021 00:45 Shinhama Japan  0.2
11 Oct 2021 00:45 Wada-Shinden Japan  0.2
11 Oct 2021 00:45 Gamo Japan  0.2
11 Oct 2021 00:45 Shiogama Japan  0.2
11 Oct 2021 00:45 Shobudahama Japan  0.2
11 Oct 2021 01:00 Ono Japan  0.2
11 Oct 2021 01:00 Tsukihama Japan  0.2
11 Oct 2021 01:00 Takagi Japan  0.2
11 Oct 2021 01:00 Hamaichi Japan  0.2
11 Oct 2021 01:00 Ishinomaki Japan  0.2
11 Oct 2021 01:00 Moto-Funaba Japan  0.2
11 Oct 2021 01:00 Inai Japan  0.2
11 Oct 2021 01:00 Watanoha Japan  0.2
11 Oct 2021 01:00 Kotake Japan  0.2
11 Oct 2021 01:00 Nitoda Japan  0.2
11 Oct 2021 01:00 Odomari Japan  0.2
11 Oct 2021 01:00 Kitsunezaki Japan  0.2
11 Oct 2021 01:00 Takenohama Japan  0.2
11 Oct 2021 01:00 Onagawahama Japan  0.2
11 Oct 2021 01:00 Fukkiura Japan  0.2
11 Oct 2021 00:30 Umenomiya-Jutaku Japan  0.2
11 Oct 2021 00:30 Schiogama Japan  0.2
11 Oct 2021 00:30 Takaki Japan  0.2
11 Oct 2021 00:30 Uenodai Japan  0.2
11 Oct 2021 00:45 Kasano Japan  0.2
11 Oct 2021 00:45 Sakamoto Japan  0.2
11 Oct 2021 00:45 Hanagama Japan  0.2
11 Oct 2021 01:45 Koamikura Japan  0.2
11 Oct 2021 01:45 Ikenohama Japan  0.2
11 Oct 2021 01:45 Aji Japan  0.2
11 Oct 2021 01:45 Kobuchi Japan  0.2
11 Oct 2021 01:45 Ommaehama Japan  0.2
11 Oct 2021 01:45 Oharahama Japan  0.2
11 Oct 2021 01:45 Ogatsu Japan  0.2
11 Oct 2021 01:45 Yagawa Japan  0.2
11 Oct 2021 01:45 Samenoura Japan  0.2
11 Oct 2021 01:45 Kukunari Japan  0.2
11 Oct 2021 01:45 Futawatashi Japan  0.2
11 Oct 2021 01:45 Ayukawahama Japan  0.2
11 Oct 2021 01:45 Funagoshi Japan  0.2
11 Oct 2021 01:45 Oshika Japan  0.2
11 Oct 2021 01:45 Tatsuhama Japan  0.2
11 Oct 2021 01:45 Ohama Japan  0.2
11 Oct 2021 01:45 Tomari Japan  0.2
11 Oct 2021 01:45 Izushima Japan  0.2
11 Oct 2021 01:45 Kuwahama Japan  0.2
11 Oct 2021 01:45 Yoriiso Japan  0.2
11 Oct 2021 01:45 Niiyama Japan  0.2
11 Oct 2021 01:45 Terama Japan  0.2
11 Oct 2021 01:45 Kumazawa Japan  0.2
11 Oct 2021 01:45 Osu Japan  0.2
11 Oct 2021 01:45 Oritate Japan  0.2
11 Oct 2021 01:45 Tsukihama Japan  0.2
11 Oct 2021 01:45 Aikawa Japan  0.2
11 Oct 2021 01:45 Terahama Japan  0.2
11 Oct 2021 01:45 Ozashi Japan  0.2
11 Oct 2021 01:45 Kodaki Japan  0.2
11 Oct 2021 01:45 Komagamine Japan  0.2
11 Oct 2021 01:45 Iso Japan  0.2
11 Oct 2021 01:45 Nakumura Japan  0.2
11 Oct 2021 01:45 Tsurishi Japan  0.2
11 Oct 2021 01:45 Tachiya Japan  0.2
11 Oct 2021 01:45 Haragama Japan  0.2
11 Oct 2021 01:45 Umekawa Japan  0.2
11 Oct 2021 01:45 Isobe Japan  0.2
11 Oct 2021 01:45 Minami-Ibi Japan  0.2
11 Oct 2021 02:00 Nagasuna Japan  0.2
11 Oct 2021 02:00 Shirane Japan  0.2
