Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for NAMTHEUN-21
Off-shore
11 Oct 2021 06 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone NAMTHEUN-21 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 101 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.3 m (11 Oct 09:45 UTC)
Vulnerability --

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 101 km/h 0.3 m 125 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 119 km/h 0.4 m 697 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

119 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 11 Oct 2021 06:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 10 Oct 2021 00:00 65 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 10 Oct 2021 06:00 76 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 10 Oct 2021 12:00 90 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 10 Oct 2021 18:00 90 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 11 Oct 2021 00:00 79 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 11 Oct 2021 06:00 101 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
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Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 11 Oct 2021 06:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
50-100 mmJapan172 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 10 Oct 2021 00:00 152 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 10 Oct 2021 06:00 147 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 10 Oct 2021 12:00 133 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 10 Oct 2021 18:00 175 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 11 Oct 2021 00:00 139 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 11 Oct 2021 06:00 380 -
- - - - - Japan




Impact estimation for the next 72h
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StormSurge

0.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.3m in Watari, Japan. This height is estimated for 11 Oct 2021 09:45 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 11 Oct 2021 06:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
11 Oct 2021 09:45 Watari Japan  0.3
11 Oct 2021 09:45 Hayakawa Japan  0.3
11 Oct 2021 09:45 Yamashita Japan  0.3
11 Oct 2021 09:45 Yokoyama Japan  0.3
11 Oct 2021 09:45 Shibamachi Japan  0.3
11 Oct 2021 09:45 Warabi Japan  0.3
11 Oct 2021 09:45 Kaikomba Japan  0.3
11 Oct 2021 09:45 Shimo-Masuda Japan  0.3
11 Oct 2021 09:45 Sangenchaya Japan  0.3
11 Oct 2021 09:45 Arahama Japan  0.3
11 Oct 2021 09:45 Kabasaki Japan  0.3
11 Oct 2021 09:45 Ninokura Japan  0.3
11 Oct 2021 09:45 Ainokama Japan  0.3
11 Oct 2021 09:45 Kita-Kama Japan  0.3
11 Oct 2021 09:45 Fujitsuka Japan  0.3
11 Oct 2021 09:45 Tago Japan  0.3
11 Oct 2021 09:45 Niida Japan  0.3
11 Oct 2021 09:45 Ido Japan  0.3
11 Oct 2021 09:45 Fukanuma Japan  0.3
11 Oct 2021 09:45 Shinhama Japan  0.3
11 Oct 2021 09:45 Wada-Shinden Japan  0.3
11 Oct 2021 09:45 Gamo Japan  0.3
11 Oct 2021 09:45 Shiogama Japan  0.3
11 Oct 2021 09:45 Shobudahama Japan  0.3
11 Oct 2021 10:00 Umenomiya-Jutaku Japan  0.2
11 Oct 2021 10:00 Schiogama Japan  0.2
11 Oct 2021 10:00 Uenodai Japan  0.2
11 Oct 2021 10:00 Tsukihama Japan  0.2
11 Oct 2021 10:00 Kasano Japan  0.2
11 Oct 2021 10:00 Sakamoto Japan  0.2
11 Oct 2021 10:00 Hanagama Japan  0.2
11 Oct 2021 09:45 Takaki Japan  0.2
11 Oct 2021 09:45 Ono Japan  0.2
11 Oct 2021 09:45 Takagi Japan  0.2
11 Oct 2021 09:45 Hamaichi Japan  0.2
11 Oct 2021 09:45 Ishinomaki Japan  0.2
11 Oct 2021 10:00 Komagamine Japan  0.2
11 Oct 2021 10:00 Iso Japan  0.2
11 Oct 2021 10:00 Tsurishi Japan  0.2
11 Oct 2021 10:00 Moto-Funaba Japan  0.2
11 Oct 2021 10:00 Inai Japan  0.2
11 Oct 2021 10:00 Watanoha Japan  0.2
11 Oct 2021 10:00 Kotake Japan  0.2
11 Oct 2021 10:00 Nitoda Japan  0.2
11 Oct 2021 10:00 Odomari Japan  0.2
11 Oct 2021 10:00 Kitsunezaki Japan  0.2
11 Oct 2021 10:00 Takenohama Japan  0.2
11 Oct 2021 10:00 Onagawahama Japan  0.2
11 Oct 2021 10:00 Fukkiura Japan  0.2
11 Oct 2021 10:00 Koamikura Japan  0.2
11 Oct 2021 10:00 Ikenohama Japan  0.2
11 Oct 2021 10:00 Aji Japan  0.2
11 Oct 2021 10:00 Kobuchi Japan  0.2
11 Oct 2021 10:00 Ommaehama Japan  0.2
11 Oct 2021 10:00 Oharahama Japan  0.2
11 Oct 2021 10:00 Yagawa Japan  0.2
11 Oct 2021 10:00 Samenoura Japan  0.2
11 Oct 2021 10:00 Kukunari Japan  0.2