11 Oct 2021 02:00 Toyooka Japan  0.2
11 Oct 2021 02:00 Kuji Japan  0.2
11 Oct 2021 02:00 Nakaminato Japan  0.2
11 Oct 2021 02:00 Narusawa Japan  0.2
11 Oct 2021 02:00 Mizuki Japan  0.2
11 Oct 2021 02:00 Moto-Kawarago Japan  0.2
11 Oct 2021 02:00 Hitachi Japan  0.2
11 Oct 2021 02:00 Ogitsu Japan  0.2
11 Oct 2021 02:00 Tajirihama Japan  0.2
11 Oct 2021 01:45 Aramachi Japan  0.2
11 Oct 2021 01:45 Shizugawa Japan  0.2
11 Oct 2021 01:45 Aratohama Japan  0.2
11 Oct 2021 01:45 Isatomae Japan  0.2
11 Oct 2021 01:45 Minato Japan  0.2
11 Oct 2021 01:45 Natari Japan  0.2
11 Oct 2021 01:45 Tomarihama Japan  0.2
11 Oct 2021 01:45 Kashima Japan  0.2
11 Oct 2021 01:45 Takahira Japan  0.2
11 Oct 2021 06:00 Harmon Village Guam  0.2
11 Oct 2021 06:00 Oceanview Guam  0.2
11 Oct 2021 06:00 Dededo Guam  0.2
11 Oct 2021 06:00 South Acres Guam  0.2
11 Oct 2021 06:00 Ipapao Guam  0.2
11 Oct 2021 06:00 Potts Junction Guam  0.2
11 Oct 2021 06:00 Perez Acres Guam  0.2
11 Oct 2021 06:00 Spring Hill Subdivision Guam  0.2
11 Oct 2021 06:00 Upi Guam  0.2
11 Oct 2021 06:00 Gayinero Guam  0.2
11 Oct 2021 06:00 Asatdas Guam  0.2
11 Oct 2021 06:00 Lupog Guam  0.2
11 Oct 2021 06:00 Umatac Guam  0.2
11 Oct 2021 06:00 Merizo Guam  0.2
11 Oct 2021 06:00 Inarajan Guam  0.2
11 Oct 2021 06:00 Agat Guam  0.2
11 Oct 2021 06:00 Camp Bright Guam  0.2
11 Oct 2021 06:00 Santa Rita Guam  0.2
11 Oct 2021 06:00 Talofofo Guam  0.2
11 Oct 2021 06:00 Ylig Guam  0.2
11 Oct 2021 06:00 Yona Guam  0.2
11 Oct 2021 06:00 Lockwood Terrace Guam  0.2
11 Oct 2021 06:00 Piti Guam  0.2
11 Oct 2021 06:00 Asan Guam  0.2
11 Oct 2021 06:00 Hagatna Guam  0.2
11 Oct 2021 06:00 Sinajana Guam  0.2
11 Oct 2021 06:00 Mongmong Guam  0.2
11 Oct 2021 06:00 Tamuning Guam  0.2
11 Oct 2021 06:00 Barrigada Guam  0.2
11 Oct 2021 06:00 Camp Quezon Guam  0.2
11 Oct 2021 06:00 Asbeco Guam  0.2
11 Oct 2021 06:00 Adacao Guam  0.2
11 Oct 2021 01:45 Natsumi Japan  0.2
11 Oct 2021 01:45 Kamigama Japan  0.2
11 Oct 2021 01:45 Odaka Japan  0.1
11 Oct 2021 01:45 Namie Japan  0.1
11 Oct 2021 01:45 Futaba Japan  0.1
11 Oct 2021 01:45 Onaba Japan  0.1
11 Oct 2021 01:45 Kayahama Japan  0.1
11 Oct 2021 01:45 Kiyohashi Japan  0.1
11 Oct 2021 02:00 Kitakubo Japan  0.1
11 Oct 2021 02:00 Kisara Japan  0.1
11 Oct 2021 02:00 Ono-Yasashi Japan  0.1
11 Oct 2021 02:00 Isohara Japan  0.1
11 Oct 2021 02:00 Yunami Japan  0.1
11 Oct 2021 02:00 Shuku Japan  0.1
11 Oct 2021 02:00 Kubota Japan  0.1
11 Oct 2021 02:00 Ueda Japan  0.1
11 Oct 2021 02:00 Terashita Japan  0.1
11 Oct 2021 02:00 Hirakata Japan  0.1
11 Oct 2021 02:00 Soeno Japan  0.1