11 Oct 2021 10:00 Futawatashi Japan  0.2
11 Oct 2021 10:00 Ayukawahama Japan  0.2
11 Oct 2021 10:00 Oshika Japan  0.2
11 Oct 2021 10:00 Tatsuhama Japan  0.2
11 Oct 2021 10:00 Tomari Japan  0.2
11 Oct 2021 10:00 Izushima Japan  0.2
11 Oct 2021 10:00 Kuwahama Japan  0.2
11 Oct 2021 10:00 Yoriiso Japan  0.2
11 Oct 2021 10:00 Niiyama Japan  0.2
11 Oct 2021 10:00 Terama Japan  0.2
11 Oct 2021 06:45 Agat Guam  0.2
11 Oct 2021 06:45 Camp Bright Guam  0.2
11 Oct 2021 06:45 Umatac Guam  0.2
11 Oct 2021 06:45 Santa Rita Guam  0.2
11 Oct 2021 06:45 Merizo Guam  0.2
11 Oct 2021 06:45 Inarajan Guam  0.2
11 Oct 2021 06:45 Talofofo Guam  0.2
11 Oct 2021 06:45 Ylig Guam  0.2
11 Oct 2021 06:45 Yona Guam  0.2
11 Oct 2021 06:45 Harmon Village Guam  0.2
11 Oct 2021 06:45 Oceanview Guam  0.2
11 Oct 2021 06:45 Dededo Guam  0.2
11 Oct 2021 06:45 South Acres Guam  0.2
11 Oct 2021 06:45 Ipapao Guam  0.2
11 Oct 2021 06:45 Potts Junction Guam  0.2
11 Oct 2021 06:45 Perez Acres Guam  0.2
11 Oct 2021 06:45 Spring Hill Subdivision Guam  0.2
11 Oct 2021 06:45 Upi Guam  0.2
11 Oct 2021 06:45 Gayinero Guam  0.2
11 Oct 2021 06:45 Asatdas Guam  0.2
11 Oct 2021 06:45 Lupog Guam  0.2
11 Oct 2021 06:15 Hagatna Guam  0.2
11 Oct 2021 06:15 Sinajana Guam  0.2
11 Oct 2021 06:15 Mongmong Guam  0.2
11 Oct 2021 06:15 Tamuning Guam  0.2
11 Oct 2021 06:15 Barrigada Guam  0.2
11 Oct 2021 06:15 Camp Quezon Guam  0.2
11 Oct 2021 06:15 Asbeco Guam  0.2
11 Oct 2021 06:15 Adacao Guam  0.2
11 Oct 2021 06:45 Lockwood Terrace Guam  0.2
11 Oct 2021 06:45 Piti Guam  0.2
11 Oct 2021 06:45 Asan Guam  0.2
11 Oct 2021 10:45 Nakumura Japan  0.2
11 Oct 2021 10:45 Tachiya Japan  0.2
11 Oct 2021 10:45 Haragama Japan  0.2
11 Oct 2021 10:45 Umekawa Japan  0.2
11 Oct 2021 10:45 Isobe Japan  0.2
11 Oct 2021 10:45 Minami-Ibi Japan  0.2
11 Oct 2021 06:45 Songsong Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
11 Oct 2021 06:45 Rota Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
11 Oct 2021 06:45 Sinapalo Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
11 Oct 2021 06:45 Teteto Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
11 Oct 2021 07:00 Afetna Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
11 Oct 2021 07:00 Susupi Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
11 Oct 2021 07:00 Laolao Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
11 Oct 2021 07:00 Garapan Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
11 Oct 2021 07:00 Mutcho Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
11 Oct 2021 07:00 Chalan Kanoa Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
11 Oct 2021 07:00 Aslito Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
11 Oct 2021 07:00 Tanapag Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
11 Oct 2021 07:00 Saipan Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
11 Oct 2021 07:00 San Roque Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
11 Oct 2021 07:00 Kagman Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
11 Oct 2021 07:00 Sunharon Roads Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
11 Oct 2021 10:30 Kashima Japan  0.2
11 Oct 2021 10:30 Takahira Japan  0.2
11 Oct 2021 12:00 Nagasuna Japan  0.1
11 Oct 2021 12:00 Shirane Japan  0.1
11 Oct 2021 12:00 Toyooka Japan  0.1
11 Oct 2021 12:00 Kuji Japan  0.1
11 Oct 2021 12:00 Nakaminato Japan  0.1
11 Oct 2021 12:00 Narusawa Japan  0.1
11 Oct 2021 12:00 Mizuki Japan  0.1
11 Oct 2021 12:00 Moto-Kawarago Japan  0.1
11 Oct 2021 12:00 Hitachi Japan  0.1
11 Oct 2021 12:00 Ogitsu Japan  0.1
11 Oct 2021 12:00 Tajirihama Japan  0.1
11 Oct 2021 10:30 Odaka Japan  0.1
11 Oct 2021 10:30 Namie Japan  0.1
11 Oct 2021 10:30 Futaba Japan  0.1
11 Oct 2021 10:30 Onaba Japan  0.1
11 Oct 2021 10:30 Kayahama Japan  0.1
11 Oct 2021 10:30 Kiyohashi Japan  0.1
11 Oct 2021 07:15 Shomushon Northern Mariana Islands  0.1
11 Oct 2021 07:15 Marasu Northern Mariana Islands  0.1
11 Oct 2021 10:15 Aratame Japan  0.1
11 Oct 2021 10:15 Omori Japan  0.1
11 Oct 2021 10:15 Arayashik Japan  0.1
11 Oct 2021 10:15 Naraha Japan  0.1
11 Oct 2021 10:15 Yotsukura Japan  0.1
11 Oct 2021 10:15 Kami-Asamigawa Japan  0.1
11 Oct 2021 10:15 Bogoya Japan  0.1
11 Oct 2021 10:15 Kami-Shigeoka Japan  0.1
11 Oct 2021 10:15 Ide Japan  0.1
11 Oct 2021 10:15 Shimo-Kitabo Japan  0.1
11 Oct 2021 10:15 Tomioka Japan  0.1
11 Oct 2021 10:15 Oragahama Japan  0.1