11 Oct 2021 02:00 Tanebe Japan  0.1
11 Oct 2021 02:00 Obama Japan  0.1
11 Oct 2021 02:00 Onahama Japan  0.1
11 Oct 2021 02:00 Sumiyoshi Japan  0.1
11 Oct 2021 02:00 Ohahama Japan  0.1
11 Oct 2021 02:00 Ena Japan  0.1
11 Oct 2021 02:00 Shimo-Takaku Japan  0.1
11 Oct 2021 02:00 Toyoma Japan  0.1
11 Oct 2021 01:45 Naraha Japan  0.1
11 Oct 2021 01:45 Bogoya Japan  0.1
11 Oct 2021 01:45 Kami-Shigeoka Japan  0.1
11 Oct 2021 01:45 Ide Japan  0.1
11 Oct 2021 01:45 Tomioka Japan  0.1
11 Oct 2021 01:45 Oragahama Japan  0.1
11 Oct 2021 06:00 Songsong Northern Mariana Islands  0.1
11 Oct 2021 06:00 Rota Northern Mariana Islands  0.1
11 Oct 2021 06:00 Sinapalo Northern Mariana Islands  0.1
11 Oct 2021 06:00 Teteto Northern Mariana Islands  0.1
11 Oct 2021 06:00 Afetna Northern Mariana Islands  0.1
11 Oct 2021 06:00 Susupi Northern Mariana Islands  0.1
11 Oct 2021 06:00 Laolao Northern Mariana Islands  0.1
11 Oct 2021 06:00 Garapan Northern Mariana Islands  0.1
11 Oct 2021 06:00 Mutcho Northern Mariana Islands  0.1
11 Oct 2021 06:00 Chalan Kanoa Northern Mariana Islands  0.1
11 Oct 2021 06:00 Aslito Northern Mariana Islands  0.1
11 Oct 2021 06:00 Tanapag Northern Mariana Islands  0.1
11 Oct 2021 06:00 Saipan Northern Mariana Islands  0.1
11 Oct 2021 06:00 San Roque Northern Mariana Islands  0.1
11 Oct 2021 06:00 Kagman Northern Mariana Islands  0.1
11 Oct 2021 01:45 Kami-Asamigawa Japan  0.1
11 Oct 2021 01:45 Shimo-Kitabo Japan  0.1
11 Oct 2021 02:00 Asahi Yokaichiba Japan  0.1
11 Oct 2021 02:00 Okunoya Japan  0.1
11 Oct 2021 02:00 Yatabe Japan  0.1
11 Oct 2021 02:00 Choshi Japan  0.1
11 Oct 2021 01:45 Aratame Japan  0.1
11 Oct 2021 01:45 Omori Japan  0.1
11 Oct 2021 01:45 Arayashik Japan  0.1
11 Oct 2021 01:45 Yotsukura Japan  0.1
11 Oct 2021 06:00 Sunharon Roads Northern Mariana Islands  0.1
11 Oct 2021 02:00 Hokota Japan  0.1
11 Oct 2021 02:00 Noda Japan  0.1
11 Oct 2021 02:00 Katsuori Japan  0.1
11 Oct 2021 02:15 Tokawacho Japan  0.1
11 Oct 2021 02:15 Inuwaka Japan  0.1
11 Oct 2021 02:00 Taiyo Japan  0.1
11 Oct 2021 02:00 Otake Japan  0.1
11 Oct 2021 02:00 Dainigorisawa Japan  0.1
11 Oct 2021 02:00 Muyokama Japan  0.1
11 Oct 2021 02:00 Kyochikama Japan  0.1
11 Oct 2021 02:00 Hamatsuga Japan  0.1
11 Oct 2021 02:00 Aotsuka Japan  0.1
11 Oct 2021 01:45 Tomobe Japan  0.1
11 Oct 2021 01:45 Kawaziri Japan  0.1
11 Oct 2021 01:45 Kawajiri Japan  0.1
11 Oct 2021 01:45 Hama Japan  0.1
11 Oct 2021 02:15 Omi Japan  0.1
11 Oct 2021 02:15 Koya Japan  0.1
11 Oct 2021 01:45 Kyuchu Japan  0.1
11 Oct 2021 01:45 Kashima Japan  0.1